[Retrospective clinical-causal evaluation of a positive PCR for SARS-CoV-2 in hospitalised patients across the age spectrum in a primary care hospital]. / Retrospektive klinisch-kausale Bewertung einer positiven PCR für SARS-CoV-2 bei hospitalisierten Patienten des gesamten Altersspektrums in einem Krankenhaus der Schwerpunktversorgung.

INTRODUCTION: It is often discussed that a positive PCR for SARS-CoV-2 in hospitalized patients may not be causally linked to the hospital stay, but no scientific data are available from Germany. Therefore, we analyzed to what extent a positive PCR test could be assessed as causal or secondary to admission according to clinical criteria in a tertiary care hospital of the first 4 months of 2022. METHODS: SARS-CoV-2-positive patients of RoMed-Klinikum Rosenheim/Bavaria from 01/01/2022 to 30/04/2022 were included. Patients were divided into a group with COVID-19 as direct reason for admission (CAW), and a group, in which this did not apply according to a comprehensive clinical assessment (nCAW). Patients with no clear allocation to these groups were counted separately. Categorization was based on a multilevel procedure and performed by an internist experienced in COVD-19 (M.H.). It included all available clinical, radiological, and laboratory findings as well as treatment decisions. RESULTS: 647 cases were included (age 10 days to 101 years, median 68 years; 49.5% women), including 13 patients in two admissions with positive PCR. 45.3% (n=293) were attributable to the group with COVID as the reason for admission, 48.8% (n=316) were not, no clear decision could be made in 35 patients, 3 patients were transferred from other clinics for isolation. In infants (up to 1 year), a positive PCR test was more frequently categorized as causative than in older patients. Leading symptoms of classification were found to be fatigue/fatigue, fever/chills, and cough on admission. Febrile convulsions accounted for the reason for admission in 10 cases of children (age 1.1-7.6 years). Length of stay did not differ significantly between groups (median (quartiles) 5 (2; 10) days for CAW, 5 (2; 12) for nCAW), nor did in-hospital mortality and median age of deceased or survivors. DISCUSSION: A retrospective analysis of all clinical data revealed that positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR played a major and - according to clinical criteria - causative role for admission and hospitalization in nearly 50% of cases, whereas it was an incidental finding in just under 50%. These results confirm data from other countries and demonstrate that the role of a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test for hospitalization can only be answered by a comprehensive and elaborate analysis of individual data.

A simple risk score for mortality including the PCR Ct value upon admission in patients hospitalized due to COVID-19.

PURPOSE: To develop a simple score for the outcomes from COVID-19 that integrates information obtained at the time of admission including the Ct value (cycle threshold) for SARS-CoV-2. METHODS: Patients with COVID-19 hospitalized from February 1st to May 31st 2021 in RoMed hospitals, Germany, were included. Clinical and laboratory parameters upon admission were recorded and patients followed until discharge or death. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine predictors of outcomes. Regression coefficients were used to develop a risk score for death. RESULTS: Of 289 patients (46% female, median age 66 years), 29% underwent high-flow nasal oxygen (HFNO) therapy, 28% were admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU, 51% put on invasive ventilation, IV), and 15% died. Age > 70 years, oxygen saturation ≤ 90%, oxygen supply upon admission, eGFR ≤ 60 ml/min and Ct value ≤ 26 were significant (p < 0.05 each) predictors for death, to which 2, 2, 1, 1 and 2 score points, respectively, could be attributed. Sum scores of ≥ 4 or ≥ 5 points were associated with a sensitivity of 95.0% or 82.5%, and a specificity of 72.5% or 81.7% regarding death. The high predictive value of the score was confirmed using data obtained between December 15th 2020 and January 31st 2021 (n = 215). CONCLUSION: In COVID-19 patients, a simple scoring system based on data available shortly after hospital admission including the Ct value had a high predictive value for death. The score may also be useful to estimate the likelihood for required interventions at an early stage.