ABSTRACT
Stage III melanoma includes nodal metastasis or in-transit disease. Five-year survival rates vary between 32% and 93%. The identification of high-risk patients is important for clinical decision making. We demonstrated previously that ≥1 circulating tumor cells (CTCs) at baseline was associated with recurrence. In this study, we investigated how frequently CTCs were identified prior to radiologically detected recurrence. Stage III patients (n = 325) had imaging at baseline and q 3 months. Baseline and q 6-12 months blood draws (7.5 mL) were performed to identify CTCs up to 3.5 years from diagnosis. CTC assessment was performed using the immunomagnetic capture of CD146-positive cells and anti-MEL-PE. The presence of one or more CTCs was considered positive. We analyzed the cohort of patients with relapse confirmed by radiologic imaging. CTC collection dates were assessed to determine the lead time for CTC detection. CTC-negative patients were significantly less likely to relapse compared to patients positive for CTCs (p-value < 0.001). Within the 325-patient cohort, 143 patients (44%) had recurrence, with a median follow-up of 52 months from diagnosis. The cohort (n = 143) with positive imaging and CTC results revealed 76% of patients (108/143) had CTC+ results before the radiological identification of relapse. The median time between positive CTC and positive imaging was 9 months. CTCs were positive in >75% of patients prior to relapse at a median of 9 months before radiologic detection.
ABSTRACT
PURPOSE: There is a need for sensitive, reproducible biomarkers for patients with stage III melanoma to guide clinical decision making. Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) can be detected in patients with melanoma; however, there are limited data regarding their significance in stage III disease. The aim of this study was to determine whether CTCs are associated with early relapse in stage III melanoma. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We prospectively assessed CTCs at first presentation in clinic (baseline) for 243 patients with stage III melanoma. CTCs were measured using the CellSearch System. Relapse-free survival (RFS) was compared between patients with one or more baseline CTC versus those with no CTCs. Log-rank test and Cox regression analysis were applied to establish associations of CTCs with RFS. RESULTS: At least one baseline CTC was identified in 90 of 243 (37%) patients. Forty-five (19%), 67 (28%), 118 (49%), and 13 (5%) patients were stage IIIA, IIIB, IIIC, or IIID, respectively. CTC detection was not associated with substage, or primary tumor characteristics. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that the detection of ≥1 baseline CTC was significantly associated with decreased 6-month RFS [log-rank, P < 0.0001; HR, 3.62, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.78-7.36; P < 0.0001] and 54-month RFS (log-rank, P = 0.01; HR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.13-2.54; P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: ≥1 CTC was independently associated with melanoma relapse, suggesting that CTC assessment may be useful to identify patients at risk for relapse who could derive benefit from adjuvant therapy.
