ABSTRACT
Most large (over a kilometre in diameter) near-Earth asteroids are now known, but recognition that airbursts (or fireballs resulting from nuclear-weapon-sized detonations of meteoroids in the atmosphere) have the potential to do greater damage than previously thought has shifted an increasing portion of the residual impact risk (the risk of impact from an unknown object) to smaller objects. Above the threshold size of impactor at which the atmosphere absorbs sufficient energy to prevent a ground impact, most of the damage is thought to be caused by the airburst shock wave, but owing to lack of observations this is uncertain. Here we report an analysis of the damage from the airburst of an asteroid about 19 metres (17 to 20 metres) in diameter southeast of Chelyabinsk, Russia, on 15 February 2013, estimated to have an energy equivalent of approximately 500 (±100) kilotons of trinitrotoluene (TNT, where 1 kiloton of TNT = 4.185×10(12) joules). We show that a widely referenced technique of estimating airburst damage does not reproduce the observations, and that the mathematical relations based on the effects of nuclear weapons--almost always used with this technique--overestimate blast damage. This suggests that earlier damage estimates near the threshold impactor size are too high. We performed a global survey of airbursts of a kiloton or more (including Chelyabinsk), and find that the number of impactors with diameters of tens of metres may be an order of magnitude higher than estimates based on other techniques. This suggests a non-equilibrium (if the population were in a long-term collisional steady state the size-frequency distribution would either follow a single power law or there must be a size-dependent bias in other surveys) in the near-Earth asteroid population for objects 10 to 50 metres in diameter, and shifts more of the residual impact risk to these sizes.
ABSTRACT
Complete ablation of nonmuscle myosin heavy chain II-B (NMHC-B) in mice resulted in cardiac and brain defects that were lethal during embryonic development or on the day of birth. In this paper, we report on the generation of mice with decreased amounts of NMHC-B. First, we generated B(DeltaI)/B(DeltaI) mice by replacing a neural-specific alternative exon with the PGK-Neo cassette. This resulted in decreased amounts of NMHC-B in all tissues, including a decrease of 88% in the heart and 65% in the brain compared with B(+)/B(+) tissues. B(DeltaI)/B(DeltaI) mice developed cardiac myocyte hypertrophy between 7 months and 11 months of age, at which time they reexpressed the cardiac beta-MHC. Serial sections of B(DeltaI)/B(DeltaI) brains showed abnormalities in neural cell migration and adhesion in the ventricular wall. Crossing B(DeltaI)/B(DeltaI) with B(+)/B(-) mice generated B(DeltaI)/B(-) mice, which showed a further decrease of approximately 55% in NMHC-B in the heart and brain compared with B(DeltaI)/B(DeltaI) mice. Five of 8 B(DeltaI)/B(-) mice were born with a membranous ventricular septal defect. Moreover, 5 of 5 B(DeltaI)/B(-) mice developed myocyte hypertrophy by 1 month; B(DeltaI)/B(-) mice also reexpressed the cardiac beta-MHC. More than 60% of B(DeltaI)/B(-) mice developed overt hydrocephalus and showed more severe defects in neural cell migration and adhesion than did B(DeltaI)/B(DeltaI) mice. These data on B(DeltaI)/B(DeltaI) and B(DeltaI)/B(-) mice demonstrate a gene dosage effect of the amount of NMHC-B on the severity and time of onset of the defects in the heart and brain.
