Machine learning model to predict evolution of pulseless electrical activity during in-hospital cardiac arrest.

Background: During pulseless electrical activity (PEA) the cardiac mechanical and electrical functions are dissociated, a phenomenon occurring in 25-42% of in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) cases. Accurate evaluation of the likelihood of a PEA patient transitioning to return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) may be vital for the successful resuscitation. The aim: We sought to develop a model to automatically discriminate between PEA rhythms with favorable and unfavorable evolution to ROSC. Methods: A dataset of 190 patients, 120 with ROSC, were acquired with defibrillators from different vendors in three hospitals. The ECG and the transthoracic impedance (TTI) signal were processed to compute 16 waveform features. Logistic regression models where designed integrating both automated features and characteristics annotated in the QRS to identify PEAs with better prognosis leading to ROSC. Cross validation techniques were applied, both patient-specific and stratified, to evaluate the performance of the algorithm. Results: The best model consisted in a three feature algorithm that exhibited median (interquartile range) Area Under the Curve/Balanced accuracy/Sensitivity/Specificity of 80.3(9.9)/75.6(8.0)/ 77.4(15.2)/72.3(16.4) %, respectively. Conclusions: Information hidden in the waveforms of the ECG and TTI signals, along with QRS complex features, can predict the progression of PEA. Automated methods as the one proposed in this study, could contribute to assist in the targeted treatment of PEA in IHCA.

A Machine Learning Model for the Prognosis of Pulseless Electrical Activity during Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest.

Pulseless electrical activity (PEA) is characterized by the disassociation of the mechanical and electrical activity of the heart and appears as the initial rhythm in 20-30% of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) cases. Predicting whether a patient in PEA will convert to return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) is important because different therapeutic strategies are needed depending on the type of PEA. The aim of this study was to develop a machine learning model to differentiate PEA with unfavorable (unPEA) and favorable (faPEA) evolution to ROSC. An OHCA dataset of 1921 5s PEA signal segments from defibrillator files was used, 703 faPEA segments from 107 patients with ROSC and 1218 unPEA segments from 153 patients with no ROSC. The solution consisted of a signal-processing stage of the ECG and the thoracic impedance (TI) and the extraction of the TI circulation component (ICC), which is associated with ventricular wall movement. Then, a set of 17 features was obtained from the ECG and ICC signals, and a random forest classifier was used to differentiate faPEA from unPEA. All models were trained and tested using patientwise and stratified 10-fold cross-validation partitions. The best model showed a median (interquartile range) area under the curve (AUC) of 85.7(9.8)% and a balance accuracy of 78.8(9.8)%, improving the previously available solutions at more than four points in the AUC and three points in balanced accuracy. It was demonstrated that the evolution of PEA can be predicted using the ECG and TI signals, opening the possibility of targeted PEA treatment in OHCA.