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1.
J Knee Surg ; 37(2): 158-166, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36731501

ABSTRACT

Periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) following revision total knee arthroplasty (TKA) for aseptic failure is associated with poor outcomes, patient morbidity, and high health care expenditures. The aim of this study was to develop novel machine learning algorithms for the prediction of PJI following revision TKA for patients with aseptic indications for revision surgery. A single-institution database consisting of 1,432 consecutive revision TKA patients with aseptic etiologies was retrospectively identified. The patient cohort included 208 patients (14.5%) who underwent re-revision surgery for PJI. Three machine learning algorithms (artificial neural networks, support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors) were developed to predict this outcome and these models were assessed by discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. This is a retrospective study. Among the three machine learning models, the neural network model achieved the best performance across discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.78), calibration, and decision curve analysis. The strongest predictors for PJI following revision TKA for aseptic reasons were prior open procedure prior to revision surgery, drug abuse, obesity, and diabetes. This study utilized machine learning as a tool for the prediction of PJI following revision TKA for aseptic failure with excellent performance. The validated machine learning models can aid surgeons in patient-specific risk stratifying to assist in preoperative counseling and clinical decision making for patients undergoing aseptic revision TKA.


Subject(s)
Arthritis, Infectious , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee , Prosthesis-Related Infections , Humans , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/adverse effects , Retrospective Studies , Artificial Intelligence , Prosthesis-Related Infections/diagnosis , Prosthesis-Related Infections/etiology , Prosthesis-Related Infections/surgery , Arthritis, Infectious/surgery , Reoperation/adverse effects
2.
J Knee Surg ; 36(6): 637-643, 2023 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35016246

ABSTRACT

This is a retrospective study. Surgical site infection (SSI) is associated with adverse postoperative outcomes following total knee arthroplasty (TKA). However, accurately predicting SSI remains a clinical challenge due to the multitude of patient and surgical factors associated with SSI. This study aimed to develop and validate machine learning models for the prediction of SSI following primary TKA. This is a retrospective study for patients who underwent primary TKA. Chart review was performed to identify patients with superficial or deep SSIs, defined in concordance with the criteria of the Musculoskeletal Infection Society. All patients had a minimum follow-up of 2 years (range: 2.1-4.7 years). Five machine learning algorithms were developed to predict this outcome, and model assessment was performed by discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. A total of 10,021 consecutive primary TKA patients was included in this study. At an average follow-up of 2.8 ± 1.1 years, SSIs were reported in 404 (4.0%) TKA patients, including 223 superficial SSIs and 181 deep SSIs. The neural network model achieved the best performance across discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.84), calibration, and decision curve analysis. The strongest predictors of the occurrence of SSI following primary TKA, in order, were Charlson comorbidity index, obesity (BMI >30 kg/m2), and smoking. The neural network model presented in this study represents an accurate method to predict patient-specific superficial and deep SSIs following primary TKA, which may be employed to assist in clinical decision-making to optimize outcomes in at-risk patients.


Subject(s)
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee , Surgical Wound Infection , Humans , Surgical Wound Infection/diagnosis , Surgical Wound Infection/epidemiology , Surgical Wound Infection/etiology , Retrospective Studies , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/adverse effects , Neural Networks, Computer , Machine Learning , Risk Factors
3.
Arch Orthop Trauma Surg ; 143(4): 2235-2245, 2023 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35767040

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are increasingly used as quality benchmark in total hip and knee arthroplasty (THA; TKA) due to bundled payment systems that aim to provide a patient-centered, value-based treatment approach. However, there is a paucity of predictive tools for postoperative PROMs. Therefore, this study aimed to develop and validate machine learning models for the prediction of numerous patient-reported outcome measures following primary hip and knee total joint arthroplasty. METHODS: A total of 4526 consecutive patients (2137 THA; 2389 TKA) who underwent primary hip and knee total joint arthroplasty and completed both pre- and postoperative PROM scores was evaluated in this study. The following PROM scores were included for analysis: HOOS-PS, KOOS-PS, Physical Function SF10A, PROMIS SF Physical and PROMIS SF Mental. Patient charts were manually reviewed to identify patient demographics and surgical variables associated with postoperative PROM scores. Four machine learning algorithms were developed to predict postoperative PROMs following hip and knee total joint arthroplasty. Model assessment was performed through discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: The factors most significantly associated with the prediction of postoperative PROMs include preoperative PROM scores, Charlson Comorbidity Index, American Society of Anaesthesiology score, insurance status, age, length of hospital stay, body mass index and ethnicity. The four machine learning models all achieved excellent performance across discrimination (AUC > 0.83), calibration and decision curve analysis. CONCLUSION: This study developed machine learning models for the prediction of patient-reported outcome measures at 1-year following primary hip and knee total joint arthroplasty. The study findings show excellent performance on discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis for all four machine learning models, highlighting the potential of these models in clinical practice to inform patients prior to surgery regarding their expectations of postoperative functional outcomes following primary hip and knee total joint arthroplasty. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, case control retrospective analysis.


Subject(s)
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Machine Learning , Algorithms , Patient Reported Outcome Measures , Treatment Outcome
4.
J Knee Surg ; 36(13): 1380-1385, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36584688

ABSTRACT

This is a retrospective study. As new surgical techniques and improved perioperative care approaches have become available, the same-day discharge in selected total knee arthroplasty (TKA) patients was introduced to decrease health care costs without compromising outcomes. This study aimed to compare clinical and functional outcomes between same-day discharge TKA patients and inpatient-discharge TKA patients. A retrospective review of 100 consecutive patients with same-day discharge matched to a cohort of 300 patients with inpatient discharge that underwent TKA by a single surgeon at a tertiary referral center was conducted. Propensity-score matching was performed to adjust for baseline differences in preoperative patient demographics, medical comorbidities, and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) between both cohorts. All patients had a minimum of 1-year follow-up (range: 1.2-2.8 years). In terms of clinical outcomes for the propensity score-matched cohorts, there was no significant difference in terms of revision rates (1.0 vs. 1.3%, p = 0.76), 90-day emergency department visits (3.0 vs. 3.3%, p = 0.35), 30-day readmission rates (1.0 vs. 1.3%, p = 0.45), and 90-day readmission rates (3.0 vs. 3.6%, p = 0.69). Patients with same-day discharge demonstrated significantly higher postoperative PROM scores, at both 3-month and 1-year follow-up, for PROMIS-10 Physical Score (50 vs. 46, p = 0.028), PROMIS-10 Mental Score (56 vs. 53, p = 0.039), and Physical SF10A (57 vs. 52, p = 0.013). This study showed that patients with same-day discharge had similar clinical outcomes and superior functional outcomes, when compared with patients that had a standard inpatient protocol. This suggests that same-day discharge following TKA may be a safe, viable option in selected total knee joint arthroplasty patients.


Subject(s)
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee , Surgeons , Humans , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/methods , Retrospective Studies , Propensity Score , Patient Discharge , Cohort Studies
5.
J Am Acad Orthop Surg ; 30(9): 409-415, 2022 May 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35139038

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The surgical management of patients with failed total hip or knee arthroplasty (THA and TKA) necessitates the identification of the implant manufacturer and model. Failure to accurately identify implant design leads to delays in care, increased morbidity, and healthcare costs. The automated identification of implant designs has the potential to assist in the surgical management of patients with failed arthroplasty. This study aimed to develop and validate a convolutional neural network deep learning model for the identification of primary and revision hip and knee total joint arthroplasty designs from plain radiographs. METHODS: This study trained a convolutional neural network deep learning model to automatically identify 24 THA designs and 14 TKA designs from 11,204 anterior-posterior radiographs obtained from 8,763 patients. From these radiographs, 8,963 radiographs (80%) were used for model training and 2,241 radiographs (20%) were used for model validation. Model performance was assessed through receiver operating curve characteristics. RESULTS: After 1,000 training epochs by the convolutional neural network deep learning model, the computational model discriminated 17 primary THA designs with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.98, sensitivity of 95.8%, and specificity of 98.6%. The deep learning model discriminated eight primary TKA designs with an AUC of 0.97, sensitivity of 94.9%, and specificity of 97.8%. The deep learning model demonstrated an AUC of 0.98 and 0.96 for the identification of seven revision THA and six revision TKA designs, respectively. DISCUSSION: This study developed and validated a convolutional neural network deep learning model for the identification of hip and knee total joint arthroplasty designs from plain radiographs. The study findings demonstrate excellent accuracy of the deep learning model for the identification of 24 THA and 14 TKA designs, illustrating the great potential of the deep learning model to assist in preoperative surgical planning of failed arthroplasty patients.


Subject(s)
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee , Deep Learning , Knee Prosthesis , Humans , Radiography , Retrospective Studies
6.
Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc ; 30(8): 2591-2599, 2022 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34716766

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Based on the rising incidence of revision total knee arthroplasty (TKA), bundled payment models may be applied to revision TKA in the near future. Facility discharge represents a significant cost factor for those bundled payment models; however, accurately predicting discharge disposition remains a clinical challenge. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate artificial intelligence algorithms to predict discharge disposition following revision total knee arthroplasty. METHODS: A retrospective review of electronic patient records was conducted to identify patients who underwent revision total knee arthroplasty. Discharge disposition was defined as either home discharge or non-home discharge, which included rehabilitation and skilled nursing facilities. Four artificial intelligence algorithms were developed to predict this outcome and were assessed by discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: A total of 2228 patients underwent revision TKA, of which 1405 patients (63.1%) were discharged home, whereas 823 patients (36.9%) were discharged to a non-home facility. The strongest predictors for non-home discharge following revision TKA were American Society of Anesthesiologist (ASA) score, Medicare insurance type and revision surgery for peri-prosthetic joint infection, non-white ethnicity and social status (living alone). The best performing artificial intelligence algorithm was the neural network model which achieved excellent performance across discrimination (AUC = 0.87), calibration and decision curve analysis. CONCLUSION: This study developed four artificial intelligence algorithms for the prediction of non-home discharge disposition for patients following revision total knee arthroplasty. The study findings show excellent performance on discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis for all four candidate algorithms. Therefore, these models have the potential to guide preoperative patient counselling and improve the value (clinical and functional outcomes divided by costs) of revision total knee arthroplasty patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV.


Subject(s)
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee , Aged , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip/rehabilitation , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/rehabilitation , Artificial Intelligence , Humans , Medicare , Neural Networks, Computer , Patient Discharge , United States
7.
Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc ; 30(8): 2582-2590, 2022 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34761306

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This study aimed to develop and validate machine-learning models for the prediction of recurrent infection in patients following revision total knee arthroplasty for periprosthetic joint infection. METHODS: A total of 618 consecutive patients underwent revision total knee arthroplasty for periprosthetic joint infection. The patient cohort included 165 patients with confirmed recurrent periprosthetic joint infection (PJI). Potential risk factors including patient demographics and surgical characteristics served as input to three machine-learning models which were developed to predict recurrent periprosthetic joint. The machine-learning models were assessed by discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: The factors most significantly associated with recurrent PJI in patients following revision total knee arthroplasty for PJI included irrigation and debridement with/without modular component exchange (p < 0.001), > 4 prior open surgeries (p < 0.001), metastatic disease (p < 0.001), drug abuse (p < 0.001), HIV/AIDS (p < 0.01), presence of Enterococcus species (p < 0.01) and obesity (p < 0.01). The machine-learning models all achieved excellent performance across discrimination (AUC range 0.81-0.84). CONCLUSION: This study developed three machine-learning models for the prediction of recurrent infections in patients following revision total knee arthroplasty for periprosthetic joint infection. The strongest predictors were previous irrigation and debridement with or without modular component exchange and prior open surgeries. The study findings show excellent model performance, highlighting the potential of these computational tools in quantifying increased risks of recurrent PJI to optimize patient outcomes. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: IV.


Subject(s)
Arthritis, Infectious , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee , Prosthesis-Related Infections , Arthritis, Infectious/etiology , Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/adverse effects , Humans , Machine Learning , Prosthesis-Related Infections/diagnosis , Prosthesis-Related Infections/etiology , Prosthesis-Related Infections/surgery , Reinfection , Reoperation/adverse effects , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome
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