Calprotectin serum levels on admission and during follow-up predict severity and outcome of patients with COVID-19: A prospective study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Calprotectin reflects neutrophil activation and is increased in various inflammatory conditions including severe COVID-19. However, serial serum calprotectin measurements in COVID-19 patients are limited. We assessed prospectively, calprotectin levels as biomarker of severity/outcome of the disease and a COVID-19 monitoring parameter in a large cohort of consecutive COVID-19 patients. METHODS: Calprotectin serum levels were measured in 736 patients (58.2 % males; median age 63-years; moderate disease, n = 292; severe, n = 444, intubated and/or died, n = 50). Patients were treated with combined immunotherapies according to our published local algorithm. The endpoint was the composite event of intubation due to severe respiratory failure (SRF)/COVID-19-related mortality. RESULTS: Median (interquartile range) calprotectin levels were significantly higher in patients with severe disease [7(8.2) vs. 6.1(8.1)µg/mL, p = 0.015]. Calprotectin on admission was the only independent risk factor for intubation/death (HR=1.473, 95 %CI=1.003-2.165, p = 0.048) even after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, comorbidities, neutrophils, lymphocytes, neutrophil to lymphocytes ratio, ferritin, and CRP. The area under the curve (AUC, 95 %CI) of calprotectin for prediction of intubation/death was 0.619 (0.531-0.708), with an optimal cut-off at 13 µg/mL (sensitivity: 44 %, specificity: 79 %, positive and negative predictive values: 13 % and 95 %, respectively). For intubated/died patients, paired comparisons from baseline to middle of hospitalization and subsequently to intubation/death showed significant increase of calprotectin (p = 0.009 and p < 0.001, respectively). Calprotectin alteration had the higher predictive ability for intubation/death [AUC (95 %CI):0.803 (0.664-0.943), p < 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: Calprotectin levels on admission and their subsequent dynamic alterations could serve as indicator of COVID-19 severity and predict the occurrence of SRF and mortality.

Soluble IL-2R Levels at Baseline Predict the Development of Severe Respiratory Failure and Mortality in COVID-19 Patients.

Risk stratification of coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) patients by simple markers is critical to guide treatment. We studied the predictive value of soluble interleukin-2 receptor (sIL-2R) for the early identification of patients at risk of developing severe clinical outcomes. sIL-2R levels were measured in 197 patients (60.9% males; median age 61 years; moderate disease, n = 65; severe, n = 132, intubated and/or died, n = 42). All patients received combined immunotherapies (anakinra ± corticosteroids ± intravenous immunoglobulin ± tocilizumab) according to our local treatment algorithm. The endpoint was the composite event of intubation due to severe respiratory failure (SRF) or mortality. Median (interquartile range) sIL-2R levels were significantly higher in patients with severe disease, compared with those with moderate disease (6 (6.2) vs. 5.2 (3.4) ng/mL, p = 0.017). sIL-2R was the strongest laboratory predictive factor for intubation/death (hazard ratio 1.749, 95%CI 1.041-2.939, p = 0.035) after adjustment for other known risk factors. Youden's index revealed optimal sIL-2R cut-off for predicting intubation/death at 9 ng/mL (sensitivity: 67%; specificity: 86%; positive and negative predictive value: 57% and 91%, respectively). Delta sIL-2R between the day of event or discharge minus admission date was higher in patients that intubated/died than in those who did not experience an event (2.91 (10.42) vs. 0.44 (2.88) ng/mL; p = 0.08)). sIL-2R on admission and its dynamic changes during follow-up may reflect disease severity and predict the development of SRF and mortality.