Associations of comorbid substance use disorders with clinical outcomes in schizophrenia using electronic health record data.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Schizophrenia and comorbid substance use disorders (SUDs) are associated with poor treatment outcomes but differences between the associations of different SUDs with clinical outcomes are poorly characterized. This study examines the associations of comorbid SUDs with clinical outcomes in schizophrenia using a largescale electronic health record (EHR) database. DESIGN: Real-world data (RWD) analysis using the NeuroBlu database; de-identified EHR data were analysed. Multivariable logistic regression, Poisson and CoxPH models were used to compare the associations of specific comorbid SUDs with outcome variables. RESULTS: Comorbid SUD was significantly different on all outcome measures compared to no SUD (U = 1.44e7-1.81e7, all ps < .001), except number of unique antipsychotics (U = 1.61e7, p = .43). Cannabis (OR = 1.58, p < .001) and polysubstance (OR = 1.22, p = .007) use disorders were associated with greater CGI-S. Cannabis (IRR = 1.13, p = .003) and polysubstance (IRR = 1.08, p = .003) use disorders were associated with greater number of unique antipsychotics prescribed, while cocaine (HR = 1.87, p < .001), stimulants (HR = 1.64, p = .024), and polysubstance (HR = 1.46, p < .001) use disorders were associated with a shorter time to antipsychotic discontinuation. Conversely, alcohol use (IRR = 0.83, p < .001), cocaine use (IRR = 0.61, p < .001), opioid use (IRR = 0.61, p < .001), stimulant use (IRR = 0.57, p < .001) and polysubstance use (IRR = 0.87, p < .001) disorders were associated fewer inpatient days. CONCLUSION: Comorbid SUDs were generally associated with greater CGI-S and poorer clinical outcomes in patients with schizophrenia. Treatment strategies should target not only schizophrenia symptoms but also comorbid SUD to improve management of both conditions.

NeuroBlu, an electronic health record (EHR) trusted research environment (TRE) to support mental healthcare analytics with real-world data.

PURPOSE: NeuroBlu is a real-world data (RWD) repository that contains deidentified electronic health record (EHR) data from US mental healthcare providers operating the MindLinc EHR system. NeuroBlu enables users to perform statistical analysis through a secure web-based interface. Structured data are available for sociodemographic characteristics, mental health service contacts, hospital admissions, International Classification of Diseases ICD-9/ICD-10 diagnosis, prescribed medications, family history of mental disorders, Clinical Global Impression-Severity and Improvement (CGI-S/CGI-I) and Global Assessment of Functioning (GAF). To further enhance the data set, natural language processing (NLP) tools have been applied to obtain mental state examination (MSE) and social/environmental data. This paper describes the development and implementation of NeuroBlu, the procedures to safeguard data integrity and security and how the data set supports the generation of real-world evidence (RWE) in mental health. PARTICIPANTS: As of 31 July 2021, 562 940 individuals (48.9% men) were present in the data set with a mean age of 33.4 years (SD: 18.4 years). The most frequently recorded diagnoses were substance use disorders (1 52 790 patients), major depressive disorder (1 29 120 patients) and anxiety disorders (1 03 923 patients). The median duration of follow-up was 7 months (IQR: 1.3 to 24.4 months). FINDINGS TO DATE: The data set has supported epidemiological studies demonstrating increased risk of psychiatric hospitalisation and reduced antidepressant treatment effectiveness among people with comorbid substance use disorders. It has also been used to develop data visualisation tools to support clinical decision-making, evaluate comparative effectiveness of medications, derive models to predict treatment response and develop NLP applications to obtain clinical information from unstructured EHR data. FUTURE PLANS: The NeuroBlu data set will be further analysed to better understand factors related to poor clinical outcome, treatment responsiveness and the development of predictive analytic tools that may be incorporated into the source EHR system to support real-time clinical decision-making in the delivery of mental healthcare services.

Large-scale identification of clinical and genetic predictors of motor progression in patients with newly diagnosed Parkinson's disease: a longitudinal cohort study and validation.

BACKGROUND: Better understanding and prediction of progression of Parkinson's disease could improve disease management and clinical trial design. We aimed to use longitudinal clinical, molecular, and genetic data to develop predictive models, compare potential biomarkers, and identify novel predictors for motor progression in Parkinson's disease. We also sought to assess the use of these models in the design of treatment trials in Parkinson's disease. METHODS: A Bayesian multivariate predictive inference platform was applied to data from the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) study (NCT01141023). We used genetic data and baseline molecular and clinical variables from patients with Parkinson's disease and healthy controls to construct an ensemble of models to predict the annual rate of change in combined scores from the Movement Disorder Society-Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS) parts II and III. We tested our overall explanatory power, as assessed by the coefficient of determination (R2), and replicated novel findings in an independent clinical cohort from the Longitudinal and Biomarker Study in Parkinson's disease (LABS-PD; NCT00605163). The potential utility of these models for clinical trial design was quantified by comparing simulated randomised placebo-controlled trials within the out-of-sample LABS-PD cohort. FINDINGS: 117 healthy controls and 312 patients with Parkinson's disease from the PPMI study were available for analysis, and 317 patients with Parkinson's disease from LABS-PD were available for validation. Our model ensemble showed strong performance within the PPMI cohort (five-fold cross-validated R2 41%, 95% CI 35-47) and significant-albeit reduced-performance in the LABS-PD cohort (R2 9%, 95% CI 4-16). Individual predictive features identified from PPMI data were confirmed in the LABS-PD cohort. These included significant replication of higher baseline MDS-UPDRS motor score, male sex, and increased age, as well as a novel Parkinson's disease-specific epistatic interaction, all indicative of faster motor progression. Genetic variation was the most useful predictive marker of motor progression (2·9%, 95% CI 1·5-4·3). CSF biomarkers at baseline showed a more modest (0·3%, 95% CI 0·1-0·5) but still significant effect on prediction of motor progression. The simulations (n=5000) showed that incorporating the predicted rates of motor progression (as assessed by the annual change in MDS-UPDRS score) into the final models of treatment effect reduced the variability in the study outcome, allowing significant differences to be detected at sample sizes up to 20% smaller than in naive trials. INTERPRETATION: Our model ensemble confirmed established and identified novel predictors of Parkinson's disease motor progression. Improvement of existing prognostic models through machine-learning approaches should benefit trial design and evaluation, as well as clinical disease monitoring and treatment. FUNDING: Michael J Fox Foundation for Parkinson's Research and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke.