Prognosis prediction with two calculations of Palliative Prognostic Index: further prospective validation in hospice cancer patients with multicentre study.

OBJECTIVES: In palliative care settings, predicting prognosis is important for patients and clinicians. The Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI), a prognostic tool calculated using clinical indices alone has been validated within cancer population. This study was to further test the discriminatory ability of the PPI (ie, its ability to determine whether a subject will live more or less than a certain amount of time) in a larger sample but with a palliative care context and to compare predictions at two different points in time. METHODS: Multicentre, prospective, observational study in 10 inpatient hospices in the UK. The PPI score was calculated on the day of admission (PPI1) and again once on days 3-5 of inpatient stay (PPI2). Patients were followed up for 6 weeks or until death, whichever was earlier. RESULTS: Of the 1164 patients included in the study, 962 had both scores available. The results from PPI2 showed improved sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value compared with PPI1. For PPI1versus PPI2, area under receiver operator character curve (ROC) for <21 days were 0.73 versus 0.82 and for ≥42 days prediction 0.72 versus 0.80. The median survival days for patients with PPI1 ≤4, 4.5-6 and >6 were 38 (31 to 44), 17 (14 to 19) and 5 (4 to 7). CONCLUSION: This study showed improved discriminatory ability using the PPI score calculated between day 3and day5 of admission compared with that calculated on admission. This study further validated PPI as a prognostic tool within a palliative care population and showed recording at two time points improved accuracy.

Improvement in left ventricular diastolic stiffness induced by physical training in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Diastolic dysfunction in long-term heart failure is accompanied by abnormal neurohormonal control and ventricular stiffness. The diastolic phase is determined by a balance between pressure gradients and intrinsic ventricular wall properties: according to a mathematical model, the latter (ie, left ventricular [LV] elastance, K(LV)) may be calculated by the formula: K(LV) = (70/[DT-20])(2) mm Hg/mL, where DT is the transmitral Doppler deceleration time. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 54 patients with chronic systolic heart failure (39 men, 15 women; age 65 +/- 10 years; New York Heart Association [NYHA], 2.3 +/- 0.9; ejection fraction [EF], 32% +/- 5%), we analyzed the relationship between K(LV) and an index of neurohormonal derangement (levels of brain natriuretic peptide [BNP]), and investigated whether 3 months of physical training could modulate diastolic operating stiffness. Patients were randomized to physical training (n = 27) or to a control group (n = 27). Before and after training, patients underwent Doppler echocardiogram and cardiopulmonary stress test. At baseline, ventricular stiffness was related to BNP levels (P < .01). Training improved NYHA class, exercise performance, and estimated pulmonary pressure. BNP was reduced. Ventricular volumes, mean blood pressure, and EF remained unchanged. A 27% reduction of elastance was observed (K(LV), 0.111 +/- 0.044 from 0.195 +/- 0.089 mm Hg/mL; P < .01), whose magnitude was related to changes in BNP (P < .05) and to K(LV) at baseline (P < .01). No changes in K(LV) were observed in controls after 3 months (0.192 +/- 0.115 from 0.195 +/- 0.121 mm Hg/mL). CONCLUSIONS: In heart failure, left ventricular diastolic stiffness is related to neurohormonal derangement and is modified by physical training. This improvement in LV compliance could result from a combination of hemodynamic improvement and regression of the fibrotic process.

Different ventricular remodelling and autonomic modulation after long-term beta-blocker treatment in hypertensive, ischaemic and idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy.

OBJECTIVE: In this retrospective analysis, we investigated the influence of aetiology on autonomic modulation and reverse ventricular remodelling induced by beta-blockade in heart failure. METHODS: Twenty-three heart failure patients without comorbidities (mean age 61 +/- 4 years, New York Heart Association class 3.1 +/- 0.1, treated with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and diuretics) were divided into three groups according to aetiology: hypertensive (group 1, n = 7), ischaemic (group 2, n = 6), and idiopathic (group 3, n = 10). Before and after 6 months of carvedilol (53 +/- 10 mg/day), patients underwent cardiopulmonary test, echocardiography and autonomic evaluation with spectral analysis of RR variability (10 min of rest plus 10 min of standing: the low frequency/high frequency ratio between low and high frequency components of each spectrum was the index of sympathovagal balance). RESULTS: Carvedilol improved New York Heart Association class and exercise performance. In group 1, ejection fraction and left ventricular end-diastolic volume normalised, and interventricular septum thickness increased. No remodelling occurred in group 2. In group 3, interventricular septum thickness was unchanged, ejection fraction and left ventricular end-diastolic volume improved. Also autonomic modulation differed. At baseline, adrenergic activation was observed either at rest or during standing. After carvedilol treatment, group 1 did not show any change in the low frequency/high frequency ratio in both conditions, whereas groups 2 and 3 showed reduced adrenergic activation at rest and normal response to standing. CONCLUSIONS: Despite favourable ventricular remodelling, the poor autonomic modulation observed with beta-blockade indicates a persistent central adrenergic activation in hypertensive heart failure patients.

[Favourable effects of cardiovascular rehabilitation on funcional capacity and autonomic balance in elderly patients with heart failure]. / Effetti favorevoli della riabilitazione cardiovascolare su capacità funzionale ed equilibrio autonomico in pazienti anziani con insufficienza cardiaca.

In 42 patients with chronic heart failure we evaluated left ventricular function, exercise capability and autonomic control before and 3 months after a program of cardiovascular rehabilitation. The results were analyzed separately for younger (Group 1, n=18, age 51 +/- 6 years) and older patients (Group 2, n=24, age 68 +/- 4 years), with comparable clinical characteristics and therapy. Before rehabilitation, compared to younger patients, Group 2 patients showed a lower exercise capability, a comparable left ventricular ejection fraction and similar high sympathetic activity at rest, with no response to regular breathing (= stimulation of cardiopulmonary receptors, i.e. parasympathetic challenge) and active standing (= sympathetic stimulation). After rehabilitation, in both groups a 20% improvement of exercise tolerance and aerobic performance was observed, as well as a slightly increase of left ventricular ejection fraction (about 10%), and a recovery in vagal and sympathetic responsiveness. Thus, in heart failure patients age does not hinder the favorable clinical and autonomic modulation induced by cardiovascular rehabilitation.