ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To design a trisomy 21 screening protocol for sequential triage in the first trimester, and to evaluate whether it reduces the need for advanced ultrasound scanning to such an extent that this could be dealt with by a limited number of well-trained sonographers only. METHODS: Screening results of 31 trisomy 21 affected pregnancies and 16 096 unaffected pregnancies from the first trimester screening program of Algemeen Medisch Laboratorium in Antwerp, Belgium, were used to define high-risk, intermediate-risk and low-risk groups. A serum screening result (age, pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (beta-hCG)) of >or=1 : 30 and/or a nuchal translucency thickness (NT) measurement of >or= 3.5 mm were classified as high risk. A serum screening result of < 1 : 1000 together with an NT of < 3.5 mm were classified as low risk. Other results were considered intermediate risk, for which further advanced ultrasound screening would be indicated. This protocol was then evaluated prospectively in another population of 13 493 first-trimester pregnancies. RESULTS: Of the total population, 1.9% was identified as being high risk (14 trisomy 21 pregnancies and 222 unaffected pregnancies; prevalence, 1 : 17), 59.6% was identified as being low risk (three trisomy 21 pregnancies and 9615 unaffected pregnancies; prevalence, 1 : 3206) and 38.4% was identified as being intermediate risk (10 trisomy 21 pregnancies and 6190 unaffected pregnancies; prevalence, 1 : 620). A similar distribution was found in the prospective arm of the study. There was no reduction of overall screening performance compared with our current first-trimester combined screening program. The number of intermediate-risk pregnancies was sufficiently low as to enable advanced ultrasound scanning by well-trained sonographers only. CONCLUSION: In population screening for fetal trisomy 21, sequential triage in the first trimester can be achieved using very simple methods. Pregnancies at high or at low risk can be identified easily and the number of pregnancies at intermediate risk can be reduced sufficiently to enable advanced ultrasound scanning by well-trained sonographers only. A prospective study is needed to evaluate the performance of this approach and to compare its results with current combined or integrated screening algorithms.
Subject(s)
Down Syndrome/diagnosis , Fetal Diseases/diagnosis , Prenatal Diagnosis/methods , Adult , Biomarkers/blood , Chorionic Gonadotropin, beta Subunit, Human/blood , Clinical Protocols , Down Syndrome/diagnostic imaging , Female , Fetal Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Humans , Mass Screening/methods , Patient Selection , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Trimester, First , Pregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein-A/analysis , Prospective Studies , Risk Assessment/methods , Ultrasonography, PrenatalSubject(s)
Down Syndrome/epidemiology , Mass Screening/methods , Registries , Voluntary Programs , Adult , Belgium/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Pregnancy , Pregnancy OutcomeABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: To audit nuchal translucency thickness (NT) measurements for fetal aneuploidy screening in Flanders, and to estimate the impact of small variations in NT measurement on the screening result of two first-trimester screening algorithms: maternal age + NT (Algorithm A), and maternal age + NT + pregnancy associated plasma protein-A + free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (Algorithm B). METHODS: We used the database of first-trimester combined screening, as collected by the General Medical Laboratory AML in Antwerp, Belgium, between 1 January 2001 and 1 April 2004. Audit was performed by establishing a delta-NT distribution curve for one trainee of The Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) and for a group of 263 other sonographers, in comparison with the FMF reference values. Risks for fetal aneuploidy were calculated at a cut-off value of 1 : 300 for Algorithm A and 1 : 150 for Algorithm B. These risks were recalculated in both algorithms after a modeled increase of all NT values by 0.1 or 0.2 mm. RESULTS: In a total of 592 measurements performed by the FMF trainee, the 5th, 50th and 95th percentiles of delta-NT measurements were at -0.41, +0.03 and +0.68 mm, respectively. These values were close to the FMF reference values. The screen-positive rate for this set of data was 4.4% (26/592) in both algorithms. For the 12 555 measurements of the 263 other sonographers, the 5th, 50th and 95th percentiles of delta-NT were at -0.81, -0.14 and +0.73 mm, respectively, which clearly indicates underestimation of NT in the lower range. In this set of data the screen-positive rate was 3.5% for both algorithms (439/12 555 for Algorithm A and 436/12 555 for Algorithm B). Also in this group, 5% (59/1186) of negative screening results at maternal age > or = 35 years in Algorithm A became positive after a modeled 0.1-mm increase in NT, whereas this was only in 1.2% (134/11 369) of tests at maternal age < 35 years (P < 0.0001). The overall increase of screen-positive rate in Algorithm A after an NT modification of +0.1 mm was 1.2% (152/12 555), significantly more than in Algorithm B (86/12 555; 0.7%) (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: In Flanders, there is a systematic underestimation of NT in comparison with the FMF reference range. Attempts to change these measurements according to the FMF criteria are crucial. This will mainly influence the screening results of women at advanced maternal age and of NT-based algorithms without the use of other parameters.