Fecal microbiota composition is a better predictor of recurrent Clostridioides difficile infection than clinical factors in a prospective, multicentre cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is the most common cause of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea. Fidaxomicin and fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) are effective, but expensive therapies to treat recurrent CDI (reCDI). Our objective was to develop a prediction model for reCDI based on the gut microbiota composition and clinical characteristics, to identify patients who could benefit from early treatment with fidaxomicin or FMT. METHODS: Multicentre, prospective, observational study in adult patients diagnosed with a primary episode of CDI. Fecal samples and clinical data were collected prior to, and after 5 days of CDI treatment. Follow-up duration was 8 weeks. Microbiota composition was analysed by IS-pro, a bacterial profiling technique based on phylum- and species-specific differences in the 16-23 S interspace regions of ribosomal DNA. Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) and adaptive group-regularized logistic ridge regression (AGRR) were used to construct prediction models for reCDI. RESULTS: 209 patients were included, of which 25% developed reCDI. Variables related to microbiota composition provided better prediction of reCDI and were preferentially selected over clinical factors in joint prediction models. Bacteroidetes abundance and diversity after start of CDI treatment, and the increase in Proteobacteria diversity relative to baseline, were the most robust predictors of reCDI. The sensitivity and specificity of a BART model including these factors were 95% and 78%, but these dropped to 67% and 62% in out-of-sample prediction. CONCLUSION: Early microbiota response to CDI treatment is a better predictor of reCDI than clinical prognostic factors, but not yet sufficient enough to predict reCDI in daily practice.

Major comorbid diseases as predictors of infection in the first month after hip fracture surgery: a population-based cohort study in 92,239 patients.

PURPOSE: Comorbidity level is a predictor of infection in the first 30 days after hip fracture surgery. However, the roles of individual comorbid diseases as predictors of infection remain unclear. We investigated individual major comorbid diseases as predictors of infection after hip fracture surgery. METHODS: We obtained Danish population-based medical registry data for patients undergoing hip fracture surgery (2004-2018). Information was obtained on 27 comorbidities, included in various comorbidity indices, 5 years before surgery. The primary outcome was any hospital-treated infection within 30 days after surgery. Cumulative incidence of infection was calculated by considering death as competing risk. We used logistic regression to compute mutually adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence interval for infection. RESULTS: Of 92,239 patients with hip fracture, 71% were women, and the median age was 83 years. The most prevalent comorbidities were hypertension (23%), heart arrhythmia (15%), and cerebrovascular disease (14%). The 30-day incidence of infection was 15% and 12% among the total cohort and among patients with no record of comorbidities, respectively. Infection incidence was highest among patients with renal disease (24%), depression/anxiety (23%), and chronic pulmonary disease (23%), and lowest among patients with metastatic solid tumor (15%). Adjusted odds ratios of infection ranged from 0.94 [0.80-1.10] for metastatic solid tumor to 1.77 [1.63-1.92] for renal disease. CONCLUSION: Most comorbid diseases were predictors of infection after surgery for hip fracture. Awareness of patients' comorbidity profiles might help clinicians initiate preventive measures or inform patients of their expected risk.

Description of a nationwide structure for monitoring nosocomial outbreaks of (highly resistant) microorganisms in the Netherlands: characteristics of outbreaks in 2012-2021.

BACKGROUND: Before 2012, established national surveillance systems in the Netherlands were not able to provide a timely, comprehensive epidemiological view on nosocomial outbreaks. The Healthcare-associated Infections and AntiMicrobial Resistance Monitoring Group (SO-ZI/AMR) was initiated in 2012 for timely national nosocomial outbreak monitoring and risk assessment. This paper aims to describe the achievements of the SO-ZI/AMR by presenting characteristics of outbreaks reported in 2012-2021. METHODS: Hospitals and, since 2015, long-term care facilities (LTCF) were requested to report outbreaks when (1) continuity of care was threatened, or (2) transmission continued despite control measures. A multi-disciplinary expert panel (re-)assessed the public health risk of outbreaks during monthly meetings, using 5 severity phases and based on data collected via standardised questionnaires. We descriptively studied the panel's consensus-based severity classification, distribution of (highly resistant) microorganisms, and duration and size of outbreaks between April 2012 and December 2021. RESULTS: In total, 353 hospital outbreaks and 110 LTCF outbreaks were reported. Most outbreaks (hospitals: n = 309 (88%), LTCF: n = 103 (94%)) did not progress beyond phase 1 (no public health implications, outbreak expected to be controlled within two months), one hospital outbreak reached phase 4 (insufficient/ineffective response: possible public health threat, support offered). Highly resistant microorganisms (HRMO) were involved in 269 (76%) hospital and 103 (94%) LTCF outbreaks. Most outbreaks were caused by methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA; n = 93 (26%) in hospitals, n = 80 (72%) in LTCF), vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium (VRE; n = 116 (33%) in hospitals, n = 2 (2%) in LTCF) and highly resistant Enterobacterales (n = 41 (12%) in hospitals, n = 20 (18%) in LTCF). Carbapenemase-producing gram-negative bacteria were involved in 32 (9.1%) hospital and five (4.5%) LTCF outbreaks. In hospitals, VRE outbreaks had the longest duration (median 2.3; range 0.0-22.8 months) and widest range of affected patients (median 9; range 2-483). CONCLUSIONS: The SO-ZI/AMR provided national insight into the characteristics of nosocomial outbreaks over the past decade. HRMO outbreaks - mostly caused by MRSA, VRE (in hospitals) and highly resistant Enterobacterales - occurred regularly, but most of them were controlled quickly and did not develop into a public health threat. The SO-ZI/AMR has become a solid monitoring body, essential to assess risks and raise awareness of potential HRMO threats.

Incidence of infection with multidrug-resistant Gram-negative bacteria and vancomycin-resistant enterococci in carriers: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis.

BACKGROUND: Carriers of multidrug-resistant bacteria are at risk of infections with these bacteria; the precise size of this risk is unclear. We aimed to quantify the effect of gut colonisation on subsequent risk of infection with multidrug-resistant bacteria. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and meta-regression analysis. We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science Core Collection, and Google Scholar for follow-up studies published from Jan 1, 1995, to March 17, 2022, that measured the incidence of infections with multidrug-resistant Gram-negative bacteria (MDR-GNB) and from Jan 1, 1995, to March 15, 2022, that measured the incidence of infections with vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE). We included original cohort studies and case-control studies that used incidence-density sampling, included 50 or more patients with enteric colonisation or positive urinary samples as a surrogate marker of colonisation, or both, and analysed infections clearly preceded by colonisation. We did not use any language restrictions. We excluded studies not reporting length of follow-up. Summary data were extracted and independently cross-verified by two authors. Carriage was defined as MDR-GNB or VRE, detected in faecal or urinary cultures. Our primary outcomes were cumulative incidence and incidence density of infection in patients colonised by multidrug-resistant bacteria. To estimate pooled incidences, general linearised mixed-effects meta-regressions were used, adjusting for varying follow-up durations. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42020222415. FINDINGS: Of the 301 studies identified, 44 studies (26 on MDR-GNB, 14 on VRE, and four on both MDR-GNB and VRE) from 14 countries were retained for qualitative synthesis, 40 of which were analysed with meta-regression, comprising data for 14 049 patients colonised with multidrug-resistant bacteria. The pooled cumulative incidence of infection was 14% (95% CI 10-18; p<0·0001) at a median follow-up time of 30 days for MDR-GNB (845 cases of infection in 9034 patients colonised) and 8% (5-13; p<0·0001) at 30 days for VRE (229 cases of infection in 4747 patients colonised). Infection incidence density (4·26 infections per 1000 patient-days; 95% CI 1·69-6·82) and cumulative incidence of infection (19%, 95% CI 15-25; p<0·0001; 602 cases of infection in 4547 patients colonised) were highest for carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacteria at 30 days. Risk of bias was rated low to moderate. INTERPRETATION: The risk of infection was substantial, with the highest risk for patients colonised with carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacteria and the lowest in patients with VRE. These data might help to guide prophylactic and treatment decisions and form a valuable resource for planning clinical trials on targeted prevention. FUNDING: The Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development.

Evaluation of an infection control link nurse program: an analysis using the RE-AIM framework.

BACKGROUND: Important elements of programs that train and support infection control link nurses (ICLN) are the engagement of stakeholders, support from hospital and ward management and a structure for iterative improvement. The effects of programs, that combine all these elements, are unknown. We evaluated such a comprehensive program to explore its impact on link nurses and infection prevention practices and routines. METHODS: We used the RE-AIM framework, a robust, evidence-based framework within the field of Implementation Science, to evaluate the impact of our ICLN training and support program. We used a mixed methods approach and organized the outcomes along its five dimensions: Reach, Effectiveness, Adoption, Implementation and Maintenance. RESULTS: Between 2014 and 2018, on average 91% of the inpatient wards and 58% of the outpatient clinics participated in the program (Reach) and impacted guideline adherence in inpatient wards. Link nurses felt engaged and empowered, and perceived their contribution to these results as pivotal. Ward managers confirmed the value of ICLN to help with implementing IPC practices (Effectiveness). The program was adopted both at the hospital and at the ward level (Adoption). Based on ongoing evaluations, the program was adapted by refining education, training and support strategies with emphasis on ward specific aspects (Implementation). The ICLN program was described as a key component of the infection prevention policy to sustain its effects (Maintenance). CONCLUSIONS: Our infection control link nurse program helped ICLN to improve infection prevention practices, especially in inpatient wards. The key to these improvements lay within the adaptability of our link nurse program. The adjustments to the program led to a shift of focus from hospital goals to goals tailored to the ward level. It allowed us to tailor activities to align them with the needs specific to each ward.

Association of Proton Pump Inhibitor Use With Risk of Acquiring Drug-Resistant Enterobacterales.

Importance: Proton-pump inhibitors (PPIs) have been associated with the risk of colonization with drug-resistant bacteria; however, possible confounding by lifestyle-associated factors and disease severity casts doubt on this association, and whether the risk is dose dependent is not known. Objectives: To assess the association between PPI use and the risk of acquiring drug-resistant Enterobacterales and to examine interactions with possible microbiome-altering agents. Design, Setting, and Participants: This nested case-control study involved 2239 hospitalized adult (aged ≥18 years) patients identified from the microbiology laboratory database of Amsterdam University Medical Centers between December 31, 2018, and January 6, 2021. Patients in the case group had newly detected extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL)- or carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (identified by clinical specimens). Risk-set sampling was used to assign patients with negative results for ESBL- and carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales to the control group, who were then matched on a 5:1 ratio with patients in the case group by age and culture date. A second validation case-control study included matched pairs (1:1 ratio; 94 in each group) of patients who were prospectively enrolled. Exposures: Proton pump inhibitor use and clinical data at 30 days (primary exposure) and 90 days (secondary exposure) before the date of culture. Main Outcomes and Measures: Adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRRs) of ESBL- or carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales acquisition by PPI dose and time risk windows (30 days for the primary outcome and 90 days for the secondary outcome) were estimated using conditional logistic regression models. Results: Among 2239 hospitalized patients (51.1% male; mean [SD] age, 60.9 [16.7] years), 374 were in the case group (51.6% male; mean [SD] age, 61.1 [16.5] years) and 1865 were in the matched control group (51.0% male; mean [SD] age, 60.9 [16.7] years). The aIRR for PPI use overall was 1.48 (95% CI, 1.15-1.91) at 30 days. Sensitivity analyses and the analysis of the pair-matched study with prospectively enrolled patients (aIRR, 2.96, 95% CI, 1.14-7.74) yielded similar results; findings were consistent in subgroups and corroborated by a negative-control exposure analysis. No association with microbiome-disturbing agents was found; laxatives and antibiotics were independently associated with a more than 2-fold increase in the risk of acquisition (antibiotics: aIRR, 2.78 [95% CI, 2.14-3.59]; laxatives: aIRR, 2.26 [95% CI. 1.73-2.94]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, after careful control for confounding and sensitivity analyses, PPI use was associated with increases in the risk of acquiring ESBL- or carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales among adult hospitalized patients. These findings emphasize the need for judicious use of PPIs.

CSF-contacting neurons respond to Streptococcus pneumoniae and promote host survival during central nervous system infection.

The pathogenic bacterium Streptococcus pneumoniae (S. pneumoniae) can invade the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and cause meningitis with devastating consequences. Whether and how sensory cells in the central nervous system (CNS) become activated during bacterial infection, as recently reported for the peripheral nervous system, is not known. We find that CSF infection by S. pneumoniae in larval zebrafish leads to changes in posture and behavior that are reminiscent of pneumococcal meningitis, including dorsal arching and epileptic-like seizures. We show that during infection, invasion of the CSF by S. pneumoniae massively activates in vivo sensory neurons contacting the CSF, referred to as "CSF-cNs" and previously shown to detect spinal curvature and to control posture, locomotion, and spine morphogenesis. We find that CSF-cNs express orphan bitter taste receptors and respond in vitro to bacterial supernatant and metabolites via massive calcium transients, similar to the ones observed in vivo during infection. Upon infection, CSF-cNs also upregulate the expression of numerous cytokines and complement components involved in innate immunity. Accordingly, we demonstrate, using cell-specific ablation and blockade of neurotransmission, that CSF-cN neurosecretion enhances survival of the host during S. pneumoniae infection. Finally, we show that CSF-cNs respond to various pathogenic bacteria causing meningitis in humans, as well as to the supernatant of cells infected by a neurotropic virus. Altogether, our work uncovers that central sensory neurons in the spinal cord, previously involved in postural control and morphogenesis, contribute as well to host survival by responding to the invasion of the CSF by pathogenic bacteria during meningitis.

Pneumolysin promotes host cell necroptosis and bacterial competence during pneumococcal meningitis as shown by whole-animal dual RNA-seq.

Pneumolysin is a major virulence factor of Streptococcus pneumoniae that plays a key role in interaction with the host during invasive disease. How pneumolysin influences these dynamics between host and pathogen interaction during early phase of central nervous system infection in pneumococcal meningitis remains unclear. Using a whole-animal in vivo dual RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) approach, we identify pneumolysin-specific transcriptional responses in both S. pneumoniae and zebrafish (Danio rerio) during early pneumococcal meningitis. By functional enrichment analysis, we identify host pathways known to be activated by pneumolysin and discover the importance of necroptosis for host survival. Inhibition of this pathway using the drug GSK'872 increases host mortality during pneumococcal meningitis. On the pathogen's side, we show that pneumolysin-dependent competence activation is crucial for intra-host replication and virulence. Altogether, this study provides new insights into pneumolysin-specific transcriptional responses and identifies key pathways involved in pneumococcal meningitis.

Gut colonisation by extended-spectrum ß-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli and its association with the gut microbiome and metabolome in Dutch adults: a matched case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Gut colonisation by extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Escherichia coli is a risk factor for developing overt infection. The gut microbiome can provide colonisation resistance against enteropathogens, but it remains unclear whether it confers resistance against ESBL-producing E coli. We aimed to identify a potential role of the microbiome in controlling colonisation by this antibiotic-resistant bacterium. METHODS: For this matched case-control study, we used faeces from 2751 individuals in a Dutch cross-sectional population study (PIENTER-3) to culture ESBL-producing bacteria. Of these, we selected 49 samples that were positive for an ESBL-producing E coli (ESBL-positive) and negative for several variables known to affect microbiome composition. These samples were matched 1:1 to ESBL-negative samples on the basis of individuals' age, sex, having been abroad or not in the past 6 months, and ethnicity. Shotgun metagenomic sequencing was done and taxonomic species composition and functional annotations (ie, microbial metabolism and carbohydrate-active enzymes) were determined. Targeted quantitative metabolic profiling (proton nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy) was done to investigate metabolomic profiles and combinations of univariate (t test and Wilcoxon test), multivariate (principal coordinates analysis, permutational multivariate analysis of variance, and partial least-squares discriminant analysis) and machine-learning approaches (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and random forests) were used to analyse all the molecular data. FINDINGS: No differences in diversity parameters or in relative abundance were observed between ESBL-positive and ESBL-negative groups based on bacterial species-level composition. Machine-learning approaches using microbiota composition did not accurately predict ESBL status (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]=0·41) when using either microbiota composition or any of the functional profiles. The metabolome also did not differ between ESBL groups, as assessed by various methods including random forest (AUROC=0·61). INTERPRETATION: By combining multiomics and machine-learning approaches, we conclude that asymptomatic gut carriage of ESBL-producing E coli is not associated with an altered microbiome composition or function. This finding might suggest that microbiome-mediated colonisation resistance against ESBL-producing E coli is not as relevant as it is against other enteropathogens and antibiotic-resistant bacteria. FUNDING: None.

Role perception of infection control link nurses; a multi-centre qualitative study.

Background: Infection control link nurses (ICLN) disseminate knowledge on infection prevention topics to their peers. Little is known about how they succeed and thereby contribute to infection prevention in daily practise. Aim: To explore the experiences of infection control link nurses regarding their role in acute care hospitals and identify perceived facilitators and best practices. Methods: We conducted a qualitative study with semi-structured individual and focus group interviews with ICLN. The effect of COVID-19 on the ICLN role was added as a topic in focus group interviews during the pandemic. Results: Twenty-six ICLN working in acute care hospitals were interviewed. ICLN perceived their role as to identify, monitor, facilitate and inform their colleagues on infection prevention topics related to their ward. Their experiences vary from feeling challenged and wonder how to get started, to feeling confident and taking initiatives that lead to ward-based improvements. When inspired by each other and supported by infection control practitioners or managers, ICLN feel empowered to initiate more activities to improve practice. During the COVID-19 pandemic, ICLN felt their responsibilities were magnified. When transferred to another ward, the focus on the ICLN role seemed dispersed. Discussion: Empowered ICLN adjust and operationalize infection prevention policies to fit the conditions of their specific wards and provide practical instructions and feedback to their peers which enable better compliance to infection prevention policies. Support and inspiration from other ICLN, infection control practitioners and management contribute to this empowerment and consequently to taking impactful initiatives to improve practice.

Prognostic factors for severe and recurrent Clostridioides difficile infection: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVES: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI), its subsequent recurrences (rCDIs), and severe CDI (sCDI) provide a significant burden for both patients and the healthcare system. Identifying patients diagnosed with initial CDI who are at increased risk of developing sCDI/rCDI could lead to more cost-effective therapeutic choices. In this systematic review we aimed to identify clinical prognostic factors associated with an increased risk of developing sCDI or rCDI. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Emcare, Web of Science and COCHRANE Library databases were searched from database inception through March, 2021. The study eligibility criteria were cohort and case-control studies. Participants were patients ≥18 years old diagnosed with CDI, in which clinical or laboratory factors were analysed to predict sCDI/rCDI. Risk of bias was assessed by using the Quality in Prognostic Research (QUIPS) tool and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) tool modified for prognostic studies. Study selection was performed by two independent reviewers. Overview tables of prognostic factors were constructed to assess the number of studies and the respective effect direction and statistical significance of an association. RESULTS: 136 studies were included for final analysis. Greater age and the presence of multiple comorbidities were prognostic factors for sCDI. Identified risk factors for rCDI were greater age, healthcare-associated CDI, prior hospitalization, proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) started during or after CDI diagnosis, and previous rCDI. CONCLUSIONS: Prognostic factors for sCDI and rCDI could aid clinicians to make treatment decisions based on risk stratification. We suggest that future studies use standardized definitions for sCDI/rCDI and systematically collect and report the risk factors assessed in this review, to allow for meaningful meta-analysis of risk factors using data of high-quality trials.

Esophageal microbiota composition and outcome of esophageal cancer treatment: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The role of esophageal microbiota in esophageal cancer treatment is gaining renewed interest, largely driven by novel DNA-based microbiota analysis techniques. The aim of this systematic review is to provide an overview of current literature on the possible association between esophageal microbiota and outcome of esophageal cancer treatment, including tumor response to (neo)adjuvant chemo(radio)therapy, short-term surgery-related complications, and long-term oncological outcome. METHODS: A systematic review of literature was performed, bibliographic databases were searched and relevant articles were selected by two independent researchers. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale was used to estimate the quality of included studies. RESULTS: The search yielded 1303 articles, after selection and cross-referencing, five articles were included for qualitative synthesis and four studies were considered of good quality. Two articles addressed tumor response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy and described a correlation between high intratumoral Fusobacterium nucleatum levels and a poor response. One study assessed surgery-related complications, in which no direct association between esophageal microbiota and occurrence of complications was observed. Three studies described a correlation between shortened survival and high levels of intratumoral F. nucleatum, a low abundance of Proteobacteria and high abundances of Prevotella and Streptococcus species. CONCLUSIONS: Current evidence points towards an association between esophageal microbiota and outcome of esophageal cancer treatment and justifies further research. Whether screening of the individual esophageal microbiota can be used to identify and select patients with a predisposition for adverse outcome needs to be further investigated. This could lead to the development of microbiota-based interventions to optimize esophageal microbiota composition, thereby improving outcome of patients with esophageal cancer.

Gastric acid suppression, lifestyle factors and intestinal carriage of ESBL and carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales: a nationwide population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Gastric acid-suppressive therapy has been suggested to increase the risk for intestinal carriage of MDR Enterobacterales, but there is scarce community-based evidence substantiating this risk. OBJECTIVES: To investigate if acid-suppressant use is associated with a risk of intestinal carriage of ESBL and carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (ESBL-E) in the open population, and to assess possible modifying factors. METHODS: Within the framework of a nationwide seroprevalence study, we identified a population-based cross-sectional cohort comprising 2746 adults (≥18 years), who provided stool specimens between February 2016 and June 2017. Specimens were tested by phenotypic assays and confirmatory genotype analysis to detect carriage of ESBL-E. Covariate data were extracted from self-administered questionnaires. ORs and 95% CIs were estimated using multivariable multilevel logistic regression, controlling for confounders informed by directed acyclic graphs. RESULTS: Among 2746 participants, 316 (11.5%) used acid suppressants; the prevalence of ESBL-E carriage was 7.4% (95% CI, 6.1%-8.6%). Current use of acid suppressants was not associated with ESBL-E carriage (adjusted OR [aOR], 1.05; 95% CI, 0.64-1.74); lifestyle and comorbidity did not modify this association. A higher BMI (≥25 kg/m2) (aOR, 1.42 [95% CI, 1.02-1.98]), non-Western ethnic origin (aOR, 1.96 [95% CI, 1.34-2.87]), travel to Eastern-Mediterranean, Western-Pacific or South-East Asia regions (aOR, 3.16 [95% CI, 1.71-5.83]) were associated with ESBL-E carriage. Sensitivity analyses confirmed these results; spline analysis supported a BMI-associated risk. CONCLUSIONS: In this open population study, current use of acid suppressants was not associated with ESBL-E carriage. Travel to high-endemic regions and non-Western ethnicity were confirmed as risk factors, while a higher BMI emerged as a potential new risk for ESBL-E carriage.

Does death from Covid-19 arise from a multi-step process?

The Covid-19 death rate increases exponentially with age, and the main risk factors are having underlying conditions such as hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, severe chronic respiratory disease and cancer. These characteristics are consistent with the multi-step model of disease. We applied this model to Covid-19 case fatality rates (CFRs) from China, South Korea, Italy, Spain and Japan. In all countries we found that a plot of log(CFR) against log(age) was approximately linear with a slope of about 5. We also conducted similar analyses for selected other respiratory diseases. SARS showed a similar log-log age-pattern to that of Covid-19, albeit with a lower slope, whereas seasonal and pandemic influenza showed quite different age-patterns. Thus, death from Covid-19 and SARS appears to follow a distinct age-pattern, consistent with a multi-step model of disease that in the case of Covid-19 is probably defined by comorbidities and age producing immune-related susceptibility.

External validation of two prediction tools for patients at risk for recurrent Clostridioides difficile infection.

BACKGROUND: One in four patients with primary Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) develops recurrent CDI (rCDI). With every recurrence, the chance of a subsequent CDI episode increases. Early identification of patients at risk for rCDI might help doctors to guide treatment. The aim of this study was to externally validate published clinical prediction tools for rCDI. METHODS: The validation cohort consisted of 129 patients, diagnosed with CDI between 2018 and 2020. rCDI risk scores were calculated for each individual patient in the validation cohort using the scoring tools described in the derivation studies. Per score value, we compared the average predicted risk of rCDI with the observed number of rCDI cases. Discrimination was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Two prediction tools were selected for validation (Cobo 2018 and Larrainzar-Coghen 2016). The two derivation studies used different definitions for rCDI. Using Cobo's definition, rCDI occurred in 34 patients (26%) of the validation cohort: using the definition of Larrainzar-Coghen, we observed 19 recurrences (15%). The performance of both prediction tools was poor when applied to our validation cohort. The estimated AUC was 0.43 [95% confidence interval (CI); 0.32-0.54] for Cobo's tool and 0.42 (95% CI; 0.28-0.56) for Larrainzar-Coghen's tool. CONCLUSION: Performance of both prediction tools was disappointing in the external validation cohort. Currently identified clinical risk factors may not be sufficient for accurate prediction of rCDI.

Simultaneous detection and ribotyping of Clostridioides difficile, and toxin gene detection directly on fecal samples.

BACKGROUND: Clostridioides difficile is the most common cause of nosocomial diarrhea. Ribotyping of cultured strains by a PCR-based test is used to study potential transmission between patients. We aimed to develop a rapid test that can be applied directly on fecal samples for simultaneous detection and ribotyping of C. difficile, as well as detection of toxin genes. METHODS: We developed a highly specific and sensitive primer set for simultaneous detection and ribotyping of C. difficile directly on total fecal DNA. Toxin genes were detected with primers adapted from Persson et al. (Clin Microbiol Infect 14(11):1057-1064). Our study set comprised 130 fecal samples: 65 samples with positive qPCR for C. difficile toxin A/B genes and 65 C. difficile qPCR negative samples. PCR products were analyzed by capillary gel electrophoresis. RESULTS: Ribosomal DNA fragment peak profiles and toxin genes were detected in all 65 C. difficile positive fecal samples and in none of the 65 C. difficile negative samples. The 65 samples were assigned to 27 ribotypes by the Dutch reference laboratory. Our peak profiles corresponded to these ribotypes, except for two samples. During a C. difficile outbreak, patients were correctly allocated to the outbreak-cluster based on the results of direct fecal ribotyping, before C. difficile isolates were cultured and conventionally typed. CONCLUSION: C. difficile ribotyping directly on fecal DNA is feasible, with sensitivity and specificity comparable to that of diagnostic toxin gene qPCR and with ribotype assignment similar to that obtained by conventional typing on DNA from cultured isolates. This supports simultaneous diagnosis and typing to recognize an outbreak.

Community-Acquired Escherichia coli Bacteremia after Age 50 and Subsequent Incidence of a Cancer Diagnosis: A Danish Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Community-acquired bacteremia (CAB) with Escherichia coli may signal occult cancer. This might differ between phylogenetic groups. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study in northern Denmark (1994-2013) to examine whether E. coli CAB after age 50 is associated with incident cancer. We followed patients from their bacteremia diagnosis date to identify subsequent gastrointestinal, hepatobiliary, and urinary tract cancer diagnoses. We calculated 1- and 5-year cumulative cancer incidence. We compared the observed incidence with that expected based on national cancer incidence rates, and computed standardized incidence ratios (SIR) at 0-<1 year and ≥1 year. In a subcohort, we assessed the prevalence of phylogenetic groups. RESULTS: Among 2,735 patients with E. coli CAB, 173 later were diagnosed with cancer. The 1-year cumulative incidence of a gastrointestinal or hepatobiliary tract cancer was 1.9%, and the 0-<1-year SIR was 5.44 [95% confidence interval (CI), 4.06-7.14]. For urinary tract cancer, the corresponding estimates were 1.0% and 3.41 (95% CI, 2.27-4.93). All individual cancers occurred more often than expected during the first year following E. coli CAB, but thereafter the relative risks declined toward unity. Still, the ≥1-year SIR for colorectal cancer remained 1.4-fold elevated, and the SIR for liver, pancreas, gallbladder, and biliary tract cancer was 2-fold elevated. The prevalence of phylogenetic groups was similar among patients with and without cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Gastrointestinal, hepatobiliary, and urinary tract cancer may debut with E. coli CAB. IMPACT: Owing to the high incidence of E. coli bacteremia, cancers missed at the time of bacteremia diagnosis represent a clinically significant problem.

Faecal microbiota transplantation for Clostridioides difficile infection: Four years' experience of the Netherlands Donor Feces Bank.

BACKGROUND: The Netherlands Donor Feces Bank provides standardized ready-to-use donor faecal suspensions for faecal microbiota transplantation treatment of patients with recurrent Clostridioides difficile infection. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was evaluation of safety, feasibility and outcome of faecal microbiota transplantation facilitated by a national stool bank. METHODS: The methods used included: observational cohort study of donors and recipients of faecal suspensions; assessment of donor screening and patient selection performed by an expert panel of medical microbiologists, gastroenterologists and infectious disease specialists; and patient outcome evaluated at different timepoints after faecal microbiota transplantation. RESULTS: Of 871 volunteers who registered as a potential faeces donor, 16 (2%) became active donors. Nine donors stopped or were excluded after a mean donation period of 5.7 months. In 2016-2019, 47 (27%) of 176 requests for faecal microbiota transplantations were deemed not indicated by the expert panel. In total, 129 patients with recurrent C. difficile infection were treated with 143 faecal suspensions in 40 different hospitals. The cure rate at two months after a single infusion was 89% (107/120). Of 84 patients, long-term follow-up (median 42 weeks) was available and sustained cure was achieved in 61 (73%). Early C. difficile infection relapses (within two months after faecal microbiota transplantation) and late recurrences (after more than two months) occurred more frequently in patients who received non-C. difficile antibiotics within three weeks after faecal microbiota transplantation and in moderately to severely immunocompromised patients. Of 21 patients with C. difficile infection after faecal microbiota transplantation, 14 were cured with anti-C. difficile antibiotics and seven with a second transplantation. No faecal microbiota transplantation-related serious adverse events were observed, but gastro-intestinal complaints (nausea, abdominal pain or diarrhoea) persisted in 32% of the treated patients at long-term follow-up. CONCLUSION: Faecal suspensions provided by a centralized stool bank, supported by a multidisciplinary expert team, resulted in effective, appropriate and safe application of faecal microbiota transplantation for recurrent C. difficile infection. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level II, prospective cohort study.