Real-time dynamic modelling for the design of a cluster-randomized phase 3 Ebola vaccine trial in Sierra Leone.

BACKGROUND: Declining incidence and spatial heterogeneity complicated the design of phase 3 Ebola vaccine trials during the tail of the 2013-16 Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic in West Africa. Mathematical models can provide forecasts of expected incidence through time and can account for both vaccine efficacy in participants and effectiveness in populations. Determining expected disease incidence was critical to calculating power and determining trial sample size. METHODS: In real-time, we fitted, forecasted, and simulated a proposed phase 3 cluster-randomized vaccine trial for a prime-boost EVD vaccine in three candidate regions in Sierra Leone. The aim was to forecast trial feasibility in these areas through time and guide study design planning. RESULTS: EVD incidence was highly variable during the epidemic, especially in the declining phase. Delays in trial start date were expected to greatly reduce the ability to discern an effect, particularly as a trial with an effective vaccine would cause the epidemic to go extinct more quickly in the vaccine arm. Real-time updates of the model allowed decision-makers to determine how trial feasibility changed with time. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis was useful for vaccine trial planning because we simulated effectiveness as well as efficacy, which is possible with a dynamic transmission model. It contributed to decisions on choice of trial location and feasibility of the trial. Transmission models should be utilised as early as possible in the design process to provide mechanistic estimates of expected incidence, with which decisions about sample size, location, timing, and feasibility can be determined.

Effects of ritonavir-boosted darunavir vs. ritonavir-boosted atazanavir on lipid and glucose parameters in HIV-negative, healthy volunteers.

BACKGROUND: Darunavir (TMC114) is a new HIV protease inhibitor (PI). DESIGN: This Phase I, randomized, open-label trial compared the effects of darunavir plus low-dose ritonavir (RTV) (darunavir/RTV) with those of atazanavir/RTV on lipid and glucose parameters. METHODS: Forty-nine HIV-negative, healthy male volunteers received RTV 100 mg once a day (qd) for 7 days, followed by either darunavir/RTV 800/100 mg qd (n=25) or atazanavir/RTV 300/100 mg qd (n=24) for 21 days. Mean changes in fasting lipid and glucose parameters at day 28 were calculated using post-RTV alone (day 7) and baseline (day -1) values as references. Short-term safety, tolerability and RTV pharmacokinetic parameters were evaluated. RESULTS: After 7 days of RTV treatment, the mean triglyceride concentration increased by approximately 30 mg/dL in both groups, changes in other lipid and glucose parameters were relatively small. Mean concentrations of lipids and glucose over the treatment period were mostly similar between the treatment groups. Mean changes from day 7 to day 28 for the darunavir/RTV and atazanavir/RTV groups, respectively, were -3.6 and -0.5 mg/dL for high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; 5.0 and 5.3 mg/dL for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; 4.9 and 1.2 mg/dL for total cholesterol; 6.4 and 14.0 mg/dL for triglycerides; -1.7 and -2.4 mg/dL for glucose; and -1.4 and 0.3 mg/dL for insulin. No grade 3 or 4 lipid or glucose laboratory abnormalities were reported. Treatment-emergent hyperbilirubinaemia was reported for all volunteers (including five grade 4 cases) during atazanavir/RTV treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Co-administration of darunavir or atazanavir with low-dose RTV resulted in minor and similar changes in lipid and glucose parameters in HIV-negative healthy volunteers.

Effect of repeated doses of darunavir plus low-dose ritonavir on the pharmacokinetics of sildenafil in healthy male subjects: phase I randomized, open-label, two-way crossover study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Darunavir (DRV, TMC114) is a novel protease inhibitor administered in combination with low-dose ritonavir (DRV/r) and is highly active against both wild-type and multidrug-resistant HIV-1 strains. Sildenafil is an oral therapy for erectile dysfunction. Concomitant administration of protease inhibitors and sildenafil increases sildenafil plasma concentrations. The potential for a pharmacokinetic drug interaction exists when sildenafil and DRV/r are co-administered, as these drugs are primarily metabolized by cytochrome P450 (CYP) 3A, and darunavir and ritonavir are CYP3A inhibitors. The primary objective of this open-label, crossover, phase I study was to assess the effect of multiple doses of DRV/r on the pharmacokinetics of sildenafil and its active metabolite N-desmethyl sildenafil. The secondary objective was to assess the short-term safety and tolerability of co-administration of sildenafil and DRV/r. METHODS: Sixteen HIV-negative healthy male subjects were randomized to one of two sequences. In two sessions each subject received treatments A and B. In treatment A, a single dose of sildenafil 100 mg was administered. In treatment B, the subjects received DRV/r 400/100 mg twice daily for 8 days and on day 7 a single dose of sildenafil 25 mg was co-administered. Full pharmacokinetic profiles of sildenafil, N-desmethyl sildenafil, darunavir and ritonavir were determined. Safety and tolerability were also assessed. RESULTS: Sildenafil exposure (area under the plasma concentration-time curve [AUC]) was comparable between the two treatments despite administration of a lower dose of sildenafil (25 mg) with DRV/r than when sildenafil (100 mg) was administered alone. When sildenafil 25 mg was co-administered with DRV/r, the sildenafil maximum plasma concentration (Cmax) was 38% lower compared with Cmax after administration of sildenafil alone at a dose of 100 mg. N-desmethyl sildenafil Cmax and AUC from the time of administration until the last time point with a measurable concentration after dosing (calculated by linear trapezoidal summation [AUClast]) values decreased by approximately 95% when sildenafil 25 mg was co-administered with DRV/r compared with sildenafil 100 mg alone. Combined treatment with DRV/r and sildenafil was generally safe and well tolerated. CONCLUSION: Sildenafil exposure is increased in the presence of DRV/r. In this setting, a dose adjustment for sildenafil is warranted; no more than 25 mg of sildenafil is recommended over a 48-hour period when co-administered with DRV/r.

Liarozole--a novel treatment approach for advanced prostate cancer: results of a large randomized trial versus cyproterone acetate. Liarozole Study Group.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the efficacy of oral liarozole, the first retinoic acid metabolism-blocking agent (RAMBA) to be developed as differentiation therapy for human solid tumors, with that of cyproterone acetate (CPA), an antiandrogen for the treatment of metastatic prostate cancer. Liarozole promotes differentiation of cancer cells by increasing the intratumoral levels of retinoic acid. METHODS: A total of 321 patients with metastatic prostate cancer in relapse after first-line endocrine therapy entered a Phase III international multicenter study (recruitment from February 1992 to August 1994) comparing liarozole (300 mg two times daily) with CPA (100 mg two times daily). RESULTS: Accounting for differences in baseline prognostic factors, the adjusted hazard ratio for survival was 0.74 in favor of liarozole (P = 0.039), indicating a 26% lower risk of death than in patients treated with CPA. Median crude (unadjusted) survival time was the same in the liarozole group as in the CPA group (10.3 months). More patients showed a PSA response (at least 50% reduction in PSA from baseline) when treated with liarozole (20%) than with CPA (4%) (P < 0.001). Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) responders had a median survival benefit of 10 months over nonresponders, irrespective of treatment (hazard ratio 0.43; P = 0.0018). PSA response was apparent within 3 months in approximately 90% of patients who responded. Pain improved more in the liarozole group than in the CPA group (P = 0.03). PSA responders had lower median pain scores than nonresponders (1.7 versus 2.5) and better quality of life (median Functional Living Index-Cancer score 108 versus 98) at end point, ie, treatment discontinuation, as well as throughout the treatment period. Among the most frequently occurring adverse events in the liarozole group were dry skin (51% of patients), pruritus (25%), rash (16%), nail disorders (16%), and hair loss (15%). These adverse events were generally mild to moderate in severity and did not affect the overall quality of life score. There were no detectable effects of either treatment on vital signs such as blood pressure, heart rate, electrocardiogram, and body weight. CONCLUSIONS: Liarozole is superior to CPA in terms of PSA response, PSA progression, and survival, and is capable of maintaining patients' quality of life. The observed adverse events were mild to moderate in nature. These results show that liarozole is a possible treatment option after first-line endocrine therapy has failed.