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Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis ; 27(5): 430-437, 2017 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28438373

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Malnutrition is frequent in heart failure (HF). However, the best tool for evaluating malnutrition in geriatric patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the incremental prognostic value of the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) in stable geriatric outpatients with HFrEF compared with a clinical/laboratory prognostic model. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 143 outpatients with HFrEF, aged >65 years, a LVEF <40%, and who were stable and on optimal therapy were studied. Follow-up lasted 3 years. The outcome was all-cause death. The GNRI was calculated as follows: [(1.489 × serum albumin (g/L)) + (41.7 × (current body weight/ideal weight)]. The 3-year death rate was 36.4% and 16 (11.2%) patients were at risk of malnutrition (GNRI ≤98). Deceased patients had a lower GNRI (113.6 ± 9.1 vs. 105.6 ± 9.2; p < 0.001) than did survivors. Greater values of the GNRI (hazard ratio = 0.93, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.90-0.95; p < 0.001) and GNRI >98 (hazard ratio = 0.29, 95% CI 0.15-0.57; p < 0.001) were associated with better survival. These factors remained significant after adjustment of significant confounders. The GNRI was a better discriminator of death than weight and albumin. Adding the GNRI to the clinical/laboratory predictor survival model significantly increased the c-statistics from 0.93 to 0.95 (p < 0.001) and the chi-square likelihood ratio test from 106.15 to 119.9. CONCLUSION: The risk of malnutrition, as assessed by the GNRI, in stable geriatric outpatients with HFrEF is a strong independent predictor of survival. The GNRI adds significant prognostic information to the clinical/laboratory model.


Subject(s)
Decision Support Techniques , Geriatric Assessment/methods , Heart Failure, Systolic/diagnosis , Malnutrition/diagnosis , Nutrition Assessment , Nutritional Status , Outpatients , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Area Under Curve , Biomarkers/blood , Body Weight , Chi-Square Distribution , Female , Heart Failure, Systolic/mortality , Heart Failure, Systolic/physiopathology , Humans , Male , Malnutrition/mortality , Malnutrition/physiopathology , Models, Biological , Multivariate Analysis , Portugal , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , ROC Curve , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Serum Albumin/analysis , Serum Albumin, Human , Stroke Volume , Time Factors , Ventricular Function, Left
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