ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: To utilise machine learning, unsupervised clustering and multivariate modelling in order to predict severe early joint space narrowing (JSN) from anatomical hip parameters while identifying factors related to joint space width (JSW) in dysplastic and non-dysplastic hips. METHODS: A total of 507 hip CT examinations of patients 20-55 years old were retrospectively examined, and JSW, center-edge (CE) angle, alpha angle, anterior acetabular sector angle (AASA), and neck-shaft angle (NSA) were recorded. Dysplasia and severe JSN were defined with CE angle < 25o and JSW< 2 mm, respectively. A random forest classifier was developed to predict severe JSN based on anatomical and demographical data. Multivariate linear regression and two-step unsupervised clustering were performed to identify factors linked to JSW. RESULTS: In dysplastic hips, lateral or anterior undercoverage alone was not correlated to JSN. AASA (p < 0.005) and CE angle (p < 0.032) were the only factors significantly correlated with JSN in dysplastic hips. In non-dysplastic hips, JSW was inversely correlated to CE angle, AASA, and age and positively correlated to NSA (p < 0.001). A random forest classifier predicted severe JSN (AUC 69.9%, 95%CI 47.9-91.8%). TwoStep cluster modelling identified two distinct patient clusters one with low and one with normal JSW and different anatomical characteristics. CONCLUSION: Machine learning predicted severe JSN and identified population characteristics related to normal and abnormal joint space width. Dysplasia in one plane was found to be insufficient to cause JSN, highlighting the need for hip anatomy assessment on multiple planes. KEY POINTS: ⢠Neither anterior nor lateral acetabular dysplasia was sufficient to independently reduce joint space width in a multivariate linear regression model of dysplastic hips. ⢠A random forest classifier was developed based on measurements and demographic parameters from 507 hip joints, achieving an area under the curve of 69.9% in the external validation set, in predicting severe joint space narrowing based on anatomical hip parameters and age. ⢠Unsupervised TwoStep cluster analysis revealed two distinct population groups, one with low and one with normal joint space width, characterised by differences in hip morphology.
