Endoscopic findings in children born with oesophageal atresia in an academic unit in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Oesophageal atresia (OA) is one of the most common congenital gastrointestinal (GI) abnormalities. Due to advances in multidisciplinary care, early prognosis has improved with emphasis shifting to the long-term impact of this disease. Literature suggests a higher incidence of Barrett's and eosinophilic oesophagitis in these children, with an increased risk of oesophageal carcinoma. Guidelines for adults born with OA include routine endoscopy and lifelong screening of the upper gastrointestinal tract (GIT). Despite this, uncertainty remains regarding the necessity and frequency of endoscopic surveillance for children born with OA. We describe our endoscopic findings in children born with OA. METHODS: A prospective analytic cohort study was undertaken, which included all children born with OA, that were followed-up in our unit between 2020 and 2022. History regarding feeding and GI symptoms were documented after which an endoscopy was performed. RESULTS: During the study period, 37 endoscopies were performed in patients born with OA at a median age of 25 months. The most common clinical appearance on endoscopy was anastomotic strictures followed by oesophagitis. Twelve patients had biopsies taken, with abnormal histology in all but one patient. The most common histological finding was oesophagitis with lymphocytes and chronic gastritis. Two patients had Helicobacter Pylori infection, and one had findings suggestive of eosinophilic oesophagitis. CONCLUSION: All patients with a clinical indication for an endoscopy had abnormal clinical or histological findings, thus concurring with the literature in highlighting the need for regular endoscopy. We recommend regular clinical follow-up and endoscopic surveillance if clinically indicated for children born with OA.

Disease-specific quality of life as part of the long-term follow-up for children born with esophageal atresia in an academic unit in South Africa-a pilot study.

As neonatal mortality rates have decreased in esophageal atresia (EA), there is a growing focus on quality of life (QoL) in these children. No study from Africa has reported on this topic. This pilot study aimed to describe disease-specific QoL in EA children and its applicability as part of long-term follow-up in an academic facility in South Africa. Disease-specific QoL in children born with EA was assessed utilizing the EA-QoL questionnaire for children aged 2-17 years during a patient-encounter. The parent-report for children aged 2-7 years compromised 17 items categorized into three domains: eating, physical health and treatment, and social isolation/stress. The 24-item EA-QL questionnaire for children aged 8-18 (child- and parent-report) explored four domains: eating, body perception, social relationships, and health and well-being. A total of 13 questionnaires for children aged 2-7 years were completed by five parents. A negative perceived impact on their child's eating was reported by 46-92% of parents, and less impact in the other two domains. A total of 27 questionnaires were completed by eight children aged 8-17 years and 10 parents. Similar percentages children and parents reported a negative impact in the eating, social relationships, and body perception domains. More than half reported a negative impact on the child's health and well-being. This study supports the concept that assessment of disease-specific QoL should play a vital role in the comprehensive follow-up approach for children born with EA. We identified that parents of younger children were more likely to report eating disorders, whereas parents of older children were more likely to report health difficulties with different perceptions when it came to the child's scar.

Outcomes for open and laparoscopic appendicectomy for complicated appendicitis in children.

BACKGROUND: The study aimed to compare the outcomes of paediatric laparoscopic appendectomy (LA) with open appendectomy (OA) for complicated appendicitis (CA). All trainees could perform OA without supervision. METHODS: This is a single-centre, retrospective, non-randomised review of children 4-12 years of age, who had either an OA or LA for CA. The data was collected from August 2012 to June 2016. Nineteen surgical trainees were initially supervised by a consultant until deemed able to perform LA safely. The on-call surgeon decided on operative approach. Intra- and postoperative complications were analysed. Primary endpoint was comparison of infection rates between groups, simultaneous differences between the two procedures performed by surgical trainees and consultants were evaluated. RESULTS: One hundred and fifty-five patients had appendicectomy for CA during the study period. Fourteen patients with incomplete information were excluded. Ninety had OAs and 51 LAs. Both groups were well matched demographically. Postoperative infective complications occurred in 13/51 (25.5%) of the LAs, and in 23/90 (25.6%) of the OA (p = 0.159). Fourteen trainees performed 27 LAs without consultant supervision by the conclusion of the study. The mean duration of LA surgery for surgical trainees was 110.35 minutes (IQR 22.5) and for consultants 93.87 minutes (IQR 35, p = 0.497). CONCLUSION: There is no difference in intra- and postoperative complications between LA and OA for CA. Duration of surgery between surgical trainees and consultants were comparable. This indicates that surgical trainees acquire LA skill over a short period of time and that LA as a laparoscopic teaching procedure merits consideration.

Complications and survival of conversion to total hip arthroplasty after failed primary osteosynthesis compared to primary total hip arthroplasty in femoral neck fractures.

INTRODUCTION: Surgical treatment options for patients with an intracapsular fracture of the femoral neck (FFN) are primary osteosynthesis as a femoral head-spearing technique or primary (hemi)arthroplasty. The most common complications after primary osteosynthesis, such as avascular necrosis (AVN) or non-union, can result in conversion to Total Hip Arthroplasty (cTHA). Data concerning complications and survival rates of cTHA in comparison to primary Total Hip Arthroplasty (pTHA) after FFN are limited due to the absence of well-designed studies. METHODS: A multicentre retrospective cohort study was conducted in three Dutch hospitals comparing the rate of postoperative dislocations, periprosthetic fractures, prosthetic joint infections, blood loss during surgery (>1000 mL), postoperative cardiac- and pulmonary complications after pTHA and cTHA in the first year after surgery. As a secondary outcome implant survival of pTHA and cTHA in terms of revision rates was evaluated. RESULTS: In total 548 patients were included (pTHA n = 264 and cTHA n = 284) with a mean follow-up of 5 years (±3.5 SD). No significant differences were found in postoperative complications rates. The revision rate in the pTHA group was 7.2% in comparison to 7.7% in the cTHA group (p = 0.81). No difference in the short-term implant survival was found between both groups (p = 0.81). CONCLUSION: This study showed no significant differences in terms of postoperative complication rates in the first year after pTHA and cTHA in patients with FFN. Also, no significant difference in short-term implant survival of primary and conversion total hip arthroplasty was found.

Real-World Treatment Patterns, Outcomes, Resource Utilization and Costs in Treatment-Resistant Major Depressive Disorder: PATTERN, a Retrospective Cohort Study in Belgium.

OBJECTIVE: Treatment-resistant depression (TRD), a subgroup of major depressive disorder (MDD) that does not adequately respond to treatment, has a substantial impact on the quality of life of patients and is associated with higher medical and mental health care costs. This study aimed to report real-world treatment patterns, outcomes, resource utilization, and costs in the management of TRD by psychiatrists in Belgium. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, non-interventional cohort study of patients ≥ 18 years, with diagnosed MDD who are treatment-resistant, defined as not responding to two different antidepressant treatments in the current moderate to severe major depressive episode (MDE). Data obtained from medical records of patients included patient health state (MDE, response, remission, and recovery) and resource use (number of consultations and emergency room visits, non-drug and drug interventions, and hospitalizations). RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-five patients were enrolled in nine sites, with an average observation period of 34 months. During the MDE, 89.7% of patients were treated with selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, 63.2% with serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors, and 60.8% with anti-psychotics. Twenty-four percent of patients did not respond to any treatment; 76% responded, of whom 61% experienced a relapse; 28% of patients reached recovery, of whom 31.4% experienced recurrence. The average yearly direct cost of a TRD patient is €9012, mainly driven by hospitalization in the MDE. The observed absenteeism relates to a high indirect cost, representing 70% of the total MDE cost. CONCLUSION: TRD is associated with a high unmet need and economic burden for patients and society, with highest costs in the MDE health state driven by absenteeism.

Detecting multiple sclerosis via breath analysis using an eNose, a pilot study.

In the present study we investigated whether multiple sclerosis (MS) can be detected via exhaled breath analysis using an electronic nose (eNose). The AeonoseTM(an eNose, The eNose Company, Zutphen, the Netherlands) is a diagnostic test device to detect patterns of volatile organic compounds in exhaled breath. We evaluated whether the AeonoseTMcan make a distinction between the breath patterns of patients with MS and healthy control subjects. In this mono-center, prospective, non-invasive study, 124 subjects with a confirmed diagnosis of MS and 129 control subjects each breathed into the AeonoseTMfor 5 min. Exhaled breath data was used to train an artificial neural network (ANN) predictive model. To investigate the influence of medication intake we created a second predictive model with a subgroup of MS patients without medication prescribed for MS. The ANN model based on the entire dataset was able to distinguish MS patients from healthy controls with a sensitivity of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.66-0.82) and specificity of 0.60 (0.51-0.69). The model created with the subgroup of MS patients not using medication and the healthy control subjects had a sensitivity of 0.93 (0.82-0.98) and a specificity of 0.74 (0.65-0.81). The study showed that the AeonoseTMis able to make a distinction between MS patients and healthy control subjects, and could potentially provide a quick screening test to assist in diagnosing MS. Further research is needed to determine whether the AeonoseTMis able to differentiate new MS patients from subjects who will not get the diagnosis.

Idiopathic atrial fibrillation patients rapidly outgrow their low thromboembolic risk: a 10-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Healthy atrial fibrillation (AF) patients will eventually outgrow their low thromboembolic risk. The purpose of this study is to compare the development of cardiovascular disease in healthy AF patients as compared to healthy sinus rhythm patients and to assess appropriate anticoagulation treatment. METHODS: Forty-one idiopathic paroxysmal AF patients (56 ± 10 years, 66% male) were compared with 45 healthy sinus rhythm patients. Patients were free of hypertension, antihypertensive and antiarrhythmic drugs, diabetes, congestive heart failure, coronary artery or peripheral vascular disease, previous stroke, thyroid, pulmonary and renal disease, and structural abnormalities on echocardiography. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics and echocardiographic parameters were the same in both groups. During 10.7 ± 1.6 years, cardiovascular disease and all-cause death developed significantly more often in AF patients as compared to controls (63% vs 31%, log rank p < 0.001). Even after the initial 5 years of follow-up, survival curves show divergent patterns (log rank p = 0.006). Mean duration to reach a CHA2DS2-VASc score > 1 among AF patients was 5.1 ± 3.0 years. Five of 24 (21%) patients with CHA2DS2-VASc > 1 did not receive oral anticoagulation therapy at follow-up. Mean duration of over- or undertreatment with oral anticoagulation in patients with CHA2DS2-VASc > 1 was 5 ± 3.0 years. CONCLUSION: The majority of recently diagnosed healthy AF patients develop cardiovascular diseases with a consequent change in thromboembolic risk profile within a short time frame. A comprehensive follow-up of this patient category is necessary to avoid over- and undertreatment with anticoagulants.

Risk assessment of exotic disease incursion and spread.

This Technical Report describes the activities developed in the scope of the EU-FORA Fellowship, within the work programme of risk assessment (RA) of exotic disease incursion and spread, developed at Wageningen Bioveterinary Research (WBVR). The programme focused on the work carried out in the Generic risk assessment for introduction of animal diseases (G-RAID) project, which brings together a number of different generic RA tools from multiple European partners. The aim of the fellowship was to gain understanding of veterinary import risk assessment by using different RA tools and to learn how different algorithms can be used to calculate disease incursion risks. G-RAID's tools cover a wide range of RA methodologies; from purely qualitative, to semi-quantitative and fully stochastic quantitative methods, which allowed the fellow to understand a variety of algorithms used to produce the final risk estimate. The fellowship programme provided the fellow with the chance to learn in detail about how generic RAs are performed across Europe, understanding how to deal with the uncertainty and variability involved in RAs and the potential problems of data availability and reliability. The fellow made an inventory of publicly available databases on disease occurrence and international trade that could be used for import RA and assessed their quality and usefulness for the different generic RA tools. The programme also provided the fellow the opportunity to perform several import risk assessments using the RA tools of G-RAID. She completed a RA on African swine fever using the MINTRISK model developed by WBVR. Furthermore, she assessed the risk of foot and mouth disease introduction using the Rapid Risk Assessment Tool (RRAT) model developed by WBVR and the COMPARE model developed by the Animal and Plant Health Agency (APHA). To this end, the fellow completed a short-term visit to APHA, enabling her to have additional training in quantitative RA and to expand her professional network in this area.

Visualisation of coronary venous anatomy by computed tomography angiography prior to cardiac resynchronisation therapy implantation.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to illustrate the additive value of computed tomography angiography (CTA) for visualisation of the coronary venous anatomy prior to cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT) implantation. METHODS: Eighteen patients planned for CRT implantation were prospectively included. A specific CTA protocol designed for visualisation of the coronary veins was carried out on a third-generation dual-source CT platform. Coronary veins were semi-automatically segmented to construct a 3D model. CTA-derived coronary venous anatomy was compared with intra-procedural fluoroscopic angiography (FA) in right and left anterior oblique views. RESULTS: Coronary venous CTA was successfully performed in all 18 patients. CRT implantation and FA were performed in 15 patients. A total of 62 veins were visualised; the number of veins per patient was 3.8 (range: 2-5). Eighty-five per cent (53/62) of the veins were visualised on both CTA and FA, while 10% (6/62) were visualised on CTA only, and 5% (3/62) on FA only. Twenty-two veins were present on the lateral or inferolateral wall; of these, 95% (21/22) were visualised by CTA. A left-sided implantation was performed in 13 patients, while a right-sided implantation was performed in the remaining 2 patients because of a persistent left-sided superior vena cava with no left innominate vein on CTA. CONCLUSION: Imaging of the coronary veins by CTA using a designated protocol is technically feasible and facilitates the CRT implantation approach, potentially improving the outcome.

Venous Arterialisation for Salvage of Critically Ischaemic Limbs: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Critical limb ischaemia (CLI) is the end stage of peripheral artery disease (PAD) and is associated with high amputation and mortality rates and poor quality of life. For CLI patients with no revascularisation options, venous arterialisation could be a last resort for limb salvage. OBJECTIVE: To review the literature on the clinical effectiveness of venous arterialisation for lower limb salvage in CLI patients with no revascularisation options. METHOD: Different databases were searched for papers published between January 1966 and January 2016. The criteria for eligible articles were studies describing outcomes of venous arterialisation, published in English, human studies, and with the full text available. Additionally, studies were excluded if they did not report limb salvage, wound healing or amputation as outcome measures. The primary outcome measure was post-operative limb salvage at 12 months. Secondary outcome measures were 30 day or in-hospital mortality, survival, patency, technical success, and wound healing. RESULTS: Fifteen articles met the inclusion criteria. The included studies described 768 patients. According to the MINORS score, methodological quality was moderate to poor. The estimated pooled limb salvage rate at one year was 75% (0.75, 95% CI 0.70-0.81). Thirty day or in-hospital mortality was reported in 12 studies and ranged from 0 to 10%. Overall survival was reported in 10 studies and ranged from 54% to 100% with a mean follow-up ranging from 5 to 60 months. Six studies reported on patency of the venous arterialisations performed, with a range of 59-71% at 12 months. CONCLUSION: In this systematic review on venous arterialisation in patients with non-reconstructable critical limb ischaemia, the pooled proportion of limb salvage at 12 months was 75%. Venous arterialisation could be a valuable treatment option in patients facing amputation of the affected limb; however, the current evidence is of low quality.

Evaluating point-of-care testing for glycosylated haemoglobin in public sector primary care facilities in the Western Cape, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus contributes significantly to the burden of disease in South Africa (SA). Monitoring of glycaemic control with glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c) is recommended, even though current laboratory-based testing does not support immediate clinical decision-making. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the costs and consequences for quality of care by introducing point-of-care (POC) testing for HbA1c for patients with type 2 diabetes at community health centres in Cape Town, SA. METHODS: A quasi-experimental study was conducted at two control and two intervention sites in the same sub-district. The DCA Vantage Analyzer (Siemens, Germany) for POC testing was introduced at the intervention sites for 12 months. Patients were randomly selected from the diabetes register at the intervention (n=300) and control (n=300) sites, respectively, and data were collected from patient records at baseline and 12 months. Focus group interviews were performed at the intervention sites. Technical quality and cost implications were evaluated. RESULTS: POC testing was feasible, easy to integrate into the organisation of care, resulted in more immediate feedback to patients (p<0.001) and patients appeared more satisfied. POC testing did not improve test coverage, treatment intensification, counselling or glycaemic control. There was an incremental cost of ZAR2 110 per 100 tests. Compliance with quality control was poor, although control tests showed good reliability. CONCLUSION: This study does not support the introduction of POC testing for HbA1c in public sector primary care practice in the current context. POC testing should be evaluated further in combination with interventions to overcome clinical inertia and strengthen primary healthcare.

A spatiotemporal model to assess the introduction risk of African horse sickness by import of animals and vectors in France.

BACKGROUND: African horse sickness (AHS) is a major, Culicoides-borne viral disease in equines whose introduction into Europe could have dramatic consequences. The disease is considered to be endemic in sub-Saharan Africa. Recent introductions of other Culicoides-borne viruses (bluetongue and Schmallenberg) into northern Europe have highlighted the risk that AHS may arrive in Europe as well. The aim of our study was to provide a spatiotemporal quantitative risk model of AHS introduction into France. The study focused on two pathways of introduction: the arrival of an infectious host (PW-host) and the arrival of an infectious Culicoides midge via the livestock trade (PW-vector). The risk of introduction was calculated by determining the probability of an infectious animal or vector entering the country and the probability of the virus then becoming established: i.e., the virus's arrival in France resulting in at least one local equine host being infected by one local vector. This risk was assessed using data from three consecutive years (2010 to 2012) for 22 regions in France. RESULTS: The results of the model indicate that the annual risk of AHS being introduced to France is very low but that major spatiotemporal differences exist. For both introduction pathways, risk is higher from July to October and peaks in July. In general, regions with warmer climates are more at risk, as are colder regions with larger equine populations; however, regional variation in animal importation patterns (number and species) also play a major role in determining risk. Despite the low probability that AHSV is present in the EU, intra-EU trade of equines contributes most to the risk of AHSV introduction to France because it involves a large number of horse movements. CONCLUSION: It is important to address spatiotemporal differences when assessing the risk of ASH introduction and thus also when implementing efficient surveillance efforts. The methods and results of this study may help develop surveillance techniques and other risk reduction measures that will prevent the introduction of AHS or minimize AHS' potential impact once introduced, both in France and the rest of Europe.

Metabolic activity measured by FDG PET predicts pathological response in locally advanced superior sulcus NSCLC.

OBJECTIVES: Pathological complete response and tumor regression to less than 10% vital tumor cells after induction chemoradiotherapy have been shown to be prognostically important in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Predictive imaging biomarkers could help treatment decision-making. The purpose of this study was to assess whether postinduction changes in tumor FDG uptake could predict pathological response and to evaluate the correlation between residual vital tumor cells and post-induction FDG uptake. METHODS: NSCLC patients with sulcus superior tumor (SST), planned for trimodality therapy, routinely undergo FDG PET/CT scans before and after induction chemoradiotherapy in our institute. Metabolic end-points based on standardized uptake values (SUV) were calculated, including SUV(max) (maximum SUV), SUV(TTL) (tumor-to-liver ratio), SUV(peak) (SUV within 1 cc sphere with highest activity), and SUV(PTL) (peak-to-liver ratio). Pathology specimens were assessed for residual vital tumor cell percentages and scored as no (grade 3), <10% (grade 2b) and >10% vital tumor cells (grade 2a/1). RESULTS: 19 and 23 patients were evaluated for (1) metabolic change and (2) postinduction PET-pathology correlation, respectively. Changes in all parameters were predictive for grade 2b/3 response. ΔSUV(TTL) and ΔSUV(PTL) were also predictive for grade 3 response. Remaining vital tumor cells correlated with post-induction SUV(peak) (R=0.55; P=0.007) and postinduction SUV(PTL) (R=0.59; P=0.004). Postinduction SUV(PTL) could predict both grades 3 and 2b/3 response. CONCLUSION: In NSCLC patients treated with chemoradiotherapy, changes in SUV(max), SUV(TTL), SUV(peak), and SUV(PTL) were predictive for pathological response (grade 2b/3 and for SUV(TTL) and SUV(PTL) grade 3 as well). Postinduction SUV(PTL) correlated with residual tumor cells.

Event-related mu-rhythm desynchronization during movement observation is impaired in Parkinson's disease.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with Parkinson's disease often experience difficulties in adapting movements and learning alternative movements to compensate for symptoms. Since observation of movement has been demonstrated to lead to the formation of a lasting specific motor memory that resembled that elicited by physical training we hypothesize that mu-rhythm desynchronization in response to movement observation is impaired in Parkinson's disease. METHOD: In a pilot study with nine patients with Parkinson's disease at a Hoehn and Yahr stage of I or II and eleven age-matched controls, we tested this hypothesis by comparing the event related desynchronization (ERD) patterns from the EEG recorded during the observation of hand action and baseline videos. RESULTS: Healthy subjects showed normal bilateral ERD of the mu-rhythm. In patients with Parkinson's disease this distinct ERD pattern was lacking. CONCLUSION: The results of this study suggest that event-related mu-rhythm desynchronization is impaired in Parkinson's disease, even at early stages of the disease. SIGNIFICANCE: Studying event-related mu-rhythm desynchronization dysfunction in Parkinson's disease patients may enhance our understanding of symptoms as impaired motor learning.

Semiautomated volumetric response evaluation as an imaging biomarker in superior sulcus tumors.

BACKGROUND: Volumetric response to therapy has been suggested as a biomarker for patient-centered outcomes. The primary aim of this pilot study was to investigate whether the volumetric response to induction chemoradiotherapy was associated with pathological complete response (pCR) or survival in patients with superior sulcus tumors managed with trimodality therapy. The secondary aim was to evaluate a semiautomated method for serial volume assessment. METHODS: In this retrospective study, treatment outcomes were obtained from a departmental database. The tumor was delineated on the computed tomography (CT) scan used for radiotherapy planning, which was typically performed during the first cycle of chemotherapy. These contours were transferred to the post-chemoradiotherapy diagnostic CT scan using deformable image registration (DIR) with/without manual editing. RESULTS: CT scans from 30 eligible patients were analyzed. Median follow-up was 51 months. Neither absolute nor relative reduction in tumor volume following chemoradiotherapy correlated with pCR or 2-year survival. The tumor volumes determined by DIR alone and DIR + manual editing correlated to a high degree (R(2) = 0.99, P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Volumetric response to induction chemoradiotherapy was not correlated with pCR or survival in patients with superior sulcus tumors managed with trimodality therapy. DIR-based contour propagation merits further evaluation as a tool for serial volumetric assessment.

[A woman with palpitations and dysphagia]. / Een vrouw met palpitaties en passageklachten.

A 55-year-old female experienced palpitations and thoracic pain. Coronary angiography showed a right sided aorta. The patient was diagnosed with a Kommerell's diverticulum that compressed the esophagus and trachea. During follow-up she developed dysphagia and she underwent a transposition of the left subclavian artery to the left common carotid artery followed by endovascular treatment of the distal aortic arch and thereby excluding the diverticulum.

How motivation affects academic performance: a structural equation modelling analysis.

Few studies in medical education have studied effect of quality of motivation on performance. Self-Determination Theory based on quality of motivation differentiates between Autonomous Motivation (AM) that originates within an individual and Controlled Motivation (CM) that originates from external sources. To determine whether Relative Autonomous Motivation (RAM, a measure of the balance between AM and CM) affects academic performance through good study strategy and higher study effort and compare this model between subgroups: males and females; students selected via two different systems namely qualitative and weighted lottery selection. Data on motivation, study strategy and effort was collected from 383 medical students of VU University Medical Center Amsterdam and their academic performance results were obtained from the student administration. Structural Equation Modelling analysis technique was used to test a hypothesized model in which high RAM would positively affect Good Study Strategy (GSS) and study effort, which in turn would positively affect academic performance in the form of grade point averages. This model fit well with the data, Chi square = 1.095, df = 3, p = 0.778, RMSEA model fit = 0.000. This model also fitted well for all tested subgroups of students. Differences were found in the strength of relationships between the variables for the different subgroups as expected. In conclusion, RAM positively correlated with academic performance through deep strategy towards study and higher study effort. This model seems valid in medical education in subgroups such as males, females, students selected by qualitative and weighted lottery selection.

Epidemic threats to the European Union: expert views on six virus groups.

In recent years, several animal disease epidemics have occurred within the European Union (EU). At the 4th Annual Meeting of the EPIZONE network (7-10 June 2010, St. Malo, France), an interactive session was run to elicit the opinions of delegates on a pre-defined list of epidemic threats to the EU. Responses from over 190 delegates, to questions relating to impact and likelihood, were used to rank six virus groups with respect to their perceived threat now (2010) and in 2020. The combined opinions of all delegates suggested that, from the pre-selected list of virus groups, foot-and-mouth disease and influenza are currently of most concern. Delegates thought that influenza would be less of a threat and zoonotic arboviruses would be more of a threat in 2020. Although the virus group rankings should not be taken as definitive, the results could be used in conjunction with experimental and field data, by scientists, policy-makers and stakeholders when assessing and managing risks associated with these virus groups.

The occurrence of cardiovascular disease during 5-year follow-up in patients with idiopathic atrial fibrillation.

AIMS: Idiopathic atrial fibrillation (AF) may be an expression of as yet undetected underlying heart disease. We found it useful for clinical practice to study the long-term development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients diagnosed with idiopathic AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Forty-one consecutive idiopathic AF patients (56 ± 10 years, 66% male) were compared with 45 healthy control patients in permanent sinus rhythm. Patients were free of hypertension, antihypertensive and antiarrhythmic drugs, diabetes, congestive heart failure, coronary artery or peripheral vascular disease, previous stroke, thyroid, pulmonary and renal disease, and structural abnormalities on echocardiography. Baseline characteristics and echocardiographic parameters were equal in AF cases and controls. During a mean follow-up of 66 ± 11 months, CVD occurred significantly more often in idiopathic AF patients compared with controls (49 vs. 20%, P= 0.006). Patients with idiopathic AF were significantly younger at the time of their first CV event compared with controls (59 ± 9 vs. 64 ± 5 years, P= 0.027), and had more severe disease. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that age, a history of AF, and echocardiographic left ventricular wall width were significant predictors of CVD development. CONCLUSION: Patients originally diagnosed with idiopathic AF develop CVD more often, at younger age, and with a more severe disease profile compared with healthy sinus rhythm control patients. The detection and treatment of CVD in an early stage could improve the prognosis of these patients. At present it seems prudent to regularly check idiopathic AF patients for the insidious development of CVD.

Trimodality therapy for superior sulcus tumours: evolution and evaluation of a treatment protocol.

AIM: We studied the clinical outcomes of a trimodality protocol used for the treatment of superior sulcus tumours (SST) in a tertiary referral centre. METHODS: The details of all patients who underwent treatment for a SST between January 2003 and December 2009 were retrospectively analysed. Following pre-treatment staging, all patients underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy with cisplatin/etoposide, followed by surgery. Outcomes studied were treatment-related complications, pathological response rates, recurrence rates and survival. RESULTS: Fifty-four patients were treated by chemotherapy (cisplatin/etoposide) and concurrent radiotherapy (46-66 Gy) followed by surgical resection. Minimum follow-up was 23 months. No 30-day mortality was observed. A complete (R0) resection was performed in 44 out of 54 patients. None had an R2 resection. Two-year survival was 50% (95%CI: 36.7-63.3). Patients who achieved a pathological complete response (n = 16) had a 2-year survival of 81% (95%CI: 62.1-100.0) versus a 37% 2-year survival (95%CI: 21.5-52.1) in patients with remaining vital tumour in their resection specimens (n = 38; P = 0.003). Five patients developed a local recurrence, and 23 patients a distant metastasis, mainly to the brain (n = 15). Two patients died from causes unrelated to cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Trimodality treatment of SST in accordance to our protocol achieved results comparable to previous reports. Pathological response rates to induction were an important prognostic factor, and distant metastasis remains a major problem.