Validation of the European Society of Cardiology pretest probability models for obstructive coronary artery disease in high-risk population.

BACKGROUND: The pre-test probability (PTP) model for obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) was updated in 2019 by the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). To our knowledge, this model was never externally validated in population with high incidence of CAD. The aim of this study is to validate the new PTP ESC model in our population which has a high CAD incidence and to compare it with previous PTP ESC model from 2013. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 1294 symptomatic patients with suspected CAD referred to our centre between 2015 and 2019. In all patients, the PTP score was calculated based on age, gender and symptoms according to the ESC model from 2013 (2013-ESC-PTP) and 2019 (2019-ESC-PTP). All patients underwent invasive coronary angiography (ICA). RESULTS: Of the 1294 patients, obstructive CAD was diagnosed in 533 patients (41.2%). The 2019-ESC-PTP model categorised significantly more patients into the low probability group (PTP < 15%) than the 2013-ESC-PTP model (39.8% vs. 5.6%, P< 0.001). Obstructive CAD prevalence was underestimated using 2019-ESC-PTP at all PTP levels (calibration intercept 1.15, calibration slope 0.96). The 2013-ESC-PTP overestimated obstructive CAD prevalence (calibration intercept -0.24, calibration slope 0.73). The discrimination measured with an area under the curve was similar for both models, indicating moderate accuracy of the models. CONCLUSIONS: In high-risk Serbian population, both the 2013 and 2019 ESC-PTP models had moderate accuracy in diagnosing CAD, with the 2019-ESC-PTP underestimating the prevalence of CAD, while the 2013-ESC-PTP overestimating it. Further studies are warranted to establish PTP models for high-risk countries.

Correlations and discrepancies between cardiac ultrasound, clinical diagnosis and the autopsy findings in early deceased patients with suspected cardiovascular emergencies.

Cardiac ultrasound (CUS), either focused cardiac ultrasound (FoCUS) or emergency echocardiography, is frequently used in cardiovascular (CV) emergencies. We assessed correlations and discrepancies between CUS, clinical diagnosis and the autopsy findings in early deceased patients with suspected CV emergencies. We retrospectively analysed clinical and autopsy data of 131 consecutive patients who died within 24 h of hospital admission. The type of CUS and its findings were analysed in relation to the clinical and autopsy diagnoses. CUS was performed in 58% of patients - FoCUS in 83%, emergency echocardiography in 12%, and both types of CUS in 5% of cases. CUS was performed more frequently in patients without a history of CV disease (64 vs. 40%, p = 0.08) and when the time between admission and death was longer (6 vs. 2 h, p = 0.021). In 7% of patients, CUS was inconclusive. In 10% of patients, the ante-mortem cause of death could not be determined, while discrepancies between the clinical and post-mortem diagnosis were found in 26% of cases. In the multivariate logistic regression model, only conclusive CUS [odds ratio (OR) 2.76, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.30-7.39, p = 0.044] and chest pain at presentation (OR 30.19, 95%CI 5.65 -161.22, p < 0.001) were independently associated with congruent clinical and autopsy diagnosis. In a tertiary university hospital, FoCUS was used more frequently than emergency echocardiography in critically ill patients with suspected cardiac emergencies. Chest pain at presentation and a conclusive CUS were associated with concordant clinical and autopsy diagnoses.

Characteristics of Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome and Normal Electrocardiogram.

Background: Patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and normal electrocardiogram (ECG) may have an increased risk of late diagnosis and complications of the disease. Objective: To study the demographic, angiographic and echocardiographic characteristics of patients hospitalized for ACS in whom the ECG was normal on admission to the hospital. Methods: This retrospective study included patients who were hospitalized for ACS without ST-elevation between 2015 and 2023 and who had coronary artery disease (CAD) confirmed by coronary angiography. By further inspection of the electronic databases, patients with ACS who had a normal ECG on admission were filtered out and analyzed separately. Results: Of the total 3137 patients with suspected ACS without ST-elevation, 129 patients (4.1%) were diagnosed as having ACS with a normal ECG. In three patients a non-atherosclerotic cause for the ACS was found. A significantly higher proportion of patients had single-vessel (54.3%) compared to two-vessel (29.5%) and three-vessel (14%) CAD. In addition to a normal ECG, 5.7% of patients with single-vessel CAD and 3.5% of patients with multi-vessel CAD had normal troponin levels and normal regional LV systolic function on echocardiography. Conclusion: Less than 5% of hospitalized patients with ACS without ST-elevation had a normal ECG on admission. The majority of these patients have single-vessel CAD. In about 5% of patients with single-vessel CAD, neither elevated troponin levels nor LV asynergy are detected.

The relationship of diagonal earlobe crease (Frank's sign) and obstructive coronary artery disease in patients undergoing coronary angiography.

BACKGROUND: Traditional risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) play an important role in the clinical evaluation of patients with symptoms suggestive of coronary artery disease (CAD). The utility of the diagonal earlobe crease (DELC) in predicting the presence of CAD is controversial. PURPOSE: To investigate the association between DELC, traditional CVD risk factors, and obstructive CAD. METHODS: This prospective study included 1377 patients (mean age 65 ± 10 years, 64% male) who underwent invasive coronary angiography for suspected acute or chronic coronary syndromes. In addition to routine clinical assessment, all patients underwent visual examination of both earlobes for the presence of DELC. All assessments were made by three independent readers, with a majority vote in the case of disagreement. Obstructive CAD was defined by invasive coronary angiography as > 50% stenosis of the left main coronary artery or > 70% stenosis in any other major epicardial coronary artery. RESULTS: Bilateral DELC was observed more frequently in patients with obstructive CAD than in those without it (67% vs. 33%, p = 0.022). In the multivariate logistic regression model, bilateral DELC was independently associated with CAD (odds ratio [OR] 1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-1.74), along with smoking (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.44-2.38), diabetes mellitus (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.29-2.15), male sex (OR 2.04, 95% CI 1.61-2.58), and dyslipidemia (OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.12-2.30); however, the diagnostic accuracy of DELC was modest and resembled that of traditional CVD risk factors. CONCLUSION: Despite being independently associated with obstructive CAD, DELC is not a reliable stand-alone clinical marker of CAD due to modest diagnostic accuracy.