ABSTRACT
Background: COVID-19 can show a variable course, from asymptomatic infections to acute respiratory failure and death. For efficient allocation of resources, patients should be stratified according to their risk for a severe course as early as possible. Methods: 135 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia at four German hospitals were prospectively included in this observational study. A standardized clinical laboratory profile was taken at hospital admission and a panel of serum markers with possible roles in the COVID-associated cytokine storm were also determined. 112 patients could be evaluated. The primary endpoint of ventilator requirement or death within 30 days of symptom onset was met by 13 patients. Results: Serum elevations of interleukin-6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) at hospital admission were each highly significantly (p < 0.001) associated with ventilator requirement/death within 30 days of symptom onset. With a sensitivity of 92% and a specificity of 65-67%, IL-6 ≥ 52.8 pg/ml, PCT ≥ 0.11 ng/ml, and CRP ≥ 71.1 mg/L were predictive of a severe course of COVID-19. Positive likelihood ratios were between 2.6-2.8 and negative likelihood ratios were between 0.11-0.13 for these three markers. Conclusion: Negative likelihood ratios indicate that IL-6, PCT, and CRP at hospital admission can be used for identifying patients at low risk for severe COVID-19 progression.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Patients with preclinical left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction (DD) are prone to develop heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Although left atrial (LA) enlargement and deterioration of LA function in apparent DD and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction have been previously described, data regarding phasic LA strain (LAS) in preclinical DD are scarce. METHODS: In a cross-sectional trial, echocardiographic parameters of DD, LA volume index, and global LA reservoir, conduit, and pump function were prospectively analyzed in 473 women from the general population in Berlin, Germany (BErlin Female RIsk evaluation (BEFRI) study), using standard and two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography. RESULTS: One hundred thirty-one women (29.7%) showed early-stage DD (impaired relaxation [DD1]) and 22 (5.0%) showed an echocardiographically more advanced stage of DD (pseudonormal filling [DD2]). Compared with women with normal diastolic function (DD0), those with DD1 displayed lower LA reservoir and conduit function (DD0, 43.2 ± 8.5% and 27.2 ± 8.0%; DD1, 33.3 ± 8.0% and 16.1 ± 7.1%; P < .001) but significantly higher LA pump function (DD0, 17.6 ± 5.4%; DD1, 18.9 ± 5.5%; P < .05). In patients with DD2, all three phases of LAS were markedly impaired compared with those with DD0 (reservoir, conduit, and pump function, 29.0 ± 6.3%, 15.1 ± 5.4% [P < .001], and 14.9 ± 4.1% [P < .05], respectively). LA reservoir and conduit function was significantly associated with DD; in receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, these parameters showed higher diagnostic accuracy in detecting early DD compared with LA volume index. In multivariate analysis, LA reservoir strain remained significantly associated with DD. CONCLUSIONS: All three components of LAS showed specific alterations in different stages of DD. LA reservoir and conduit function was markedly reduced before symptoms, LA enlargement, and elevations of noninvasively estimated LV filling pressures occurred. Analysis of LA function featured higher discriminative strength in diagnosing early-stage DD compared with the well-established parameter LA volume index. Assessment of LAS allows diagnosis of impaired LA function and DD in a subclinical stage and might enable timely preventive and therapeutic interventions.
