[11 C]PBB3 binding in Aß(-) or Aß(+) corticobasal syndrome.

Corticobasal syndrome (CBS) is associated with 4-repeat tauopathy and/or Alzheimer's disease pathologies. To examine tau and amyloid-ß (Aß) deposits in CBS patients using positron emission tomography (PET). Eight CBS patients and three healthy individuals lacking amyloid pathology underwent PET with [11 C]PBB3 for tau imaging, and [11 C]AZD2184 for Aß. Subcortical and cortical binding of [11 C]PBB3 was compared between Aß(-) and Aß(+) CBS patients and reference group. Postmortem analysis was done in one CBS patient. Three CBS patients were considered Aß(+). Total binding was higher in all patients compared to the reference group. Similar regional binding profiles of [11 C]PBB3 in Aß(+) and Aß(-) CBS patients were found. Elevated [11 C]PBB3 binding in pallidum was observed in all CBS patients. Cortical [11 C]PBB3 binding was higher in Aß(+) compared to Aß(-) patients. Postmortem analysis of a CBS patient revealed corticobasal degeneration neuropathology and [11 C]PBB3 autofluorescence in some tau-positive structures. [11 C]PBB3 is elevated in CBS patients with binding in relevant areas capturing some, but not all, 4-repeat tauopathy in CBS.

ß2-Adrenoreceptor Agonists, Montelukast, and Parkinson Disease Risk.

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to examine the association between montelukast use, ß2-adrenoreceptor (ß2AR) agonist use, and later Parkinson disease (PD). METHODS: We ascertained use of ß2AR agonists (430,885 individuals) and montelukast (23,315 individuals) from July 1, 2005 to June 30, 2007, and followed 5,186,886 PD-free individuals from July 1, 2007 to December 31, 2013 for incident PD diagnosis. We estimated hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals using Cox regressions. RESULTS: We observed 16,383 PD cases during on average 6.1 years of follow-up. Overall, use of ß2AR agonists and montelukast were not related to PD incidence. A 38% lower PD incidence was noted among high-dose montelukast users when restricted to PD registered as the primary diagnosis. INTERPRETATION: Overall, our data do not support inverse associations between ß2AR agonists, montelukast, and PD. The prospect of lower PD incidence with high-dose montelukast exposure warrants further investigation, especially with adjustment for high-quality data on smoking. ANN NEUROL 2023;93:1023-1028.

A Randomized, Open-Label Phase II Study Evaluating Emibetuzumab Plus Erlotinib and Emibetuzumab Monotherapy in MET Immunohistochemistry Positive NSCLC Patients with Acquired Resistance to Erlotinib.

INTRODUCTION: The hepatocyte growth factor receptor MET represents a resistance mechanism to epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) inhibition in EGFR mutant (mt) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This Phase 2 study tested whether acquired resistance to erlotinib in MET protein positive NSCLC patients enriched for EGFRmt can be overcome by emibetuzumab plus erlotinib. PATIENT AND METHODS: Patients with Stage IV NSCLC with acquired resistance to erlotinib and MET diagnostic (+) (≥ 10% of cells expressing MET at ≥ 2+ IHC staining intensity at any time) were randomized (3:1) to receive emibetuzumab 750 mg every 2 weeks with or without erlotinib 150 mg once daily. The primary objective was to evaluate the overall response rate (ORR) relative to historic control, with a co-primary objective of ORR in patients with MET expression in ≥ 60% of cells ≥ 2+ (MET ≥ 60%). RESULTS: One hundred and eleven MET+ patients received emibetuzumab plus erlotinib (N = 83) or emibetuzumab monotherapy (N = 28). 89 of 111 MET+ samples were post-erlotinib. ORR was 3.0% for emibetuzumab plus erlotinib (95% CI: 0.4, 10.5) and 4.3% for emibetuzumab (95% CI: 0.1, 21.9), in patients with post-erlotinib progression biopsies available (n = 89). Similar results were observed in patients with MET ≥ 60% expression (n = 74). Disease control rate and progression-free survival were higher for emibetuzumab plus erlotinib (50%/3.3 months) than for emibetuzumab (26%/1.6 months). No unexpected safety signals emerged. Partial responses were observed in patients with and without EGFRmt or MET amplification. EGFR sensitizing mutations were identified retrospectively in 84.2% of those with available tissue (85/101). CONCLUSION: Acquired resistance to erlotinib in MET diagnostic (+) patients was not reversed by emibetuzumab plus erlotinib or emibetuzumab monotherapy, although a subset of patients obtained clinical benefit.

Potential Effects of Leukotriene Receptor Antagonist Montelukast in Treatment of Neuroinflammation in Parkinson's Disease.

Parkinson's disease (PD) is a neurodegenerative disorder where misfolded alpha-synuclein-enriched aggregates called Lewy bodies are central in pathogenesis. No neuroprotective or disease-modifying treatments are currently available. Parkinson's disease is considered a multifactorial disease and evidence from multiple patient studies and animal models has shown a significant immune component during the course of the disease, highlighting immunomodulation as a potential treatment strategy. The immune changes occur centrally, involving microglia and astrocytes but also peripherally with changes to the innate and adaptive immune system. Here, we review current understanding of different components of the PD immune response with a particular emphasis on the leukotriene pathway. We will also describe evidence of montelukast, a leukotriene receptor antagonist, as a possible anti-inflammatory treatment for PD.

A Phase I Study of an IDO-1 Inhibitor (LY3381916) as Monotherapy and in Combination With an Anti-PD-L1 Antibody (LY3300054) in Patients With Advanced Cancer.

LY3381916 is an orally available, highly selective, potent inhibitor of indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase 1. This study explored the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, and antitumor activity of LY3381916 monotherapy and in combination with a programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitor (LY3300054) in patients with advanced solid tumors. During dose escalation, patients received escalating doses of LY3381916 at 60-600 mg once daily (qd) and 240 mg twice daily in monotherapy (n=21) and in combination with PD-L1 inhibitor at 700 mg every 2 weeks (n=21). A modified toxicity probability interval method was used to guide dose escalation. Dose-limiting toxicities occurred in 3 patients; 1 at LY3381916 240 mg twice daily (alanine aminotransferase/aspartate aminotransferase increase and systemic inflammatory response syndrome) and 2 at LY3381916 240 mg qd in combination with PD-L1 inhibitor (fatigue and immune-related hepatitis). LY3381916, at the recommended phase II dose, 240 mg qd, in combination with PD-L1 inhibitor, produced maximal inhibition of indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase 1 activity in plasma and tumor tissue, and led to an increase of CD8 T cells in tumor tissue. In the combination dose expansion cohorts, 14 triple-negative breast cancer and 4 non-small cell lung cancer patients were enrolled. Treatment-related liver toxicity (grade ≥2 alanine aminotransferase/aspartate aminotransferase increase or immune-related hepatitis) was the most prominent adverse event in triple-negative breast cancer patients (n=5, 35.7%). Best response was stable disease. These preliminary data suggest an alternative dose level of LY3381916 is needed for the combination with PD-L1 inhibitor. The combination clinical activity was limited in this study.

Pirtobrutinib in relapsed or refractory B-cell malignancies (BRUIN): a phase 1/2 study.

BACKGROUND: Covalent Bruton's tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitors are efficacious in multiple B-cell malignancies, but patients discontinue these agents due to resistance and intolerance. We evaluated the safety and efficacy of pirtobrutinib (working name; formerly known as LOXO-305), a highly selective, reversible BTK inhibitor, in these patients. METHODS: Patients with previously treated B-cell malignancies were enrolled in a first-in-human, multicentre, open-label, phase 1/2 trial of the BTK inhibitor pirtobrutinib. The primary endpoint was the maximum tolerated dose (phase 1) and overall response rate (ORR; phase 2). This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03740529. FINDINGS: 323 patients were treated with pirtobrutinib across seven dose levels (25 mg, 50 mg, 100 mg, 150 mg, 200 mg, 250 mg, and 300 mg once per day) with linear dose-proportional exposures. No dose-limiting toxicities were observed and the maximum tolerated dose was not reached. The recommended phase 2 dose was 200 mg daily. Adverse events in at least 10% of 323 patients were fatigue (65 [20%]), diarrhoea (55 [17%]), and contusion (42 [13%]). The most common adverse event of grade 3 or higher was neutropenia (32 [10%]). There was no correlation between pirtobrutinib exposure and the frequency of grade 3 treatment-related adverse events. Grade 3 atrial fibrillation or flutter was not observed, and grade 3 haemorrhage was observed in one patient in the setting of mechanical trauma. Five (1%) patients discontinued treatment due to a treatment-related adverse event. In 121 efficacy evaluable patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL) or small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL) treated with a previous covalent BTK inhibitor (median previous lines of treatment 4), the ORR with pirtobrutinib was 62% (95% CI 53-71). The ORR was similar in CLL patients with previous covalent BTK inhibitor resistance (53 [67%] of 79), covalent BTK inhibitor intolerance (22 [52%] of 42), BTK C481-mutant (17 [71%] of 24) and BTK wild-type (43 [66%] of 65) disease. In 52 efficacy evaluable patients with mantle cell lymphoma (MCL) previously treated with covalent BTK inhibitors, the ORR was 52% (95% CI 38-66). Of 117 patients with CLL, SLL, or MCL who responded, all but eight remain progression-free to date. INTERPRETATION: Pirtobrutinib was safe and active in multiple B-cell malignancies, including patients previously treated with covalent BTK inhibitors. Pirtobrutinib might address a growing unmet need for alternative therapies for these patients. FUNDING: Loxo Oncology.

Using Embase as a supplement to PubMed in Cochrane reviews differed across fields.

OBJECTIVE: Medline/PubMed is often first choice for health science researchers when doing literature searches. However, Medline/PubMed does not cover the health science research literature equally well across specialties. Embase is often considered an important supplement to Medline/PubMed in health sciences. The present study analyzes the coverage of Embase as a supplement to PubMed, and the aim of the study is to investigate if searching Embase can compensate for low PubMed retrieval. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: The population in this study is all the included studies in all Cochrane reviews from 2012 to 2016 across the 53 Cochrane groups. The analyses were performed using two units of analysis (study and publication). We are examining the coverage in Embase of publications and studies not covered by PubMed (25,119 publications and 9,420 studies). RESULTS: The results showed that using Embase as a supplement to PubMed resulted in a coverage of 66,994 publications out of 86,167 and a coverage rate of 77.7, 95% CI [75.05, 80.45] of all the included publications. Embase combined with PubMed covered 48,326 out of 54,901 studies and thus had a coverage rate of 88.0%, 95% CI [86.2, 89.9] of studies. The results also showed that supplementing PubMed with Embase increased coverage of included publications by 6.8 percentage points, and the coverage of studies increased by 5.5 percentage points. Substantial differences were found across and within review groups over time. CONCLUSION: The included publications and studies in some groups are covered considerably better by supplementing with Embase, whereas in other groups, the difference in coverage is negligible. However, due to the variation over time, one should be careful predicting the benefit from supplementing PubMed with Embase to retrieve relevant publications to include in a review.

What is spiritual care? Professional perspectives on the concept of spiritual care identified through group concept mapping.

OBJECTIVES: The overall study aim was to synthesise understandings and experiences regarding the concept of spiritual care (SC). More specifically, to identify, organise and prioritise experiences with the way SC is conceived and practised by professionals in research and the clinic. DESIGN: Group concept mapping (GCM). SETTING: The study was conducted within a university setting in Denmark. PARTICIPANTS: Researchers, students and clinicians working with SC on a daily basis in the clinic and/or through research participated in brainstorming (n=15), sorting (n=15), rating and validation (n=13). RESULTS: Applying GCM, ideas were identified, organised and prioritised online. A total of 192 unique ideas of SC were identified and organised into six clusters. The results were discussed and interpreted at a validation meeting. Based on input from the validation meeting a conceptual model was developed. The model highlights three overall themes: (1) 'SC as an integral but overlooked aspect of healthcare' containing the two clusters SC as a part of healthcare and perceived significance; (2) 'delivering SC' containing the three clusters quality in attitude and action, relationship and help and support, and finally (3) 'the role of spirituality' containing a single cluster. CONCLUSION: Because spirituality is predominantly seen as a fundamental aspect of each individual human being, particularly important during suffering, SC should be an integral aspect of healthcare, although it is challenging to handle. SC involves paying attention to patients' values and beliefs, requires adequate skills and is realised in a relationship between healthcare professional and patient founded on trust and confidence.

A Randomized-Controlled Phase 2 Study of the MET Antibody Emibetuzumab in Combination with Erlotinib as First-Line Treatment for EGFR Mutation-Positive NSCLC Patients.

INTRODUCTION: The hepatocyte growth factor receptor mesenchymal-epithelial transition (MET) is reported to be a negative prognostic marker in EGFR-mutant NSCLC and involved in resistance to EGFR inhibitors. Emibetuzumab, a humanized immunoglobulin G4 monoclonal bivalent MET antibody, blocks ligand-dependent and ligand-independent hepatocyte growth factor/MET signaling. This phase 2 study compared erlotinib with and without emibetuzumab in first-line treatment of EGFR-mutant metastatic NSCLC. METHODS: Patients with stage IV EGFR-mutant NSCLC and disease control after an 8-week lead-in with erlotinib (150 mg daily) were randomized to continue taking erlotinib with or without emibetuzumab (750 mg every 2 weeks). The primary end point was progression-free survival (PFS). Additional end points included overall survival, overall response rate, safety, pharmacokinetics, and exploratory analysis of MET expression. RESULTS: No significant difference in median PFS was observed in the intent-to-treat population (9.3 months with emibetuzumab + erlotinib versus 9.5 months with erlotinib monotherapy [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.89, 90% confidence interval (CI): 0.64-1.23]). The median overall survival was 34.3 months with emibetuzumab plus erlotinib versus 25.4 months with erlotinib (HR = 0.74, 90% CI: 0.49-1.11). Emibetuzumab plus erlotinib was well tolerated, with peripheral edema and mucositis as the only adverse events occurring 10% or more frequently relative to erlotinib. Exploratory post hoc analysis showed an improvement of 15.3 months in median PFS for the 24 patients with the highest MET expression (MET expression level of 3+ in ≥90% of tumor cells) (20.7 with emibetuzumab + erlotinib versus 5.4 months with erlotinib [HR = 0.39, 90% CI: 0.17-0.91]). CONCLUSIONS: No statistically significant difference in PFS was noted in the intent-to-treat population. Exploratory analysis confirmed that high MET expression is a negative prognostic marker for patients treated with erlotinib, indicating that emibetuzumab plus erlotinib may provide clinically meaningful benefit.

First-in-Human Phase I Study of Merestinib, an Oral Multikinase Inhibitor, in Patients with Advanced Cancer.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this nonrandomized, open-label, phase I study (NCT01285037) was to evaluate the safety and tolerability of merestinib, an oral antiproliferative and antiangiogenic kinase inhibitor, and to determine a recommended phase II dose and schedule for patients with advanced cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a multicenter, nonrandomized, open-label, phase I study of oral merestinib consisting of six parts: dose escalation (part A), followed by a four-cohort dose-confirmation study (part B) and subsequently a four-part dose expansion and combination safety testing of merestinib with standard doses of cetuximab (part C), cisplatin (part D), gemcitabine and cisplatin (part E), and ramucirumab (part F) in patients with specific types of advanced cancers. Safety, tolerability, antitumor activity, and pharmacokinetics were evaluated in all cohorts. RESULTS: The dose escalation, confirmation, and expansion results support the dosing of merestinib at 120 mg once daily, based on acceptable exposure and safety at this dose. One complete response was observed in a patient with cholangiocarcinoma, and three patients with cholangiocarcinoma achieved a partial response. Overall, 60 (32%) of the 186 patients enrolled in the study had a best response of stable disease. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that merestinib has a tolerable safety profile and potential anticancer activity and warrants further clinical investigation. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: Merestinib treatment in patients with advanced cancer demonstrated an acceptable safety profile and potential antitumor activity, supporting its future development in specific disease populations as a monotherapy and/or in combination with other therapies.

Systematic Modeling and Design Evaluation of Unperturbed Tumor Dynamics in Xenografts.

Xenograft mice are largely used to evaluate the efficacy of oncological drugs during preclinical phases of drug discovery and development. Mathematical models provide a useful tool to quantitatively characterize tumor growth dynamics and also optimize upcoming experiments. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report where unperturbed growth of a large set of tumor cell lines (n = 28) has been systematically analyzed using a previously proposed model of nonlinear mixed effects (NLME). Exponential growth was identified as the governing mechanism in the majority of the cell lines, with constant rate values ranging from 0.0204 to 0.203 day-1 No common patterns could be observed across tumor types, highlighting the importance of combining information from different cell lines when evaluating drug activity. Overall, typical model parameters were precisely estimated using designs in which tumor size measurements were taken every 2 days. Moreover, reducing the number of measurements to twice per week, or even once per week for cell lines with low growth rates, showed little impact on parameter precision. However, a sample size of at least 50 mice is needed to accurately characterize parameter variability (i.e., relative S.E. values below 50%). This work illustrates the feasibility of systematically applying NLME models to characterize tumor growth in drug discovery and development, and constitutes a valuable source of data to optimize experimental designs by providing an a priori sampling window and minimizing the number of samples required.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Necitumumab in Cancer Patients.

Necitumumab is a second-generation, recombinant, human immunoglobulin G1, epidermal growth factor (EGFR) receptor antibody that specifically blocks the ligand binding site of EGFR. Necitumumab potentially acts by blocking ligand epidermal growth factor (EGF) binding-mediated activation of the EGFR signaling pathway, inhibiting tumor growth, angiogenesis, and anti-apoptotic mechanisms. Necitumumab inhibited the interaction of EGF and EGFR with a concentration that inhibits binding by 50 % of approximately 0.9 nM (0.13 mg/L) and demonstrated antitumor activity during in vivo experiments associated with trough plasma concentrations of approximately 40 mg/L. This work describes the population pharmacokinetics of necitumumab in cancer patients when administered with or without concomitant chemotherapy and evaluates patient characteristics that may guide dosing. Nonlinear mixed-effects modeling of serum concentration data across five clinical studies (phases I-III) indicated that necitumumab exhibited target-mediated drug disposition, commonly observed with monoclonal antibodies, and that pharmacokinetics were expected to be linear in the studied dose ranges when administered as repeated infusions. No age, sex, race, or concomitant medication factors were found influential, while weight was a statistically significant factor for both distribution and elimination. Simulations from the final model indicated that only a limited reduction in patient drug exposure variability would be achieved by weight- or body surface area-based dosing. Necitumumab effective half-life was estimated to approximately 2 weeks, and steady state was achieved within three to four cycles of treatment. The phase III dosing schedule of 800 mg dosed on days 1 and 8 of a 21-day schedule resulted in serum concentrations that exceeded the 40-mg/L threshold indicated by preclinical experiments.

Evaluation of the effect of necitumumab on the corrected QT interval in patients with advanced solid tumors.

PURPOSE: Necitumumab is a second-generation, recombinant, human immunoglobulin G1 monoclonal antibody that blocks the ligand binding site of the epidermal growth factor receptor. The primary objective of this phase 2 study, conducted in accordance with International Conference on Harmonisation E14 guidance, was to determine the effect of necitumumab treatment on QT/QTc interval in patients with advanced solid tumors. METHODS: Patients received necitumumab monotherapy at an absolute dose of 800 mg, once per week for each 6-week cycle. Triplicate electrocardiogram readings were taken at pretreatment (baseline) and then weekly at multiple timepoints that were time-matched with blood samples to determine necitumumab concentrations. RESULTS: Seventy-five patients received treatment. Overall, the upper bound of the two-sided 90 % confidence interval for mean change from baseline in QTc in cycle 1 did not exceed 10 ms. No patients had a mean QTcF interval >500 ms, and no patients had an increase of >60 ms. Necitumumab concentration-QTc analysis also showed that necitumumab is unlikely to cause QTc prolongation. CONCLUSIONS: The results demonstrate lack of effect of necitumumab on the QTc interval in heavily pretreated patients with advanced solid tumors, suggesting that QT prolongation is not a major safety concern for necitumumab at the recommended therapeutic dose. The safety profile was consistent with the known safety profile of necitumumab.

The bibliometric analysis of scholarly production: How great is the impact?

Bibliometric methods or "analysis" are now firmly established as scientific specialties and are an integral part of research evaluation methodology especially within the scientific and applied fields. The methods are used increasingly when studying various aspects of science and also in the way institutions and universities are ranked worldwide. A sufficient number of studies have been completed, and with the resulting literature, it is now possible to analyse the bibliometric method by using its own methodology. The bibliometric literature in this study, which was extracted from Web of Science, is divided into two parts using a method comparable to the method of Jonkers et al. (Characteristics of bibliometrics articles in library and information sciences (LIS) and other journals, pp. 449-551, 2012: The publications either lie within the Information and Library Science (ILS) category or within the non-ILS category which includes more applied, "subject" based studies. The impact in the different groupings is judged by means of citation analysis using normalized data and an almost linear increase can be observed from 1994 onwards in the non-ILS category. The implication for the dissemination and use of the bibliometric methods in the different contexts is discussed. A keyword analysis identifies the most popular subjects covered by bibliometric analysis, and multidisciplinary articles are shown to have the highest impact. A noticeable shift is observed in those countries which contribute to the pool of bibliometric analysis, as well as a self-perpetuating effect in giving and taking references.

Identification of environmentally relevant chemicals in bibliographic databases: a comparative analysis.

Valid and reliable information on the use and effects of chemicals is a key factor in the industry and not least within many regulatory agencies. Identification data from lists of substances sometimes leads to incomplete bibliographic analysis in the major chemical databases. The present study takes as its starting point environmentally important chemicals and the retrieval of selectively chosen substances in the four databases: SciFinder, Web of Science (WoS), Scopus and Google Scholar. The way chemical data are stored in the databases plays a major role in the recovery process but differences in coverage, sometimes major, are still found. No single database records all publications about a substance. Inspection of individual titles is necessary when performing a complete count of references. Special care is taken in order to make data from the different databases comparable using the same journals and time periods (2000-2009). A number of nomenclature as well as problems related to the chemical structure and function, often inherent in quantitative or qualitative bibliographic studies of chemicals, are discussed. The practical implications for registration of chemicals in different databases are demonstrated.

The Matthew effect in environmental science publication: a bibliometric analysis of chemical substances in journal articles.

BACKGROUND: While environmental research addresses scientific questions of possible societal relevance, it is unclear to what degree research focuses on environmental chemicals in need of documentation for risk assessment purposes. METHODS: In a bibliometric analysis, we used SciFinder to extract Chemical Abstract Service (CAS) numbers for chemicals addressed by publications in the 78 major environmental science journals during 2000-2009. The Web of Science was used to conduct title searches to determine long-term trends for prominent substances and substances considered in need of research attention. RESULTS: The 119,636 journal articles found had 760,056 CAS number links during 2000-2009. The top-20 environmental chemicals consisted of metals, (chlorinated) biphenyls, polyaromatic hydrocarbons, benzene, and ethanol and contributed 12% toward the total number of links- Each of the top-20 substances was covered by 2,000-10,000 articles during the decade. The numbers for the 10-year period were similar to the total numbers of pre-2000 articles on the same chemicals. However, substances considered a high priority from a regulatory viewpoint, due to lack of documentation, showed very low publication rates. The persistence in the scientific literature of the top-20 chemicals was only weakly related to their publication in journals with a high impact factor, but some substances achieved high citation rates. CONCLUSIONS: The persistence of some environmental chemicals in the scientific literature may be due to a 'Matthew' principle of maintaining prominence for the very reason of having been well researched. Such bias detracts from the societal needs for documentation on less well known environmental hazards, and it may also impact negatively on the potentials for innovation and discovery in research.

Population pharmacokinetics of tacrolimus in pediatric liver transplantation: early posttransplantation clearance.

BACKGROUND: Tacrolimus is an immunosuppressant with a narrow therapeutic window, with considerable pharmacokinetic variability. Getting sufficient concentrations in pediatric liver transplantation is imperative, but it has proven difficult in the immediate posttransplantation period in particular. A predictive pharmacokinetic model could be the basis for development of a novel initial dose schedule, and therapeutic drug monitoring with Bayesian methodology. METHODS: The predictive capacity of 2 previously developed population pharmacokinetic models of tacrolimus in pediatric liver transplant recipients was tested in 20 new patients using Bayesian forecasting. Predictive performance was poor in the immediate posttransplant period with tacrolimus pharmacokinetics changing rapidly. A new population pharmacokinetic model, focusing on the immediate posttransplant period, was subsequently developed in 73 patients. RESULTS: An increase in the apparent clearance of tacrolimus in the first few weeks after transplant was evident. Typical apparent clearance of tacrolimus was 0.148 L·h(-1)·kg(-0.75) immediately after transplantation, increasing to a maximum of 1.37 L·h(-1)·kg(-0.75). Typical apparent distribution volume was 27.2 L/kg. Internal and external validation studies confirmed the predictive capabilities of the developed model. Simulation studies reveal that in 60% of subjects the current initial standard dose without subsequent dosage adjustments overshoot the desired trough concentration range of 10-20 ng/mL. An alternative dosing schedule was developed based on allometric scaling with an initial loading dose followed by a maintenance dose increasing with time. CONCLUSIONS: A population pharmacokinetic model for tacrolimus was developed, to better describe the early posttransplantation phase. This model has the potential to aid therapeutic drug monitoring and was also used to suggest a revised dosing scheme in the intended population.

Prediction-corrected visual predictive checks for diagnosing nonlinear mixed-effects models.

Informative diagnostic tools are vital to the development of useful mixed-effects models. The Visual Predictive Check (VPC) is a popular tool for evaluating the performance of population PK and PKPD models. Ideally, a VPC will diagnose both the fixed and random effects in a mixed-effects model. In many cases, this can be done by comparing different percentiles of the observed data to percentiles of simulated data, generally grouped together within bins of an independent variable. However, the diagnostic value of a VPC can be hampered by binning across a large variability in dose and/or influential covariates. VPCs can also be misleading if applied to data following adaptive designs such as dose adjustments. The prediction-corrected VPC (pcVPC) offers a solution to these problems while retaining the visual interpretation of the traditional VPC. In a pcVPC, the variability coming from binning across independent variables is removed by normalizing the observed and simulated dependent variable based on the typical population prediction for the median independent variable in the bin. The principal benefit with the pcVPC has been explored by application to both simulated and real examples of PK and PKPD models. The investigated examples demonstrate that pcVPCs have an enhanced ability to diagnose model misspecification especially with respect to random effects models in a range of situations. The pcVPC was in contrast to traditional VPCs shown to be readily applicable to data from studies with a priori and/or a posteriori dose adaptations.

Model-based neutrophil-guided dose adaptation in chemotherapy: evaluation of predicted outcome with different types and amounts of information.

One of the most employed approaches to reduce severe neutropenia following anticancer drug regimens is to reduce the consecutive dose in fixed steps, commonly by 25%. Another approach has been to use pharmacokinetic (PK) sampling to tailor dosing, but only rarely have model-based computer approaches utilizing collected PK and/or pharmacodynamic (PD) data been used. A semi-mechanistic model for myelosuppression that can characterize the interindividual and interoccasion variability in the time-course of neutrophils following administration of a wide range of anticancer drugs may be used in a clinical setting for model-based dose individualization. The aim of this study was to compare current stepwise procedures to model-based dose adaptation by simulations, and investigate if the overall dose intensity in the population could be increased without increasing the risk of severe toxicity. The value of various amounts of PK- and/or PD-information was compared to standard dosing strategies using a maximum a posteriori procedure in NONMEM. The results showed that when information on neutrophil counts was available, the additional improvement from PK sampling was negligible. Using neutrophil sampling at baseline and an observation near the predicted nadir increased the number of patients in the target range by 27% in comparison with a one-sided 25% dose adjustment schedule, while keeping the number of patients experiencing severe toxicity at a comparable low level after five courses of treatment. High interindividual variability did not limit the benefit of model-based dose adaptation, whereas high interoccasion variability was predicted to make any dose adaptation method less successful. This study indicates that for successful model-based dose adaptation clinically, there is no need for drug concentration sampling, and that one extra neutrophil measurement in addition to the pre-treatment value is sufficient to limit severe neutropenia while increasing dose intensity.