Liver fibrosis showed a two-phase regression rate during long-term anti-HBV therapy by three-time biopsies assessments.

BACKGROUND: Evidence has proven that liver fibrosis or even cirrhosis can be reversed by anti-HBV treatment. However, the difference of fibrosis regression rates in short-term and long-term antiviral therapy remain unclear. Therefore, we aimed to identify the dynamic changes in fibrosis regression rate in patients with three-time liver biopsies during 5 years antiviral therapy. METHODS: CHB patients with three times of liver biopsies (baseline, after 1.5-year and 5-year antiviral therapy) from a prospective cohort were enrolled. All patients were biopsy-proved Ishak stage ≥ 3 at baseline (n = 92). Fibrosis regression was defined as Ishak stage decreased ≥ 1 or predominantly regressive categorized by P-I-R score. RESULTS: Totals of 65.2% (60/92) and 80.4% (74/92) patients attained fibrosis regression after 1.5-year and 5-year therapy, respectively. Median HBV DNA level declined from 6.5 log IU/ml (baseline) to 0 log IU/ml (1.5 years and 5 years, P < 0.001). The mean level of Ishak fibrosis stage in all patients decreased from stage 4.1 (baseline) to 3.7 (1.5 years) then 3.2 (5 years). Fibrosis regression rates were 0.27 stage/year between baseline to year 1.5 and 0.14 stage/year between year 1.5 and year 5. Furthermore, for patients who attained fibrosis regression after 5-year antiviral therapy, the two-phase regression rates were 0.39 stage/year (0 year-1.5 years) and 0.20 stage/year (1.5 years-5 years). This two-phase feature of regression rate was further confirmed by fully-quantification assessment of liver fibrosis based on SHG/TPEF. CONCLUSION: During the 5 years of long-term antiviral treatment, liver fibrosis rapidly regresses in the first 1.5 years before slowing down in the following 3.5 years.

Crosstalk of lysyl oxidase-like 1 and lysyl oxidase prolongs their half-lives and regulates liver fibrosis through Notch signal.

BACKGROUND: Lysyl oxidase (LOX) family members (LOX and LOXL1 to 4) are crucial copper-dependent enzymes responsible for cross-linking collagen and elastin. Previous studies have revealed that LOX and LOXL1 are the most dramatically dysregulated LOX isoforms during liver fibrosis. However, the crosstalk between them and the underlying mechanisms involved in the profibrotic behaviors of HSCs, as well as the progression of liver fibrosis, remain unclear. METHODS: pCol9GFP-HS4,5Tg mice, Loxl1fl/flGfapCre mice, human HSC line, and primary HSCs were enrolled to study the dysregulation pattern, profibrotic roles, and the potential mechanisms of LOX and LOXL1 interaction involved in the myofibroblast-like transition of HSCs and liver fibrogenesis. RESULTS: LOX and LOXL1 were synergistically upregulated during liver fibrogenesis, irrespective of etiology, together orchestrating the profibrotic behaviors of HSCs. LOX and LOXL1 coregulated in HSCs, whereas LOXL1 dominated in the coregulation loop. Interestingly, the interaction between LOXL1 and LOX prolonged their half-lives, specifically enhancing the Notch signal-mediated myofibroblast-like transition of HSCs. Selective disruption of Loxl1 in Gfap+ HSCs deactivated the Notch signal, inhibited HSC activation, and relieved carbon tetrachloride-induced liver fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: Our current study confirmed the synergistic roles and the underlying mechanisms of LOXL1 and LOX crosstalk in the profibrotic behaviors of HSCs and liver fibrosis progression, providing experimental evidence for further clear mechanism-based anti-LOXL1 strategy development in the therapy of liver fibrosis.

Carvedilol Plus NUC for Patients With HBV-Compensated Cirrhosis Under Virological Suppression: A Randomized Open-Label Trial.

INTRODUCTION: Portal hypertension progression can be relieved after controlling the etiology of liver cirrhosis. Whether beta-blockers could additionally enhance the effects during treatment, particularly for small esophageal varices (EV), was unclear. This study aims to assess the efficacy of add-on carvedilol to delay EV progression during anti-hepatitis B virus (HBV) treatment in HBV-related cirrhosis. METHODS: This randomized controlled trial enrolled patients with virologically suppressed HBV-compensated cirrhosis and small/medium EV. The participants were randomly assigned to receive nucleos(t)ide analog (NUC) or carvedilol 12.5 mg plus NUC (1:1 allocation ratio). The primary end point was the progression rate of EV at 2 years of follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 238 patients (small EV, 77.3%) were randomized into 119 NUC and 119 carvedilol plus NUC (carvedilol [CARV] combination group). Among them, 205 patients (86.1%) completed paired endoscopies. EV progression rate was 15.5% (16/103) in the NUC group and 12.7% (13/102) in the CARV combination group (relative risk = 0.79, 95% confidence interval 0.36-1.75, P = 0.567). Subgroup analysis on medium EV showed the CARV combination group had a more favorable effect in promoting EV regression (43.5% vs 13.1%, P = 0.022) than NUC alone, but not in small cases ( P = 0.534). The incidence of liver-related events (decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, or death/liver transplantation) within 2 years was similar between the 2 groups (11.2% vs 10.4%, P = 0.881). DISCUSSION: The overall results did not show statistically significant differences between the added carvedilol strategy and NUC monotherapy in preventing EV progression in patients with virologically suppressed HBV-compensated cirrhosis. However, the carvedilol-added approach might offer improved outcomes specifically for patients with medium EV (NCT03736265).

Regression of Liver Fibrosis in Patients on Hepatitis B Therapy Is Associated With Decreased Liver-Related Events.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B can regress with successful antiviral therapy. However, the long-term clinical benefits of fibrosis regression have not been fully elucidated. This study investigated the association between biopsy-proven fibrosis regression by predominantly progressive, indeterminate, and predominantly regressive (P-I-R) score and liver-related events (LREs) in chronic hepatitis B patients. METHODS: Patients with on-treatment liver biopsy and significant fibrosis/cirrhosis (Ishak stage ≥3) were included in this analysis. Fibrosis regression was evaluated according to the P-I-R score of the Beijing Classification. LREs were defined as decompensations, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, or death. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine associations of fibrosis regression with LREs. RESULTS: A total of 733 patients with Ishak stages 3/4 (n = 456; 62.2%) and cirrhosis (Ishak stages 5/6; n = 277; 37.8%) by on-treatment liver biopsy were enrolled. According to the P-I-R score, fibrosis regression, indeterminate, and progression were observed in 314 (42.8%), 230 (31.4%), and 189 (25.8%) patients, respectively. The 7-year cumulative incidence of LREs was 4.1%, 8.7%, and 18.1% in regression, indeterminate, and progression, respectively (log-rank, P < .001). Compared with patients with fibrosis progression, those with fibrosis regression had a lower risk of LREs (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.16-0.99; P = .047), followed by the indeterminate group (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.40-1.85; P = .691). Notably, this favorable association also was observed in patients with cirrhosis or low platelet counts (<150 × 109/L). CONCLUSIONS: Antiviral therapy-induced liver fibrosis regression assessed by P-I-R score is associated with reduced LREs. This shows the utility of histologic fibrosis regression assessed by on-treatment P-I-R score as a surrogate endpoint for clinical events in patients with hepatitis B virus-related fibrosis or early cirrhosis.

The utility of P-I-R classification in predicting the on-treatment histological and clinical outcomes of patients with hepatitis B and advanced liver fibrosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The predominantly progressive, indeterminate, and predominantly regressive (P-I-R) classification extends beyond staging and provides information on dynamic changes of liver fibrosis. However, the prognostic implication of P-I-R classification is not elucidated. Therefore, in the present research, we investigated the utility of P-I-R classification in predicting the on-treatment clinical outcomes. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In an extension study on a randomized controlled trial, we originally enrolled 1000 patients with chronic hepatitis B and biopsy-proven histological significant fibrosis, and treated them for more than 7 years with entecavir-based therapy. Among the 727 patients with a second biopsy at treatment week 72, we compared P-I-R classification and Ishak score changes in 646 patients with adequate liver sections for the histological evaluation. Progressive, indeterminate, and regressive cases were observed in 70%, 17%, and 13% of patients before treatments and 20%, 14%, and 64% after 72-week treatment, respectively, which could further differentiate the histological outcomes of patients with stable Ishak scores. The 7-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 1.5% for the regressive cases, 4.3% for the indeterminate cases, and 22.8% for the progressive cases ( p <0.001). After adjusting for age, treatment regimen, platelet counts, cirrhosis, Ishak fibrosis score changes, and Laennec staging, the posttreatment progressive had a HR of 17.77 (vs. posttreatment regressive; 95% CI: 5.55-56.88) for the incidence of liver-related events (decompensation, HCC, and death/liver transplantation). CONCLUSIONS: The P-I-R classification can be a meaningful complement to the Ishak fibrosis score not only in evaluating the histological changes but also in predicting the clinical outcomes.

Persistent steatosis correlates with decreased fibrosis regression during anti-HBV treatment in patients with chronic HBV infection.

Despite the increasing prevalence of steatosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), whether the changes in steatosis impact fibrosis regression during antiviral therapy remain unclear. We aimed to identify the association between histological changes of steatosis and fibrosis in patients undergone antiviral treatment. Patients with paired liver biopsies before and after 78 weeks of antiviral therapy were enrolled in this study. Liver fibrosis was assessed by the Ishak score combined with Beijing Classification predominantly progressive, indeterminate, and predominately regressive score. Steatosis was evaluated by the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score. Collagen in each site was quantitated by second harmonic generation/two photon excitation fluorescence technology. Serum proteomic changes after treatment were characterized by mass-based spectrometry. A total of 239 CHB patients were included and divided into four groups according to the changes in steatosis: 162 (67.8%) had no steatosis throughout, 24 (10.0%) developed new-onset steatosis, 21 (8.8%) had initial steatosis which disappeared, and 32 (13.4%) had persistent steatosis. The persistent steatosis group showed the lowest rate of fibrosis regression (14/32, 43.8%). Persistent steatosis correlated with decreased fibrosis regression significantly after adjusting for age, sex, fibrosis stage, and metabolic factors at baseline, as well as the viral response (adjusted odds ratio = 0.380, 95% confidence interval 0.145-0.996, p = 0.049). This decreased fibrosis regression was associated with accumulated collagen in the perisinusoidal area. Patients with persistent steatosis showed unique changes in glycolipid metabolism according to the serum proteomic atlas. Persistent steatosis correlated with decreased fibrosis regression during antiviral therapy in patients with CHB.

Recompensation in treatment-naïve HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis: a 5-year multi-center observational study comparing patients with ascites and bleeding.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Recompensation between patients with ascites and bleeding was unknown in treatment-naïve HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis. METHODS: In this retrospective multi-center study, treatment-naïve HBV-related decompensated patients were enrolled at first decompensating event of ascites and/or variceal bleeding. Further complications and clinical characteristics were collected using standard case report form every 6 months to year-5 of antiviral treatment. Recompensation was defined as maintaining free of decompensation for one year and achieving liver function within Child-Pugh A and/or MELD < 10. RESULTS: Totally, 170 (170/298, 57.0%) patients in ascites group of 298 (298/383, 77.8%) treatment-naïve decompensated patients and 33 (33/85, 38.8%) in bleeding group of 85 (85/383, 22.2%) patients, achieved recompensation. Ascites group had higher 5-year rate of recompensation than bleeding group (63.3% vs. 46.5%, p = 0.012), respectively. Patients achieving recompensation in ascites group maintained lower rate of second decompensation than these in bleeding group (at year-5: 26.7% vs. 43.3%, p = 0.032). Specifically, recompensated patients in ascites group had predominantly 5-year rate of further ascites (24.0%) and lower rate of further bleeding (6.0%), which differed from the pattern of these in bleeding group, with lower rate of further ascites (16.0%, p = 0.599) and significantly higher rate of further bleeding (33.9%, p < 0.001). Both patients had superior long-term prognosis (death/LT rate at year-5: 0.6% vs. 3.0%, p = 0.196). CONCLUSION: Ascites patients could achieve higher rate of recompensation through antiviral therapy than bleeding patients. Recompensated patients in ascites group had better prognosis in terms of preventing further bleeding.

Hepatocellular carcinoma prediction model performance decreases with long-term antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B patients.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Existing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models are derived mainly from pretreatment or early on-treatment parameters. We reassessed the dynamic changes in the performance of 17 HCC models in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) during long-term antiviral therapy (AVT). METHODS: Among 987 CHB patients administered long-term entecavir therapy, 660 patients had 8 years of follow-up data. Model scores were calculated using on-treatment values at 2.5, 3, 3.5, 4, 4.5, and 5 years of AVT to predict threeyear HCC occurrence. Model performance was assessed with the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC). The original model cutoffs to distinguish different levels of HCC risk were evaluated by the log-rank test. RESULTS: The AUROCs of the 17 HCC models varied from 0.51 to 0.78 when using on-treatment scores from years 2.5 to 5. Models with a cirrhosis variable showed numerically higher AUROCs (pooled at 0.65-0.73 for treated, untreated, or mixed treatment models) than models without (treated or mixed models: 0.61-0.68; untreated models: 0.51-0.59). Stratification into low, intermediate, and high-risk levels using the original cutoff values could no longer reflect the true HCC incidence using scores after 3.5 years of AVT for models without cirrhosis and after 4 years of AVT for models with cirrhosis. CONCLUSION: The performance of existing HCC prediction models, especially models without the cirrhosis variable, decreased in CHB patients on long-term AVT. The optimization of existing models or the development of novel models for better HCC prediction during long-term AVT is warranted.

A new glutamine synthetase index to evaluate hepatic lobular restoration in advanced fibrosis during anti-HBV therapy.

Hepatic lobular architecture distortion is a deleterious turning point and a crucial histological feature of advanced liver fibrosis in chronic liver diseases. Regression of fibrosis has been documented in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. However, whether lobular architecture could be restored following fibrosis regression after antiviral therapy is still unclear. Glutamine synthetase (GS) is generally expressed by perivenular hepatocytes around hepatic veins (HV). In this study, we defined abnormal lobular architecture (GSPT ) as GS expressing in the vicinity of portal tracts (PT), which denotes parenchymal extinction and lobular collapse. We defined normal lobular architecture (GSHV ) as GS positivity area not approximating PTs. Therefore, we propose a new GS-index, defined as the percentage of GSHV /(GSHV + GSPT ), to evaluate the extent of architectural disruption and restoration. We evaluated 43 CHB patients with advanced fibrosis (Ishak stage ≥4). Posttreatment liver biopsy was performed after 78 weeks of anti-HBV therapy. The median GS-index improved from 7% (interquartile range [IQR]: 0%-23%) at baseline to 36% (IQR: 20%-57%) at Week 78 (p < 0.001). Totals of 22 patients (51%) had significant GS-index improvement from 0% (IQR: 0%-13%) to 55% (IQR: 44%-81%), while the other half had almost no change between 17% (IQR: 0%-33%) to 20% (IQR: 12%-31%). When GS-index78w ≥ 50% was used to define hepatic lobular restoration, 37% of patients (16/43) achieved lobular restoration, with much improvement in alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels (median value of ∆/Baseline in ALT: restored vs. nonrestored was 79.1% vs. 48.8%, p = 0.018; median value of ∆/Baseline in AST: restored vs. nonrestored was 69.1% vs. 32.5%, p = 0.005). More importantly, lobular restoration correlated with fibrosis regression (median value of ∆/Baseline in Ishak stage: restored vs. nonrestored was 25.0% vs. 0%, p = 0.008). Therefore, in the era of antiviral therapy for CHB, restoration of hepatic lobular architecture is achievable in patients with advanced fibrosis. GS-index provides additional insight into fibrosis regression that goes beyond collagen degradation.

Two-year free of complications during antiviral therapy predicts stable re-compensation in immediate-treatment HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Disease progression could be altered or even reversed in decompensated patients with HBV-related cirrhosis once they initiate antiviral therapy. However, little is known about the stable re-compensation in these patients. METHODS: In this retrospective study, HBV-related liver cirrhosis patients were consecutively enrolled at the first decompensated event of ascites or variceal hemorrhage (VH), and divided into immediate-treatment, on-treatment and delayed/no treatment groups. Patients were followed up to at least presence of second decompensation event or to June 2021. Re-compensation was defined as patients who did not occur second (further) decompensation during follow-up. RESULTS: A total of 130 HBV-related decompensated cirrhotic patients were included with a median follow-up of 61.0 (41.6, 72.0) months. The cumulative incidence of re-compensation at year 6 was 39.0, 9.8 and 6.6 in immediate-treatment, on-treatment and delayed/no treatment group (p = 0.001). Among 87 patients in immediate-treatment group, thirty-seven (37/87, 42.5%) were recognized as stable re-compensation. Seventy percent (35/50) of second decompensated events occurred in the first 2 years. In patients free of 2-year decompensated complications, about 71.2% (37/52) maintained stable re-compensation. The cumulative incidence of death (and/or transplantation) and HCC in patients free of 2-year decompensated complications or not was 2.9 vs. 27.3% (HR 9.4, 95% CI 2.2-40.0, p = 0.002) and 12.6 vs. 37.7% (HR 4.5, 95% CI 1.5-13.3, p = 0.006), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In decompensated patients with HBV-related cirrhosis, about 40% in immediate-treatment group maintained stable re-compensation during 6 years of antiviral therapy. Two-year free of complications could predict stable re-compensation.

Comparative Performance of 14 HCC Prediction Models in CHB: A Dynamic Validation at Serial On-Treatment Timepoints.

INTRODUCTION: To assess comparative performance of 14 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients using on-treatment values at different timepoints. METHODS: Based on a nationwide prospective cohort of 986 treatment-naive CHB patients undergoing entecavir therapy with every 26-week follow-up, 14 HCC risk scores were calculated using on-treatment values at week 26, 52, 78, and 104, respectively. Model performance predicting 3-year HCC was assessed using time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration index. Model cutoffs were validated through common diagnostic accuracy measures. RESULTS: During median 4.7-year follow-up, 56 (7.5%) developed HCC. Discrimination using on-treatment values within first 2 years was generally acceptable for most models (AUCs ranging from 0.68 to 0.81), except for REACH-B, NGM-HCC, and PAGE-B, although AUCs slightly decreased from week 26 to 104. Of these, REAL-B, CAMD, GAG-HCC, AASL-HCC, LSM-HCC, mPAGE-B, and mREACH-BII showed highest discrimination with AUCs ranging from 0.76 to 0.81, 0.72 to 0.76, 0.70 to 0.76, and 0.71 to 0.74 when reassessment at week 26, 52, 78, and 104, respectively. With reassessment within first 2 years, both REAL-B and CAMD calibrated well (Brier score ranging from 0.037 to 0.052). Of 9 models reporting cutoffs, REAL-B, AASL-HCC, and mPAGE-B using on-treatment values could identify 30%-40% of patients as low risk with minimal HCC incidence in the low-risk group (0.40% [REAL-B]-1.56% [mPAGE-B]). DISCUSSION: In this undergoing antiviral treatment CHB cohort, most HCC prediction models performed well even using on-treatment values during first 2 years, particularly REAL-B, AASL-HCC, CAMD, and mPAGE-B model.

Impact of National Centralized Drug Procurement Policy on Antiviral Utilization and Expenditure for Hepatitis B in China.

Background and Aims: The National Centralized Drug Procurement (NCDP) policy was launched in mainland China in April 2019, with entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) being included in the procurement list. We conducted the current study to investigate the impact of the NCDP policy on the utilization and expenditures of antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in China. Methods: Procurement records, including monthly purchase volume, expenditure, and price of nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs), were derived from the National Healthcare Security Administration from April 2018 to March 2021. The changes in volumes and expenditures of the first-line NAs and bid-winning products were calculated. The effects of price, volume, and structure related to drug expenditure were calculated by the Addis and Magrini (AM) Index System Analysis. Results: The purchase volume of NAs significantly increased from 134.3 to 318.3 million DDDs, whereas the expenditure sharply decreased from 1,623.41 to 490.43 million renminbi (RMB) or 241.94 to 73.09 million US dollars (USD). The proportions of first-line NAs rose from 72.51% (ETV: 69.00%, TDF: 3.51%) to 94.97% (ETV: 77.42%, TDF: 17.55%). AM analysis showed that the NCDP policy decreased the expenditure of all NAs (S=0.91) but increased that of the first-line NAs in the bid-winning list (S=1.13). Assuming the population size of CHB patients remains stable and a compliance rate of ≥75%, the proportion of CHB patients receiving first-line antiviral therapy would increase from 6.36-8.48% to 11.56-15.41%. Conclusions: The implementation of the NCDP policy significantly increased the utilization of first-line NAs for CHB patients at a lower expenditure. The findings provided evidence for optimizing antiviral therapy strategy and allocating medical resources in China.

Health-related quality of life improves after entecavir treatment in patients with compensated HBV cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Antiviral therapy is effective in decreasing disease progression in HBV cirrhosis. However, the long-term effect of antiviral therapy on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients with compensated HBV cirrhosis is unknown. METHODS: The patients with compensated HBV cirrhosis enrolled in a randomized controlled trial of entecavir-based therapy were recruited in the present study, if they had HRQoL score at 5-year follow-up or who developed liver-related events (LRE) during follow-up were included. HRQoL was measured with 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36) and EuroQol-5D (EQ-5D) at baseline and yearly during follow-up. LRE was defined as the development of decompensation, HCC, or death. RESULTS: A total of 161 patients were included in the present study, with a median age of 48.0 (41.0, 53.0) years, 77.6% being male and 37.2% being HBeAg-positive. During 5 years, 45 patients developed LRE. All eight dimensions of SF-36 were significantly improved after 5 years of antiviral therapy (all p < 0.001), with all dimensions improved more than five points except for physical functioning. Proportion of patients reporting no problems in all five dimensions in EQ-5D increased from 57.8 to 72.0%; visual analogue scale (VAS) and utility index (UI) increased significantly (VAS 79.8 ± 16.4 to 84.4 ± 13.2, UI 0.91 ± 0.13 to 0.95 ± 0.10, both p < 0.001). HRQoL improved or kept stable in the majority of patients who had LRE during follow-up, even stratified by Baveno VI criteria for clinically significant portal hypertension. CONCLUSION: After 5 years of ETV treatment, HRQoL significantly improved in patients with compensated HBV cirrhosis. (NCT01943617, NCT02849132).

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prediction Models in Chronic Hepatitis B: A Systematic Review of 14 Models and External Validation.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The aim of our study was to characterize the performance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients through meta-analysis followed by external validation. METHODS: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of current literature, followed by external validation in independent multi-center cohort with 986 patients with CHB undergoing entecavir treatment (median follow-up: 4.7 years). Model performance to predict HCC within 3, 5, 7, and 10 years was assessed using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and calibration index. Subgroup analysis were conducted by treatment status, cirrhotic, race and baseline alanine aminotransferase. RESULTS: We identified 14 models with 123,885 patients (5,452 HCC cases), with REACH-B, CU-HCC, GAG-HCC, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B models being broadly externally validated. Discrimination was generally acceptable for all models, with pooled AUC ranging from 0.70 (95% CI, 0.63-0.76 for REACH-B) to 0.83 (95% CI, 0.78-0.87 for REAL-B) for 3-year, 0.68 (95% CI, 0.64-0.73 for REACH-B) to 0.81 (95% CI, 0.77-0.85 for REAL-B) for 5-year and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.58-0.80 for PAGE-B) to 0.81 (95% CI, 0.78-0.84 for REAL-B and 0.77-0.86 for AASL-HCC) for 10-year prediction. However, calibration performance was poorly reported in most studies. In external validation cohort, REAL-B showed highest discrimination with 0.76 (95% CI, 0.69-0.83) and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.70-0.81) for 3 and 5-year prediction. The REAL-B model was also well calibrated in the external validation cohort (3-year Brier score 0.066). Results were consistent in subgroup analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In a systematic review of available HCC models, the REAL-B model exhibited best discrimination and calibration.

Comparison of fibrosis regression of entecavir alone or combined with pegylated interferon alpha2a in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Antiviral treatment with necleos(t)ide analogues contributes to histological improvement and virologic response in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. However, whether adding pegylated interferon alpha2a (Peg-IFN-α-2a) can help additional clinical benefit, particularly on fibrosis regression was still unknown. METHODS: Chronic hepatitis B patients with pre-treatment biopsy-proven Ishak fibrosis score 2, 3 or 4 were randomly assigned to entecavir (ETV) alone or ETV plus Peg-IFN-α-2a (Peg-IFN-α-2a add-on) group (1:2 ratio). Post-treatment liver biopsy was performed at week 78. Fibrosis regression was defined as decrease in Ishak fibrosis score by ≥ 1 stage or predominantly regressive categorized by P-I-R score. Serum HBV DNA levels were assessed at baseline and every 26 weeks, while HBsAg and HBeAg were evaluated at baseline and every 52 weeks. RESULTS: A total of 218 treatment-naive CHB patients were randomly assigned to ETV alone or Peg-IFN-α-2a add-on group. Totals of 155 patients (ETV alone: Peg-IFN-α-2a add-on, 47:108) were included in statistical analysis. Fibrosis regression rates were 68% (32/47) in the ETV alone and 56% (60/108) in Peg-IFN-α-2a add-on group (p = 0.144). Both groups showed a similar trend of virological suppression during the process of 104-week antiviral therapy (p = 0.132). HBeAg or HBsAg loss or seroconversion rates in the ETV alone group were lower than Peg-IFN-α-2a add-on group though without statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS: Peg-IFN-α-2a add-on therapy did not yield additional fibrosis regression and virologic response than ETV alone therapy.

Prediction of liver-related events in patients with compensated HBV-induced cirrhosis receiving antiviral therapy.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Many models have been developed to predict liver-related events (LRE) in chronic hepatitis B, few focused on compensated HBV-induced cirrhosis. We aimed to describe the incidence of LRE and to determine independent risk predictors of LRE in compensated HBV-induced cirrhosis patients receiving antiviral therapy using routinely available parameters. METHODS: Prospective cohorts of treatment-naïve adults with compensated HBV-induced cirrhosis were enrolled. Patients were treated with entecavir (ETV) or ETV + thymosin-alpha1 (Thy-α1) or lamivudine (LAM) + adefovir (ADV). Data were collected at baseline and every 6 months. LRE was defined as development of decompensation, HCC or death. RESULTS: Totally 937 patients were included, 608 patients treated with ETV, 252 with ETV + Thy-α1, and 77 with LAM + ADV. After a median follow-up of 4.5 years, 88 patients developed LRE including 48 with HCC. The cumulative incidence of LRE at year 1, 3, and 5 was 2.1%, 7.0%, and 12.7%, respectively, and was similar for three treatment groups. All models using variables at month 6 or 12 had better fit than models using baseline values. The best model for prediction of LRE used PLT, GGT, and AFP at month 6 [AUC: 0.762 (0.678-0.814)], for hepatic decompensation-PLT, LSM and GGT at month 12 (AUC: 0.834 (0.675-0.919)), and for HCC-AFP and GGT at month 6 [AUC 0.763 (0.691-0.828)]. All models had negative predictive values of 94.0-98.8%. CONCLUSION: Models using on-treatment variables are more accurate than models using baseline variables in predicting LRE in patient with compensated HBV-induced cirrhosis receiving antiviral therapy. ClincialTrials.gov number NCT01943617, NCT01720238, NCT03366571, NCT02849132.

Screening varices in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis on antiviral therapy: Platelet alone or together with LSM.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive assessment criteria to rule out high-risk varices (HRV) in compensated hepatitis B virus (HBV) cirrhosis on antiviral therapy remains unclear. METHODS: HBV-related compensated cirrhotic patients who underwent screening endoscopy during antiviral therapy were enrolled and randomly divided into the derivation and validation sets. HRV were defined as medium to large varices or small varices with red signs. Univariate and multivariate logistic analysis were used to determine the parameters associated with HRV. RESULTS: A total of 436 HBV-related compensated cirrhotic patients screened for varices were enrolled, the median duration of antiviral therapy was 4 years (IQR: 2.5-5.5 years). In the derivation set (N = 290, 17.2% with HRV), only platelet (PLT) count (OR = 0.972, 95% CI 0.961-0.984, P < .05) was independently associated with HRV, whereas liver stiffness measurement was not associated with the presence of HRV. With a PLT count cut-off value of 105 × 109 /L, unnecessary endoscopies could be spared in 56.9% patients, with a 3.6%. risk of missing HRV. In the validation cohort (N = 146, 16.4% with HRV), the proportion of patients that could safely spare endoscopies (61.0%) identified by this PLT count cut-off value was higher than that obtained by using Baveno VI criteria (34.9%), with an acceptable risk of missing HRV (3.4%). CONCLUSION: Compared with the 'Baveno VI criteria or beyond' criteria, PLT count higher than 105 × 109 /L could safely spare more screening endoscopies without increasing the risk of missing HRV in patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis on antiviral therapy.

Persistent Low Level of Hepatitis B Virus Promotes Fibrosis Progression During Therapy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Progression of liver fibrosis still occurs in some patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection despite antiviral therapy. We aimed to identify risk factors for fibrosis progression in patients who received antiviral therapy. METHODS: We conducted a longitudinal study of patients with chronic HBV infection and liver biopsies collected before and after 78 weeks of anti-HBV therapy. Fibrosis progression was defined as Ishak stage increase ≥ 1 or as predominantly progressive classified by P-I-R system (Beijing Classification). Levels of HBV DNA and HBV RNA in blood samples were measured by real-time quantitative PCR. HBV RNA in liver tissue was detected by in situ hybridization. RESULTS: A total of 239 patients with chronic HBV infection with paired liver biopsies were included. Among the 163 patients with significant fibrosis at baseline (Ishak ≥ stage 3), fibrosis progressed in 22 patients (13%), was indeterminate in 24 patients (15%), and regressed in 117 patients (72%). Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that independent risk factors for fibrosis progression were higher rate of detected HBV DNA at week 78 (odds ratio, 4.84; 95% CI, 1.30-17.98; P = .019) and alcohol intake (odds ratio, 23.84; 95% CI, 2.68-212.50; P = .004). HBV DNA was detected in blood samples from a significantly higher proportion of patients with fibrosis progression (50%) at week 78 than patients with fibrosis regression (19%) or indeterminate fibrosis (26%) (P = .015), despite low viremia (20-200 IU/mL) in all groups. The decrease of serum HBV RNA from baseline in the fibrosis regression group was larger than that in the fibrosis progression group. CONCLUSIONS: In a longitudinal study of patients with chronic HBV infection, we associated liver fibrosis progression at week 78 of treatment with higher rates of detected HBV DNA. We propose that a low level of residual HBV may still promote fibrosis progression, and that patients' levels of HBV DNA should be carefully monitored.

SHG/TPEF-based image technology improves liver fibrosis assessment of minimally sized needle biopsies.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Sampling size variability of liver biopsy remains a major limitation in the assessment of liver fibrosis. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic value of a fully quantitative method (second harmonic generation/two-photon excitation fluorescence, SHG/TPEF based) in "short" liver biopsy samples. METHODS: Liver biopsy samples from chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients were constructed into "virtual" biopsies with different lengths. The original and "virtual" samples were measured by SHG/TPEF-based technology to obtain qFibrosis score, respectively. Here, ΔqFibrosis was defined as difference of qFibrosis between original biopsy and "virtual" biopsy. Equivalence test was used to compare ΔqFibrosis with the clinically acceptable error (deviation of 0.50) in each group. RESULTS: In real-world practice, qFibrosis score increased significantly with fibrosis progression in ≥ 1.5-cm-, 1.0-1.5-cm-, and 0.5-1.0-cm-long specimens (p < 0.05), compared with ≤ 0.5-cm-long specimens (p > 0.05). In virtual biopsy samples with specified length, the equivalence was confirmed in 0.5-1.0-cm- and 1.0-1.5-cm-long specimens (0.27 vs. 0.22, p < 0.001), whereas not in ≤ 0.5-cm-long specimens (0.53, p > 0.05). The number of cross-linked collagen fibers, the total and aggregated collagen proportionate area, and the collagen strings in number, length, width and perimeter showed excellent consistency with original biopsy samples in 0.5-1.0-cm- and 1.0-1.5-cm-long specimens (ICC > 0.90). CONCLUSIONS: The use of SHG/TPEF-based image technology may give useful suggestive information in evaluation of CHB-related liver fibrosis for the short sample (biopsy length > 0.5 cm).

Dynamics of elastin in liver fibrosis: Accumulates late during progression and degrades slowly in regression.

Elastin is an amorphous protein highly resistant to elastase degradation and is believed to be the most stable component among the extracellular matrix (ECM) members. Thus the excessive deposition of elastin in advanced liver fibrosis may contribute to the declining reversibility of the disease. Our previous study has found that elastin crosslinking inhibition can effectively arrest liver fibrosis progression. To further understand the roles of elastin involved in liver fibrosis, we systematically investigated the expression, accumulation, and degradation based on dynamic and bidirectional CCl4 -induced liver fibrosis mouse models and visualized the ultrastructure of elastin globules in cultured LX-2 cells. We found that the expression pattern of tropoelastin (soluble elastin) and collagen I was not completely comparable at both the transcriptional and posttranscriptional levels during liver fibrosis progression and regression. Elastin mainly accumulated onto the internodular fibrous septa and enlarged portal areas and intertwined with collagen I at the late stage of liver fibrosis. Three-dimensional analysis of elastin and collagen I by confocal immunofluorescence coupled with biochemical analyses revealed that with respect to collagen, elastin deposition was characterized by late aggregation in progression and slow turnover in regression. In addition, we visualized the dynamic ultrastructure of ECM fibers during liver fibrogenesis and fibrolysis and the ultrastructure of elastin globules self-aggregated by tropoelastin crosslinking. Our current study established new general hallmarks of elastin levels and forms in progressive and regressive liver fibrosis and provided a foundation for further experimental investigation of the growing role of elastin in liver fibrosis regression.