Cost-effectiveness analysis of the pediatric 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared with lower-valent alternatives in Argentina.

OBJECTIVES: The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) has been recommended for infants in Argentina's national immunization program (NIP) in a 2 + 1 schedule since 2012. Licensure of the 15-valent vaccine (PCV15) is anticipated soon, and the 20-valent vaccine (PCV20) recently received regulatory approval. This cost-effectiveness analysis examined the public health and economic implications of transitioning from PCV13 to either PCV15 or PCV20 in Argentina's pediatric NIP. METHODS: A decision-analytic Markov model was used with a 10-year time horizon and a 3.0% annual discount rate for costs and benefits. Vaccine effectiveness estimates were derived from Argentinian surveillance data, PCV13 clinical effectiveness and impact studies, and PCV7 efficacy studies. Population, epidemiologic, and economic inputs were obtained from literature and Argentinian-specific data. The study adopted a healthcare system perspective; sensitivity and scenario analyses were conducted to assess input parameters and structural uncertainty. RESULTS: Compared with PCV13, PCV20 was estimated to avert an additional 7,378, 42,884, and 172,389 cases of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), all-cause pneumonia, and all-cause otitis media (OM), respectively, as well as 3,308 deaths, resulting in savings of United States Dollars (USD) 50,973,962 in direct medical costs. Compared with PCV15, PCV20 was also estimated to have greater benefit, averting an additional 6,140, 35,258, and 142,366 cases of IPD, pneumonia, and OM, respectively, as well as 2,624 deaths, resulting in savings of USD 37,697,868 in direct medical costs. PCV20 was associated with a higher quality-adjusted life year gain and a lower cost (i.e., dominance) versus both PCV13 and PCV15. Results remained robust in sensitivity analyses and scenario assessments. CONCLUSION: Over a 10-year horizon, vaccination with PCV20 was expected to be the dominant, cost-saving strategy versus PCV13 and PCV15 in children in Argentina. Policymakers should consider the PCV20 vaccination strategy to achieve the greatest clinical and economic benefit compared with lower-valent options.

Cost-effectiveness of PCV20 to Prevent Pneumococcal Disease in the Pediatric Population: A German Societal Perspective Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Since 2009, a pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) covering 13 serotypes (PCV13) has been included by Germany's Standing Committee on Vaccinations for infants, resulting in major reductions in pneumococcal disease (PD). Higher-valent vaccines may further reduce PD burden. This cost-effectiveness analysis compared 20-valent PCV (PCV20) under a 3+1 schedule with 15-valent PCV (PCV15) and PCV13, both under 2+1 schedule, in Germany's pediatric population. METHODS: A Markov model with annual cycles over a 10-year time horizon was adapted to simulate the clinical and economic impact of pediatric vaccination with PCV20 versus lower-valent PCVs in Germany. The model used PCV13 clinical effectiveness and impact studies as well as PCV7 efficacy studies for vaccine direct and indirect effect estimates. Epidemiologic, utility, and medical cost inputs were obtained from published sources. Benefits and costs were discounted at 3% from a German societal perspective. Outcomes included PD cases, deaths, costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). RESULTS: In the base case, PCV20 provided greater health benefits than PCV13, averting more cases of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD; 15,301), hospitalized and non-hospitalized pneumonia (460,197 and 472,365, respectively), otitis media (531,634), and 59,265 deaths over 10 years. This resulted in 904,854 additional QALYs and a total cost saving of €2,393,263,611, making PCV20 a dominant strategy compared with PCV13. Compared to PCV15, PCV20 was estimated to avert an additional 11,334 IPD, 704,948 pneumonia, and 441,643 otitis media cases, as well as 41,596 deaths. PCV20 was associated with a higher QALY gain and lower cost (i.e., dominance) compared with PCV15. The robustness of the results was confirmed through scenario analyses as well as deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: PCV20 3+1 dominated both PCV13 2+1 and PCV15 2+1 over 10 years. Replacing lower-valent PCVs with PCV20 would result in greater clinical and economic benefits, given PCV20's broader serotype coverage.

Pneumococcal diseases (e.g., ear infections, pneumonia, bloodstream infections) are among the leading causes of illness and death in children worldwide. The pneumococcal conjugate vaccine protects against pneumococcal diseases and has significantly reduced the number of newly diagnosed cases. Higher-valent vaccines (which provide coverage for a greater number of disease-causing serotypes) have recently received European Commission approval for use in adults and  children. This study examined costs and health benefits associated with the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) under a 3+1 (i.e., three primary doses and one booster dose) schedule in Germany's childhood vaccination program compared with 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) and the 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15), both under a 2+1 (two primary doses, one booster) schedule. PCV20 was estimated to result in greater health benefits from avoiding more cases in pneumococcal diseases and lower costs compared with both PCV13 and PCV15. PCV20, therefore, is considered the best option among the three vaccines for children in Germany.

Estimating the Clinical and Economic Impact of Switching from the 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV13) to Higher-Valent Options in Greek Infants.

In June 2010, Greece introduced the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) for pediatric vaccination and has since observed a large decrease in pneumococcal disease caused by these vaccine serotypes, yet the disease prevalence of non-vaccine serotypes has increased. Two higher-valent conjugate vaccines, a 15-valent (PCV15) and a 20-valent (PCV20), were developed to improve serotype coverage and combat serotype replacement. A decision-analytic model was adapted to the Greek setting using historical pneumococcal disease trends from PCV13 to forecast future clinical and economic outcomes of higher-valent PCVs over a 10-year period (2023-2033). The model estimated outcomes related to invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), hospitalized and non-hospitalized pneumonia, and otitis media (OM) resulting from a switch in vaccination programs to PCV15 in 2023 or switching to PCV20 in 2024. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated from the third-party payer's perspective in the Greek healthcare system. Compared to implementing PCV15 one year earlier, switching from PCV13 to PCV20 in 2024 was estimated to be a cost-saving strategy by saving the Greek health system over EUR 50 million in direct medical costs and averting over 250 IPD cases, 54,800 OM cases, 8450 pneumonia cases, and 255 deaths across all ages over a 10-year period.

Reanalysis of the Clinical and Economic Burden of Pneumococcal Disease Due to Serotypes Contained in Current and Investigational Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Children < 5 Age: A Societal Perspective.

INTRODUCTION: Studies that estimate the economic burden of pediatric pneumococcal disease often only report direct medical costs and omit indirect non-medical costs. Given these indirect costs are not included in most calculations, the full economic burden attributable to pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) serotypes is often underestimated. This study seeks to quantify the full broader economic burden of pediatric pneumococcal disease associated with PCV serotypes. METHODS: We conducted a reanalysis of a previous study where non-medical costs associated with caregiving for a child with pneumococcal disease are considered. The annual indirect non-medical economic burden attributed to PCV serotypes was subsequently calculated for 13 countries. We included five countries with 10-valent (PCV10) national immunization programs (NIPs) (Austria, Finland, The Netherlands, New Zealand, and Sweden) and eight countries with 13-valent (PCV13) NIPs (Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, South Korea, Spain, and the UK). Input parameters were derived from published literature. Indirect costs were inflated to 2021 values in US dollars (USD). RESULTS: The total annual indirect economic burden associated with pediatric pneumococcal diseases attributable to PCV10, PCV13, the 15-valent (PCV15), and the 20-valent (PCV20) serotypes were $46.51 million, $158.95 million, $223.00 million, and $413.97 million, respectively. The five countries with PCV10 NIPs bear a greater societal burden associated with PCV13 serotypes, whereas the residual societal burden in the eight countries with PCV13 NIPs was primarily attributable to non-PCV13 serotypes. CONCLUSION: The inclusion of non-medical costs nearly tripled the total economic burden compared with only including direct medical costs estimated from a previous study. The results from this reanalysis can help inform decision-makers on the broader economic societal burden associated with PCV serotypes and the need for higher-valent PCVs.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of the South African Infant National Immunization Program for the Prevention of Pneumococcal Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Pneumococcal disease, which presents a substantial health and economic burden, is prevented through pneumococcal vaccination programs. We assessed the impact of switching from a 13-valent-based (PCV13) to lower 10-valent-based (PCV10-GlaxoSmithKline [GSK] or PCV10-Serum Institute of India [SII]) or higher-valent (PCV15 or PCV20) vaccination programs in South Africa. METHODS: A previously published decision-analytic model was adapted to a South African setting. Historical invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence data were used to project IPD incidence over time for each vaccination program on the basis of serotype coverage. Historical incidence (IPD, pneumonia, otitis media), mortality, costs, and utilities were obtained from the published literature. Cases of disease, direct medical costs (i.e., vaccination, IPD, pneumonia, and otitis media costs) (in 2022 South African rands), life-years, quality-adjusted life-years (QALY), and incremental cost per QALY were estimated over a 5- and 10-year horizon for PCV13 and the PCV10 vaccines. Additionally, a public health impact analysis was conducted comparing PCV13, PCV15, and PCV20. RESULTS: Continuing use of PCV13 would substantially reduce disease incidence over time compared with switching to either of the PCV10 lower-valent vaccines. Cases of IPD were reduced by 4.22% and 34.70% when PCV13 was compared to PCV10-GSK and PCV10-SII, respectively. PCV13 was also found to be cost saving over 5- and 10-year time horizons compared with PCV10-SII and to be cost-effective over a 5-year time horizon and cost-saving over a 10-year time horizon compared with PCV10-GSK. PCV20 was consistently estimated to prevent more cases than the PCV10 vaccines, PCV13, or PCV15. CONCLUSIONS: Switching from a higher-valent to a lower-valent vaccine may lead to disease incidence re-emergence caused by previously covered serotypes. Maintaining PCV13 was estimated to improve public health further by averting additional pneumococcal disease cases and saving more lives and also to reduce total costs in most scenarios. Higher-valent PCVs can achieve the greatest public health impact in the pediatric vaccination program in South Africa.

Meta-analysis of major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class IIA reveals polymorphism and positive selection in many vertebrate species.

Pathogen-mediated selection and sexual selection are important drivers of evolution. Both processes are known to target genes of the major histocompatibility complex (MHC), a gene family encoding cell-surface proteins that display pathogen peptides to the immune system. The MHC is also a model for understanding processes such as gene duplication and trans-species allele sharing. The class II MHC protein is a heterodimer whose peptide-binding groove is encoded by an MHC-IIA gene and an MHC-IIB gene. However, our literature review found that class II MHC papers on infectious disease or sexual selection included IIA data only 18% and 9% of the time, respectively. To assess whether greater emphasis on MHC-IIA is warranted, we analysed MHC-IIA sequence data from 50 species of vertebrates (fish, amphibians, birds, mammals) to test for polymorphism and positive selection. We found that the number of MHC-IIA alleles within a species was often high, and covaried with sample size and number of MHC-IIA genes assayed. While MHC-IIA variability tended to be lower than that of MHC-IIB, the difference was only ~25%, with ~3 fewer IIA alleles than IIB. Furthermore, the unexpectedly high MHC-IIA variability showed clear signatures of positive selection in most species, and positive selection on MHC-IIA was stronger in fish than in other surveyed vertebrate groups. Our findings underscore that MHC-IIA can be an important target of selection. Future studies should therefore expand the characterization of MHC-IIA at both allelic and genomic scales, and incorporate MHC-IIA into models of fitness consequences of MHC variation.

Clinical Relevance of Increased Endothelial and Mesothelial Expression of Proangiogenic Proteases and VEGFA in the Omentum of Patients with Metastatic Ovarian High-Grade Serous Carcinoma.

Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) metastasis to the omentum requires implantation and angiogenesis. We propose that prometastatic changes in the omental endothelium (for angiogenesis) and mesothelium (for implantation) are critical. We investigated the expression of angiogenic proteases [cathepsin D (CD), cathepsin L (CL), and matrix metalloproteinase 2 (MMP2) and MMP9] and vascular endothelial growth factor A (VEGFA) in the mesothelium and endothelium of omentum from patients with EOC with omental metastases and control patients with benign ovarian tumors. Endothelial expression of CL, VEGFA, and MMP9 and mesothelial expression of VEGFA, MMP9, and CD were significantly increased in patients with metastasized EOC. High expression of MMP9 and VEGFA in endothelium and mesothelium and CD in mesothelium was positively associated with poor disease-specific survival (DSS). High MMP9 expression in either endothelium or mesothelium and presence of ascites prospectively showed the greatest risk of shorter DSS [hazard ratio (HR)= 6.16, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.76-21.6, P = .0045; HR = 11.42, 95% CI = 2.59-50.35, P = .0013; and HR = 6.35, 95% CI = 2.01-20.1, P = .002, respectively]. High endothelial MMP9 expression and ascites were independent predictors of reduced DSS and overall survival, together resulting in worst patient prognosis. Our data show that omental metastasis of EOC is associated with increased proangiogenic protein expression in the omental endothelium and mesothelium.