Clinical profile and outcomes of paediatric patients with acute seizures: a prospective cohort study at an urban emergency department of a tertiary hospital in Tanzania.

OBJECTIVE: Children with seizures require immediate and appropriate intervention in the emergency department (ED). This study describes the clinical profile and outcome of paediatric patients with seizures at the ED in a country with limited resources. DESIGN: A prospective, observational cohort study of paediatric patients with seizure presenting to an ED conducted over a six-month period from 1 August 2019 to 31 January2020. SETTING: The study was conducted at the ED of Muhimbili National Hospital, a level 1 trauma centre located in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. PARTICIPANTS: Paediatric patients aged 1 month to 14 years presenting at the ED with acute seizure, defined as any seizure occurring from 24 hours to 7 days prior to the visit, were included in this study. Patients were consecutively enrolled during times a research assistant was present in the department. Newborns, children with repeat visits or no signs of life on arrival were excluded. OUTCOME: The primary outcome was the proportion of paediatric patients presenting with seizures and their mortality rate; secondary outcome was risk factors for mortality. RESULT: During the study period, 1011 children were seen in the department, of whom 114 (11.3%) (95% CI 9.3% to 13.3%) presented with seizures. Median age was 24 months (IQR 9-60), 78.1% were under 5 years and 55.3% were males. The majority 76 (66.7%) of the patients presented with generalised seizures. Half 58 (50.9%) of patients presented with fever. Meningitis was the most common aetiology, diagnosed in 30 (26.3%). Overall mortality was 16.7% (95% CI 10.3% to 24.8%). Using negative log binominal analysis, fever (relative risk, RR 2.7), altered mental status (RR 21.1), hypoxia (RR 3.3), abnormal potassium (RR 2.4) and clinical diagnosis of meningitis (RR 3.4) were statistically significantly associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Findings from this study revealed higher incidence of paediatric patients with seizures than that reported in high-income countries and other low-income and middle-income countries. The acuity of illness was high, with 16.7% mortality rate. The presence of fever, altered mental status, hypoxia, abnormal potassium levels and meningitis diagnosis were associated with higher risk of mortality. Further research is needed to develop interventions to improve outcomes in paediatric patients with seizures in our setting.

Out-of-pocket cost for medical care of injured patients presenting to emergency department of national hospital in Tanzania: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine the out-of-pocket (OOP) costs for medical care of injured patients and the proportion of patients encountering catastrophic costs. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study SETTING: Emergency department (ED) of a tertiary-level hospital in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. PARTICIPANTS: Injured adult patients seen at the ED of Muhimbili National Hospital from August 2019 to March 2020. METHODS: During alternating 12-hour shifts, consecutive trauma patients were approached in the ED after stabilisation. A case report form was used to collect social-demographics and patient clinical profile. Total charges billed for ED and in-hospital care and OOP payments were obtained from the hospital billing system. Patients were interviewed by phone to determine the measures they took to pay their bills. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with catastrophic health expenditure (CHE), using the WHO definition of OOP expenditures ≥40% of monthly income. RESULTS: We enrolled 355 trauma patients of whom 51 (14.4%) were insured. The median age was 32 years (IQR 25-40), 238 (83.2%) were male, 162 (56.6%) were married and 87.8% had ≥2 household dependents. The majority 224 (78.3%) had informal employment with a median monthly income of US$86. Overall, 286 (80.6%) had OOP expenses for their care. 95.1% of all patients had an Injury Severity Score <16 among whom OOP payments were US$176.98 (IQR 62.33-311.97). Chest injury and spinal injury incurred the highest OOP payments of US$282.63 (84.71-369.33) and 277.71 (191.02-874.47), respectively. Overall, 85.3% had a CHE. 203 patients (70.9%) were interviewed after discharge. In this group, 13.8% borrowed money from family, and 12.3% sold personal items of value to pay for their hospital bills. CONCLUSION: OOP costs place a significant economic burden on individuals and families. Measures to reduce injury and financial risk are needed in Tanzania.

Patterns and Predictors of Timely Presentation and Outcomes of Polytrauma Patients Referred to the Emergency Department of a Tertiary Hospital in Tanzania.

Background: Polytrauma patients require special facilities to care for their injuries. In HICs, these patients are rapidly transferred from the scene or the first-health facility directly to a trauma center. However, in many LMICs, prehospital systems do not exist and there are long delays between arrivals at the first-health facility and the trauma center. We aimed to quantify the delay and determine the predictors of mortality among polytrauma patients. Methodology. We consecutively enrolled adult polytrauma patients (≥18 years) with ISS >15 referred to the Emergency Medicine Department of Muhimbili National Hospital, a major trauma center in Tanzania between August 2019 and January 2020. Based on a pilot study, the arrival of >6 hours after injury was considered a delay. The outcome of interest was factors associated with delayed presentation and the association of timeliness with 7-day mortality. Results: We enrolled 120 (4.5%) referred polytrauma adult patients. The median age was 30 years (IQR 25-39) and the ISS was 29 (IQR 24-34). The majority (85%) were males. While the median time from injury to first-health facility was 40 minutes (IQR 33-50), the median time from injury to arrival at EMD-MNH, was 377 minutes (IQR 314-469). Delayed presentation was noted in more than half (54.2%) of participants, with the odds of dying being 1.4 times higher in the delayed group (95% CI 0.3-5.6). Having a GCS <8 (AOR 16.3 (95% CI 3.1-86.3), hypoxia <92% (AOR 8.3 (95% CI 1.4-50.9), and hypotension <90 mmHg (R 7.3 (95% CI 1.6-33.6) were all independent predictors of mortality. Conclusion: The majority of polytrauma patients arrive at the tertiary facilities delayed for more than 6 hours and a distance of more than 8 km between facilities is associated with delay. Hypotension, hypoxia, and GCS of less than 8 are independent predictors of poor outcome. In the interim, there is a need to expedite the transfer of polytrauma patients to trauma care capable centers.

Predictors and outcome of cardiac arrest in paediatric patients presenting to emergency medicine department of tertiary hospitals in Tanzania.

BACKGROUND: The survival of children who suffer cardiac arrest is poor. This study aimed to determine the predictors and outcome of cardiac arrest in paediatric patients presenting to an emergency department of a tertiary hospital in Tanzania. METHODOLOGY: This was a prospective cohort study of paediatric patients > 1 month to ≤ 14 years presenting to Emergency Medicine Department of Muhimbili National Hospital (EMD) in Tanzania from September 2019 to January 2020 and triaged as Emergency and Priority. We enrolled consecutive patients during study periods where patients' demographic and clinical presentation, emergency interventions and outcome were recorded. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the predictors of cardiac arrest. RESULTS: We enrolled 481 patients, 294 (61.1%) were males, and the median age was 2 years [IQR 1-5 years]. Among studied patients, 38 (7.9%) developed cardiac arrest in the EMD, of whom 84.2% were ≤ 5 years. Referred patients were over-represented among those who had an arrest (84.2%). The majority 33 (86.8%) of those who developed cardiac arrest died. Compromised circulation on primary survey (OR 5.9 (95% CI 2.1-16.6)), bradycardia for age on arrival (OR 20.0 (CI 1.6-249.3)), hyperkalemia (OR 8.2 (95% CI 1.4-47.7)), elevated lactate levels > 2 mmol/L (OR 5.2 (95% CI 1.4-19.7)), oxygen therapy requirement (OR 5.9 (95% CI 1.3-26.1)) and intubation within the EMD (OR 4.8 (95% CI 1.3-17.6)) were independent predictors of cardiac arrest. CONCLUSION: Thirty-eight children developed cardiac arrest in the EMD, with a very high mortality. Those who arrested were more likely to present with signs of hypoxia, shock and acidosis, which suggest they were at later stage in their illness. Outcomes can be improved by strengthening the pre-referral care and providing timely critical management to prevent cardiac arrest.

Predictors and outcome of time to presentation among critically ill paediatric patients at Emergency Department of Muhimbili National Hospital, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.

BACKGROUND: Mortality among under-five children in Tanzania remains high. While early presentation for treatment increases likelihood of survival, delays to care are common and factors causing delay to presentation among critically ill children are unknown. In this study delay was defined as presentation to the emergency department of tertially hospital i.e. Muhimbili National Hospital, more than 48 h from the onset of the index illness. METHODOLOGY: This was a prospective cohort study of critically ill children aged 28 days to 14 years attending emergency department at Muhimbili National Hospital in Tanzania from September 2019 to January 2020. We documented demographics, time to ED presentation, ED interventions and 30-day outcome. The primary outcome was the association of delay with mortality and secondary outcomes were predictors of delay among critically ill paediatric patients. Logistic regression and relative risk were calculated to measure the strength of the predictor and the relationship between delay and mortality respectively. RESULTS: We enrolled 440 (59.1%) critically ill children, their median age was 12 [IQR = 9-60] months and 63.9% were males. The median time to Emergency Department arrival was 3 days [IQR = 1-5] and more than half (56.6%) of critically ill children presented to Emergency Department in > 48 h whereby being an infant, self-referral and belonging to poor family were independent predictors of delay. Infants and those referred from other facilities had 2.4(95% CI 1.4-4.0) and 1.8(95% CI 1.1-2.8) times increased odds of presenting late to the Emergency Department respectively. The overall 30-day in-hospital mortality was 26.5% in which those who presented late were 1.3 more likely to die than those who presented early (RR = 1.3, CI: 0.9-1.9). Majority died > 24 h of Emergency Department arrival (P-value = 0.021). CONCLUSION: The risk of in-hospital mortality among children who presented to the ED later than 48 h after onset of illness was 1.3 times higher than for children who presented earlier than 48 h. It could be anywhere from 10% lower to 90% higher than the point estimate. However, the effect size was statistically not significant since the confidence interval included the null value Qualitative and time-motion studies are needed to evaluate the care pathway of critically ill pediatric patients to identify preventable delays in care.

Predictive Value of Coronary Artery Calcium in Patients Receiving Computed Tomography Pulmonary Angiography for Suspected Pulmonary Embolism in the Emergency Department.

PURPOSE: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a frequent incidental finding on computed tomography pulmonary angiogram (CTPA) in the evaluation of pulmonary embolism (PE) in the emergency department (ED); however, its prognostic value is unclear. In this study, we interrogate the prognostic value of CAC identified on CTPA in predicting adverse outcomes in the evaluation of PE in the ED. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we identified 610 patients presenting to the ED in 2013 and evaluated with CTPA for suspected PE. Ordinal CAC scores were evaluated as absent (0), mild (1), moderate (2), or severe (3) in each of the 4 main coronary arteries. Composite CAC scores were subsequently compared against adverse clinical outcomes, defined as intensive care unit admission, hospital stay longer than 72 hours, or death during hospital course or at 6-month follow-up, using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Relevant exclusion criteria included a history of cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: In all, 365 patients met the inclusion criteria (231 women, mean age 56±16 y) with 132 patients (36%) having some degree of CAC and 16 (4%) having severe CAC. Known malignancy was present in 151 (41%) patients and composite adverse clinical outcomes were observed in 98 patients (32%). Age, presence of acute PE, malignancy, and presence of CAC were significant predictors of adverse outcomes on both univariate and multivariate analyses. CAC was not an independent predictor of short-term adverse outcomes on multivariate analysis ( P =0.06) when all patients were considered. However, when patients with known malignancy were excluded, CAC was an independent predictor of short-term adverse outcomes (odds ratio=2.5, confidence interval=1.1-5.5, P =0.03) independent of age and presence of PE. CONCLUSION: The presence of CAC on CT PA was predictive of adverse outcomes in patients without known cardiac disease presenting to the ED with suspected PE.

Feasibility and efficacy of text messaging to promote care among trauma patients screened for HIV at an urban emergency department in Tanzania.

BACKGROUND: Due to the high prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in Tanzania, provider-initiated HIV testing for patients attending any health care setting is recommended. However, follow-up and linkage to care by those tested remain poor. We determined the feasibility and efficacy of text messaging to promote follow-up among otherwise healthy trauma patients who underwent provider-initiated HIV testing and counseling at an emergency department (ED) in Tanzania. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This randomized controlled trial (RCT) was conducted at Muhimbili National Hospital (MNH) ED between September 2019 and February 2020. Adult trauma patients consenting to HIV testing and follow-up text messaging were randomized to standard care (pre-test and post-test counseling) or standard care plus a series of three short message service (SMS) text message reminders for follow-up in an HIV clinic, if positive, or for retesting, if negative. Investigators blinded to the study assignment called participants 2 months after the ED visit if HIV-positive or 4 months if HIV-negative. We compared the proportion of people in the intervention and control groups completing recommended follow-up. Secondary outcomes were the proportion of patients agreeing to testing, proportion of patients agreeing to receiving text messages, and the proportion of HIV-positive and HIV-negative patients in each study arm who followed up. RESULTS: Of the 290 patients approached, 255 (87.9%) opted-in for testing and agreed to receive a text message. The median age of the study population was 29 [IQR 24-40] years. There were 127 patients randomized to the intervention group and 128 to the control group. The automated SMS system verified that 381 text messages in total were successfully sent. We traced 242 (94.9%) participants: 124 (51.2%) in the intervention group and 18 (488%) in the control group. A total of 100 (39.2%) subjects reported completing a follow-up visit, of which 77 (60.6%) were from the intervention group and 23 (17.9%) were from the control group (RR = 3.4, 95% CI 2.3-5.0). This resulted in a number needed to treat (NNT) of 2.3. Of the 246 HIV-negative participants, 37% underwent repeat screening: 59% of those in the intervention group and 16% in the control group (RR = 3.7, P = < 0.0001, NNT 2.3). Among the nine positive patients, all five in the intervention group and only three in the controls had follow-up visits. CONCLUSION: Automated text message is a feasible and effective way to increase follow-up in HIV-tested individuals in a limited income country.

Development and pilot implementation of a standardised trauma documentation form to inform a national trauma registry in a low-resource setting: lessons from Tanzania.

OBJECTIVES: Trauma registries are an integral part of a well-organised trauma system. Tanzania, like many low and middle-income countries, does not have a trauma registry. We describe the development, structure, implementation and impact of a context appropriate standardised trauma form based on the adaptation of the WHO Data Set for Injury (DSI), for clinical documentation and use in a national trauma registry. SETTING: Our study was conducted in emergency units of five regional referral hospitals in Tanzania. PROCEDURES: Mixed methods participatory action research was employed. After an assessment of baseline trauma documentation, we conducted semi-structured interviews with a purposefully selected sample of 33 healthcare providers from all participating hospitals to understand, develop, pilot and implement a standardised trauma form. We compared the number and types of variables captured before and after the form was implemented. OUTCOMES: Change in proportion of variables of DSI captured after implementation of a standardised trauma documentation form. RESULTS: Piloting and feedback informed the development of a context appropriate standardised trauma documentation paper form with carbonless copy that could be used as both the clinical chart and data capture. Among 721 patients (seen by 21 clinicians) during the initial 30-day pilot, overall variable capture was 86.4% of required variables. After modifications of the form and training of healthcare providers, the form was implemented for 7 months, during which the capture improved to 96.3% among 6302 patients (seen by 31 clinicians). The providers reported the form was user-friendly, resulted in less time documenting, and served as a guide to managing trauma patients. CONCLUSIONS: The development and implementation of a contextually appropriate, standardised trauma form were successful, yielding increased capture rates of injury variables. This system will facilitate expansion of the trauma registry across the country and inform similar initiatives in Sub-Saharan Africa.

The burden of trauma in Tanzania: Analysis of prospective trauma registry data at regional hospitals in Tanzania.

BACKGROUND: Trauma contributes significantly to the burden of disease and mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Like most of SSA, Tanzania lacks prospective trauma registries (TRs), resulting in poor and inconsistent availability of injury data. A model TR was implemented at five representative regional hospitals in Tanzania; the TR incorporates the variables recommended by the World Health Organisation (WHO) Data Set for Injury. This study characterises the burden of trauma seen at five regional hospital Emergency Units (EUs) in Tanzania using data from this new TR. METHODS: This prospective descriptive study used TR data from EUs of five regional Hospitals in Tanzania between February 2019 to September 2019. Descriptive statistics were calculated for mechanism of injury, injury severity, disposition and mortality. Injury severity scores were calculated. We determined relative risk for mortality by injury type. RESULTS: Over a seven-month period, 6,302 (9.6%) patients presented to these EUs with trauma-related complaints. They had a median age of 27 (IQR: 19-37) years and 71.3% were male. Most patients (76.6%) were self-referred and presented to EU on motorized (two or three-wheeler) vehicle (55.9%). Road traffic accidents (RTAs) 3786 (60.3%) were the most common mechanism of injury. Most patients (63.3%) presented with injuries to the upper and lower extremities, while few (2.0%) had injuries to the chest. The overall mean Injury Severity Score (ISS) was 9 (Interquartile Range (IQR): 4-13], and varied by hospital. Total 24-hour mortality was 3.3% and 126 (2.1%) patients died while receiving care at the EU. Among those who died, 156 (81.7%) had an intracranial injury; relative risk of death was [13.3 (CI95%: 9.3 -19.1), p<0.0001] for intracranial injuries compared to other injury patterns. CONCLUSIONS: TR from these five Tanzanian regional hospitals has provided an opportunity to more accurately describe the country's burden of injury. Having sufficient data for ISS and other key trauma variables allows us to compare the burden and outcomes of trauma in Tanzania with other countries, which will help to quantify an accurate burden of injury, inform quality improvement initiatives, and suggest where to focus preventative measures.

Aetiologies and outcomes of patients with abdominal pain presenting to an emergency department of a tertiary hospital in Tanzania: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Abdominal pain in adults represents a wide range of illnesses, often warranting immediate intervention. This study is to fill the gap in the knowledge about incidence, presentation, causes and mortality from abdominal pain in an established emergency department of a tertiary hospital in Tanzania. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of adult (age ≥ 18 years) patients presenting to the Emergency Medicine Department of Muhimbili National Hospital (EMD-MNH) in Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania with non-traumatic abdominal pain from September 2017 to October 2017. A case report form was used to record data on demographics, clinical presentation, management, diagnosis, outcomes and patient follow-up. The primary outcome of mortality was summarized using descriptive statistics; secondary outcome was, risks for mortality. RESULTS: Among 3381 adult patients present during the study period, 288 (8.5%) presented with abdominal pain, and of these 199 (69%) patients were enrolled in our study. Median age was 47 years (IQR 35-60 years), 126 (63%) were female, and 118 (59%) were referred from another hospital. Most common final diagnoses were malignancies 71 (36%), intestinal obstruction 11 (6%) and peptic ulcer disease 9 (5%). Most common EMD interventions given were intravenous fluids 57 (21%), analgesia 49 (25%) and antibiotics 40 (20%). 160 (80%) were admitted of which 15 (8%) underwent surgery directly from EMD. 24-h and 7-day mortality were 4 (2%) and 7 (4%) respectively, while overall in hospital-mortality was 16 (8%). Among the risk factors for mortality were male sex Relative Risk (RR) 2.88 (p = 0.03), hypoglycemia (RR) 5.7 (p = 0.004), ICU admission (RR) 14 (p < 0.0001), receipt of IV fluids (RR) 3.2 (p = 0.0151) and need for surgery (RR) 6.6 (p = 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Abdominal pain was associated with significant morbidity and mortality as evidenced by a very high admission rate, need for surgical intervention and a high in-hospital mortality rate. Future studies and quality improvement efforts should focus on identifying why such differences exist and how to reduce the mortality.

Trauma care and capture rate of variables of World Health Organisation data set for injury at regional hospitals in Tanzania: first steps to a national trauma registry.

BACKGROUND: In Tanzania, there is no national trauma registry. The World Health Organization (WHO) has developed a data set for injury that specifies the variables necessary for documenting the burden of injury and patient-related clinical processes. As a first step in developing and implementing a national Trauma Registry, we determined how well hospitals currently capture the variables that are specified in the WHO injury set. METHODS: This was a prospective, observational cross-sectional study of all trauma patients conducted in the Emergency Units of five regional referral hospitals in Tanzania from February 2018 to July 2018. Research assistants observed the provision of clinical care in the EU for all patients, and documented performed assessment, clinical interventions and final disposition. Research assistants used a purposefully designed case report form to audit the injury variable capture rate, and to review Ministry of Health (MoH) issued facility Register book recording the documentation of variables. We present descriptive statistics for hospital characteristics, patient volume, facility infrastructure, and capture rate of trauma variables. RESULTS: During the study period, 2891 (9.3%) patients presented with trauma-related complaints, 70.7% were male. Overall, the capture rate of all variables was 33.6%. Documentation was most complete for demographics 71.6%, while initial clinical condition, and details of injury were documented in 20.5 and 20.8% respectively. There was no documentation for the care prior to Emergency Unit arrival in all hospitals. 1430 (49.5%) of all trauma-related visits seen were documented in the facility Health Management Information System register submitted to the MoH. Among the cases reported in the register book, the date of EU care was correctly documented in 77% cases, age 43.6%, diagnosis 66.7%, and outcome in 38.9% cases. Among the observed procedures, initial clinical condition (28.7%), interventions at Emergency Unit (52.1%), investigations (49.0%), and disposition (62.9%) were documented in the clinical charts. CONCLUSIONS: In the regional hospitals of Tanzania, there is inadequate documentation of the minimum trauma variables specified in the WHO injury data set. Reasons for this are unclear, but will need to be addressed in order to improve documentation to inform a national injury registry.