First administration to humans of a monoclonal antibody cocktail against rabies virus: safety, tolerability, and neutralizing activity.

Immediate passive immune prophylaxis as part of rabies post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) often cannot be provided due to limited availability of human or equine rabies immunoglobulin (HRIG and ERIG, respectively). We report first clinical data from two phase I studies evaluating a monoclonal antibody cocktail CL184 against rabies. The studies included healthy adult subjects in the USA and India and involved two parts. First, subjects received a single intramuscular dose of CL184 or placebo in a double blind, randomized, dose-escalation trial. Second, open-label CL184 (20IU/kg) was co-administered with rabies vaccine. Safety was the primary objective and rabies virus neutralizing activity (RVNA) was investigated as efficacy parameter. Pain at the CL184 injection site was reported by less than 40% of subjects; no fever or local induration, redness or swelling was observed. RVNA was detectable from day 1 to day 21 after a single dose of CL184 20 or 40IU/kg. All subjects had adequate (>0.5IU/mL) RVNA levels from day 14 onwards when combined with rabies vaccine. CL184 appears promising as an alternative to RIG in PEP.

A sensitive cell-based assay for the detection of residual infectious West Nile virus.

Ensuring complete viral inactivation is critical for the safety of vaccines based on an inactivated virus. Detection of residual infectious virus is dependent on sensitivity of the assay, sample volume analyzed and the absence of interference with viral infection. Here we describe the development and qualification of a sensitive cell-based assay for the detection of residual infectious West Nile Virus (WNV). The results of the assay are in good agreement with the assumption that at low concentrations the number of infectious units in relatively small samples follows a Poisson distribution. The assay can detect 1 infectious unit with a confidence of 99%, provides statistical controls for interference and can easily be scaled up to test large amounts of vaccine material. Furthermore, we show equivalence in sensitivity between the cell-based assay and an in vivo assay for detection of infectious WNV. Finally, the assay has been used for successful release testing of clinical lots of inactivated WNV vaccine. Given the principle and generic setup of the method we envision broad applicability to the detection of very low concentrations of infectious virus.

A replication-competent adenovirus assay for E1-deleted Ad35 vectors produced in PER.C6 cells.

The presence of replication-competent adenovirus (RCA) is a safety concern for biologics based on recombinant adenoviruses and RCA testing is therefore mandatory for release of clinical material. RCA, which arises from homologous recombination between Ad5 vectors and HEK-293 cells, can be eliminated by the use of PER.C6 cells in combination with a matched vector. However, little is known on RCA formation with vectors based on adenovirus serotypes other than Ad5 and reliable RCA assays to test them are generally lacking. Here we report on the development and qualification of a sensitive RCA assay for Ad35, a promising alternative to Ad5 vectors. The assay is able to detect 1 RCA in 3x10(10) vector particles with 95% confidence, thus meeting current FDA requirements, and can discriminate between RCA and other rare CPE-causing entities, including helper dependent E1 positive particles (HDEP). Using this assay, the first batches of Ad35 vectors produced in PER.C6 cells were analysed and found to be free of RCA and HDEP. Based on the statistical model used, we anticipate that our approach to RCA assay development can be broadly applicable to other adenoviral vectors.

Haemagglutinin quantification and identification of influenza A&B strains propagated in PER.C6 cells: a novel RP-HPLC method.

The major antigenic determinant of influenza A and B virus is haemagglutinin (HA). The HA content is an important specification of influenza vaccines. HA in vaccines has typically been quantified by single-radial-immunodiffusion (SRID). However, SRID is a laborious and low throughput assay. Moreover, sensitivity, accuracy, and precision, especially for non-purified (in-process) influenza virus is relatively low. We present a novel method for quantification of HA in influenza viral cultures as well as for the identification of HA from individual influenza strains in trivalent vaccines. The method is based on the separation of HA(1), the hydrophilic subunit of HA, from the more hydrophobic viral and matrix components by reversed-phase high performance liquid chromatography (RP-HPLC). The HA(1) peak area is demonstrated to be proportional to the level of HA in non-purified, semi-purified and purified vaccine products of various epidemic and pandemic influenza A and B strains propagated in PER.C6((R)) cell cultures. The RP-HPLC assay selectivity allows for the simultaneous identification and quantification of HA(1) from influenza A and B strains in the yearly revised trivalent vaccines for epidemic outbreaks.

Increased incidence of cancer in adult Gaucher disease in Western Europe.

The adult form of Gaucher disease (type I GD) is associated with a high prevalence of hypergammaglobulinemia and monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). A significantly increased risk of cancer, especially of hematological types, has been found in Ashkenazi-Jewish GD type 1 patients. In this study, incidence and mortality of cancer were assessed in a total of 131 GD patients of mixed ancestry in a population from Western Europe, i.e. 2 Gaucher referral centers in Germany (Düsseldorf) and the Netherlands (Amsterdam). Standardized rate ratios were determined by indirect standardization, using age- and sex-specific incidence and mortality rates of the Dutch population. A total of 14 GD patients of non-Ashkenazi-Jewish descent were identified of whom 5 had a hematologic malignancy. These numbers correspond to an increased risk of cancer of 2.5 (95% CI 1.1-4.7) and an increased risk of hematologic cancer of 12.7 (95% CI 2.6-37.0) among GD patients compared to the general population. In particular, the incidences of multiple myeloma and hepatocellular carcinoma in absence of preexisting cirrhosis were highly elevated, with standardized rate ratios of 51.1 (95% CI 6.2-184) and 141.3 (95% CI 17.1-510.5), respectively. These strongly increased risks on developing cancer suggest that measures for early detection and prevention of hematological and hepatic malignancies in patients with Gaucher type I disease are mandatory.

Is there a difference in the efficacy of peripartum antiretroviral regimens in reducing mother-to-child transmission of HIV in Africa?

BACKGROUND: Peripartum antiretroviral regimens have been shown to prevent mother-to-child transmission of HIV (MTCT) in randomized clinical trials; however, direct comparison of published results is impossible given methodological and population differences. OBJECTIVE: To directly compare the efficacy of different antiretroviral regimens in reducing the risk of 6-week MTCT rate in African breastfeeding populations. METHODS: Pooled analysis including all mother-infant pairs from any relevant trial: West African ZDV-placebo trials, Petra ZDV+3TC [two regimens A (pre/intra/post-partum) and B (intra/post-partum), placebo from Uganda and Tanzania], SAINT (NVP and Petra arm B), HIVNET012 (NVP, ultra short ZDV pp) and the Vitamin A trial (as placebo arm in South Africa). Peripartum HIV infection was any positive RNA or DNA polymerase chain reaction test < day 60. The MTCT risk was estimated at 6 weeks for each treatment arm and compared with placebo or single-dose NVP using logistic regression adjusting for maternal CD4 cell count, breastfeeding and birthweight. RESULTS: Overall, 4125 singleton live-births were included; 3629 (88%) were assessed for HIV status at 6 weeks of age. In comparison with placebo, zidovudine + lamivudine (ZDV+3TC) arm A [adjusted odds ratio (AOR), 0.23; P < 0.0001], ZDV+3TC arm B (AOR, 0.49; P < 0.001), antenatal ZDV short (AOR, 0.55; P = 0.006) and nevirapine (NVP) (AOR, 0.60; P = 0.0007) significantly reduced MTCT. In comparison with NVP, only the longest regimen of ZDV+3TC (AOR, 0.39, P < 0.0005) was significantly more effective. CONCLUSION: These results are in line with current World Health Organisation guidelines suggesting equivalence of choice between single-dose NVP and short-course ZDV, and confirm the greater efficacy of ZDV+3TC than with any single antiretroviral drug.

Endoscopic drainage of pancreatic pseudocysts: long-term outcome and procedural factors associated with safe and successful treatment.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Endoscopic drainage is a widely used treatment modality for pancreatic pseudocysts and has challenged more traditional drainage techniques. This retrospective study evaluates the short-term and long-term results with this technique and aims to identify procedural modifications that may improve its safety and efficacy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All consecutive patients who underwent endoscopic drainage of pancreatic pseudocysts in our hospital between 1983 and 2000 were included in the study. The patients' charts were reviewed, and long-term follow-up data were obtained by written questionnaires sent to the patients at the end of the follow-up period in November 2002. RESULTS: A total of 92 patients were included (66 men, 26 women; median age 49 years). The technical success rate of the drainage procedure was 97 % and the mortality rate was 1 %. Complications occurred in 31 patients (34 %), eight of which (9 %) were major and required surgery: hemorrhage in four cases (three of which were caused by erosion of a straight endoprosthesis through the cyst wall), secondary infection in three, and perforation in one. During a median follow-up period of 43 months, 10 patients (11 %) underwent additional (nonendoscopic) treatment for a persistent cyst and five (5 %) for a recurrent cyst. Overall, endoscopic drainage was successful in 65 patients (71 %). CONCLUSIONS: Endoscopic drainage is an effective treatment for pancreatic pseudocysts and offers a definitive solution in almost three-quarters of the cases. The majority of major complications might have been prevented by using pigtail stents instead of straight stents and by taking a more aggressive approach to the prevention and treatment of secondary cyst infection.

Community-acquired pathogens associated with prolonged coughing in children: a prospective cohort study.

A 2-year prospective study was performed of children with prolonged coughing to investigate the frequency of different respiratory pathogens, the rate of mixed infections, and possible differences in severity of disease between single and mixed infections. Sera from 135 children (136 episodes of prolonged coughing lasting 1-6 weeks) were tested for antibodies to different viruses and bacteria. Swabs were taken for culture and PCR to detect different viral and bacterial pathogens. One or more pathogens were found in 91 (67%) patients. One infectious agent was found in 49 (36%) patients, two agents in 35 (26%) patients, and more than two agents in seven (5%) patients. The most frequent pathogens encountered were rhinovirus (n = 43; 32%), Bordetella pertussis (n = 23; 17%) and respiratory syncytial virus (n = 15; 11%). The most frequent mixed infection was B. pertussis and rhinovirus (n = 14; 10%). No significant differences in clinical symptoms were observed between patients with or without pathogens; however, patients with mixed infections were significantly older. There was a strong seasonal influence on the number of infections, but not on the number of mixed infections. In children with prolonged coughing, there was a high frequency of mixed infections regardless of the season. However, mixed infection was not associated with increased disease severity. No clinical symptoms were found that allowed discrimination between specific pathogens.

Recurrence after segmental resection for colonic Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: Segmental colonic resection is commonly performed in patients with colorectal Crohn's disease. The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcome after segmental colonic resection and to define risk factors for re-resection. METHODS: Consecutive patients who had an initial segmental colonic resection for Crohn's colitis between 1987 and 2000 were evaluated. Patients who underwent ileocolonic resection were excluded. Patient-, disease- and treatment-related variables were assessed as possible risk factors for disease recurrence. RESULTS: Ninety-one patients (62 women) with a median follow-up of 8.3 years were studied. Thirty patients (33 per cent) had at least one re-resection, of whom 20 finally underwent total (procto)colectomy. Female sex and a history of perianal disease were identified as independent risk factors for re-resection: odds ratio 12.52 (95 per cent confidence interval (c.i.) 2.38 to 65.84) and 13.94 (95 per cent c.i. 3.02 to 64.27) respectively. Forty (44 per cent) of the 91 patients had a stoma at the end of the study period. Of the 30 patients who had re-resection, 24 finally had a stoma. CONCLUSION: Segmental resection for Crohn's colitis is justified. Recurrence is more frequent in women and in those with a history of perianal disease.

Free fatty acids increase hepatic glycogen content in obese males.

Obesity is associated with increased hepatic glycogen content. In vivo and in vitro data suggest that plasma free fatty acids (FFA) may cause this increase. In this study we investigated the effect of physiological plasma FFA levels on hepatic glycogen metabolism by studying intrahepatic glucose pathways in lean and obese subjects. Six lean and 6 obese males were studied twice during a 16- to 22-hour fast, once with and once without acipimox, an inhibitor of lipolysis. Intrahepatic glucose fluxes were measured by infusion of [2-(13C1)]glycerol, [1-(2H1)]galactose, and [U-(13C6)]glucose. Acetaminophen was administered as a glucuronate probe. In both lean and obese control studies, plasma FFA levels increased progressively, whereas acipimox completely suppressed plasma FFA levels for the whole study period. In lean males glycogenolysis did not change in the acipimox study, but decreased in the control study (P < .01). In lean males, neither glycogen synthesis, glycogen synthesis retained as glycogen, nor glycogen balance differed between control and acipimox studies. In obese males glycogenolysis did not change in the acipimox study, but decreased in the control study (P < .01). Glycogen synthesis did not change in either study. Glycogen synthesis retained as glycogen did not change in acipimox study, but increased in the control study (P = .03). Glycogen balance did not change in the acipimox study, but increased in the control study (P < .01). This study demonstrates that in obese males physiological levels of FFA contribute to the retention of hepatic glycogen during short-term fasting by inhibiting breakdown of glycogen and increasing glycogen synthesis retained as glycogen, whereas in lean males this effect was absent due to unaltered glycogen synthesis retained as glycogen.

Gluconeogenesis and fasting in cerebral malaria.

BACKGROUND: In healthy subjects after an overnight fast, glucose production is for approximately 50% derived from glycogenolysis. If the fast is prolonged, glucose production decreases due to a decline in glycogenolysis, while gluconeogenesis remains stable. In cerebral malaria, glucose production is completely derived from gluconeogenesis after an overnight fast. It is not known if glucose production also decreases during fasting when its only source is gluconeogenesis. DESIGN: Glucose production was measured by infusion of [6,6-2H2]glucose in seven patients with cerebral malaria after prolonging a fast from 20.30 to 00.30 hours. RESULTS: Glucose production decreased by approximately 10% (27.4 +/- 2.1 to 24.7 +/- 1.6 micromol/kg/min, p = 0.05), without changes in the plasma concentrations of glucoregulatory hormones, FFA or precursors. CONCLUSIONS: In the patients with cerebral malaria, glucose production decreases during fasting due to a decrease in the rate of gluconeogenesis. These data suggest that the decrease in the rate of glucose production during short-term fasting is actively regulated and not simply due to shrinkage of glycogen content, as in the absence of glycogenolysis, glucose production decreases at the same rate as normally seen in healthy subjects whose glucose production is for approximately 50% derived from glycogen and in whom gluconeogenesis is stable.

FFAs are not involved in regulation of gluconeogenesis and glycogenolysis in adults with uncomplicated P. falciparum malaria.

In normal subjects, elevation of plasma free fatty acid (FFA) levels stimulates gluconeogenesis (GNG) and inhibits glycogenolysis (GLY). In adults with uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria, GNG is increased and GLY decreased. To test the hypothesis that FFAs are regulators of GNG and GLY in uncomplicated falciparum malaria, we investigated the effect of inhibition of lipolysis by acipimox in 12 patients with uncomplicated falciparum malaria. Six of them were given acipimox, and six served as controls. Also as controls, six matched healthy subjects were studied on two occasions with and without acipimox. After 16 h of fasting, glucose production and GNG were significantly higher in the malaria patients compared with the healthy controls (P = 0.003 and < 0.0001, respectively), whereas GLY was significantly lower (P < 0.001), together with elevated plasma concentrations of cortisol and glucagon. During the study, glucose production in patients declined over time (P < 0.0001), without a statistically significant difference between the acipimox-treated and untreated patients. In controls, however, with acipimox the decline was less outspoken compared with nontreated controls (P = 0.005). GNG was unchanged over time in patients as well as in healthy controls, and no influence of acipimox was found. In patients, GLY declined over time (P < 0.001), without a difference between acipimox-treated and untreated patients. In contrast, in controls treated with acipimox, no change over time was found, which was statistically different from the decline in untreated controls (P = 0.002). In conclusion, in falciparum malaria, FFAs are not involved in regulation of glucose production, nor of GNG or GLY.

Fatty acids and homocysteine levels in patients with recurrent depression: an explorative pilot study.

Major depressive disorders (MDD) and cardiovascular disease are mutually associated. They share signs and symptoms of the "metabolic syndrome". Two observations that may be causally related with the metabolic syndrome and therefore with both MDD and cardiovascular disease are a decrease in omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) and a rise in plasma homocysteine (tHcy) levels. Both the rise in tHcy and the decrease in omega-3 PUFAs may be associated with enhanced lipid peroxidation. We exploratively studied 44 randomly chosen patients out of a cohort of 134 patients with the recurrent form of MDD (MDD-R). We measured tHcy levels together with saturated FAs, monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFAs) and PUFAs of the omega-3, omega-6 and omega-9 series in plasma and erythrocytes. Levels were compared with laboratory reference values. The main findings were a decrease in the erythrocytes of C22:5omega-3, C22:6omega-3, C24:1omega-9 and C20:3omega-9 and in the plasma a decrease in C24:1omega-9 and C20:3omega-9. The only significant association we found was between the total of omega-6 fatty acids and plasma tHcy. The FA alterations were found in patients although most of them were clinically recovered, suggesting that the alterations may represent a biological" trait" marker for recurrent depression.

Influence of prolonged starvation on glucose kinetics in pregnant patients infected with Plasmodium falciparum.

Hypoglycaemia is a recognised complication of malaria in pregnancy, but its pathophysiology is not well understood. We studied the influence of fasting on glucose production and gluconeogenesis by infusion of [6,6-(2)H(2)]glucose and ingestion of (2)H(2)O in 20 female subjects, eight pregnant patients with uncomplicated falciparum malaria, six pregnant controls matched for age and trimester and six non-pregnant controls matched for age. Infection with Plasmodium falciparum induced a significant increase in glucose production (16.7+/-0.3 vs. 12.4+/-0.8 micromol/kg/min; P=0.002) and gluconeogenesis (12.5+/-0.6 vs. 8.2+/-0.7 micromol/kg/min; P=0.001) without a change in the glucoregulatory hormone milieu, compared to the healthy pregnant controls. Extension of the fast from 20.30 to 24.30 h resulted in a rate of decline of glucose production that was similar in patients with malaria and healthy pregnant subjects, a decline that was steeper compared to the non-pregnant subjects (-0.283 and -0.426 vs. -0.065 micromol/kg/min/h; P=0.037). The plasma glucose concentration measured at 20.30 h of fasting in the malaria patients was intermediate between the value found in the pregnant and the non-pregnant controls (4.01+/-0.2 mmol/l) while it was significantly lower in the non-infected pregnant women compared to non-pregnant controls (3.59+/-0.14 vs. 4.70+/-0.29 mmol/l; P=0.009). Plasma glucose concentration declined at a similar rate in patients with malaria and pregnant controls but faster compared to the non-pregnant controls (-0.078 and -0.093 vs. -0.044 mmol/l/h; P < 0.05). We conclude that fasting is a major risk factor for hypoglycaemia in pregnancy. Non-severe Plasmodium falciparum infection in pregnant women results in higher glucose production and higher glucose levels, thereby, compared to healthy pregnant patients, delaying of the occurrence of hypoglycaemia due to fasting. The exact mechanism of hypoglycaemia in fasting pregnant women remains to be elucidated.

Local activation of coagulation and inhibition of fibrinolysis in the lung during ventilator associated pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Fibrin deposition is a hallmark of pneumonia. To determine the kinetics of alterations in local coagulation and fibrinolysis in relation to ventilator associated pneumonia (VAP), a single centre prospective study of serial changes in pulmonary and systemic thrombin generation and fibrinolytic activity was conducted in patients at risk for VAP. METHODS: Non-directed bronchial lavage (NBL) was performed on alternate days in patients expected to require mechanical ventilation for more than 5 days. A total of 28 patients were studied, nine of whom developed VAP. RESULTS: In patients who developed VAP a significant increase in thrombin generation was observed in the airways, as reflected by a rise in the levels of thrombin-antithrombin complexes in NBL fluid accompanied by increases in soluble tissue factor and factor VIIa concentrations. The diagnosis of VAP was preceded by a decrease in fibrinolytic activity in NBL fluid. Indeed, before VAP was diagnosed clinically, plasminogen activator activity levels in NBL fluid gradually declined, which appeared to be caused by a sharp increase in NBL fluid levels of plasminogen activator inhibitor 1. CONCLUSION: VAP is characterised by a shift in the local haemostatic balance to the procoagulant side, which precedes the clinical diagnosis of VAP.

Greater and more rapid depletion of mitochondrial DNA in blood of patients treated with dual (zidovudine+didanosine or zidovudine+zalcitabine) vs. single (zidovudine) nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors.

BACKGROUND: Most toxicities associated with nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) are thought to result from mitochondrial toxicity. These toxicities include peripheral neuropathy, pancreatitis, lactic acidosis, and peripheral lipoatrophy. Unfortunately, there are no validated laboratory markers for clinically assessing, let alone predicting, the onset of mitochondrial toxicity associated with NRTI therapy. OBJECTIVES: To provide preliminary evidence of the potential clinical utility of an assay which has been developed for quantifying mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) in clinical samples from HIV-infected patients. METHODS: A single-tube duplex real-time DNA-nucleic acid sequence-based amplification (NASBA) assay (Mitox, Primagen, Amsterdam, the Netherlands) was used to quantify mtDNA in cryopreserved peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) obtained from HIV-1-infected patients during their prior participation in a randomized placebo-controlled trial comparing zidovudine (ZDV) monotherapy with combinations of ZDV plus either dideoxycytidine (ddC) or didanosine (ddI) (the Delta trial). Patients were antiretroviral naïve prior to entering the trial. Samples obtained during the initial 48 weeks of treatment were tested. RESULTS: A significant decline of mtDNA, both in an intent-to-treat and in an as-treated analysis, was observed in patients treated with ZDV+ddC and ZDV+ddI, but not with ZDV alone, consistent with the results expected from the degree of mtDNA depletion described for each of these drugs in vitro. CONCLUSIONS: This single-tube duplex real-time DNA-NASBA assay was shown to measure mtDNA accurately in PBMC. Treatment with a combination of two NRTIs was associated with greater reductions in mtDNA than obtained for ZDV monotherapy. The relevance of these results in predicting treatment toxicity requires further evaluation.

Prospective comparative study of spiral computer tomography and magnetic resonance imaging for detection of hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is often detected at a relatively late stage when tumour size prohibits curative surgery. Screening to detect HCC at an early stage is performed for patients at risk. AIM: The aim of this study was to compare prospectively the diagnostic accuracy and classification for management of the two state of the art secondline imaging techniques: triphasic spiral computer tomography (CT) and super paramagnetic iron oxide (SPIO) enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). PATIENTS: Sixty one patients were evaluated between January 1996 and January 1998. Patients underwent CT and MRI within a mean interval of 6.75 days. METHODS: CT and MRI were evaluated blindly for the presence and number of lesions, characterisation of these lesions, and classification for management. For comparison of the data on characterisation, the CT and MRI findings were compared with histopathological studies of the surgical specimens and/or follow up imaging. Data of patients not lost to follow up were available to January 2001. RESULTS: SPIO enhanced MRI detected more lesions and overall smaller lesions than triphasic spiral CT (number of lesions 189 v 124; median diameter 1.0 v 1.8 cm; Spearman rank's correlation coefficient 0.63, p<0.001). There was no significant difference in accuracy between CT and MRI for lesion characterisation. The agreement in classification for management was very good (weighted kappa 0.91, 95% CI 0.83-0.99). CONCLUSION: SPIO enhanced MRI detects more and smaller lesions, but both techniques are comparable in terms of classification for management. SPIO enhanced MRI may be preferred as there is no exposure to ionising radiation.

Estimating the efficacy of interventions to prevent mother-to-child transmission of HIV in breast-feeding populations: development of a consensus methodology.

Postnatal transmission of HIV through breast milk complicates both the design of effective interventions to prevent mother-to-child transmission of HIV (PMTCT) and their evaluation. Estimated long-term efficacy in five African trials (four with peri-partum antiretrovirals and one with artificial feeding) varied from 25 to 50 per cent. This variation may be due, at least in part, to differences in analytical methodology. To facilitate direct comparison between trials, a methodological consensus approach to the analysis and presentation of the results of PMTCT trials was developed. The initial methodology used and results presented from African trials with available long-term efficacy data were reviewed during a workshop in Bordeaux, France, in September 2000. A consensus approach for evaluating efficacy applicable across PMTCT studies was developed. There are four typical situations defined by duration of follow-up (short versus long), and the available demographic (vital status) and biological data (single versus repeat HIV testing). Efficacy can be assessed from the risk of infection directly or from HIV-free survival by combining infection and death as a single endpoint. Studies should report results in a standardized format including infection, weaning, mortality and loss to follow-up. New statistical methods that account for the unknown date when a child would first test positive for HIV, for weaning as a competing risk for HIV infection, and for increased risk of death among HIV-infected children should be used in analysing data from PMTCT studies with repeat HIV testing. All estimates should be reported with confidence intervals. This standardized methodology that allows direct comparison between studies is now being applied to four randomized clinical trials.

Carrier rate of zidovudine-resistant HIV-1: the impact of failing therapy on transmission of resistant strains.

OBJECTIVE: Because maintenance of treatment success in HIV-1 infection requires viruses to remain therapy sensitive in drug-naive seropositive persons, we looked at the primary infections caused by drug-resistant HIV-1 over time. Furthermore, to study the coverage rate of therapy and therapy failure in relation to the transmission of resistant viruses a mathematical model was developed. DESIGN: The reverse transcriptase and protease genes of viruses were analysed in newly infected people in the period 1990-1998 in the Amsterdam Cohort Study on HIV infection and AIDS in homosexual men. METHODS: The mathematical model was based on the coverage of drug regimens selecting zidovudine (ZDV) resistance, the lag time in which resistance is gained or lost, the death rate of people infected with resistant virus, and the replacement of resistance-selecting regimens by more potent treatments that substantially reduce viral load and mortality. RESULTS: Of 43 individuals with a primary HIV-infection, three (7%) harboured ZDV-resistant viruses. The first of the ZDV-resistant strains was transmitted in 1995, the last two in 1996. The build-up of ZDV resistance was described by the mathematical model indicating that the equilibrium level of resistance due to treatment depends only on the treatment rate and the outflow rate of patients with resistance virus. CONCLUSIONS: Our model indicates that the frequency of viral resistance in a population is determined largely by the number of individuals on insufficient or failing therapy and is influenced only modestly by secondary transmission of ZDV-resistant strains.

Kaposi's sarcoma and human herpesvirus 8 infection do not protect HIV-1 infected homosexual men from AIDS dementia complex.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between Kaposi's sarcoma (KS), human herpes virus 8 (HHV8) and AIDS dementia complex (ADC). DESIGN: A total of 599 HIV-1 infected homosexual men participated in a prospective cohort study (Amsterdam, 1984-1996). METHODS: The risk for ADC in patients with prior KS or HHV8 infection was estimated using the Cox proportional hazards method with adjustments for antiretroviral medication and low CD4 cell counts. RESULTS: Of the 599 participants, 290 (48.4%) had HHV8 antibodies, 99 (16.5%) had KS and 30 (5.0%) had ADC. ADC was diagnosed in 5.2% of participants with KS and 5.0% of those without KS, and in 4.8% of HHV8 seropositive compared to 5.2% seronegative individuals and thus was not associated with KS or HHV8 infection. Using a time-dependent Cox proportional hazards analysis with the date of KS as risk factor, the risk for ADC was 2.7 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.92-7.96; P = 0.07) and when only definite ADC was considered it was 3.5 (95% CI, 1.00-12.26;P = 0.05). After adjusting for decreases in CD4 cell count and use of medication, the hazards ratio for participants with KS to develop ADC was 2.0 (95% CI, 0.66-5.77; P = 0.23) and 2.6 (95% CI, 0.73-9.12; P = 0.14), respectively. HHV8 seropositivity, adjusted for the same variables, showed a risk for ADC of 0.85 (95% CI, 0.41-1.77;P = 0.66) and for definite ADC 0.69 (95% CI, 0.27-1.73; P = 0.42). The expected neuroprotective effects of antiretroviral medication were observed. CONCLUSIONS: KS or HHV8 does not significantly influence the risk for developing ADC in a group with a uniform risk for developing KS therefore we recommend caution in searching for a KS-associated or HHV8-derived therapy for ADC.