Predicting Unplanned Readmissions to the Intensive Care Unit in the Trauma Population.

Background: Unplanned readmission to intensive care units (UR-ICU) in trauma is associated with increased hospital length of stay and significant morbidity and mortality. We identify independent predictors of UR-ICU and construct a nomogram to estimate readmission probability. Materials and Methods: We performed an IRB-approved retrospective case-control study at a Level I trauma center between January 2019 and December 2021. Patients with UR-ICU (n = 175) were matched with patients who were not readmitted (NR-ICU) (n = 175). Univariate and multivariable binary linear regressionanalyses were performed (SPSS Version 28, IBM Corp), and a nomogram was created (Stata 18.0, StataCorp LLC). Results: Demographics, comorbidities, and injury- and hospital course-related factors were examined as potential prognostic indicators of UR-ICU. The mortality rate of UR-ICU was 22.29% vs 6.29% for NR-ICU (P < .001). Binary linear regression identified seven independent predictors that contributed to UR-ICU: shock (P < .001) or intracranial surgery (P = .015) during ICU admission, low hematocrit (P = .001) or sedation administration in the 24 hours before ICU discharge (P < .001), active infection treatment (P = .192) or leukocytosis on ICU discharge (P = .01), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (P = .002). A nomogram was generated to estimate the probability of UR-ICU and guide decisions on ICU discharge appropriateness. Discussion: In trauma, UR-ICU is often accompanied by poor outcomes and death. Shock, intracranial surgery, anemia, sedative administration, ongoing infection treatment, leukocytosis, and COPD are significant risk factors for UR-ICU. A predictive nomogram may help better assess readiness for ICU discharge.

Effect of Timing of Readmission to the ICU on Mortality in Trauma Patients Requiring Critical Care.

ICU readmission is associated with increased mortality. The primary goal of our investigation was to determine the impact of early ICU readmission on mortality and to identify clinical factors which contribute to early ICU readmission in the trauma population. We retrospectively reviewed 175 patients admitted to ICU in a single, academic Level I Trauma Center from January 2019 to December 2021. Early readmission was defined as readmission within 72 hours of discharge and late readmission as after 72 hours. Early readmission mortality rate was 2.8 times higher than late readmission. Statistically significant variables in early readmission were more operations >2 hours, shorter initial length of stay in ICU, lower hematocrit and paCO2 on ICU discharge, and presence of a psychiatric diagnosis. Additional prospective research is needed to guide the development of practice guidelines that reduce frequency, morbidity, and mortality associated with ICU readmission in the trauma population.