External validation of the modified LACE+, LACE+, and LACE scores to predict readmission or death after hospital discharge.

BACKGROUND: Unplanned hospital readmissions are common adverse events. The LACE+ score has been used to identify patients at the highest risk of unplanned readmission or death, yet the external validity of this score remains uncertain. METHODS: We constructed a cohort of patients admitted to hospital between 1 October 2014 and 31 January 2017 using population-based data from British Columbia (Canada). The primary outcome was a composite of urgent hospital readmission or death within 30 days of index discharge. The primary analysis sought to optimize clinical utility and international generalizability by focusing on the modified LACE+ (mLACE+) score, a variation of the LACE+ score which excludes the Case Mix Group score. Predictive performance was assessed using model calibration and discrimination. RESULTS: Among 368,154 hospitalized individuals, 31,961 (8.7%) were urgently readmitted and 5428 (1.5%) died within 30 days of index discharge (crude composite risk of readmission or death, 9.95%). The mLACE+ score exhibited excellent calibration (calibration-in-the-large and calibration slope no different than ideal) and adequate discrimination (c-statistic, 0.681; 95%CI, 0.678 to 0.684). Higher risk dichotomized mLACE+ scores were only modestly associated with the primary outcome (positive likelihood ratio 1.95, 95%CI 1.93 to 1.97). Predictive performance of the mLACE+ score was similar to that of the LACE+ and LACE scores. CONCLUSION: The mLACE+, LACE+ and LACE scores predict hospital readmission with excellent calibration and adequate discrimination. These scores can be used to target interventions designed to prevent unplanned hospital readmission.

Subventricular Zone Radiation Dose and Outcome for Glioblastoma Treated Between 2006 and 2012.

Objective Stem cells residing in the subventricular zone (SVZ) may be related to recurrence, potentially affecting outcome in glioblastoma (GBM). This study investigated the relationship of SVZ radiation dose and survival in a large cohort treated with surgery and chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Methods Patients with GBM treated between 2006 and 2012 (n = 370) were identified. SVZs were contoured from planning computed tomography (CT) with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) registration where available. Dose was extracted from dose volume histograms. Kaplan-Meier (KM) progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) estimates were compared with log-rank tests for SVZ doses. Multivariate analysis (MVA) identified clinical and treatment-related factors significantly associated with outcome. Results Median follow-up was 16.4 months, 48.1% underwent gross total resection (GTR), 37.5% subtotal resection, and 14.4% biopsy without resection. Median PFS was 8.9 months (95% CI: 8.3-9.8 months), and OS was 16.5 months (95% CI: 15.2-17.6 months). PFS was significantly lower for older age (>50 years, P = 0.045), poor Karnofsky performance status (KPS, P = 0.049), multifocality (P < 0.001), and incomplete adjuvant chemotherapy (P < 0.001). Worse OS was associated with poor KPS (P = 0.001), biopsy only (P = 0.003), multifocality (P = 0.009), and failure to complete adjuvant chemotherapy (P < 0.001). SVZ dose was not associated with outcome for any of the dose levels assessed. On MVA, multifocality was associated with worse PFS (P < 0.01). Poor performance status and biopsy only were associated with worse OS (both P < 0.01). Conclusion In this analysis of a large cohort of GBM treated with surgery and CRT, increased SVZ dose was not associated with improved survival.

Population-based Analysis of Treatment and Survival in Women Presenting With Brain Metastasis at Initial Breast Cancer Diagnosis.

PURPOSE: Brain metastasis at initial breast cancer diagnosis is rare. This study aims to evaluate the clinical characteristics of these patients and identify prognostic and treatment factors associated with improved survival. METHODS: Subjects were 35 women referred from 1996 to 2005 with newly diagnosed breast cancer with synchronous brain metastasis. Overall survival (OS) and brain progression-free survival were examined using Kaplan-Meier methods and compared between subgroups with different clinicopathologic and treatment characteristics using log-rank tests. RESULTS: Median age was 65 years. Whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT) alone was used in 25 patients, surgical resection and postoperative WBRT in 5 patients, and no or unknown treatment in 5 patients. Patients who underwent cranial resection were more likely to have solitary brain metastasis (P=0.003) and no visceral involvement (P=0.006). Overall, median OS was 6.8 months and median brain progression-free survival was 6.5 months (range, 0.7 to 54 mo). Median OS were 15 months with surgery and postoperative WBRT, 5 months with WBRT alone, and 3 months with no brain treatment. Longer OS was observed with age below 65 years versus 65 years and above (11 vs. 5 mo, P=0.046), 0 to 1 versus ≥2 sites of extracranial metastasis (10 vs. 3 mo, P=0.047), and diagnosis from 2001 to 2005 versus 1996 to 2000 (10 vs. 3 mo, P=0.018). A trend toward improved OS was observed in patients with no visceral involvement (11 vs. 4 mo, P=0.09). CONCLUSIONS: In this unique cohort presenting with breast cancer and synchronous brain metastasis, longer survival were observed with young age, limited extracranial metastasis, and no visceral disease. These characteristics may be used to select candidates for more aggressive treatment.

Locoregional recurrence and survival outcomes by type of local therapy and trastuzumab use among women with node-negative, HER2-positive breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: While human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) overexpression is an adverse breast cancer prognostic factor, it is unclear whether there are differences in outcomes between types of local treatment in this population. This retrospective study examined locoregional recurrence and survival in women with node-negative, HER2+ breast cancer treated with breast-conserving therapy (BCT) versus mastectomy. METHODS: Subjects were 748 patients with pT1-2, N0, M0 HER2+ breast cancer, treated with BCT (n = 422) or mastectomy (n = 326). Trastuzumab was used in 54 % of subjects. The 5-year Kaplan-Meier locoregional recurrence free survival (LRRFS), breast cancer specific survival (BCSS), and overall survival (OS) were compared between cohorts treated with BCT versus mastectomy. Subgroup analyses of LRR and survival were performed separately among patients treated with BCT or mastectomy to examine the effect of trastuzumab on outcomes in each group. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 4.4 years. Patients treated with mastectomy had higher proportions of grade 3 histology (69 vs 60 %, p = 0.004) and lower rates of hormone therapy (51 vs 64 %, p < 0.001) and trastuzumab therapy (50 vs 57 %, p = 0.04). The 5-year outcomes in women treated with BCT compared with mastectomy were: LRRFS 98.0 versus 98.3 % (p = 0.88), BCSS 97.2 versus 96.1 % (p = 0.70), and OS 95.5 versus 93.4 % (p = 0.19). Trastuzumab was associated with similar LRRFS and improved OS in both local treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: BCT is safe in the population of women with pT1-2, N0, HER2+ breast cancer, providing high rates of locoregional control and survival equivalent to mastectomy. Trastuzumab was associated with improved survival in both groups.