Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist use and risk of thyroid cancer: Scandinavian cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether use of glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP1) receptor agonists is associated with increased risk of thyroid cancer. DESIGN: Scandinavian cohort study. SETTING: Denmark, Norway, and Sweden, 2007-21. PARTICIPANTS: Patients who started GLP1 receptor agonist treatment were compared with patients who started dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitor treatment, and in an additional analysis, patients who started sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor treatment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Thyroid cancer identified from nationwide cancer registers. An active-comparator new user study design was used to minimise risks of confounding and time related biases from using real world studies of drug effects. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios, controlling for potential confounders with propensity score weighting. RESULTS: The mean follow-up time was 3.9 years (standard deviation 3.5 years) in the GLP1 receptor agonist group and 5.4 years (standard deviation 3.5 years) in the DPP4 inhibitor group. 76 of 145 410 patients (incidence rate 1.33 events per 10 000 person years) treated with GLP1 receptor agonists and 184 of 291 667 patients (incidence rate 1.46 events per 10 000 person years) treated with DPP4 inhibitors developed thyroid cancer. GLP1 receptor agonist use was not associated with increased risk of thyroid cancer (hazard ratio 0.93, 95% confidence interval 0.66 to 1.31; rate difference -0.13, 95% confidence interval -0.61 to 0.36 events per 10 000 person years). The hazard ratio for medullary thyroid cancer was 1.19 (0.37 to 3.86). In the additional analysis comparing the GLP1 receptor agonist group with the SGLT2 inhibitor group, the hazard ratio for thyroid cancer was 1.16 (0.65 to 2.05). CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort study using nationwide data from three countries, GLP1 receptor agonist use was not associated with a substantially increased risk of thyroid cancer over a mean follow-up of 3.9 years. In the main analysis comparing GLP1 receptor agonists with DPP4 inhibitors, the upper limit of the confidence interval was consistent with no more than a 31% increase in relative risk.

Use of inhaled corticosteroids and the risk of hospitalisation for pneumonia in children with asthma: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The potential association between the use of inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) and the risk of pneumonia among adults is disputed and paediatric-specific evidence is scarce. AIM: To assess the potential association between ICS, use and the risk of hospitalisation for pneumonia among children (age 2-17 years) with asthma. METHODS: This was a cohort study based on nationwide data from routine clinical practice in Sweden (January 2007 to November 2021). From 425 965 children with confirmed asthma, episodes of new ICS use and no use were identified using records of dispensed drugs. We adjusted for potential confounders with propensity score overlap weighting and the risk of a hospitalisation with pneumonia as primary diagnosis was estimated. Multiple subgroup and sensitivity analyses were also performed. RESULTS: We identified 249 351 ICS (mean follow-up of 0.9 years) and 214 840 no-use (mean follow-up of 0.7 years) episodes. During follow-up, 369 and 181 events of hospitalisation for pneumonia were observed in the ICS and no-use episodes, respectively. The weighted incidence rates of hospitalisation for pneumonia was 14.5 per 10 000 patient-years for ICS use episodes and 14.6 for no-use episodes. The weighted HR for hospitalisation for pneumonia associated with ICS use was 1.06 (95% CI 0.88 to 1.28) and the absolute rate difference was -0.06 (95% CI -2.83 to 2.72) events per 10 000 patient-years, compared with no use. CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide cohort study, we found no evidence of an association between ICS use and the risk of hospitalisation for pneumonia among children with asthma, as compared with no use.

Association of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists with serious liver events among patients with type 2 diabetes: A Scandinavian cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Clinical trials suggest that glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists may have beneficial effects on NAFLD, but the impact on hard hepatic end points is unknown. We assessed the association between the use of GLP-1 receptor agonists and the risk of serious liver events in routine clinical practice. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Cohort study using data from nationwide registers in Sweden, Denmark, and Norway, 2007-2020, including 91,479 initiators of GLP-1 receptor agonists and 244,004 initiators of the active comparator, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, without a history of chronic liver disease other than NAFLD/NASH. The primary outcome was serious liver events: a composite of incident compensated and decompensated cirrhosis and HCC. Secondary outcomes were the individual components of the primary outcome. Cox regression was used to estimate HRs, using propensity score weighting to control for confounding. Users of GLP-1 receptor agonists had 608 serious liver events (adjusted incidence rate: 16.9 events per 10,000 person-years), compared with 1770 events among users of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (19.2 events per 10,000 person-years). The adjusted HR was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.75 to 0.97), and the rate difference was -2.1 (-4.4 to 0.1) events per 10,000 person-years. In secondary outcome analyses, the adjusted HR was 0.85 (0.75 to 0.97) for compensated and decompensated cirrhosis and 1.05 (0.80 to 1.39) for HCC. CONCLUSIONS: The use of GLP-1 receptor agonists was associated with a significantly reduced risk of serious liver events, driven by a reduction of compensated and decompensated cirrhosis.

Use of DPP4 Inhibitors and GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Risk of Intestinal Obstruction: Scandinavian Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Concerns have been raised that the incretin-based diabetes drugs dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists may increase the risk of intestinal obstruction. We aimed to assess the association between use of DPP4 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists and the risk of intestinal obstruction. METHODS: Using data from nationwide registers in Sweden, Denmark, and Norway, 2013-2021, we conducted 2 cohort studies, one for DPP4 inhibitors and one for GLP-1 receptor agonists, to investigate the risk of intestinal obstruction as compared with an active comparator drug class (sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 [SGLT2] inhibitors). RESULTS: Among 19,0321 new users of DPP4 inhibitors (median (interquartile range [IQR]) follow-up time, 1.3 [0.6-2.6] years) and 139,315 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors (median [IQR] follow-up time, 0.8 [0.4-1.7] years), 919 intestinal obstruction events occurred. Use of DPP4 inhibitors, as compared with SGLT2 inhibitors, was not associated with a statistically significant increase in risk of intestinal obstruction (adjusted incidence rate, 2.0 vs 1.8 per 1000 person-years; hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% confidence interval, 0.96-1.34). Among 121,254 new users of GLP-1 receptor agonists (median [standard deviation] follow-up time, 0.9 [0.4-1.9] years) and 185,027 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors (median [IQR] follow-up time, 0.8 [0.4-1.8] years), 557 intestinal obstruction events occurred. Use of GLP-1 receptor agonists was not associated with a statistically significant increase in risk of intestinal obstruction (adjusted incidence rate, 1.3 vs 1.6 per 1000 person-years; hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% confidence interval, 0.69-1.01). CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis of nationwide data from 3 countries, previous safety signals indicating an increased risk of intestinal obstruction with use of DPP4 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists were not confirmed.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitor Treatment and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: Scandinavian Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between use of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in routine clinical practice. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We used nationwide registers in Denmark, Norway, and Sweden from 2013 to 2018 in order to include patients without a history of AF who were newly prescribed an SGLT2 inhibitor or an active comparator (glucagon-like peptide 1 [GLP-1] receptor agonist). We performed a cohort study to assess new-onset AF in intention-to-treat analyses using Cox regression, adjusted for baseline covariates with propensity score weighting. RESULTS: We identified 79,343 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors (59.2% dapagliflozin, 40.0% empagliflozin, 0.8% canagliflozin, <0.1% ertugliflozin) and 57,613 new users of GLP-1 receptor agonists. Mean age of the study cohort was 61 years and 60% were men. The adjusted incidence rate of new-onset AF was 8.6 per 1,000 person-years for new users of SGLT2 inhibitors compared with 10.0 per 1,000 person-years for new users of GLP-1 receptor agonists. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) was 0.89 (95% CI 0.81-0.96), and the rate difference was 1.4 fewer events per 1,000 person-years (95% CI 0.6-2.1). Using an as-treated exposure definition, the aHR for new-onset AF was 0.87 (95% CI 0.76-0.99). No statistically significant heterogeneity of the aHRs was observed between subgroups of patients with and without a history of heart failure or major cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort study using nationwide data from three countries, use of SGLT2 inhibitors, compared with GLP-1 receptor agonists, was associated with a modestly reduced risk of new-onset AF.

Selection of Comparator Group in Observational Drug Safety Studies: Alternatives to the Active Comparator New User Design.

A valid study design is essential when assessing the safety of drugs based on observational data. The comparator group is a key element of the design and can greatly influence the results. The active comparator new user design is a go-to design in observational drug safety research where a target trial of initiation of a study drug versus usual care is emulated. A comparison with another treatment that targets similar patients as the study drug and has no effect on the outcome has great potential to reduce bias. However, the active comparator new user design can be difficult to implement because no suitable comparator drug is available or because it requires extensive exclusion of study drug initiators. In this analysis, we evaluated alternative study designs that can be used in drug safety assessments when the active comparator new user design is not optimal. Using target trial emulation as a common framework, we defined and evaluated the following designs: traditional no use, no-use episodes, active comparator new user, prevalent new user, generalized prevalent new user, and hierarchical prevalent new user. We showed that all designs can be implemented by using sequential cohorts and simply altering the patient selection criteria, i.e., identifying increasingly restrictive cohorts. In this way, all designs are nested in each other and the differences between them can be demonstrated clearly. We concluded that many study-specific factors need to be considered when choosing a design, including indication, available comparator drugs, treatment patterns, potential effect modification, and sample size.

Association between proton pump inhibitor use and risk of pneumonia in children: nationwide self-controlled case series study in Sweden.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and risk of pneumonia in children. DESIGN: Nationwide register-based self-controlled case series study. SETTING: Sweden, July 2006 to December 2016. PARTICIPANTS: Children aged <18 years who were treated with PPIs and had a hospitalisation or hospital emergency care visit for pneumonia within 1 year before and 2 years after PPI initiation. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary analysis examined the risk of pneumonia during the risk period (ongoing PPI treatment), the pre-exposure period (≤30 days preceding PPI treatment) and the postexposure period (days 1-365 after PPI discontinuation), comparing to the unexposed period. Conditional Poisson regression was used to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% CIs. RESULTS: A total of 2356 cases of pneumonia were included. Compared with the unexposed period, the risk of pneumonia was significantly increased during ongoing PPI treatment, with an adjusted IRR of 1.40 (95% CI 1.21 to 1.62). The risk of pneumonia was also increased in the pre-exposure period (adjusted IRR, 1.80, 95% CI 1.51 to 2.13), but not in the postexposure period (adjusted IRR 0.98, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.08). Dividing the risk period by time since treatment initiation, the increased risk of pneumonia was highest in the first 30 days (adjusted IRR 1.63, 95% CI 1.35 to 1.97), remained during days 31-90 (adjusted IRR 1.32, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.69), but waned in days ≥91 (IRR 1.06, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.41). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: An increased risk of pneumonia was observed both immediately before and immediately after PPI initiation. This pattern of association can likely be explained by an underlying risk of pneumonia due to factors transiently present at the time around PPI initiation. Thus, our findings do not support a causal relationship between PPI use and risk of pneumonia.

Proton pump inhibitor use and risk of depression and anxiety in children: nationwide cohort study.

Although some data have linked proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use to risk of depression and anxiety, there are no studies investigating this safety issue in children. This study investigated the association between PPI use and risk of depression and anxiety in children. We conducted a nationwide register-based cohort study in Sweden, July 1, 2007, to December 31, 2016. Following matching on age and propensity score, we included 29,320 pairs of PPI initiators and noninitiators among children aged 7-17 years old. The primary analysis examined the risk of incident depression and anxiety, a composite outcome defined as a diagnosis of depression, anxiety, or a prescription for an antidepressant. Children who initiated PPI use had higher hazards for risk of depression and anxiety compared with noninitiators (hazard ratios [HRs], 2.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.32-2.94). In analyses of the timing of depression and anxiety onset after PPI initiation, the HRs were 3.71 (95% CI, 2.17-6.34) for 1-30 days, 3.47 (95% CI, 2.33-5.18) for 31-90 days, 2.71 (2.04-3.60) for 91-180 days, 2.52 (2.00-3.16) for 181-365 days, and 2.34 (1.94-2.82) for 366-730 days. Significant associations were observed across all age groups. The magnitude of the association increased with longer duration of PPI use (p for trend < 0.0001). The association was consistent through all sensitivity analyses, including high-dimensional propensity score matching (HR, 2.31, 95% CI, 2.05-2.61). PPI use was associated with increased risk of depression and anxiety in children. Further investigation is warranted to confirm or refute this potential association.

The comparative cardiovascular and renal effectiveness of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists: A Scandinavian cohort study.

AIM: To assess the comparative cardiovascular and renal effectiveness of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors versus glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists in routine clinical practice. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cohort study of nationwide registers from Sweden, Denmark, and Norway, including 87 525 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors and 63 921 new users of GLP-1 receptor agonists, was conducted using data from 2013-2018. Co-primary outcomes, analysed using an intention-to-treat exposure definition, were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; myocardial infarction, stroke, and cardiovascular death), heart failure (hospitalization or death because of heart failure), and serious renal events (renal replacement therapy, hospitalization for renal events, and death from renal causes). RESULTS: Use of SGLT2 inhibitors versus GLP-1 receptor agonists was associated with a higher risk of MACE (adjusted incidence rate: 15.2 vs. 14.4 events per 1000 person-years; HR 1.07 [95% CI 1.01-1.15]), a similar risk of heart failure (6.0 vs. 6.0 events per 1000 person-years; HR 1.02 [0.92-1.12]), and a lower risk of serious renal events (2.9 vs. 4.0 events per 1000 person-years; HR 0.76 [0.66-0.87]). In as-treated analyses, the HR (95% CI) was 1.11 (1.00-1.24) for MACE, 0.88 (0.74-1.04) for heart failure, and 0.60 (0.47-0.77) for serious renal events. In secondary outcome analyses, use of SGLT2 inhibitors versus GLP-1 receptor agonists was not associated with statistically significant differences for the risk of myocardial infarction (HR 1.09 [95% CI 1.00-1.19]), cardiovascular death (HR 0.97 [95% CI 0.84-1.12]), death from renal causes (HR 0.75 [95% CI 0.41-1.35]), or any cause death (HR 1.01 [95% CI 0.94-1.09]), while the risk of stroke was higher (HR 1.14 [95% CI 1.03-1.26]), and the risk of renal replacement therapy (HR 0.74 [95% CI 0.56-0.97]) and hospitalization for renal events (HR 0.75 [95% CI 0.65-0.88]) were lower among users of SGLT2 inhibitors. CONCLUSIONS: Use of SGLT2 inhibitors versus GLP-1 receptor agonists was associated with a similar risk of heart failure and a lower risk of serious renal events, while use of GLP-1 receptor agonists versus SGLT2 inhibitors was associated with a slightly lower risk of MACE. In as-treated analyses, the associations with MACE and serious renal events increased in magnitude, and the HR for heart failure tended towards a protective association for SGLT2 inhibitors.

Use of incretin-based drugs and risk of cholangiocarcinoma: Scandinavian cohort study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Concerns have been raised regarding a potential association of use of the incretin-based drugs dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1)-receptor agonists with risk of cholangiocarcinoma. We examined this association in nationwide data from three countries. METHODS: We used data from nationwide registers in Sweden, Denmark and Norway, 2007-2018, to conduct two cohort studies, one for DPP4 inhibitors and one for GLP-1-receptor agonists, to investigate the risk of incident cholangiocarcinoma compared with an active-comparator drug class (sulfonylureas). The cohorts included patients initiating treatment episodes with DPP4 inhibitors vs sulfonylureas, and GLP-1-receptor agonists vs sulfonylureas. We used Cox regression models, adjusted for potential confounders, to estimate hazard ratios from day 366 after treatment initiation to account for cancer latency. RESULTS: The main analyses of DPP4 inhibitors included 1,414,144 person-years of follow-up from 222,577 patients receiving DPP4 inhibitors (median [IQR] follow-up time, 4.5 [2.6-7.0] years) and 123,908 patients receiving sulfonylureas (median [IQR] follow-up time, 5.1 [2.9-7.8] years) during which 350 cholangiocarcinoma events occurred. Use of DPP4 inhibitors, compared with sulfonylureas, was not associated with a statistically significant increase in risk of cholangiocarcinoma (incidence rate 26 vs 23 per 100,000 person-years; adjusted HR, 1.15 [95% CI 0.90, 1.46]; absolute rate difference 3 [95% CI -3, 10] events per 100,000 person-years). The main analyses of GLP-1-receptor agonists included 1,036,587 person-years of follow-up from 96,813 patients receiving GLP-1-receptor agonists (median [IQR] follow-up time, 4.4 [2.4-6.9] years) and 142,578 patients receiving sulfonylureas (median [IQR] follow-up time, 5.5 [3.2-8.1] years) during which 249 cholangiocarcinoma events occurred. Use of GLP-1-receptor agonists was not associated with a statistically significant increase in risk of cholangiocarcinoma (incidence rate 26 vs 23 per 100,000 person-years; adjusted HR, 1.25 [95% CI 0.89, 1.76]; absolute rate difference 3 [95% CI -5, 13] events per 100,000 patient-years). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: In this analysis using nationwide data from three countries, use of DPP4 inhibitors and GLP-1-receptor agonists, compared with sulfonylureas, was not associated with a significantly increased risk of cholangiocarcinoma.

Association Between Proton Pump Inhibitor Use and Risk of Asthma in Children.

Importance: The use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) in children has increased substantially in recent years, concurrently with emerging concerns that these drugs may increase the risk of asthma. Whether PPI use in the broad pediatric population is associated with increased risk of asthma is not known. Objective: To investigate the association between PPI use and risk of asthma in children. Design, Setting, and Participants: This nationwide cohort study collected registry data in Sweden from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2016. Children and adolescents 17 years or younger were matched by age and propensity score into 80 870 pairs of those who initiated PPI use and those who did not. Data were analyzed from February 1 to September 1, 2020. Exposures: Initiation of PPI use. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary analysis examined the risk of incident asthma with a median follow-up to 3.0 (interquartile range, 2.1-3.0) years. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). Results: Among the 80 870 pairs (63.0% girls; mean [SD] age, 12.9 [4.8] years), those who initiated PPI use had a higher incidence rate of asthma (21.8 events per 1000 person-years) compared with noninitiators (14.0 events per 1000 person-years), with an HR of 1.57 (95% CI, 1.49-1.64). The risk of asthma was significantly increased across all age groups and was highest for infants and toddlers with an HR of 1.83 (95% CI, 1.65-2.03) in the group younger than 6 months and 1.91 (95% CI, 1.65-2.22) in the group 6 months to younger than 2 years (P < .001 for interaction). The HRs for individual PPIs were 1.64 (95% CI, 1.50-1.79) for esomeprazole, 1.49 (95% CI, 1.25-1.78) for lansoprazole, 1.43 (95% CI, 1.35-1.51) for omeprazole, and 2.33 (95% CI, 1.30-4.18) for pantoprazole. In analyses of the timing of asthma onset after PPI initiation, the HRs were 1.62 (95% CI, 1.42-1.85) for 0 to 90 days, 1.73 (95% CI, 1.52-1.98) for 91 to 180 days, and 1.53 (95% CI, 1.45-1.62) for 181 days to end of follow-up. The association was consistent through all sensitivity analyses, including high-dimensional propensity score matching (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.41-1.55). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, initiation of PPI use compared with nonuse was associated with an increased risk of asthma in children. Proton pump inhibitors should be prescribed to children only when clearly indicated, weighing the potential benefit against potential harm.

Data Mining for Adverse Events of Tumor Necrosis Factor-Alpha Inhibitors in Pediatric Patients: Tree-Based Scan Statistic Analyses of Danish Nationwide Health Data.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) inhibitors are efficacious and considered generally safe in adults. However, pediatric-specific safety evidence is scarce. The aim of this study was to screen for signals of previously unknown adverse events of TNF-α inhibitors in pediatric patients. METHODS: We conducted a data-mining study based on routinely collected, nationwide Danish healthcare data for 2004-2016. Using tree-based scan statistics to identify events with unexpectedly high incidence during TNF-α inhibitor use among patients with inflammatory bowel disease or juvenile idiopathic arthritis, two analyses were performed: comparison with episodes of no use and with other time periods from the same patient. Based on incident physician-assigned diagnosis codes from outpatient and inpatient visits in specialist care, we screened thousands of potential adverse events while adjusting for multiple testing. RESULTS: We identified 1310 episodes of new TNF-α inhibitor use that met the eligibility criteria. Two signals of adverse events of TNF-α inhibitors, as compared with no use, were detected. First, there were excess events of dermatologic complications (ICD-10: L00-L99, 87 vs. 44 events, risk difference [RD] 3.3%), which have been described previously in adults and children. Second, there were excess events of psychiatric diagnosis adjustment disorders (ICD-10: F432, 33 vs. 7 events, RD 2.0%), which was likely associated with the underlying disease and its severity, rather than with the treatment. The self-controlled analysis generated no signal. CONCLUSIONS: No signals of previously unknown adverse events of TNF-α inhibitors in pediatric patients were detected. The study showed that real-world data and newly developed methods for adverse events data mining can play a particularly important role in pediatrics where pre-approval drug safety data are scarce.

Impact of variable look-back periods on the incidence rates of chronic diseases using real world data.

PURPOSE: Estimating disease incidence based on secondary data requires a look-back period to exclude patients with pre-existing disease from the incidence risk set. However, the optimal length of the look-back period and its impact on incidence rates are often unknown. We studied the impact of the length of the look-back period on incidence rates of 24 different chronic diseases. METHODS: Everyone residing in Sweden between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2013 were identified from national registries and followed up to 2 years (through December 31, 2015). Outcome events were identified from inpatient and outpatient hospital contacts and incidence rates were calculated per 100 000 person-years. The length of the look-back period was varied with 6-month increments, starting at 6 months. The maximum look-back period of 9 years was used as reference period. RESULTS: There were 7 943 807 individuals with a look-back period of at least 9 years (mean age 46.5 years) and a mean follow-up time of 1.97 years. Incidence rates were higher across all diseases when restricting the look-back to 1 year compared to 9 years, with a magnitude of overestimation of the incidence rates between 13% (temporal arteritis) and 174% (type 1 diabetes). However, for most diseases the effect of extending the look-back period beyond 3-5 years appeared comparably small. CONCLUSIONS: This study illustrates how short look-back periods cause overestimation of the incidence rates of chronic diseases, suggesting that sensitivity analyses with respect to look-back period are considered, particularly using data sources with limited information on past medical history.

Use of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors and risk of serious renal events: Scandinavian cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between use of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and risk of serious renal events in data from routine clinical practice. DESIGN: Cohort study using an active comparator, new user design and nationwide register data. SETTING: Sweden, Denmark, and Norway, 2013-18. PARTICIPANTS: Cohort of 29 887 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors (follow-up time: dapagliflozin 66.1%; empagliflozin 32.6%; canagliflozin 1.3%) and 29 887 new users of an active comparator, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, matched 1:1 on the basis of a propensity score with 57 variables. Mean follow-up time was 1.7 (SD 1.0) years. EXPOSURES: SGLT2 inhibitors versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, defined by filled prescriptions and analysed according to intention to treat. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The main outcome was serious renal events, a composite including renal replacement therapy, death from renal causes, and hospital admission for renal events. Secondary outcomes were the individual components of the main outcome. RESULTS: The mean age of the study population was 61.3 (SD 10.5) years; 11 108 (19%) had cardiovascular disease, and 1974 (3%) had chronic kidney disease. Use of SGLT2 inhibitors, compared with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, was associated with a reduced risk of serious renal events (2.6 events per 1000 person years versus 6.2 events per 1000 person years; hazard ratio 0.42 (95% confidence interval 0.34 to 0.53); absolute difference -3.6 (-4.4 to -2.8) events per 1000 person years). In secondary outcome analyses, the hazard ratio for use of SGLT2 inhibitors versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors was 0.32 (0.22 to 0.47) for renal replacement therapy, 0.41 (0.32 to 0.52) for hospital admission for renal events, and 0.77 (0.26 to 2.23) for death from renal causes. In sensitivity analyses in each of the Swedish and Danish parts of the cohort, the model was further adjusted for glycated haemoglobin and estimated glomerular filtration rate (Sweden and Denmark) and for blood pressure, body mass index, and smoking (Sweden only); in these analyses, the hazard ratio moved from 0.41 (0.26 to 0.66) to 0.50 (0.31 to 0.81) in Sweden and from 0.42 (0.32 to 0.56) to 0.55 (0.41 to 0.74) in Denmark. CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis using nationwide data from three countries, use of SGLT2 inhibitors, compared with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, was associated with a significantly reduced risk of serious renal events.

Use of Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonists and Risk of Serious Renal Events: Scandinavian Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between use of glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists and risk of serious renal events in routine clinical practice. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This was a cohort study using an active-comparator, new-user design and nationwide register data from Sweden, Denmark, and Norway during 2010-2016. The cohort included 38,731 new users of GLP-1 receptor agonists (liraglutide 92.5%, exenatide 6.2%, lixisenatide 0.7%, and dulaglutide 0.6%), matched 1:1 on age, sex, and propensity score to a new user of the active comparator, dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP-4) inhibitors. The main outcome was serious renal events, a composite including renal replacement therapy, death from renal causes, and hospitalization for renal events. Secondary outcomes were the individual components of the main outcome. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using Cox models and an intention-to-treat exposure definition. Mean (SD) follow-up time was 3.0 (1.7) years. RESULTS: Mean (SD) age of the study population was 59 (10) years, and 18% had cardiovascular disease. A serious renal event occurred in 570 users of GLP-1 receptor agonists (incidence rate 4.8 events per 1,000 person-years) and in 722 users of DPP-4 inhibitors (6.3 events per 1,000 person-years, HR 0.76 [95% CI 0.68-0.85], absolute difference -1.5 events per 1,000 person-years [-2.1 to -0.9]). Use of GLP-1 receptor agonists was associated with a significantly lower risk of renal replacement therapy (HR 0.73 [0.62-0.87]) and hospitalization for renal events (HR 0.73 [0.65-0.83]) but not death from renal causes (HR 0.72 [0.48-1.10]). When we used an as-treated exposure definition in which patients were censored at treatment cessation or switch to the other study drug, the HR for the primary outcome was 0.60 (0.49-0.74). CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of patients seen in routine clinical practice in three countries, use of GLP-1 receptor agonists, as compared with DPP-4 inhibitors, was associated with a reduced risk of serious renal events.

Association Between Proton Pump Inhibitor Use and Risk of Fracture in Children.

Importance: Proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use has been linked to increased risk of fracture in adults. Despite a trend in prescription of PPIs in children, there is scarce evidence regarding this safety concern in pediatric patients. Objective: To evaluate the association between PPI use and risk of fracture in children. Design: This nationwide register-based cohort study included data from Sweden from July 2006 to December 2016. Children younger than 18 years who initiated PPI use were matched on propensity score and age with those who did not initiate PPI use. Exposure: Initiation of PPI use. Main Outcomes and Measures: Cox regression was adopted to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for a first fracture of any type and 5 subtypes of fracture, with follow-up for up to 5 years. To address potential residual confounding, high-dimensional propensity score matching and a direct comparison with histamine-2 receptor antagonists were performed. Results: There were a total of 115 933 pairs of children included. During a mean (SD) of 2.2 (1.6) years of follow-up, 5354 and 4568 cases of any fracture occurred among those who initiated PPIs vs those who did not, respectively (20.2 vs 18.3 events per 1000 person-years; hazard ratio [HR], 1.11 [95% CI, 1.06-1.15]). Use of PPIs was associated with increased risk of upper-limb fracture (HR, 1.08 [95% CI, 1.03-1.13]), lower-limb fracture (HR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.10-1.29]), and other fractures (HR, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.16-1.97]) but not head fracture (HR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.76-1.13]) or spine fracture (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 0.95-1.81]). The HRs for fracture according to cumulative duration of PPI use were 1.08 (95% CI, 1.03-1.13) for 30 days or less, 1.14 (95% CI, 1.09-1.20) for 31 to 364 days, and 1.34 (95% CI, 1.13-1.58) for 365 days or more. The association was consistent in most sensitivity analyses, including high-dimensional propensity score matching (HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.06-1.15]), although the analysis of PPI vs histamine-2 receptor antagonist did not reach statistical significance (HR, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.97-1.15]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this large pediatric cohort, PPI use was associated with a small but significant increased risk of any fracture. Risk of fracture should be taken into account when weighing the benefits and risks of PPI treatment in children.

Use of tumour necrosis factor-α inhibitors and the risk of serious infection in paediatric inflammatory bowel disease in Denmark: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Studies have shown an association between use of tumour necrosis factor-α (TNFα) inhibitors and increased risk of serious infection in adult inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). However, data on this topic for paediatric patients are scarce and inconclusive. The aim of this study was to investigate whether there is an association between the use of TNFα inhibitors and the risk of serious infection in children with IBD. METHODS: In this nationwide Danish cohort study, we searched health registers (from Jan 1, 2007, to Dec 31, 2016) to identify episodes of children and adolescents (<18 years) with at least two recorded IBD diagnoses in specialist care. We categorised follow-up time in mutually exclusive episodes of incident TNFα inhibitor use or no TNFα inhibitor use from specialist care records. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs), adjusting using propensity score weighting for demographic characteristics, comorbidities, treatment history, health-care use, and indicators of disease severity. The primary outcome, incident serious infection, was defined as infection requiring a stay in hospital and was identified through hospital records. FINDINGS: Among 2817 paediatric patients with IBD, we identified 618 episodes of incident TNFα inhibitor use and 2925 episodes of no TNFα inhibitor use. In the cohort of exposed and not exposed episodes that was propensity-score weighted, 53·9% were of male sex, the mean age was 15·1 (SD 1·7) years, 69·9% had Crohn's disease, and 30·1% had ulcerative colitis or IBD-unclassified; median follow-up was 1·4 years (IQR 0·4-3·0). The weighted incidence of serious infection was 54·6 events per 1000 patient-years for the TNFα inhibitor episodes and 61·9 events per 1000 patient-years for the no-use episodes. The weighted HR of serious infection associated with TNFα inhibitor use was 0·81 (95% CI 0·54-1·21). INTERPRETATION: There was no significant association between use of TNFα inhibitors and the risk of serious infection in children with IBD, and, based on the upper bound of the confidence interval, a relatively small risk increase seems unlikely, contrary to previous findings in adults. Observational data such as these can support paediatric clinical practice. FUNDING: Swedish Research Council, Frimurare Barnhuset Foundation, and the Åke Wiberg Foundation.

Use of sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and risk of major cardiovascular events and heart failure: Scandinavian register based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the cardiovascular effectiveness of sodium glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors in routine clinical practice. DESIGN: Cohort study using data from nationwide registers and an active-comparator new-user design. SETTING: Denmark, Norway, and Sweden, from April 2013 to December 2016. PARTICIPANTS: 20 983 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors and 20 983 new users of dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitors, aged 35-84, matched by age, sex, history of major cardiovascular disease, and propensity score. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes were major cardiovascular events (composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, and cardiovascular death) and heart failure (hospital admission for heart failure or death due to heart failure). Secondary outcomes were the individual components of the cardiovascular composite and any cause death. In the primary analyses, patients were defined as exposed from treatment start throughout follow-up (analogous to intention to treat); additional analyses were conducted with an as-treated exposure definition. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios. RESULTS: Mean age of the study cohort was 61 years, 60% were men, and 19% had a history of major cardiovascular disease. Of the total 27 416 person years of follow-up in the SGLT2 inhibitor group, 22 627 (83%) was among patients who initiated dapagliflozin, 4521 (16%) among those who initiated empagliflozin, and 268 (1%) among those who initiated canagliflozin. During follow-up, 467 SGLT2 inhibitor users (incidence rate 17.0 events per 1000 person years) and 662 DPP4 inhibitor users (18.0) had a major cardiovascular event, whereas 130 (4.7) and 265 (7.1) had a heart failure event, respectively. Hazard ratios were 0.94 (95% confidence interval 0.84 to 1.06) for major cardiovascular events and 0.66 (0.53 to 0.81) for heart failure. Hazard ratios were consistent among subgroups of patients with and without history of major cardiovascular disease and with and without history of heart failure. Hazard ratios for secondary outcomes, comparing SGLT2 inhibitors with DPP4 inhibitors, were 0.99 (0.85 to 1.17) for myocardial infarction, 0.94 (0.77 to 1.15) for stroke, 0.84 (0.65 to 1.08) for cardiovascular death, and 0.80 (0.69 to 0.92) for any cause death. In the as-treated analyses, hazard ratios were 0.84 (0.72 to 0.98) for major cardiovascular events, 0.55 (0.42 to 0.73) for heart failure, 0.93 (0.76 to 1.14) for myocardial infarction, 0.83 (0.64 to 1.07) for stroke, 0.67 (0.49 to 0.93) for cardiovascular death, and 0.75 (0.61 to 0.91) for any cause death. CONCLUSIONS: In this large Scandinavian cohort, SGLT2 inhibitor use compared with DPP4 inhibitor use was associated with reduced risk of heart failure and any cause death, but not with major cardiovascular events in the primary intention-to-treat analysis. In the additional as-treated analyses, the magnitude of the association with heart failure and any cause death became larger, and a reduced risk of major cardiovascular events that was largely driven by the cardiovascular death component was observed. These data help inform patients, practitioners, and authorities regarding the cardiovascular effectiveness of SGLT2 inhibitors in routine clinical practice.

Association between use of azathioprine and risk of acute pancreatitis in children with inflammatory bowel disease: a Swedish-Danish nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Studies have shown an association between use of azathioprine and increased risk of acute pancreatitis in adult inflammatory bowel disease. However, whether an association exists among paediatric patients is not known. We aimed to investigate whether use of azathioprine is associated with the risk of acute pancreatitis in children with inflammatory bowel disease. METHODS: We did a nationwide register-based cohort study in Sweden (2006-16) and Denmark (2000-16). All paediatric patients (<18 years of age) with inflammatory bowel disease during the study period were identified through hospital records. Episodes of incident azathioprine use and no use of any thiopurine were matched (1:1) using propensity scores, controlling for sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities, previous treatment, indicators of disease severity, and health care use. Incident acute pancreatitis (physician-assigned diagnosis with ICD-10 code K85) occurring in the 90 days following treatment initiation were identified through outpatient and inpatient hospital records. FINDINGS: We identified 3574 azathioprine episodes and 18 700 no-use episodes, which resulted in 3374 pairs after propensity score matching; baseline characteristics in the matched cohort were well balanced. Among the matched azathioprine episodes, mean age was 14·3 years (SD 3·1), 1854 (54·9%) were male, 1923 (57·0%) had Crohn's disease, and 1451 (43·0%) had ulcerative colitis or unclassified inflammatory bowel disease. Within the first 90 days following initiation of azathioprine, 40 acute pancreatitis events occurred (incidence rate 49·1 events per 1000 person-years) compared with six events in the no-use group (8·4 events per 1000 person-years). Azathioprine use was associated with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis (incidence rate ratio 5·82 [95% CI 2·47-13·72]; absolute difference 1·0 [95% CI 0·3-2·6] events per 100 patients) during the 90-day risk period. INTERPRETATION: Use of azathioprine was associated with an increased risk of acute pancreatitis in children with inflammatory bowel disease during the first 90 days following treatment initiation, suggesting the need for regular and rigorous monitoring. The risk of acute pancreatitis needs to be considered when deciding on optimal treatment strategies. FUNDING: Swedish Research Council, Frimurare Barnhuset Foundation, and the Åke Wiberg Foundation.