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1.
S Afr Med J ; 112(12): 890-891, 2022 12 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36472322

ABSTRACT

We summarise a Cochrane review of qualitative evidence that explored parents' views and practices around routine childhood vaccination, and provide implications for research and practice that are relevant to the South African (SA) context. Many public health interventions to encourage vaccination are informed by an assumption that vaccine hesitancy is due to a lack of knowledge or irrational forms of thinking. The findings from this review suggest that childhood vaccination views and practices are complex social processes that are shaped by multiple factors and carry a variety of meanings. As such, we suggest that biomedical approaches must be supplemented by more nuanced and sociopolitically informed strategies for enhancing and sustaining childhood vaccination practices in SA.


Subject(s)
Caregivers , Parents , Humans , South Africa , Vaccination , Public Health , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Patient Acceptance of Health Care
2.
S Afr Med J ; 111(3): 206-207, 2021 Mar 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33944739

ABSTRACT

The role of an influenza vaccine is to minimise illness and death. Vaccines provide good protection against influenza strains and significantly reduce time off work. However, the recommendation for use depends on the efficacy, effectiveness and safety of the vaccines. We highlight a Cochrane review that sought to determine the efficacy, effectiveness and safety of seasonal influenza vaccines in healthy children, and provide implications for practice for vaccination of children. The findings suggest that influenza vaccines play a key role in reducing serious morbidity and mortality among children. There were few data available to provide firm conclusions on adverse events. Vaccinating against influenza not only reduces its incidence among children, but also extends these benefits to the unvaccinated population, such as the elderly. In light of the many direct and indirect benefits of vaccinating children aged 2 - 16 years, there is a need to provide access to influenza vaccines to all eligible South African children.


Subject(s)
Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Adolescent , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Male , South Africa/epidemiology
3.
Int Health ; 13(6): 653-657, 2021 12 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31927563

ABSTRACT

Despite the enormous benefits of vaccination, global immunisation coverage progress has stalled and remains suboptimal in many countries. In this commentary, we review the recently published update of the World Health Organization and United Nations Children's Fund Estimates of National Immunization Coverage. We highlight trends in which, despite substantial gains made in improving immunisation coverage at the global level, there remain numerous challenges with reaching and sustaining optimal coverage. We contextualise the trends by exploring plausible supply- and demand-side root causes. Based on these, we stress the need for targeted, context-appropriate strategies for reaching and maintaining optimal immunisation coverage.


Subject(s)
Immunization Programs , Vaccination Coverage , Child , Global Health , Humans , United Nations , Vaccination , World Health Organization
5.
S Afr Med J ; 110(6): 525-531, 2020 May 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32880566

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Infection with human papillomavirus (HPV) significantly increases the risk of developing cervical cancer later in life. Therefore, globally, HPV vaccines targeted to pre-adolescent and adolescent girls have been on the rise since the licensure in 2006. However, the introduction of HPV vaccines has been relatively slow in Africa. At the end of 2016, only 8 of the 54 countries in Africa were reported to have introduced HPV vaccination at a national level. By 2019, the number of countries had grown marginally to 11. OBJECTIVES: To investigate stakeholders' perspectives on the experiences, challenges and lessons learnt during national HPV vaccine introduction in Africa. METHODS: A questionnaire was administered to selected participants from 8 African countries. These countries had successfully introduced HPV vaccination at a national level by the end of 2016. We used in-depth interviews and self-administered online questionnaires for data collection and analysis. Data are presented without naming the country or participants; therefore, readers will not be able to identify the results that are specific to individual countries. Narrative and thematic reporting were used to describe the results. RESULTS: We obtained results from 6 of the 8 targeted countries. The challenges reported during HPV vaccination programmes were: identifying the target population, using a school-based vaccine-delivery strategy, obtaining political support, the need to integrate HPV vaccination with existing school health programmes and engaging multiple stakeholders. These challenges were similar in all 6 countries. The lessons learnt were that a school-based delivery strategy is a successful approach for national HPV vaccination, and that identifying girls for vaccination at schools was less challenging if implemented through a class-based instead of an age-based approach. CONCLUSIONS: Most African countries do not have established platforms to deliver vaccines to pre-adolescent and adolescent populations. The successful introduction of the HPV vaccine through school-based vaccination strategies in African countries may have created a platform to deliver other adolescent vaccines. The similarity of the study findings across the 6 participating countries further strengthens the need to document and disseminate the challenges and lessons learnt during HPV vaccine introduction in Africa. Documentation and dissemination of the challenges and lessons learnt are useful to other countries in Africa that plan to introduce an HPV vaccination programme, and possibly other adolescent vaccines.


Subject(s)
Immunization Programs/organization & administration , Papillomavirus Infections/prevention & control , Papillomavirus Vaccines/administration & dosage , School Health Services , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/prevention & control , Adolescent , Africa , Child , Female , Humans , Surveys and Questionnaires
6.
S Afr Med J ; 110(8): 759-760, 2020 07 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32880303

ABSTRACT

Convalescent plasma is being considered as a potential therapy for COVID-19. We highlight and contextualise the findings of a recent Cochrane rapid review that evaluated the effectiveness and safety of convalescent plasma or hyperimmune immunoglobulin transfusion in the treatment of people with COVID-19. The review found low-certainty evidence of the therapeutic effectiveness and safety of convalescent plasma. As the novel coronavirus continues to spread in South Africa (SA), convalescent plasma may offer a therapeutic ray of hope for mitigating the morbidity and mortality burdens of the disease. Further investigation of the clinical benefits of the therapy in well-designed studies is needed to provide more evidence that will guide COVID-19 treatment decision-making in the SA context.


Subject(s)
Coronavirus Infections , Immunoglobulins, Intravenous/therapeutic use , Pandemics , Pneumonia, Viral , Betacoronavirus/isolation & purification , COVID-19 , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Coronavirus Infections/therapy , Humans , Immunization, Passive/methods , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/therapy , SARS-CoV-2 , South Africa , Systematic Reviews as Topic , Treatment Outcome , COVID-19 Serotherapy
7.
S Afr Med J ; 110(7): 599-600, 2020 06 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32880328

ABSTRACT

COVID-19 spreads easily between people who are in close contact, or through coughs and sneezes. As the number of cases continues to increase, healthcare workers (HCWs) are notably at risk as a result of frequency of contact with suspected cases or infected people. Use of infection prevention and control (IPC) strategies by HCWs is therefore important. We summarise the evidence from a rapid Cochrane qualitative evidence synthesis by Houghton et al. on barriers and facilitators to HCWs' adherence to IPC guidelines for respiratory infectious diseases.


Subject(s)
Coronavirus Infections , Health Personnel , Infection Control , Pandemics , Pneumonia, Viral , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Humans , SARS-CoV-2
8.
S Afr Med J ; 110(3): 249-254, 2020 Feb 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32657704

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In South Africa (SA), healthy term newborns are usually discharged ˂72 hours after delivery. Discharged babies remain at risk for severe hyperbilirubinaemia if it is not identified early. Hyperbilirubinaemia is an important cause of readmission, and also leads to neonatal mortality and morbidity. Use of transcutaneous bilirubin (TcB) screening before hospital discharge has been controversial. OBJECTIVES: To test the clinical benefits of TcB screening of healthy newborns before discharge for the outcomes of readmission for jaundice and severe hyperbilirubinaemia in a randomised controlled trial (RCT). METHODS: This was a RCT. We compared predischarge TcB screening with visual assessment (alone) for jaundice in apparently healthy newborns at a public tertiary hospital in Cape Town, SA. Patients or study participants were not involved in the study design and implementation. RESULTS: Of the 1 858 infants, 63% were black, 35% of mixed race and 1% white. There was a significant reduction in the rate of readmission for jaundice (risk ratio (RR) 0.25; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.14 - 0.46; p<0.0001) and in the incidence of severe hyperbilirubinaemia (RR 0.27; 95% CI 0.08 - 0.97; p=0.05) with the use of TcB screening compared with visual inspection. CONCLUSIONS: Predischarge TcB screening is superior in identifying newborns at risk of severe hyperbilirubinaemia compared with visual inspection. We recommend that every newborn, regardless of skin pigmentation, should receive objective bilirubin screening before hospital discharge. Universal bilirubin screening in newborns could potentially reduce hyperbilirubinaemia-related morbidity and mortality.


Subject(s)
Bilirubin/analysis , Hyperbilirubinemia/diagnosis , Neonatal Screening , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Exchange Transfusion, Whole Blood , Female , Humans , Hyperbilirubinemia/mortality , Hyperbilirubinemia/therapy , Infant, Newborn , Length of Stay , Male , Phototherapy
9.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 16(11): 2656-2662, 2020 11 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32298204

ABSTRACT

Introduction: South Africa is yet to introduce rubella-containing vaccines (RCV) into its routine immunization schedule. Selecting the target population when introducing RCV should take into account the ages of susceptible individuals in the population. We aimed to determine the seroprevalence of antibodies to rubella and characterize immunity gaps among individuals of all ages in South Africa. Methods: We tested for rubella immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies with a commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. We used residual samples collected from 2016 through 2018 as part of the national measles surveillance program. We only tested samples that were negative for measles and rubella immunoglobulin M (IgM) and explored the association between rubella susceptibility (IgG negative) and predictor variables (year of sample collection, age, sex, and province of residence) using logistic regression analysis. Results: We obtained results for 6057 records. Rubella susceptibility was highest among Individuals aged zero to 11 months (81.9%), followed by children 1 to 5 years old (71.5%), 6 to 10 y old (40.9%) and 11 to 15 y old (31.25) while the smallest proportion of susceptible individuals was among those 16 to 49 y old (19.9%). Females were less likely to be susceptible to rubella compared to males (OR = 0.79 (95%CI: 0.71-0.87), P < .001) in unadjusted analysis but this effect was not observed after adjusting for age and province. In multivariable logistic regression, age (OR = 6.24 (4.52-8.63), P < .001) and province of residence (OR = 0.97 (95%CI: 0.95-0.99), P = .01) were associated with rubella susceptibility. Conclusion: In the absence of rubella vaccination in the Expanded Program on Immunization in South Africa, the bulk of individuals susceptible to rubella are children under 16 y old. About 20% of individuals 16 to 49 y old are susceptible to rubella. This susceptibility gap must be born in mind during RCV introduction.


Subject(s)
Measles , Rubella , Aged , Antibodies, Viral , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Infant , Male , Measles/epidemiology , Measles/prevention & control , Measles-Mumps-Rubella Vaccine , Rubella/epidemiology , Rubella/prevention & control , Rubella virus , Seroepidemiologic Studies , South Africa/epidemiology
10.
Article in English | AIM (Africa) | ID: biblio-1271050

ABSTRACT

Convalescent plasma is being considered as a potential therapy for COVID­19. We highlight and contextualise the findings of a recent Cochrane rapid review that evaluated the effectiveness and safety of convalescent plasma or hyperimmune immunoglobulin transfusion in the treatment of people with COVID­19. The review found low­certainty evidence of the therapeutic effectiveness and safety of convalescent plasma. As the novel coronavirus continues to spread in South Africa (SA), convalescent plasma may offer a therapeutic ray of hope for mitigating the morbidity and mortality burdens of the disease. Further investigation of the clinical benefits of the therapy in well-designed studies is needed to provide more evidence that will guide COVID-19 treatment decision-making in the SA context


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Coronavirus Infections , Immunoglobulins , South Africa
11.
S. Afr. med. j. (Online) ; 0:0(0): 1-2, 2020.
Article in English | AIM (Africa) | ID: biblio-1271060

ABSTRACT

COVID-19 spreads easily between people who are in close contact, or through coughs and sneezes. As the number of cases continues to increase, healthcare workers (HCWs) are notably at risk as a result of frequency of contact with suspected cases or infected people. Use of infection prevention and control (IPC) strategies by HCWs is therefore important. We summarise the evidence from a rapid Cochrane qualitative evidence synthesis by Houghton et al. on barriers and facilitators to HCWs' adherence to IPC guidelines for respiratory infectious diseases


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Communicable Diseases/prevention & control , Guideline Adherence , Health Personnel , Personal Protective Equipment , South Africa
12.
S Afr Med J ; 110(1): 5-6, 2019 12 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31865934

ABSTRACT

Vaccine hesitancy is an emerging problem in South Africa (SA), which threatens to erode the country's immunisation achievements. Communication interventions may be an effective strategy for addressing vaccine hesitancy. We highlight a Cochrane review of qualitative evidence that explored parents' views and experiences of communication regarding childhood vaccinations, and provide implications for practice that are relevant to the SA context. The findings suggest that healthcare providers (HCPs) play a central role in childhood vaccination attitudes and decision-making. Therefore, capacitating HCPs to promote vaccination with confidence is key to effective communication to address vaccine hesitancy in SA.


Subject(s)
Caregivers , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Child , Humans , Parents , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , South Africa , Vaccination
13.
S Afr Med J ; 109(11b): 83-88, 2019 Dec 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32252874

ABSTRACT

Although the neonatal mortality rate in South Africa (SA) has remained stagnant at 12 deaths per 1 000 live births, the infant and under-5 mortality rates have significantly declined since peaking in 2003. Policy changes that have influenced this decline include policies to prevent vertical HIV transmission, earlier treatment of children living with HIV, expanded immunisation policies, strengthening breastfeeding practices, and health policies to contain tobacco and sugar use. The Sustainable Development Goals (2016 - 2030) have shifted the focus from keeping children alive, as expressed in the Millennium Development Goals (1990 - 2015), to achieving optimal health through the 'Survive, thrive and transform' global agenda. This paper focuses on important remaining causes of childhood mortality and morbidity in SA, specifically respiratory illness, environmental pollution, tuberculosis, malnutrition and vaccine-preventable conditions. The monitoring of maternal and child health (MCH) outcomes is crucial, and has improved in SA through both the District Health Information and Civil Registration and Vital Statistics systems, although gaps remain. Intermittent surveys and research augment the routinely collected data. However, availability and use of local data to inform quality and effectiveness of care is critical, and this requires ownership at the collection point to facilitate local redress. Potential game changers to improve MCH outcomes include mobile health and community-based interventions. In SA, improved MCH remains a crucial factor for human capital development. There is a pressing need to focus beyond childhood mortality and to ensure that each child thrives.


Subject(s)
Child Health , Health Policy , Infant Health , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Breast Feeding , Child Mortality , Child Nutrition Disorders/epidemiology , Child Nutrition Disorders/mortality , Child Nutrition Disorders/prevention & control , Child, Preschool , Environmental Pollution/prevention & control , Environmental Pollution/statistics & numerical data , Female , HIV Infections/prevention & control , HIV Infections/transmission , Humans , Infant , Infant Formula , Infant Mortality , Infant Nutrition Disorders/epidemiology , Infant Nutrition Disorders/mortality , Infant Nutrition Disorders/prevention & control , Infant, Newborn , Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical/prevention & control , Maternal Health , Morbidity , Pregnancy , Respiratory Tract Diseases/epidemiology , Respiratory Tract Diseases/mortality , South Africa/epidemiology , Sustainable Development , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/mortality , Vaccine-Preventable Diseases/epidemiology , Vaccine-Preventable Diseases/mortality , Vaccines/therapeutic use
14.
Implement Sci ; 13(1): 117, 2018 08 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30157898

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Significant resources are required to write de novo clinical practice guidelines (CPGs). There are many freely-available CPGs internationally, for many health conditions. Developing countries rarely have the resources for de novo CPGs, and there could be efficiencies in using CPGs developed elsewhere. This paper outlines a novel process developed and tested in a resource-constrained country (South Africa) to synthesise findings from multiple international CPGs on allied health (AH) stroke rehabilitation. METHODS: Methodologists, policy-makers, content experts and consumers collaborated to describe the pathway of an 'average' stroke patient through the South African public healthcare system and pose questions about best-practice stroke rehabilitation along this pathway. A comprehensive search identified international guidance documents published since January 2010. These were scanned for relevance to the South African AH stroke rehabilitation questions and critically appraised for methodological quality. Recommendations were extracted from guidance documents for each question. Strength of the body of evidence (SoBE) gradings underpinning recommendations were standardised, and composite recommendations were developed using qualitative synthesis. An algorithm was developed to guide assignment of overall SoBE gradings to composite recommendations. RESULTS: Sixteen CPGs were identified, and all were included, as they answered different project questions differently. Methodological quality varied and was unrelated to currency. Seven clusters, outlining 20 composite recommendations were proposed (organise for best practice rehabilitation, operationalise strategies for best practice communication throughout the patient journey, admit to an acute hospital, refer to inpatient rehabilitation, action inpatient rehabilitation, discharge from inpatient rehabilitation and longer-term community-based rehabilitation). CONCLUSION: The methodological development process, tested by writing a South African AH stroke rehabilitation guideline from existing evidence sources, took 9 months. The process was efficient, collaborative, effective, rewarding and positive. Using the proposed methods, similar synthesis of existing evidence could be conducted in shorter time periods, in other resource-constrained countries, avoiding the need for expensive and time-consuming de novo CPG development.


Subject(s)
Allied Health Personnel , Delivery of Health Care/standards , Practice Guidelines as Topic , Primary Health Care/standards , Stroke Rehabilitation , Stroke/therapy , Adult , Humans , South Africa
15.
S Afr Med J ; 109(1): 13-15, 2018 Dec 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30606297

ABSTRACT

Cervical cancer is responsible for one-quarter of a million deaths per year worldwide. In South Africa (SA), cervical cancer is the leading cause of cancer deaths among women aged 15 - 44 years. Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines provide a safe and highly effective means to reduce the burden of cervical cancer. The World Health Organization initiated a plan for the elimination of cervical cancer; the programme's success relies on the introduction and high uptake of HPV vaccines globally. SA introduced a school-based HPV vaccination programme in 2014, but uptake is not as high as expected. Suboptimal HPV vaccination coverage may result from various factors, including vaccine hesitancy. Vaccine-hesitant parents may delay or refuse HPV vaccination for their daughters. Tailored interventions are needed to address this. However, knowledge regarding vaccine hesitancy and policies to address this hesitancy in SA are currently limited. While SA has taken commendable steps in cervical cancer prevention by implementing and financing the HPV vaccination programme, it is imperative that there are clear policies in place to help strengthen the programme. These policies need to clarify areas of uncertainty that may lead to mistrust, and pre-empt factors that will cause hesitancy. Equally important is that local research should be conducted to better understand HPV vaccination hesitancy and other determinants of uptake to further inform and shape national policies.


Subject(s)
Health Policy , Papillomavirus Infections/prevention & control , Papillomavirus Vaccines/therapeutic use , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/prevention & control , Vaccination Coverage/statistics & numerical data , Vaccination Refusal/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Female , Humans , Immunization Programs , Male , Parents , Research , School Health Services , South Africa , Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/virology
16.
Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis ; 31(7): 1619-30, 2012 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22095153

ABSTRACT

Sputum induction (SI) has been proposed as the optimal sample collection method for patients with paucibacillary tuberculosis (TB). Studies reporting the culture of Mycobacterium tuberculosis from SI were reviewed. A random-effects meta-analysis of diagnostic yield (numerator M. tuberculosis SI culture-positive cases; denominator all culture-positive cases) was conducted. Diagnostic yields (95% confidence intervals, CIs) were displayed as Forest plots. Heterogeneity was evaluated using Chi-squared and I-squared tests and meta-regression analysis. Ninety publications were screened, 28 full-text papers reviewed, and 17 analyzed. Collectively, n=627 SI culture-positive cases among n=975 culture-confirmed TB cases were reported. The diagnostic yield of SI ranged from 35 to 95%. The pooled diagnostic yield was 74% (CI 65-81%), with significant heterogeneity (p<0.0001, I2=86%). There were no statistically significant differences in the yield between sub-groups defined by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalence or age. Univariate analysis demonstrated that the use of fiberoptic bronchoscopy (FOB) as the comparator method was associated with a 22% reduction (CI 2-42%) in the diagnostic yield of SI. However, after adjustment for confounding, the meta-regression analysis showed that FOB usage (p=0.21) and saline concentration (p=0.31) were not independently associated with the diagnostic yield. SI will detect approximately three-quarters of M. tuberculosis culture-positive cases under study conditions. Significant heterogeneity in the diagnostic yield was not explained by HIV prevalence, age, or the use of FOB as the comparator method. The use of a particular nebulized saline concentration for SI cannot be recommended on the basis of this meta-regression analysis.


Subject(s)
Bacteriological Techniques/methods , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/isolation & purification , Sputum/microbiology , Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/diagnosis , Humans , Sensitivity and Specificity
17.
Int J Gynaecol Obstet ; 100(1): 4-9, 2008 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17894936

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effectiveness and safety of interventions to reduce blood loss during myomectomy. METHODS: Electronic searches of the Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, and EMBASE, between 1966 and 2006 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs). RESULTS: We found significant reductions in blood loss with vaginal misoprostol (weighted mean difference [WMD] -149.00 mL, 95% confidence interval [CI] -229.24 to -68.76); intramyometrial vasopressin and analogues (WMD -298.72 mL, 95% CI -593.10 to -4.34); intramyometrial bupivacaine plus epinephrine (WMD -68.60 mL, 95% CI -93.69 to -43.51); and pericervical tourniquet (WMD -1870.00 mL, 95% CI -2547.16 to -1192.84). There was no evidence of effect in blood loss with myoma enucleation by morcellation and oxytocin. CONCLUSION: There is limited evidence from a few RCTs that some interventions may reduce bleeding during myomectomy. There is need for adequately powered RCTs to shed more light on the effectiveness, safety, and cost of different interventions to reduce blood loss during myomectomy.


Subject(s)
Blood Loss, Surgical/prevention & control , Leiomyomatosis/surgery , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Uterine Neoplasms/surgery , Bupivacaine/therapeutic use , Combined Modality Therapy , Female , Gynecologic Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Humans , Misoprostol/therapeutic use , Oxytocin/therapeutic use , Tourniquets , Vasopressins/therapeutic use
18.
SAMJ, S. Afr. med. j ; 98(1): 36-40, 2008.
Article in English | AIM (Africa) | ID: biblio-1271388

ABSTRACT

Objective: To determine the mortality rate and its predictors in patients with a presumptive diagnosis of tuberculous pericarditis in sub-Saharan Africa. Design: Between 1 March 2004 and 31 October 2004; we enrolled 185 consecutive patients with presumed tuberculous pericarditis from 15 referral hospitals in Cameroon; Nigeria; and South Africa; and observed them during the 6-month course of antituberculosis treatment for the major outcome of mortality. This was an observational study; with the diagnosis and management of each patient left at the discretion of the attending physician. Using Cox regression; we have assessed the effect of clinical and therapeutic characteristics (recorded at baseline) on mortality during follow-up. Results: We obtained the vital status of 174 (94) patients (median age 33; range 14-87 years). The overall mortality rate was 26. Mortality was higher in patients who had clinical features of HIV infection than in those who did not (40versus 17; P=0.001). Independent predictors of death during follow-up were: (1) a proven non-tuberculosis final diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR] 5.35; 95confidence interval 1.76 to 16.25); (2) the presence of clinical signs of HIV infection (HR 2.28; 1.14-4.56); (3) co-existent pulmonary tuberculosis (HR 2.33; 1.20-4.54); and (4) older age (HR 1.02; 1.01-1.05). There was also a trend towards an increase in death rate in patients with haemodynamic instability (HR 1.80; 0.90-3.58) and a decrease in those who underwent pericardiocentesis (HR 0.34; 0.10-1.19). Conclusion : A presumptive diagnosis of tuberculous pericarditis is associated with a high mortality in sub-Saharan Africans. Attention to rapid aetiological diagnosis of pericardial effusion and treatment of concomitant HIV infection may reduce the high mortality associated with the disease


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Pericarditis , Pericarditis/complications , Pericarditis/mortality , Pericarditis/therapy
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