A novel, model-based insulin and nutrition delivery controller for glycemic regulation in critically ill patients.

BACKGROUND: Critically ill patients are often hyperglycemic and insulin resistant, as well as highly dynamic. Tight glucose control has been shown to significantly reduce mortality in critical care. A physiological model of the glucose-insulin regulatory system is improved and used to develop an adaptive control protocol utilizing both nutritional and insulin inputs to control hyperglycemia. The approach is clinically verified in a critical care patient cohort. METHODS: A simple two-compartment model for glucose rate of appearance in plasma due to stepwise enteral glucose fluxes is developed and incorporated into a previously validated system model. A control protocol modulating intravenous insulin infusion and bolus, with an enteral feed rate, is developed, enabling tight and predictive glycemic regulation to preset targets. The control protocol is adaptive to patient time-variant effective insulin resistance. The model and protocol are verified in seven 10-h and one 24-h proof-of-concept clinical trials. Ethics approval was granted by the Canterbury Ethics Committee. RESULTS: Insulin requirements varied widely following acute changes in patient physiology. The algorithm developed successfully adapted to patient metabolic status and insulin sensitivity, achieving an average target acquisition error of 9.3% with 90.7% of all targets achieved within +/-20%. Prediction errors may not be distinguishable from sensor measurement errors. Large errors (>20%) are attributable to highly dynamic and unpredictable changes in patient condition. CONCLUSIONS: Tight, targeted stepwise regulation was exhibited in all trials. Overall, tight glycemic regulation is achieved in a broad critical care cohort with optimized insulin and nutrition delivery, effectively managing glycemia even with high effective insulin resistance.

Model predictive glycaemic regulation in critical illness using insulin and nutrition input: a pilot study.

Stress-induced hyperglycaemia is prevalent in intensive care, impairing the immune response. Nutritional support regimes with high glucose content further exacerbate the problem. Tight glucose control has been shown to reduce mortality by up to 43% if levels are kept below 6.1 mmol/L. This research develops a control algorithm with insulin and nutritional inputs for targeted glucose control in the critically ill. Ethics approval for this research was granted by the Canterbury Ethics Committee. Proof-of-concept clinical pilot trials were conducted on intubated, insulin-dependent Christchurch ICU patients (n=7) on constant nutritional support. A target 10-15% reduction in glucose level per hour for a desired glucose level of 4-6 mmol/L was set. 43% and 91% of glucose targets were achieved within +/-5 and +/-20%, respectively. The mean error was 8.9% (0.5 mmol/L), with an absolute range [0, 2.9] mmol/L. End glucose levels were 40% lower compared to initial values. All large target errors are attributable to sudden changes in patient physiology at low glucose values, rather than systemic deficiencies. Target errors are consistent with and explainable by published sensor error distributions. The results show that intensive model-based glucose management with nutrition control reduced absolute glucose levels progressively while reducing the severity of glycaemic fluctuation even with significant inter-patient variability and time-varying physiological condition. Trials spanning longer periods of time are in development to verify the short-term pilot studies performed and to test the adaptability of the controller. Clinically, these results indicate potential in clinical use to reduce ICU mortality as well as reduce risk of severe complications.