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1.
Am J Transplant ; 12(6): 1519-27, 2012 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22335186

ABSTRACT

Beginning January 1, 2000, Medicare effectively extended its coverage of immunosuppression medications from 3 years to lifetime for patients eligible for Medicare on the basis of age or disability status. We examined the impact of this policy on racial disparities in kidney transplant outcomes at 5 years. Using data from the US Renal Data System, we identified cohorts of Medicare-insured kidney transplant recipients according to patient characteristics defining eligibility for lifetime immunosuppression coverage according to the year 2000 policy. We compared racial disparities in graft survival among those eligible for lifetime coverage with the Kaplan-Meier method. We modeled adjusted associations of patient race, patient income, benefits eligibility category and policy exposure with graft loss by multivariable Cox's regression. The racial disparity in graft survival between African American and non-African American among transplant recipients eligible for the lifetime benefit persisted. The graft survival disparity between high- and low-income African American recipients was insignificantly reduced among those eligible for the lifetime benefit. The results of the study suggest that insurance coverage of medication did not eliminate or reduce the racial disparity in graft survival.


Subject(s)
Graft Survival , Kidney Transplantation , Medicare , Racial Groups , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Proportional Hazards Models , United States
2.
Am J Transplant ; 8(12): 2636-46, 2008 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19032227

ABSTRACT

Beginning January 1, 2000, Medicare extended coverage of immunosuppression medications from 3 years to lifetime based on age >65 years or disability. Using United States Renal Data System (USRDS) data for Medicare-insured recipients of kidney transplants between July 1995 and December 2000, we identified four cohorts of Medicare-insured kidney transplant recipients. Patients in cohort 1 were individuals who were both eligible and received lifetime coverage. Patients in cohort 2 would have been eligible, but their 3-year coverage expired before lifetime coverage was available. Patients in cohort 3 were ineligible for lifetime coverage because of youth or lack of disability. Patients in cohort 4 were transplanted between 1995 and 1996 and were ineligible for lifetime coverage. Incomes were categorized by ZIP code median household income from census data. Lifetime extension of Medicare immunosuppression was associated with improved allograft survival among low-income transplant recipients in the sense that the previously existing income-related disparities in graft survival in cohort 2 were not apparent in cohort 1. Ineligible individuals served as a control group; the income-related disparities in graft survival observed in the early cohort 4 persisted in more recent cohort 3. Multivariate proportional hazards models confirmed these findings. Future work should evaluate the cost effectiveness of these coverage increases, as well as that of benefits extensions to broader patient groups.


Subject(s)
Graft Rejection/prevention & control , Healthcare Disparities/statistics & numerical data , Immunosuppressive Agents/economics , Income/statistics & numerical data , Kidney Transplantation/economics , Medicare/economics , Adult , Aged , Cohort Studies , Female , Graft Rejection/immunology , Healthcare Disparities/economics , Humans , Immunosuppressive Agents/therapeutic use , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Kidney Transplantation/immunology , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Regression Analysis , United States
3.
Am J Transplant ; 6(1): 129-39, 2006 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16433767

ABSTRACT

We compared the graft survival and accumulative costs associated with sepsis and pneumonia pre- and post-transplantation. We analyzed 44 916 first kidney transplants from 1995 to 2001 USRDS where Medicare was the primary payer. We drew five cohorts for each disease from the baseline population: patients who had a disease onset in the first or second years pre-transplantation (cohorts 1 and 2) or post-transplantation (cohorts 3 and 4) and patients who were disease-free (cohort 5). For each cohort, we calculated graft survival and average accumulated Medicare payments (AAMPs) for the two pre- and post-transplantation years. Graft survival: new-onset sepsis and pneumonia both significantly (p <0.01) lowered graft survival during the year of onset. AAMPs: the AAMPs incurred by sepsis- (pneumonia-) free patients during the first and second years post-transplantation were dollar 50,000 and 13,000 (dollar 51,100 and 13,500), respectively. Patients with a sepsis (pneumonia) onset post-transplantation cost on average dollar 48,400 (dollar 38,400) extra (p<0.01). Episodes of sepsis and pneumonia have a strong and independent impact on graft survival and costs.


Subject(s)
Graft Survival , Kidney Transplantation , Pneumonia/economics , Pneumonia/epidemiology , Sepsis/economics , Sepsis/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Cohort Studies , Costs and Cost Analysis , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Medicare/economics , Middle Aged , United States
5.
Am J Transplant ; 1(1): 69-73, 2001 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12095042

ABSTRACT

Between 1993 and 1995, Medicare extended its coverage of maintenance immunosuppression medications following renal transplantation from 1 to 3 years. We hypothesized that Medicare's extension of immunosuppressive coverage would improve graft survival among low-income transplant recipients. We merged patient-level clinical data from the USRDS-distributed UNOS registry of kidney transplants throughout the USA with median family income for each patient's ZIP code from the 1990 Census. We were able to merge median incomes to 10,837 first cadaveric renal transplants performed in 1992-93 and 16,732 performed in 1995-97. Each of these chronological cohorts was divided into two groups, those with family incomes above (high-income group) and those below (low-income group) $36,033. There were no differences in graft survival at 1 year based on income in either chronological era. However, when Medicare covered immunosuppression medications for just 1 year, the low-income group of 1-year graft survivors had a 4.5% lower graft survival at the end of 3 years post-transplant (p < 0.001). During the 1995-97 period, during which Medicare provided 3 years' immunosuppression coverage, the low-income and high-income groups had equivalent graft survival at 3 years post-transplant.


Subject(s)
Graft Survival/physiology , Immunosuppressive Agents/economics , Kidney Transplantation/immunology , Medicare , Cadaver , Costs and Cost Analysis , Humans , Kidney Failure, Chronic/surgery , Kidney Transplantation/mortality , Kidney Transplantation/statistics & numerical data , Proportional Hazards Models , Survival Rate , United States
6.
Am J Transplant ; 1(4): 360-5, 2001 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12099381

ABSTRACT

There has been considerable recent debate concerning the reconfiguration of the cadaveric liver allocation system with the intent to allocate livers to more severely ill patients over greater distances. We sought to assess the economic implications of longer preservation times in cadaveric liver transplantation that may be seen in a restructured allocation system. A total of 683 patients with nonfulminant liver disease, aged 16 years or older, receiving a cadaveric donor liver as their only transplant, were drawn from a prospective cohort of patients who received transplants between January 1991 and July 1994 at the University of California, San Francisco, the Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, or the University of Nebraska, Omaha. The primary outcome measure was standardized hospitalization resource utilization from the day of transplantation through discharge. Secondary outcome measures included 2-year patient survival, and 2-year retransplantation rates. Results indicated that each 1-h increase in preservation time was associated with a 1.4% increase in standardized hospital resource utilization (p = 0.014). The effects on 2-year patient survival and retransplantation rates were not measurably affected by an increase in preservation time. We conclude that policies that increase preservation time may be expected to increase the cost of liver transplantation.


Subject(s)
Liver Transplantation/physiology , Organ Preservation/methods , Body Constitution , Child , Costs and Cost Analysis , Databases, Factual , Female , Hospitalization/economics , Humans , Liver Transplantation/economics , Liver Transplantation/mortality , Male , National Institutes of Health (U.S.) , Organ Preservation/economics , Racial Groups , Reoperation/economics , Reoperation/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Survival Analysis , Tissue Donors/statistics & numerical data , Treatment Outcome , United States
7.
Transplantation ; 70(5): 755-60, 2000 Sep 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11003352

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The use of expanded criteria donors (ECDs) in cadaveric renal transplantation is increasing in the US. We assess the economic impact of the use of ECDs to the Medicare end stage renal disease program. METHODS: The United Nations for Organ Sharing renal transplant registry was merged to Medicare claims data for 42,868 cadaveric renal transplants performed between 1991-1996 using USRDS identifiers. Only recipients for whom Medicare was the primary payer were considered, leaving 34,534 transplants. An ECD was defined as (1) age < or =5 or > or =55 years, (2) nonheart-beating donors, donor history of (3) hypertension or (4) diabetes. High-risk recipients (HRR) were age >60 years, or a retransplant. Medicare payments from the pretransplant dialysis period were projected forward to provide a financial "breakeven point" with transplantation. RESULTS: There were 25,600 non-HRR transplants, with 5,718 (22%) using ECDs, and 8,934 HRR transplants, of which 2,200 (25%) used ECDs. The 5-year present value of payments for non-ECD/non-HRR donor/recipient pairings was $121,698 vs. $143,329 for ECD/non-HRR pairings (P<0.0001) and, similarly was $134,185 for non-ECD/HRR pairings vs. $165,716 for ECD/HRR pairings (P<0.0001). The break even point with hemodialysis ranged from 4.4 years for non-ECD/ non-HRR pairings to 13 years for the ECD/HRR combinations but was sensitive to small changes in graft survival. Transplantation was always less expensive than hemodialysis in the long run. CONCLUSIONS: The impact of ECDs on Medicare payments is most pronounced in high-risk recipients. Cadaveric renal transplantation is a cost-saving treatment strategy for the Medicare ESRD program regardless of recipient risk status or the use of ECDs.


Subject(s)
Kidney Transplantation , Aged , Cadaver , Child, Preschool , Costs and Cost Analysis , Graft Survival/physiology , Humans , Infant , Kidney Failure, Chronic/surgery , Kidney Transplantation/economics , Kidney Transplantation/immunology , Medicare , Middle Aged , Renal Dialysis/economics , Tissue Donors
8.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 17(3): 287-93, 2000 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10947303

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the economic implications for transplant centres, Medicare and society of treatment of corticosteroid-resistant Banff Grades I, II and III acute kidney transplant rejection with the antithymocyte globulins Thymoglobulin or Atgam. DESIGN AND SETTING: This was a cost analysis of a randomised double-blind multicentre clinical trial comparing the safety and efficacy of Thymoglobulin and Atgam that was performed at 25 centres in the US in 1994 to 1996. PATIENTS AND PARTICIPANTS: The study enrolled 163 patients, 82 in the Thymoglobulin arm and 81 in the Atgam arm. METHODS: Estimates of the cost of care from the initiation of rejection therapy to 90 days post-therapy were derived from various publicly available sources and applied to patient-specific clinical events documented in the clinical trial. Patients received either intravenous Thymoglobulin (1.5 mg/kg/day) for an average of 10 days or intravenous Atgam (15 mg/kg/day) for an average of 9.7 days. RESULTS: On average, Thymoglobulin provided significant cost savings compared with Atgam from the perspective of society [$US5977 (1996 values); 95% confidence interval (CI) $US3719 to $US8254], Medicare ($US4967; 95% CI $US3256 to $US6678) and the transplant centre ($US3087; 95% CI $US1512 to $US4667). The overall advantage attributable to Thymoglobulin was primarily due to savings from fewer recurrent rejection treatments and less frequent return to dialysis. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment of acute renal transplant rejection with Thymoglobulin is a cost saving strategy when compared with treatment with Atgam.


Subject(s)
Antilymphocyte Serum/economics , Antilymphocyte Serum/therapeutic use , Graft Rejection/economics , Graft Rejection/prevention & control , Kidney Transplantation/economics , Kidney Transplantation/immunology , Acute Disease , Adult , Costs and Cost Analysis , Female , Humans , Male
9.
Transplantation ; 70(3): 537-40, 2000 Aug 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10949200

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recently the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) began a pilot study to evaluate prospectively the merits of an allocation of cadaveric kidneys based on broader classes of HLA antigens, called cross-reactive groups (CREG). The objectives of the pilot study consider patient outcomes, but not the potential economic impact of a CREG-based allocation. This study predicts the impact of a CREG-based local allocation of cadaveric kidneys on 3-year Medicare payments and graft survival. METHODS: The UNOS renal transplant registry was merged to Medicare claims data for 1991-1997 by the United States Renal Data System. Average accumulated Medicare payments and graft survival up to 3 years posttransplant for first cadaveric renal transplant recipients were stratified by cross-reactive group mismatch categories. The economic impact was defined as the difference in average 3-year costs per transplant between the current and proposed allocation algorithms. Average 3-year costs were computed as a weighted average of costs, where the weights were the actual and predicted distributions of transplants across cross-reactive group categories. RESULTS: Results suggest that an organ allocation based on cross-reactive group matching criteria would result in a 3-year cost savings of $1,231 (2%) per transplant, and an average 3-year graft survival improvement of 0.6%. CONCLUSIONS: Cost savings and graft survival improvements can be expected if CREG criteria were to replace current criteria in the current allocation policy for cadaveric kidneys, although the savings appear to be smaller than may be achievable through expanded HLA matching.


Subject(s)
Histocompatibility Testing/methods , Kidney Transplantation/economics , Kidney Transplantation/immunology , Tissue and Organ Procurement/economics , Tissue and Organ Procurement/methods , Algorithms , Cost Savings , Cross Reactions , Graft Survival , Humans , Pilot Projects , Prospective Studies , United States
10.
Chest ; 118(2): 397-402, 2000 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10936131

ABSTRACT

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To examine how deep chest surgical site infections following coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery impact hospital inpatient length of stay (LOS), costs, and mortality. SETTING: A large, Midwestern community medical center. DESIGN: All CABG patients who developed deep chest infection (n = 41) were compared to a set of control subjects (n = 160) systematically selected as every tenth uninfected CABG patient. Clinical data were abstracted from patient records, and cost information was obtained from the cost accounting database of the hospital. RESULTS: Variables that significantly increased the risk of deep chest surgical site infection included obesity (odds ratio [OR], 11; p = 0. 0001), renal insufficiency (OR, 8.9; p = 0.0001), connective tissue disease (OR, 25.4; p = 0.0003), reexploration for bleeding (OR, 8.2; p = 0.0015), and the timing of antibiotic prophylaxis (> 60 min before incision; OR, 5.3; p = 0.0128). Within 1 year postoperatively, patients with deep chest surgical site infection had a mortality rate of 22%, vs 0.6% for uninfected patients (p = 0.0001). Infected patients also incurred an average of 20 additional hospital days (p = 0.0001). Univariate analysis indicated that patients who developed deep chest surgical site infection incurred $20,012 in additional costs in the first year (p = 0.0001). Infected patients who died incurred on average $60,547 more than infected patients who survived (p = 0.034). Multivariate analysis confirmed the magnitude of the estimate of the cost for deep chest surgical site infection ($18, 938; p = 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Deep chest surgical site infections following CABG surgery are associated with significant increases in LOS, hospitalization costs, and mortality. These results suggest the need for improved infection control measures to reduce deep chest surgical site infection rates.


Subject(s)
Coronary Artery Bypass/adverse effects , Escherichia coli Infections/economics , Hospital Costs , Length of Stay/economics , Pseudomonas Infections/economics , Staphylococcal Infections/economics , Surgical Wound Infection/economics , Aged , Costs and Cost Analysis , Escherichia coli Infections/etiology , Escherichia coli Infections/mortality , Female , Hospitals, Community/economics , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Odds Ratio , Pseudomonas Infections/etiology , Pseudomonas Infections/mortality , Retrospective Studies , Staphylococcal Infections/etiology , Staphylococcal Infections/mortality , Surgical Wound Infection/etiology , Surgical Wound Infection/mortality , Survival Rate
11.
Transplantation ; 69(2): 311-4, 2000 Jan 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10670645

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We found previously that the clinical advantages of living donor (LD) renal transplantation lead to financial cost savings compared to either cadaveric donation (CAD) or dialysis. Here, we analyze the sources of the cost savings of LD versus CAD kidney transplantation. METHODS: We used United States Renal Data System data to merge United Network for Organ Sharing registry information with Medicare claims data for 1991-1996. Information was available for 42,868 CAD and 13,754 LD transplants. More than 5 million Medicare payment records were analyzed. We calculated the difference in average payments made by Medicare for CAD and LD for services provided during the first posttransplant year. RESULTS: Average total payments were $39,534 and $24,652 for CAD and LD, respectively (P<0.0001) during the first posttransplant year. The largest source of the difference in payments was in inpatient hospitals, representing $10,653.67 (P<0.0001). For patients who had Medicare as the primary payer, average transplant charges were significantly higher for CAD donation ($79,730 vs. $69,547, P<0.0001); average transplant payments demonstrated no statistical differences ($28,483 vs. $28,447, P = 0.858). Therefore, inferred profitability was significantly higher for LD. CONCLUSIONS: Medicare payments are remarkably lower for LD compared to CAD in every category. The single largest cost saving comes from inpatient hospital services. A portion of the savings from LD could be invested in programs to expand living kidney donation.


Subject(s)
Kidney Transplantation , Living Donors , Cadaver , Humans , Kidney Failure, Chronic/surgery , Medicare , Medicare Assignment , United States
12.
N Engl J Med ; 341(19): 1440-6, 1999 Nov 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10547408

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The potential economic effects of the allocation of cadaveric kidneys on the basis of tissue-matching criteria is controversial. We analyzed the economic costs associated with the transplantation of cadaveric kidneys with various numbers of HLA mismatches and examined the potential economic benefits of a local, as compared with a national, system designed to minimize HLA mismatches between donor and recipient in first cadaveric renal transplantations. METHODS: All data were supplied by the U.S. Renal Data System. Data on all payments made by Medicare from 1991 through 1997 for the care of recipients of a first cadaveric renal transplant were analyzed according to the number of HLA-A, B, and DR mismatches between donor and recipient and the duration of cold ischemia before transplantation. RESULTS: Average Medicare payments for renal transplant recipients in the three years after transplantation increased from 60,436 dollars per patient for fully HLA-matched kidneys (those with no HLA-A, B, or DR mismatches) to 80,807 dollars for kidneys with six HLA mismatches between donor and recipient, a difference of 34 percent (P<0.001). By three years after transplantation, the average Medicare payments were 64,119 dollars for transplantations of kidneys with less than 12 hours of cold ischemia time and 74,997 dollars for those with more than 36 hours (P<0.001). In simulations, the assignment of cadaveric kidneys to recipients by a method that minimized HLA mismatching within a local geographic area (i.e., within one of the approximately 50 organ-procurement organizations, which cover widely varying geographic areas) produced the largest cost savings (4,290 dollars per patient over a period of three years) and the largest improvements in the graft-survival rate (2.3 percent) when the potential costs of longer cold ischemia time were considered. CONCLUSIONS: Transplantation of better-matched cadaveric kidneys could have substantial economic advantages. In our simulations, HLA-based allocation of kidneys at the local level produced the largest estimated cost savings, when the duration of cold ischemia was taken into account. No additional savings were estimated to result from a national allocation program, because the additional costs of longer cold ischemia time were greater than the advantages of optimizing HLA matching.


Subject(s)
Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data , Health Care Rationing/organization & administration , Histocompatibility Testing/economics , Kidney Transplantation/economics , Medicare/economics , Patient Selection , Resource Allocation , Cadaver , Cost Savings , Graft Survival , Health Care Rationing/economics , Humans , Kidney Transplantation/immunology , Medicare/statistics & numerical data , Organ Preservation , Time Factors , Tissue and Organ Procurement/economics , Tissue and Organ Procurement/organization & administration , Transplantation Immunology , United States
15.
Chest ; 115(4): 972-9, 1999 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10208194

ABSTRACT

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To develop and to evaluate selection criteria for outpatient management of deep venous thrombosis (DVT). DESIGN: We developed outpatient treatment eligibility criteria that incorporated demographic and clinical data. We aimed to exclude patients at high risk for bleeding or recurrent clotting, as well as those with pulmonary embolism, limited cardiopulmonary reserve, or need for hospitalization due to another illness. Then, we retrospectively applied the criteria to hospitalized patients with newly diagnosed proximal lower extremity DVT to determine the fraction of patients eligible for outpatient therapy; patients were classified as eligible, possibly eligible, or ineligible for home treatment based on the selection criteria. SETTING: University hospital. PATIENTS: One hundred ninety-five hospitalized patients diagnosed as having proximal lower extremity DVT by duplex ultrasound over a 1-year period. MEASUREMENTS: Frequency of complications during initial DVT therapy, including major bleeding, symptomatic thromboembolism, and death. RESULTS: Eighteen (9%) patients were classified as eligible, and 18 (9%) were classified as possibly eligible for outpatient therapy. None of these patients developed complications. Of the 159 (82%) patients classified as ineligible, 13 (8%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4 to 12%) died or developed serious complications. Therefore, the eligibility criteria had a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI, 92 to 100%) and a negative predictive value of 100% (95% CI, 92 to 100%) for predicting serious complications. CONCLUSIONS: Specific eligibility criteria may identify a subset of patients with acute DVT who can be treated safely at home.


Subject(s)
Ambulatory Care , Venous Thrombosis/therapy , Acute Disease , Fibrinolytic Agents/administration & dosage , Heparin, Low-Molecular-Weight/administration & dosage , Humans , Patient Selection , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , Sensitivity and Specificity , Venous Thrombosis/complications
17.
J Health Adm Educ ; 17(4): 259-70, 1999.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10915382

ABSTRACT

HRSA funded a survey to determine what Internet resources would be most useful to AUPHA membership. This manuscript describes the Internet-intensive survey methodology, reports the survey results, and lists the task force recommendations. The task force used sequential questionnaires posted on the Web to gather both potentially useful Internet resource ideas and membership perceptions of the importance of each idea. Resources recommended by survey participants and the Task Force members emphasized potential improvements to the AUPHA and AUPHA-member Web pages.


Subject(s)
Faculty , Health Facility Administrators/education , Internet , Data Collection
18.
Health Econ ; 7(2): 149-60, 1998 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9565171

ABSTRACT

This paper employs classical concepts of diminishing marginal utility to demonstrate that risk-aversion can increase the perceived value of diagnostic procedures and thus raise optimum diagnostic expenditures. The theory is applied to a model in the spirit of Phelps and Mushlin's initial technology assessments. The specific evaluation is the cost-effectiveness of somatostatin receptor scintigraphy used to detect distant metastases of carcinoid liver tumours in a patient otherwise eligible for surgical resection of the liver. Data for the model are taken from published sources and financial databases, when available, and otherwise from a senior clinician's experience (LKK). The quantitative results indicate that receptor scintigraphy may have two beneficial impacts to risk-neutral individuals. First, it may reduce the combined costs of therapy and treatment because the diagnostic procedure costs less than the expected savings generated by avoiding inappropriate surgeries. Second, it may improve the patient's expected health-status-adjusted life years (HSALY) because the information allows physicians to better match treatment to the cancer's stage. Finally the paper demonstrates that risk aversion, as embodied in classical diminishing marginal utility applied to health status, can increase the value of the diagnostic tests and can lead the patient to choose a less beneficial treatment. An illustrative risk-averse utility function changed the optimum treatment from surgery to chemotherapy and increased scintigraphy's benefit by 500%.


Subject(s)
Carcinoid Tumor/diagnostic imaging , Carcinoid Tumor/secondary , Decision Trees , Liver Neoplasms/pathology , Models, Econometric , Octreotide/analogs & derivatives , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Carcinoid Tumor/surgery , Cost Savings , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Health Status , Humans , Radionuclide Imaging , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome
19.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 14(1): 71-7, 1998 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10182196

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This model introduces a unique and inexpensive technique to estimate profit increases that might be expected from: (i) an additional clinical trial to establish a drug's second clinical indication; and (ii) a survey of market demand. DESIGN: Microsoft Excel spreadsheets are used to solicit selected expert opinions about the new product's annual market share under scenarios reflecting different pricing points, promotional expenditures and clinical advantage. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES AND RESULTS: The preprogrammed model returns profit-maximising price, promotional expenditure and market differentiation for each expert and the group as a whole. The extent of disagreement among the experts is used to estimate the additional profits which might be expected from a clinical trial and a market survey. Results from an illustrative application indicated greater incremental profits could be expected from the survey of market demand. The clinical trial generated smaller expected incremental profits because several experts felt that the trial's potential results would not affect the drug's profit-maximising price. CONCLUSIONS: With a 1-day meeting between 6 experts, the model provided a recommendation about the new product's profit-maximising market price and promotional expenditure. Furthermore, it estimated profit increases that might be expected from additional clinical trials and a survey of market demand.


Subject(s)
Drug Costs , Drug Industry/economics , Economics, Pharmaceutical , Humans , Models, Economic , United States
20.
Clin Perform Qual Health Care ; 6(1): 17-22, 1998.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10177044

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To examine differences in healthcare delivery by expected health insurance status for hospitalized patients in diagnosis-related group (DRG) 475, respiratory system diagnoses requiring intubation and continuous ventilator support. DESIGN: A survey, derived from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project interstate database, of the care delivered to 21,149 adult patients in DRG 475 and hospitalized in one of 718 acute-care hospitals in nine states. Multivariate analysis was performed, controlling for demographic and hospital factors. RESULTS: Patients insured by health maintenance organizations (HMOs) had significantly lower rates of inpatient mortality (odds ratio [OR], 0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI95], 0.73-0.96), 14.3 more procedures performed (CI95, 11.5-17.2), 7.0% shorter hospitalizations (CI95, 12.5-1.6), and 5.2% higher charges (CI95, 0.4-10.0) than those with traditional private insurance. In addition, patients insured by Medicaid had 3.5% more procedures performed (CI95, 1.6-5.4), 10.4% longer lengths of hospitalization (CI95, 6.7-14.0), and 13.8% higher charges (CI95, 10.6-17.0) than those with traditional private insurance. Finally, the uninsured had significantly lower rates of inpatient mortality (OR, 0.87; CI95, 0.77-0.99), 8.5% more procedures performed (CI95, 6.0-11.1), 16.5% shorter hospitalizations (CI95, 21.5-11.6), and 13.4% lower charges (CI95, 17.8-9.0) than those with traditional private insurance. CONCLUSION: Variations in healthcare measures by insurance status for this DRG emphasize the importance of more careful analyses of insurance categories as a determinant of healthcare access and outcomes. Expected insurance status was an independent predictor of cost. Private insurance and HMO populations differed significantly in outcome and cannot be considered equivalent.


Subject(s)
Diagnosis-Related Groups , Insurance Coverage/statistics & numerical data , Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care/economics , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/economics , Respiration, Artificial/economics , Respiratory Tract Diseases/economics , Adolescent , Adult , Female , Health Maintenance Organizations , Hospital Charges , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Length of Stay , Male , Medicaid , Middle Aged , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics & numerical data , Preferred Provider Organizations , Respiration, Artificial/statistics & numerical data , Respiratory Tract Diseases/mortality , United States
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