ABSTRACT
We propose and implement a novel approach to model the evolution of COVID-19 pandemic and predict the daily COVID-19 cases (infected, recovered and dead). Our model builds on the classical SEIR-based framework by adding additional compartments to capture recovered, dead and quarantined cases. Quarantine impacts are modeled using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), leveraging alternative data sources such as the Google mobility reports. Since our model captures the impact of lockdown policies through the quarantine functions we designed, it is able to model and predict future waves of COVID-19 cases. We also benchmark out-of-sample predictions from our model versus those from other popular COVID-19 case projection models.
ABSTRACT
Objective To observe the effects of Shuangliao Houfeng Powder on complications of dental extraction .Methods 280 patients who need dental extraction were recruited into a treatment group and a control group. The treatment group was applied with Shuangliao Houfeng Powder externally on alveolus dentalis after dental extraction, while the control group received no post-treatment after dental extraction. Wound healing and incidence of complications were observed after three days. Results Wound healing in stage 1 showed better results in the treatment group than the control group (P<0.05). Postoperative bleeding time of the treatment group was significantly shorter than the control group (P<0.01) . Besides the treatment group got better improvements in such symptoms as gingival swelling, pain, and difficulty in mouth opening than the control group (P< 0.05). Conclusion Shuangliao Houfeng Powder is effective on complications of dental extraction and worthy of promotion in clinic.
ABSTRACT
Objective To study the effect of Jiaweiyunvjian on periodontitis in the old.Methods A total of 180 periodontitis patients were randomly recruited into a treatment group and a control group,90 patients in each.The control group was treated with calculus removal and oral metronidazole,while the treatment group was treated with Jiaweiyunvjian on the basis ofthe control group.After both groups were treated for 7 days,therapeutic effects were observed.Results The total effective rate was 90.4%and 73.3%in the treatment group in the control group respectively.There was significant diffefence (P<0.01).In the 6-month follow-up,there were 7 cases(7.4%)relapsed in the treatment group and 16 cases(18.6%)relapsed in the control group,also showing significant difference(P<0.05).Conclusion Jiaweiyunvjian has curative effects on periodontitis of the old people.