Long-term effects of particulate matter on incident cardiovascular diseases in middle-aged and elder adults: The CHARLS cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although there is evidence of long-term effects of particulate matter (PM) on cardiovascular diseases (CVD), researches about long-term effects of PM1 on CVD are limited. We aimed to examine the long-term effects and magnitude of PM, especially PM1, on incident CVD in China. METHODS: We included 6016 participants aged ≥ 45 years without CVD at baseline in 2011 from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Personal PM (PM1, PM2.5, and PM10) concentrations were estimated using geocoded residential address. Generalized linear mixed models and SHapley Additive exPlanation were utilized to calculate the impacts and contributions of PM on CVD. Sensitivity analyses were used to check the robustness. RESULTS: After a follow up of 4-year, 481 (7.99 %) participants developed CVD. Per 10 µg/m3 uptick in 1-year average concentrations of PM1, PM2.5 and PM10 was associated with a 1.20 [95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.05-1.37], 1.13 (95 % CI: 1.11-1.15), and 1.10 (95 % CI: 1.06-1.13) fold risk of incident CVD, respectively. The 2-year average concentrations of PM1, PM2.5 and PM10 were associated with incident CVD, corresponding to a 1.03 (95 % CI: 0.96-1.10), 1.11 (95 % CI: 1.02-1.21), and 1.09 (95 % CI: 1.03-1.15) fold risk, respectively. The SHapley Additive exPlanation values of PM1, PM2.5, and PM10 were 0.170, 0.153, and 0.053, respectively, corresponding to the first, second, and fifth among all air pollutants. Effects of PM1, PM2.5 and PM10 on CVD remained statistically significant in two-pollutant models. The elderly, males, smokers and alcohol drinkers tended to have slightly higher effects, while the differences were not statistically significant (all P-values > 0.05) between subgroups. CONCLUSION: Long-term exposure to PM1, PM2.5, and PM10 was associated with an increased incidence of CVD. The smaller the particle size, the more important it was for incident CVD indicating that emphasis should be placed on small size of PM.

Long-term effect of submicronic particulate matter (PM1) and intermodal particulate matter (PM1-2.5) on incident dyslipidemia in China: A nationwide 5-year cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There is insufficient evidence of associations between incident dyslipidemia with PM1 (submicronic particulate matter) and PM1-2.5 (intermodal particulate matter) in the middle-aged and elderly. We aimed to determine the long-term effects of PM1 and PM1-2.5 on incident dyslipidemia respectively. METHODS: We studied 6976 individuals aged ≥45 from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study from 2013 to 2018. The concentrations of particular matter (PM) for every individual's address were evaluated using a satellite-based spatiotemporal model. Dyslipidemia was evaluated by self-reported. The generalized linear mixed model was applied to quantify the correlations between PM and incident dyslipidemia. RESULTS: After a 5-year follow-up, 333 (4.77%) participants developed dyslipidemia. Per 10 µg/m³ uptick in four-year average concentrations of PMs (PM1 and PM1-2.5) corresponded to 1.11 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.23)] and 1.23 (95% CI: 1.06-1.43) fold risks of incident dyslipidemia. Nonlinear exposure-response curves were observed between PM and incident dyslipidemia. The effect size of PM1 on incident dyslipidemia was slightly higher in males [1.14 (95% CI: 0.98-1.32) vs. 1.04 (95% CI: 0.89-1.21)], the elderly [1.23 (95% CI: 1.04-1.45) vs. 1.03 (95% CI: 0.91-1.17)], people with less than primary school education [1.12 (95% CI: 0.94-1.33) vs. 1.08 (95% CI: 0.94-1.23)], and solid cooking fuel users [1.17 (95% CI: 1.00-1.36) vs. 1.06 (95% CI: 0.93-1.21)], however, the difference was not statistically significant (Z = -0.82, P = 0.413; Z = -1.66, P = 0.097; Z = 0.32, P = 0.752; Z = -0.89, P = 0.372). CONCLUSIONS: Long-term exposure to PM1 and PM1-2.5 were linked with an increased morbidity of dyslipidemia in the middle-aged and elderly population. Males, the elderly, and solid cooking fuel users had higher risk. Further studies would be warranted to establish an accurate reference value of PM to mitigate growing dyslipidemia.

Long-term effect of intermediate particulate matter (PM1-2.5) on incident asthma among middle-aged and elderly adults: A national population-based longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND: There is insufficient evidence about the long-term effects of intermediate particulate matter (PM1-2.5) on asthma development in adults aged 45 years and above. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between long-term exposure to PM1-2.5 and the incidence of asthma in adults aged 45 years and above. METHODS: A cohort study based on the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) database was conducted to investigate the long-term effects of PM1-2.5 on self-reported asthma incidence in adults aged 45 years and above in China from 2011 to 2018. The PM concentrations were estimated using a high-resolution (1 km2) satellite-based spatiotemporal model. A covariate-adjusted generalized linear mixed model was used to analyze the relationship between long-term exposure to PM1-2.5 and the incidence of asthma. Effect modifications and sensitivity analysis were conducted. RESULTS: After a 7-year follow-up, 103 (1.61 %) of the 6400 participants developed asthma. Each 10 µg/m3 increment in the 1-, 2-, 3-, and 4-year moving average concentrations of PM1-2.5 corresponded to a 1.82 [95 % confidence interval (CI):1.11-2.98], 1.95 (95 % CI: 1.24-3.07), 1.95 (95 % CI: 1.26-3.03) and 1.88 (95 % CI: 1.26-2.81) fold risk for incident asthma, respectively. A significant multiplicative interaction was observed between socioeconomic level and long-term exposure to PM1-2.5. Stratified analysis showed that smokers and those with lower socioeconomic levels were at higher risk of incident asthma related to PM1-2.5. Restricted cubic splines showed an increasing trend in asthma incidence with increasing PM1-2.5. Sensitivity analyses showed that our model was robust. CONCLUSION: Long-term exposure to PM1-2.5 was positively associated with incident asthma in middle-aged and elderly individuals. Participants with a history of smoking and lower socioeconomic levels had a higher risk. More studies are warranted warrant to establish an accurate reference value of PM1-2.5 to mitigate the growing asthma burden.