A point system to predict the future risk of obesity in 10-year-old children.

BACKGROUND: A 4-year longitudinal study was conducted to develop a model and a point system for predicting childhood obesity. METHODS: This study included 1,504 Japanese 10-year-old children who underwent health check-ups between 2011 and 2015. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted using the explanatory variables overweight and lifestyle. Obesity was defined as percentage overweight (POW) ≥ 20% calculated by the following equation: (actual weight - standard weight by height and sex)/standard weight by height and sex × 100 (%). The model was validated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test on 10-year-olds. RESULTS: Our prediction model for development of childhood obesity was based on seven binary variables: sex, lack of sleep, ≥2-h use of television/ games/ smartphone, hypertension, dyslipidemia, hepatic dysfunction, and being overweight. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.803 (95% confidence interval, 0.740 to 0.866). When validated in non-obese children (n = 415), there was no significant difference between actual and predicted numbers of children with obesity (Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square = 7.90, p = 0.18). CONCLUSIONS: The validated prediction model and point score for obesity development were shown to be useful tools for predicting the future 4-year risk of developing obesity among 10 years-old children. The point system may be useful for reducing the occurrence of childhood obesity and promoting better health.

Anaphylaxis and onsite treatment in schools, kindergartens, and nurseries.

BACKGROUND: There have been no reports on both anaphylaxis incidence rate in schools, kindergarten, and nurseries, or how teachers have treated these children. This study was a fact-finding survey aimed at determining if appropriate responses to anaphylaxis onset were implemented in Oita Prefecture, Japan. METHODS: The Oita Prefectural Allergy Control Committee administered a questionnaire using Google forms to all public and private schools, public and private kindergartens, certified child-care facilities, and day-care centers in the prefecture. RESULTS: Responses to the questionnaire were obtained from 597 institutions, of which 125 890 children were affiliated with the responding institutions. Forty-eight children developed symptoms for which an adrenaline auto-injector was recommended in an Oita guideline. Among these children, three used the adrenaline auto-injector, three were prescribed the adrenaline auto-injector but were unable to use it, 27 were unable to use it as they were not prescribed an adrenaline auto-injector, and the final 15 responded that they handled their symptoms via another method because none of the above options apply. CONCLUSIONS: Most children who developed symptoms which an adrenaline auto-injector was recommended had no prescription for an adrenaline auto-injector. There is thus a need for appropriate response training to anaphylaxis whether or not an adrenaline auto-injector was prescribed.