Concurrent chemoradiotherapy followed by adjuvant cisplatin-gemcitabine versus cisplatin-fluorouracil chemotherapy for N2-3 nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a multicentre, open-label, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with N2-3 nasopharyngeal carcinoma have a high risk of treatment being unsuccessful despite the current practice of using a concurrent adjuvant cisplatin-fluorouracil regimen. We aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of concurrent adjuvant cisplatin-gemcitabine with cisplatin-fluorouracil in N2-3 nasopharyngeal carcinoma. METHODS: We conducted an open-label, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial at four cancer centres in China. Eligible patients were aged 18-65 years with untreated, non-keratinising, stage T1-4 N2-3 M0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma, an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status score of 0-1, and adequate bone marrow, liver, and renal function. Eligible patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive concurrent cisplatin (100 mg/m2 intravenously) on days 1, 22, and 43 of intensity-modulated radiotherapy followed by either gemcitabine (1 g/m2 intravenously on days 1 and 8) and cisplatin (80 mg/m2 intravenously for 4 h on day 1) once every 3 weeks or fluorouracil (4 g/m2 in continuous intravenous infusion for 96 h) and cisplatin (80 mg/m2 intravenously for 4 h on day 1) once every 4 weeks, for three cycles. Randomisation was done using a computer-generated random number code with a block size of six, stratified by treatment centre and nodal category. The primary endpoint was 3-year progression-free survival in the intention-to-treat population (ie, all patients randomly assigned to treatment). Safety was assessed in all participants who received at least one dose of chemoradiotherapy. This study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03321539, and patients are currently under follow-up. FINDINGS: From Oct 30, 2017, to July 9, 2020, 240 patients (median age 44 years [IQR 36-52]; 175 [73%] male and 65 [27%] female) were randomly assigned to the cisplatin-fluorouracil group (n=120) or cisplatin-gemcitabine group (n=120). As of data cutoff (Dec 25, 2022), median follow-up was 40 months (IQR 32-48). 3-year progression-free survival was 83·9% (95% CI 75·9-89·4; 19 disease progressions and 11 deaths) in the cisplatin-gemcitabine group and 71·5% (62·5-78·7; 34 disease progressions and seven deaths) in the cisplatin-fluorouracil group (stratified hazard ratio 0·54 [95% CI 0·32-0·93]; log rank p=0·023). The most common grade 3 or worse adverse events that occurred during treatment were leukopenia (61 [52%] of 117 in the cisplatin-gemcitabine group vs 34 [29%] of 116 in the cisplatin-fluorouracil group; p=0·00039), neutropenia (37 [32%] vs 19 [16%]; p=0·010), and mucositis (27 [23%] vs 32 [28%]; p=0·43). The most common grade 3 or worse late adverse event (occurring from 3 months after completion of radiotherapy) was auditory or hearing loss (six [5%] vs ten [9%]). One (1%) patient in the cisplatin-gemcitabine group died due to treatment-related complications (septic shock caused by neutropenic infection). No patients in the cisplatin-fluorouracil group had treatment-related deaths. INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest that concurrent adjuvant cisplatin-gemcitabine could be used as an adjuvant therapy in the treatment of patients with N2-3 nasopharyngeal carcinoma, although long-term follow-up is required to confirm the optimal therapeutic ratio. FUNDING: National Key Research and Development Program of China, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research, Sci-Tech Project Foundation of Guangzhou City, Sun Yat-sen University Clinical Research 5010 Program, Innovative Research Team of High-level Local Universities in Shanghai, Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province for Distinguished Young Scholar, Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province, Postdoctoral Innovative Talent Support Program, Pearl River S&T Nova Program of Guangzhou, Planned Science and Technology Project of Guangdong Province, Key Youth Teacher Cultivating Program of Sun Yat-sen University, the Rural Science and Technology Commissioner Program of Guangdong Province, and Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.

Identifying optimal candidates for postoperative adjuvant therapy among regional persistent/recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients after neck dissection.

PURPOSE: To analyze the clinical outcomes of patients with regional persistent/recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) who received neck dissection, and to evaluate the clinical benefit of postoperative adjuvant therapy (PAT) based on patients' positive lymph node counts (PLNs), extracapsular spread (ECS) and preoperative plasma EBV DNA levels. METHODS: From 2003 to 2017, 342 patients with regional persistent/recurrent NPC were included in this study. All patients were treated with neck dissection and 76 patients received PAT. Progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS) were compared between groups using propensity score matching (PSM). RESULTS: 152 patients without PAT treatment and 76 patients with PAT treatment were selected by the PSM. There was no significant difference in 2-year PFS (52.4% vs. 61.3%, P = 0.371), 2-year OS (91.9% vs. 90.5%, P = 0.097) or 2-year LRFS (66.3% vs. 67.9%, P = 0.872) between the two groups. However, the application of PAT brought survival benefits to patients in terms of 2-year DMFS (76.5% vs. 84.7%, P = 0.020). PLN, ECS and preoperative EBV DNA level remained independent risk factors for poorer PFS. Accordingly, patients were divided into low-risk and high-risk groups using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve; the 2-year PFS rates for two risk groups were 73.4% and 59.1% (P < 0.0001) respectively. The results showed that low-risk patients didn't benefit from the addition of PAT. However, the 2-year DMFS rate was significantly improved in high-risk PAT-treated patients than those treated by neck dissection alone (83.7% vs. 71.7%, P = 0.023). CONCLUSIONS: PLNs, ECS and preoperative EBV DNA level are associated with the prognosis of patients with regional persistent/recurrent NPC. High-risk patients identified by PLNs, ECS and preoperative EBV DNA level may benefit from the addition of PAT after neck dissection.

Development and validation of a transcriptomics-based gene signature to predict distant metastasis and guide induction chemotherapy in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

AIM: Metastasis is the primary cause of treatment failure in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC); however, the current tumour-node-metastasis staging system has limitations in predicting distant metastasis and guiding induction chemotherapy (IC) application. Here, we established a transcriptomics-based gene signature to assess the risk of distant metastasis and guide IC in locoregionally advanced NPC. METHODS: Transcriptome sequencing was performed on NPC biopsy samples from 12 pairs of patients with different metastasis risks. Bioinformatics and qPCR were used to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs), while univariate and multivariate analyses were used to select prognostic indicators for the gene signature. A signature-based nomogram was established in a training cohort (n = 191) and validated in an external cohort (n = 263). RESULTS: Eleven DEGs were identified between metastatic and non-metastatic NPC. Four of these (AK4, CPAMD8, DDAH1 and CRTR1) were used to create a gene signature that effectively categorised patients into low- and high-risk metastasis groups (training: 91.1 versus 70.4%, p < 0.0001, C-index = 0.752; validation: 88.4 versus 73.9%, p = 0.00057, C-index = 0.741). IC with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) improved distant metastasis-free survival in low-risk patients (94.4 versus 85.0%, p = 0.043), whereas patients in the high-risk group did not benefit from IC (72.6 versus 74.9%, p = 0.946). CONCLUSIONS: Our transcriptomics-based gene signature was able to reliably predict metastasis in locoregionally advanced NPC and could be used to identify candidates that could benefit from IC + CCRT.

Deintensified Chemoradiotherapy for Pretreatment Epstein-Barr Virus DNA-Selected Low-Risk Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Phase II Randomized Noninferiority Trial.

PURPOSE: Cumulative doses of 200 mg/m2 for concurrent cisplatin (DDP) were indicated by retrospective studies as sufficient in conferring survival benefit for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC). We performed an open-label, phase II, randomized, controlled trial to test the noninferiority of a two-cycle 100 mg/m2 concurrent DDP regimen over three-cycle in patients with low-risk LA-NPC with pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA levels < 4,000 copies/mL. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Eligible patients were randomly assigned 1:1 to receive two cycles or three cycles concurrent DDP-based chemoradiotherapy. The primary end point was 3-year progression-free survival (PFS). The secondary end points included overall survival, distant metastasis-free survival, locoregional relapse-free survival, etc. RESULTS: Between September 2016 and October 2018, 332 patients were enrolled, with 166 in each arm. After a median follow-up of 37.7 months, the estimated 3-year PFS rates were 88.0% in the two-cycle group and 90.4% in the three-cycle group, with a difference of 2.4% (95% CI, -4.3 to 9.1, Pnoninferiority = .014). No differences were observed between groups in terms of PFS, overall survival, and the cumulative incidences of locoregional relapse and distant metastasis. Patients in the three-cycle group developed significantly more grade 3-4 mucositis (41 [24.8%] v 25 [15.1%]), hyponatremia (26 [15.8%] v 14 [8.4%]), and dermatitis (9 [5.5%] v 2 [1.2%]). The overall all-grade and grade 3-4 toxicity burdens were heavier in three-cycle group (T-scores, 12.33 v 10.57, P < .001 for all grades; 1.76 v 1.44, P = .05 for grade 3-4). Patients in the three-cycle group also showed more all-grade hearing impairment, dry mouth and skin fibrosis, and impaired long-term quality of life. CONCLUSION: Intensity-modulated radiotherapy plus two cycles of concurrent 100 mg/m2 DDP could be an alternative treatment option for patients with low-risk LA-NPC.

Geriatric nutritional risk index as an independent prognostic factor in locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated using radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Nutritional status is a key factor influencing the prognosis of patients with cancer. The Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) has been used to predict mortality risk and long-term outcomes. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the predictive value of pretreatment GNRI in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS: A total of 1,065 patients with biopsy-proven non-disseminated nasopharyngeal carcinoma were included. Based on a cutoff value of pretreatment GNRI, patients were divided into two groups (low ≤107.7 and high >107.7). Combining GNRI and baseline Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, all patients were further stratified into three risk groups, namely, high-risk (high EBV DNA and low GNRI), low-risk (low EBV DNA and high GNRI), and medium-risk (except the above) groups. Multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazards model to assess the predictive value of the GNRI. RESULTS: Among the 1,065 patients, 527 (49.5%) and 538 (50.5%) were divided into low and high GNRI groups, respectively. Within a median follow-up of 83 months, patients with a high GNRI score exhibited significantly higher overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) compared to those with low GNRI scores (P<0.05). Multivariate analyses revealed that high GNRI is an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS (hazard ratio, HR, 0.471, 95% CI, 0.270-0.822, P=0.008; HR 0.638, 95% CI, 0.433-0.941, P=0.023, respectively). Using a combination of baseline GNRI and EBV DNA, a satisfying separation of survival curves between different risk groups for OS, PFS, DMFS was observed. The survival rates of patients in the high-risk group were significantly lower than those in the low- and medium-risk groups (all P<0.001). The combined classification was demonstrated to be an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS after adjustment using multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Pretreatment GNRI is an independent prognostic factor for NPC patients. The combination of baseline GNRI score and EBV DNA level improved the prognostic stratification of NPC patients.

Development and validation of a normal tissue complication probability model for acquired nasal cavity stenosis and atresia after radical radiotherapy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Curative radiotherapy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) can lead to acquired nasal cavity stenosis and atresia (ANCSA). As the first study to investigate risk factors of ANCSA in a large cohort of NPC patients, this article aims to develop and validate a multivariate normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model to predict the development of ANCSA and to establish a nomogram for clinical use. METHODS AND MATERIALS: The retrospective cohort was comprised of 548 NPC patients treated with radical radiotherapy. The cohort was randomly divided into training and validation groups. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was performed for variable selection from the clinical and dosimetric characteristics in the training group. A multivariate NTCP model and a nomogram were established for the prediction of ANCSA development. Discrimination and calibration were tested using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration tests, respectively, for both groups. RESULTS: ANCSA was observed in 132 (24.1%) of 548 patients with NPC who underwent radical radiotherapy. The median time to ANCSA detection after treatment was 2.8 months (range, 0.0-57.7 months). Five potential predictors, including choanal invasion, low white blood cell count, high C-reactive protein level, high serum amyloid A level, and high V70Gy of the nasal cavity, were selected to develop the NTCP model based on 365 patients in the training group. The model had a fairly good discriminative power according to the ROC analysis in both the training (area under ROC curve = 0.79, 95%CI: 0.73-0.84) and validation (0.73, 0.64-0.82) groups. The calibration power was tested using the calibration test in the training (E-max = 0.069, E-avg = 0.015, p = 0.977) and validation (E-max = 0.057, E-avg = 0.032, p = 0.747) groups. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and successfully validated an NTCP model for early prediction of ANCSA in patients with NPC after radical radiotherapy. This could help clinicians assess the risk of ANCSA before the initiation of follow-ups and ensure appropriate and timely management of this complication.

Efficacy of Transnasal Endoscopic Fine-Needle Aspiration Biopsy in Diagnosing Submucosal Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS: The routine practices of examining submucosal lesions are not suitable for deep lesions. Therefore, we evaluated the efficacy of non-real-time image-guided transnasal endoscopic fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) in diagnosing nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) with submucosal lesions. STUDY DESIGN: The effectiveness evaluation of diagnostic methods. METHODS: Fifty suspected NPC patients who failed in conventional biopsies were enrolled in this study. The efficacy, maneuverability, and safety of FNAB in diagnosing these intractable cases were evaluated. RESULTS: The definitive diagnostic results of these 50 patients were NPC (34/50, 68.0%), nasopharyngeal necrosis (1/50, 2.0%), nasopharyngeal mucositis (12/50, 24.0%), and other cancers (3/50, 6.0%), respectively. The results of the diagnostic efficacy of FNAB were sensitivity, 89.2%; specificity, 100.0%; positive predictive value, 100.0%; negative predictive value, 76.5%; and accuracy, 92.0%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves was 0.946 (95% confidence interval = 0.884-1.00, P < .001). No severe complications occurred after FNAB. CONCLUSIONS: FNAB can improve the diagnostic efficiency of NPC occurring in the submucosal space. It can be an additional option for routine nasopharyngeal biopsy and is worthy of clinical application. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 4 Laryngoscope, 131:1798-1804, 2021.

Development and validation of the immune signature to predict distant metastasis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The tumor immune microenvironment has clinicopathological significance in predicting prognosis and therapeutic efficacy. We aimed to develop an immune signature to predict distant metastasis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). METHODS: Using multiplexed quantitative fluorescence, we detected 17 immune biomarkers in a primary screening cohort of 54 NPC tissues presenting with/without distant metastasis following radical therapy. The LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) logistic regression model used statistically significant survival markers in the training cohort (n=194) to build an immune signature. The prognostic and predictive accuracy of it was validated in an external independent group of 304 patients. RESULTS: Eight statistically significant markers were identified in the screening cohort. The immune signature consisting of four immune markers (PD-L1+ CD163+, CXCR5, CD117) in intratumor was adopted to classify patients into high and low risk in the training cohort and it showed a high level of reproducibility between different batches of samples (r=0.988 for intratumor; p<0.0001). High-risk patients had shorter distant metastasis-free survival (HR 5.608, 95% CI 2.619 to 12.006; p<0.0001) and progression-free survival (HR 2.798, 95% CI 1.498 to 5.266; p=0·001). The C-indexes which reflected the predictive capacity in training and validation cohort were 0.703 and 0.636, respectively. Low-risk patients benefited from induction chemotherapy plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy (IC+CCRT) (HR 0.355, 95% CI 0.147 to 0.857; p=0·021), while high-risk patients did not (HR 1.329, 95% CI 0.543 to 3.253; p=0·533). To predict the individual risk of distant metastasis, nomograms with the integration of both immune signature and clinicopathological risk factors were developed. CONCLUSIONS: The immune signature provided a reliable estimate of distant metastasis risk in patients with NPC and might be applied to identify the cohort which benefit from IC+CCRT.

Intensive Local Radiotherapy Is Associated With Better Local Control and Prolonged Survival in Bone-Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients.

Objective: To compare the survival outcomes brought by different radiation dose schedules to bone lesions and different chemotherapy regimens in bone metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Background: The current treatment strategy for bone metastatic NPC patients was empirically given and poorly studied before. It is of necessity to optimize the treatment for bone metastasis to enhance the therapeutic effect and increase the proportion of long-term survived patients. Methods: Three hundred patients who received chemoradiotherapy from 2002 to 2018 were involved in the study. Demographics, laboratory results, and detailed treatment plans were recorded. Radiotherapy plans were classified into three categories based on the intensity, and the survival analysis was performed using log-rank test. Multivariable analysis was made by the Cox proportional regression model. Results: Patients who received 60-75 Gy/30-35 fractions of radiation to the metastatic bones had significantly longer bone relapse-free survival (BRFS) (HR, 0.53, 95% CI, 0.37-0.78, P = 0.003), overall survival (OS) (HR, 0.63, 95% CI, 0.46-0.84, P = 0.007), and progression-free survival (PFS) (HR, 0.80, 95% CI, 0.67-0.95, P = 0.041). The administration of paclitaxel, cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil regimen was also associated with better BRFS (HR, 0.27, 95% CI, 0.10-0.75, P = 0.007), PFS (HR, 0.60, 95% CI, 0.42-0.87, P = 0.007), and OS with borderline significance (HR, 0.54, 95% CI, 0.29-1.03, P = 0.058). In multivariable analysis, the post-treatment EBV DNA level and radical radiation dose were proved as independent prognostic factors for both BRFS and OS. Conclusions: Radiotherapy to metastatic bones with palliative dose prescription should not be considered in bone metastatic NPC patients. TPF chemotherapy regimen might help to improve the survivals in NPC patients but failed to be an independent protective factor.

Comparing three induction chemotherapy regimens for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on TNM stage and plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA level.

BACKGROUND: We compared the efficacy and toxicity of three IC regimens (TPF: taxanes, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil; TP: taxanes and cisplatin; and PF: cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil) followed by CCRT in locoregionally advanced NPC. METHODS: The retrospective study involved 1354 patients with newly diagnosed stage III-IVA NPC treated with IC and CCRT. The median follow-up time in our cohort was 50 months. Based on EBV DNA level, all the patients with stage IV were divided into low- (pre-EBV DNA < 1500 copies) and high-risk group (pre-EBV DNA ≥ 1500 copies). Progression free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), locoregional relapse free survival (LRFS), distant metastasis free survival (DMFS) and grade 3-4 toxicities were compared among different IC regimens. The survival rates were compared using log-rank test and a Cox proportional hazards model was used to perform multivariate analyses. RESULTS: A multivariate analysis revealed TPF to be more effective than TP. Among stage III patients, no significant difference in clinical outcome between the different IC regimens was showed, while TPF was associated with significantly better survival conditions in the stage IV patients. A further subgroup analysis revealed that only patients with pre-EBV DNA ≥ 1500 copies could benefit from the application of TPF among stage IV NPC. In terms of acute toxicities, PF was associated with fewer grade 3/4 acute toxicities. CONCLUSIONS: In low-risk NPC patients, PF-based IC showed similar efficacy as TPF and TP but was associated with fewer grade 3/4 acute toxicities. In high-risk patients, however, the TPF regimen was superior to PF and TP, although grade 3/4 toxicities were more common with the TPF regimen.

The impact of Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 on the clinical outcome of elderly nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients treated with chemoradiotherapy or radiotherapy: a matched cohort analysis.

Objectives: To evaluate the prognostic significance of Adult Comorbidity Evaluation-27 (ACE-27) for elderly patients (age ≥70 years) with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy (IMRT), with or without chemotherapy. Methods: 206 elderly patients with locoregionally advanced NPC treated from December 2006 to December 2016 were involved into analysis as the training cohort. Besides, a separate cohort of 72 patients from the same cancer center collected between January 2003 and October 2006 served as the validation cohort. By using propensity score matching (PSM), we created a balanced cohort by matching patients who received chemoradiotherapy with patients who received IMRT alone. Treatment toxicities were calculated between CRT and RT groups using the χ2 test. The primary endpoint was cancer-specific survival (CSS). Multivariate analysis was performed to assess the relative risk for each factor by using a Cox's proportional hazards regression model. Results: The median follow-up was 39.0 months (range = 3-137 months). In the PSM cohort, patients in the CRT group achieved comparable survival compared with patients in the RT group. The 3-year CSS rate was 64.3% and 65.2%, respectively (P =0.764). In multivariate analysis, the addition of chemotherapy to IMRT was not an independent prognostic factor for CSS, whereas a high ACE-27 score was an independent risk factor. In subgroup analysis with ACE-27 score ≥ 2, the 3-year CSS rate was worse in patients from the CRT group (63.5% vs. 46.3%, P = 0.041). Conclusions: CRT is comparable to IMRT alone for elderly patients with locoregionally advanced NPC. The ACE-27 tool may help to identify high-risk subgroup for poor disease outcome and tailor individualized treatment.

Maximal standard uptake values of 18F-fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography compared with Epstein-Barr virus DNA as prognostic indicators in de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of maximal standard uptake values (SUVmax) of 18F-fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography (PET) comparing with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA levels in de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. METHODS: From December 2006 to December 2016, 253 de novo metastatic NPC patients assessed by PET/ computed tomography were involved in current study. SUVmax-T, SUVmax-N, and SUVmax-M referred to the SUVmax at the primary tumor, cervical lymph nodes, and metastatic lesions respectively. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. RESULT: Patients who died during the follow-up had significantly higher SUVmax-N, SUVmax-M, and EBV DNA level than those in the patients who were alive. SUVmax-N and SUVmax-M were positively correlated with EBV DNA level. The cut-off values of SUVmax-T, SUVmax-N, SUVmax-M, and EBV DNA were 17.0, 12.7, and 6.9, and 13,800 copies/mL respectively, which were determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Patients with elevated SUVmax-N, SUVmax-M, and EBV DNA levels had a lower 3-year OS rate. In multivariate analysis, the independent prognostic factors of OS included EBV DNA, metastatic site, and locoregional radiotherapy application, while SUVmax was not an independent prognostic factor. CONCLUSION: In de novo metastatic NPC patients, higher SUVmax-N and SUVmax-M were associated with worse prognosis. However, the predictive ability of SUVmax-N and SUVmax-M was poorer than that of EBV DNA.

The development of a nomogram to predict post-radiation necrosis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients: a large-scale cohort study.

Objective: This study aimed to establish a nomogram to predict the risk of post-radiation necrosis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Background: This study was performed to identify influencing factors for developing post-radiation necrosis, and to establish an effective nomogram model to predict individual risks in NPC patients. Methods: 7144 NPC patients receiving radical radiotherapy from 2007 to 2012 were involved in the study, and 207 of them developed nasopharyngeal necrosis (NPN). The clinical characteristics and baseline laboratory results were collected and analyzed. Independent predictive factors were selected using the Cox proportional model and incorporated into the nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic curve and the calibration curve were used to verify discrimination and calibration. Results: The experience of re-irradiation contributed most to the occurrence of NPN (HR, 15.56, 95% CI 10.84-22.35, p<0.001). Clinical factors including age, pathology type, history of diabetes, and original T stage were independent predictors of NPN. Factors reflecting patients' baseline nutritional and inflammatory status such as hemoglobin, albumin, and C-reactive protein were also significantly associated with the development of NPN. With all independent predictive factors incorporated, a nomogram was generated, and it showed excellent discrimination and calibration. Conclusion: This study was the first large-scale cohort study focusing on the development of NPN and established a nomogram to predict its occurrence based on the clinical and laboratory indicators. The nomogram demonstrated good discriminative capacity and satisfactory agreement, which would offer valuable clues for clinicians to distinguish the high-risk NPN population and maintain close surveillance.

The Association Between the Development of Radiation Therapy, Image Technology, and Chemotherapy, and the Survival of Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Cohort Study From 1990 to 2012.

PURPOSE: Previous studies demonstrated that the radiation therapy, image technology, and the application of chemotherapy have developed in the last 2 decades. This study explored the survival trends and treatment failure patterns of patients with nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with radiation therapy. Furthermore, we evaluated the survival benefit brought by the development of radiation therapy, image technology, and chemotherapy based on a large cohort from 1990 to 2012. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Data from 20,305 patients with nonmetastatic NPC treated between 1990 and 2012 were analyzed. Patients were divided into 4 calendar periods (1990-1996, 1997-2002, 2003-2007, and 2008-2012). Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. RESULTS: Magnetic resonance imaging has replaced computed tomography as the most important imaging technique since 2003. Conventional 2-dimensional radiation therapy, which was the main radiation therapy technique in our institution before 2008, was replaced by intensity modulated radiation therapy later. An increasing number of patients have undergone chemotherapy since 2003. The 5-year OS across the 4 calendar periods increased at each TNM stage with progression-free survival (PFS) and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS) showing a similar trend, whereas distant metastasis-free survival showed small differences. Multivariate analyses showed that the application of intensity modulated radiation therapy and magnetic resonance imaging were independent protective factors in OS, PFS, LRFS, and distant metastasis-free survival. Chemotherapy benefited patients in OS, PFS, and LRFS. The main pattern of treatment failure shifted from recurrence to distant metastasis. CONCLUSIONS: The development of radiation therapy, image technology, and chemotherapy increased survival rates among patients with NPC because of excellent locoregional control. Distant failure has become the greatest challenge for NPC treatment.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram for predicting survival in patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: No nomogram has been established for de novo metastatic NPC patients previously. Thus, we retrospectively involved 502 de novo NPC patients to develop a practical clinical tool by combining prognostic biomarkers to estimate individual risk. METHODS: The nomogram was based on a primary cohort involving 353 patients from 2007 to 2013; all independent prognostic factors were integrated for inclusion in the model. The predictive accuracy of the model was evaluated by concordance index (C-index). A calibration curve was used to compare predicted and observed survival. We confirmed the results using a validation cohort study on 149 patients enrolled from 2014 to 2016. RESULTS: Five independent prognostic factors derived from multivariable analysis were entered into the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.724. The calibration curves for probability of 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) showed satisfactory agreement between predicted survival and actual observed survival. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed a significant difference in survival among different risk groups according to the total score. All results were confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: We established a convenient nomogram that provides individual prediction of OS for patients with de novo metastatic NPC.

Individualized concurrent chemotherapy by pretreatment plasma Epstein-Barr viral DNA in II-III stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A propensity score matching analysis using a large cohort.

OBJECT: To ascertain the treatment effect of concurrent chemotherapy (CCT) in stage II-III nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients with different Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA level in intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) era. METHODS: A total of 2742 patients diagnosed with stage II-III NPC were involved in this study. Patients received IMRT with/without CCT. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. Receiver operating characteristics curve was used to determine the cut-off value of pre-DNA based on OS. After propensity score matching, the role of CCT was explored in patients with different EBV DNA level. RESULTS: In our cohort, the cut-off value of pre EBV DNA was 1460 copies/mL (area under curve [AUC], 0.695-0.769; sensitivity, 0.766; specificity, 0.599). Patients with high EBV DNA level showed poor survival in OS, progression free survival (PFS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS). In patients with EBV DNA level >1460 copies/mL, the concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) group achieved higher 3-year OS compared with IMRT groups. However, the CCRT and IMRT groups showed comparable OS in patients with EBV DNA ≤1460 copies/mL. In multivariate analyses, CCT was a protective factor for OS, PFS, and LRFS in high-risk patients (EBV DNA level >1460 copies/mL), while not an independent prognostic factor among the low-risk patients (EBV DNA level ≤1460 copies/mL). CONCLUSION: Pre-EBV DNA could be a useful tool to guide individualized treatment for stage II-III NPC patients. Additional CCT to IMRT improved the survival for patients with high pre-EBV DNA, while those with low pre-EBV DNA could not.

Optimal cumulative cisplatin dose in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients based on induction chemotherapy response.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients can be separated into two risk subgroups according to tumor responses to induction chemotherapy (IC). We aimed to elucidate the optimal cumulative cisplatin dose (CCD) of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) for different NPC patient subgroups. PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: A total of 990 patients with incident NPC diagnosed between 2008 and 2017 treated with IC plus CCRT were included in our observational study. The clinicopathological features of patients with different tumor responses were compared using the Chi-square test or Fisher's exact test. Prognosis was assessed using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. In addition, acute and late toxicities were compared between different CCD groups. RESULTS: After IC, 761/990 (76.9%) patients had a complete tumor response (CR)/partial response (PR) and 229 (23.1%) had stable disease (SD)/disease progression (PD). An unsatisfactory tumor response (SD/PD) after IC correlated with poor clinical outcome (3-year PFS 61.4% vs. 83.2%, P < 0.001 and 3-year LRFS 80.9% vs. 94.5%, P < 0.001). Patients who achieved CR/PR after IC received a CCD >200 mg/m2 and showed higher 3-year PFS and DMFS rates than those receiving a CCD <100 mg/m2 (PFS: 85.4% vs. 77.9%, P = 0.045; DMFS: 89.4% vs. 77.9%, P = 0.015). Multivariate analysis also showed that CCD was an independent prognostic factor for PFS and DMFS in CR/PR subgroup. Moreover, the medium dose group showed similar efficacy as high dose group but was associated with fewer grade 1-4 acute toxicities. However, application of different CCD didn't result in significantly different survival outcomes in SD/PD subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Tumor response to IC was an independent prognostic factor for patients with NPC. For the patients who achieved CR/PR after IC, patients receiving high CCD showed significantly improved 3-year PFS and DMFS compared with patients receiving low CCD. Balancing toxicity and efficacy, 200 mg/m2 seemed to be the optimal dose in the CR/PR groups. However, enhancement of CCD did not provide survival benefit for patients who achieved SD/PD after IC, and treatment options for these patients require further consideration.

Effect of local treatment for metastasis and its sequence with chemotherapy on prognosis of post-treatment metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.

BACKGROUND: Distant metastasis after chemoradiotherapy remains the leading cause of death in NPC patients. But the effect of local treatment for metastatic sites and its sequence with chemotherapy on prognosis of them are poorly documented. METHODS: 448 post-treatment metastatic NPC patients were included in our retrospective study. And Cox regression and log-rank tests were applied to investigate the association between topical treatment and its sequence with chemotherapy and survival using the propensity score method (PSM) to adjust for gender, age, Tumor stage, Node stage, metastatic sites, diabetes and smoking with a 1:2 matching protocol. RESULTS: The 3-year OS was significantly higher in patients who received local treatment of distant metastasis compared with patients who did not (48.8% vs 33.8%, P = 0.001) in primary cohort. PSM identified 120 patients in the cohort with local treatment and 240 in that without and similar survival benefits were observed for the local treatment (3-year OS: 36.2% versus 48.8%, P = 0.011). Subgroup analyses indicated that there was no significant survival difference in patients with different treatment sequence. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, post-treatment metastatic NPC patients could be beneficial from local treatment for metastasis but its sequence with palliative chemotherapy does not affect overall survival.

The diagnostic and prognostic values of plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA for residual cervical lymphadenopathy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Currently, the diagnosis and treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients with residual cervical lymphadenopathy following radical radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy are challenging. We investigated the prognosis of NPC patients with residual cervical lymphadenopathy and assessed the diagnostic and prognostic values of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA in these patients. METHODS: This study included 82 NPC patients who were diagnosed with suspected residual cervical lymphadenopathy following completion of antitumor therapy. Their plasma EBV DNA levels were measured using quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) before the initiation of treatment and before neck dissection. Fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) was performed in 21 patients. All patients had undergone neck dissection and postoperative pathological examination to identify the nature of residual cervical lymphadenopathy. The overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Multivariable analysis was used to estimate the effect of potential prognostic factors on survival. RESULTS: Following a median follow-up of 52.6 months, compared with patients with negative postoperative pathological findings for residual cervical lymphadenopathy, the patients with positive findings had a significantly lower 3-year PFS rate (49.9% vs. 83.3%, P = 0.008). Among NPC patients with residual cervical lymphadenopathy, the patients with preoperative plasma EBV DNA > 0 copy/mL had a lower 3-year PFS rate than did those with no detectable EBV DNA (43.7% vs. 61.1%, P = 0.031). In addition, combining FNAC with preoperative EBV DNA detection improved the diagnostic sensitivity. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that residual cervical lymphadenopathy with positive postoperative pathological result was an independent prognostic factor for PFS and that detectable preoperative plasma EBV DNA was an independent prognostic factor for OS. CONCLUSIONS: Using FNAC combined with preoperative EBV DNA detection improves the sensitivity in diagnosing NPC with residual cervical lymphadenopathy. Compared with patients with undetectable EBV DNA, patients with detectable preoperative plasma EBV DNA have worse prognosis and may require a more aggressive treatment strategy.

Patterns of Failure and Survival Trends in 3,808 Patients with Stage II Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Diagnosed from 1990 to 2012: A Large-Scale Retrospective Cohort Study.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to investigate the survival trends and patterns of failure in patients with stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with radiotherapy (RT) and chemotherapy over the last 20 years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty-eight hundred and eight patients diagnosed with stage II NPC between January 1990 and December 2012 were involved in this retrospective cohort study. All patients were treated with RT. According to the main imaging techniques and RT technology, we categorized these patients into four calendar periods: 1990-1996, 1997-2002, 2003-2007, and 2008-2012. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were served as the clinical outcome. RESULTS: After a median follow-up period of 84.7 months, we observed increasing trends in survival and disease control. The 3- and 5-year OS rates increased from 87.1% and 78.7% in the first calendar period to 97.4% and 94.5% in the last calendar period, respectively (p<0.001). Additionally, significant increasing trends could be seen in the PFS and LRFS during the four calendar periods. In the subgroup analysis, the LRFS in patients older than 50 years at diagnosis showed greater improvement than younger patients. However, the rate of distant metastasis was stable and relatively low, as the 5-year DMFS ranged from 90.5% to 94.7% among the four calendar periods. CONCLUSION: The survival rates in patients with stage II NPC showed increasing trends from 1990 to 2012. The advance of RT provided excellent locoregional control and enhanced OS.