A Circular-Linear Probabilistic Model Based on Nonparametric Copula with Applications to Directional Wind Energy Assessment.

The joint probability density function of wind speed and wind direction serves as the mathematical basis for directional wind energy assessment. In this study, a nonparametric joint probability estimation system for wind velocity and direction based on copulas is proposed and empirically investigated in Inner Mongolia, China. Optimal bandwidth algorithms and transformation techniques are used to determine the nonparametric copula method. Various parameter copula models and models without considering dependency relationships are introduced and compared with this approach. The results indicate a significant advantage of employing the nonparametric copula model for fitting joint probability distributions of both wind speed and wind direction, as well as conducting correlation analyses. By utilizing the proposed KDE-COP-CV model, it becomes possible to accurately and reliably analyze how wind power density fluctuates in relation to wind direction. This study reveals the researched region possesses abundant wind resources, with the highest wind power density being highly dependent on wind direction at maximum speeds. Wind resources in selected regions of Inner Mongolia are predominantly concentrated in the northwest and west directions. These findings can contribute to improving the accuracy of micro-siting for wind farms, as well as optimizing the design and capacity of wind turbine generators.

Multicomponent Stress-Strength Model Based on Generalized Progressive Hybrid Censoring Scheme: A Statistical Analysis.

The statistical inference of the reliability and parameters of the stress-strength model has received great attention in the field of reliability analysis. When following the generalized progressive hybrid censoring (GPHC) scheme, it is important to discuss the point estimate and interval estimate of the reliability of the multicomponent stress-strength (MSS) model, in which the stress and the strength variables are derived from different distributions by assuming that stress follows the Chen distribution and that strength follows the Gompertz distribution. In the present study, the Newton-Raphson method was adopted to derive the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the model parameters, and the corresponding asymptotic distribution was adopted to construct the asymptotic confidence interval (ACI). Subsequently, the exact confidence interval (ECI) of the parameters was calculated. A hybrid Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method was adopted to determine the approximate Bayesian estimation (BE) of the unknown parameters and the high posterior density credible interval (HPDCI). A simulation study with the actual dataset was conducted for the BEs with squared error loss function (SELF) and the MLEs of the model parameters and reliability, comparing the bias and mean squares errors (MSE). In addition, the three interval estimates were compared in terms of the average interval length (AIL) and coverage probability (CP).

E-Bayesian and H-Bayesian Inferences for a Simple Step-Stress Model with Competing Failure Model under Progressively Type-II Censoring.

In this paper, we discuss the statistical analysis of a simple step-stress accelerated competing failure model under progressively Type-II censoring. It is assumed that there is more than one cause of failure, and the lifetime of the experimental units at each stress level follows exponential distribution. The distribution functions under different stress levels are connected through the cumulative exposure model. The maximum likelihood, Bayesian, Expected Bayesian, and Hierarchical Bayesian estimations of the model parameters are derived based on the different loss function. Based on Monte Carlo Simulations. We also get the average length and the coverage probability of the 95% confidence intervals and highest posterior density credible intervals of the parameters. From the numerical studies, it can be seen that the proposed Expected Bayesian estimations and Hierarchical Bayesian estimations have better performance in terms of the average estimates and mean squared errors, respectively. Finally, the methods of statistical inference discussed here are illustrated with a numerical example.

A new exponential ratio-type estimator with linear combination of two auxiliary variables.

In sample surveys, it is usual to make use of auxiliary information to increase the precision of estimators. We propose a new exponential ratio-type estimator of a finite population mean using linear combination of two auxiliary variables and obtain mean square error (MSE) equation for proposed estimator. We find theoretical conditions that make proposed estimator more efficient than traditional multivariate ratio estimator using information of two auxiliary variables, the estimator of Bahl and Tuteja and the estimator proposed by Abu-Dayeh et al. In addition, we support these theoretical results with the aid of two numerical examples.

Random search algorithm for solving the nonlinear Fredholm integral equations of the second kind.

In this paper, a randomized numerical approach is used to obtain approximate solutions for a class of nonlinear Fredholm integral equations of the second kind. The proposed approach contains two steps: at first, we define a discretized form of the integral equation by quadrature formula methods and solution of this discretized form converges to the exact solution of the integral equation by considering some conditions on the kernel of the integral equation. And then we convert the problem to an optimal control problem by introducing an artificial control function. Following that, in the next step, solution of the discretized form is approximated by a kind of Monte Carlo (MC) random search algorithm. Finally, some examples are given to show the efficiency of the proposed approach.

A class of ratio estimators of a finite population mean using two auxiliary variables.

In sample surveys, it is usual to increase the efficiency of the estimators by the use of the auxiliary information. We propose a class of ratio estimators of a finite population mean using two auxiliary variables and obtain mean square error (MSE) equations for the class of proposed estimators. We find theoretical conditions that make proposed family estimators more efficient than the traditional ratio estimator and the estimators proposed by Abu-Dayeh et al. using two auxiliary variables. In addition, we support these theoretical results with the aid of a numerical example.