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1.
Clin Infect Dis ; 2024 Jun 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38833593

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In 2019, WHO called for operational research on all-oral shortened regimens for multidrug- and rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB). We report safety and effectiveness of three nine-month all-oral regimens containing bedaquiline (Bdq), linezolid (Lzd), and levofloxacin (Lfx) and reinforced with cycloserine (Cs) and clofazimine (Cfz), delamanid (Dlm) and pyrazinamide (Z), or Dlm and Cfz. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of patients initiating treatment for pulmonary MDR/RR-TB under operational research conditions at public health facilities in Kazakhstan. Participants were screened monthly for adverse events. Participants with baseline resistance were excluded from the study and treated with a longer regimen. We analyzed clinically relevant adverse events of special interest in all participants and sputum culture conversion and end-of-treatment outcomes among individuals who were not excluded. RESULTS: Of 510 participants, 41% were women, median age was 37 years (interquartile range: 28-49), 18% had a body mass index <18·5 kg/m2, and 51% had cavitary disease. Three hundred and ninety-nine (78%) initiated Bdq-Lzd-Lfx-Cs-Cfz, 83 (16%) started Bdq-Lzd-Lfx-Dlm-Z, and 28 (5%) initiated Bdq-Lzd-Lfx-Dlm-Cfz. Fifty-eight individuals (11%) were excluded from the study, most commonly due to identification of baseline drug resistance (n = 52; 90%). Among the remaining 452 participants, treatment success frequencies were 92% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 89 to 95), 89% (95%CI: 80 to 94), and 100% (95%CI: 86 to 100) for regimens with Cs/Cfz, Dlm/Z, and Dlm/Cfz respectively. Clinically-relevant adverse events of special interest were uncommon. CONCLUSION: All regimens demonstrated excellent safety and effectiveness, expanding the potential treatment options for patients, providers, and programs.

2.
Euro Surveill ; 29(17)2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38666403

ABSTRACT

The BPaLM regimen (bedaquiline, pretomanid, linezolid and moxifloxacin) recently recommended by the World Health Organization offers short, safe, and effective treatment for multidrug-resistant/rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (TB). In a survey with national TB focal points in 18 central and western European countries to explore barriers for the implementation of BPaLM, only three reported full availability of pretomanid, a necessary component of this regimen. Implementation barriers included financing and procurement. Solutions on national and supranational level are needed to guarantee universal access.


Subject(s)
Antitubercular Agents , Linezolid , Rifampin , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , World Health Organization , Humans , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use , Europe , Linezolid/therapeutic use , Rifampin/therapeutic use , Moxifloxacin/therapeutic use , Diarylquinolines/therapeutic use , Nitroimidazoles/therapeutic use , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/drug effects , Health Services Accessibility
3.
Int J Infect Dis ; 141S: 106980, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38403111

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Outline the objectives, methods, and initial stages of the Prevention and Systematic Screening (PASS) initiative, a complimentary element of the innovative new approach of technical assistance mechanisms of WHO and its partners to countries aligned to the Regional TB Action Plan to End TB in the European Region by 2030. DESIGN: To provide an objective and critical overview of the existing landscape on TB epidemic in the WHO European Region (the European Region) and ii) identify the strategic significance of proactive measures aimed at approaching TB pre-elimination in the Region. RESULTS: Interventions primarily include systematic screening for TB disease and treatment for TB infection (TBI). CONCLUSIONS: PASS to End TB is an exemplary initiative of how technical and funding partners are joining hands to support national health programmes to work towards global commitments to curb major public health challenges like TB.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis , Humans , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis/prevention & control , Europe/epidemiology , Public Health , World Health Organization
5.
J Travel Med ; 30(1)2023 02 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36426801

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Refugees and migrants to the World Health Organization (WHO) European Region are disproportionately affected by infections, including tuberculosis (TB), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and hepatitis B and C (HBV/HCV) compared with the host population. There are inequities in the accessibility and quality of health services available to refugees and migrants in the Region. This has consequences for health outcomes and will ultimately impact the ability to meet Regional infection elimination targets. METHODS: We reviewed academic and grey literature to identify national policies and guidelines for TB/HIV/HBV/HCV specific to refugees and migrants in the Member States of the WHO European Region and to identify: (i) evidence informing policy and (ii) barriers and facilitators to policy implementation. RESULTS: Relatively few primary national policy/guideline documents were identified which related to refugees and migrants and TB [14 of 53 Member States (26%), HIV (n = 15, 28%) and HBV/HCV (n = 3, 6%)], which often did not align with the WHO recommendations, and for some countries, violated refugees' and migrants' human rights. We found extreme heterogeneity in the implementation of the WHO- and European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)-advocated policies and recommendations on the prevention, diagnosis, treatment and care of TB/HIV/HBV/HCV infection among migrants across the Member States of the WHO European Region.There is great heterogeneity in implementation of WHO- and ECDC-advocated policies on the prevention, diagnosis, treatment and care of TB/HIV/HBV/HCV infection in refugees and migrants across the Member States in the Region. CONCLUSION: More transparent and accessible reporting of national policies and guidelines are required, together with the evidence base upon which these policy decisions are based. Political engagement is essential to drive the changes in national legislation to ensure equitable and universal access to the diagnosis and care for infectious diseases.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Hepatitis B , Hepatitis C , Refugees , Transients and Migrants , Tuberculosis , Humans , HIV , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Policy , World Health Organization
6.
J Mol Diagn ; 24(11): 1189-1194, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35964846

ABSTRACT

The World Health Organization (WHO) recently revised its guidelines for rapid diagnosis of drug-resistant tuberculosis (TB). This study aimed to investigate if TB reference diagnostic services are prepared to support these revisions. An online survey was performed among 44 TB National Reference Laboratories (NRLs) in the WHO European Region. Questions addressed the use of WHO-recommended molecular techniques for the diagnosis of drug-resistant TB, the techniques applied to investigate antimicrobial resistance, and questions on quality assurance. Among 35 of 44 (80%) participating NRLs, 29 of 35 (83%) reported using the GeneXpert platform as the initial test to detect Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex and rifampicin resistance. Five laboratories reported using another WHO-recommended, moderate-complexity, automated nucleic acid amplification test for detection of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex and resistance to rifampicin and isoniazid. Most (32 of 35; 91%) NRLs reported the capacity to test second-line drugs that have been in clinical use for many years (fluoroquinolones, linezolid, and injectable agents). Only 23 of 35 (66%) and 21 of 35 (60%) NRLs reported the capacity to test bedaquiline and clofazimine. Further efforts will be needed to improve the availability of quality-controlled testing against WHO Group A and Group B drugs. Earlier considerations on the scale-up of diagnostic capacities should be enforced as part of future approval processes for new antimycobacterial agents.


Subject(s)
Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Humans , Rifampin , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genetics , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/diagnosis , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , World Health Organization , Linezolid , Antitubercular Agents/pharmacology , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use
7.
Euro Surveill ; 27(29)2022 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35866437

ABSTRACT

Technical advances in diagnostic techniques have permitted the possibility of multi-disease-based approaches for diagnosis and treatment monitoring of several infectious diseases, including tuberculosis (TB), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), viral hepatitis and sexually transmitted infections (STI). However, in many countries, diagnosis and monitoring, as well as disease response programs, still operate as vertical systems, potentially causing delay in diagnosis and burden to patients and preventing the optimal use of available resources. With countries facing both human and financial resource constraints, during the COVID-19 pandemic even more than before, it is important that available resources are used as efficiently as possible, potential synergies are leveraged to maximise benefit for patients, continued provision of essential health services is ensured. For the infectious diseases, TB, HIV, hepatitis C (HCV) and STI, sharing devices and integrated services starting with rapid, quality-assured, and complete diagnostic services is beneficial for the continued development of adequate, efficient and effective treatment strategies. Here we explore the current and future potential (as well as some concerns), importance, implications and necessary implementation steps for the use of platforms for multi-disease testing for TB, HIV, HCV, STI and potentially other infectious diseases, including emerging pathogens, using the example of the COVID-19 pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , HIV Infections , Hepatitis C , Sexually Transmitted Diseases , Tuberculosis , HIV Infections/epidemiology , Hepatitis C/diagnosis , Hepatitis C/epidemiology , Humans , Pandemics , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/diagnosis , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/epidemiology , Sexually Transmitted Diseases/prevention & control , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , World Health Organization
10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35410048

ABSTRACT

A significant drop in tuberculosis (TB) case-finding has been widely reported during the period of the COVID-19 pandemic. To address a decrease in TB notification, Belarus introduced laboratory TB testing in patients with the laboratory-confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We conducted a secondary analysis of health records among 844 patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis who were admitted to repurposed departments at TB hospitals and who were tested by Xpert MTB/RIF (Cepheid Inc., Sunnyvale, CA, USA) in five Belarus regions between April and October 2021. Quantitative analysis followed by 13 individual interviews with health managers, physicians, and nurses participating in the intervention. Most patients were male (64%) and mean age was 43.5 ± 16 years. One in twenty (n = 47, 5.6%) patients were co-infected with active pulmonary TB, and over one-third of them (n = 18) had rifampicin resistance. In-hospital mortality was comparable in patients with and without TB co-infection (2.1% and 2.3% respectively, p > 0.99). Laboratory TB testing among patients with COVID-19 at repurposed departments of TB hospitals is feasible in Belarus and may improve TB case-finding.


Subject(s)
Antibiotics, Antitubercular , COVID-19 , Coinfection , Latent Tuberculosis , Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculosis , Adult , Antibiotics, Antitubercular/therapeutic use , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19 Testing , Coinfection/drug therapy , Coinfection/epidemiology , Hospitalization , Humans , Latent Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Male , Middle Aged , Pandemics , Republic of Belarus/epidemiology , Rifampin , Sensitivity and Specificity , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Tuberculosis/epidemiology
11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34886554

ABSTRACT

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a public health burden in the Republic of Karakalpakstan, Uzbekistan. This region-wide retrospective cohort study reports the treatment outcomes of patients registered in the TB electronic register and treated with first-line drugs in the TB Programme of the Republic of Karakalpakstan from 2005-2020 and factors associated with unfavourable outcomes. Among 35,122 registered patients, 24,394 (69%) patients were adults, 2339 (7%) were children, 18,032 (51%) were male and 19,774 (68%) lived in rural areas. Of these patients, 29,130 (83%) had pulmonary TB and 7497 (>22%) had been previously treated. There were 7440 (21%) patients who had unfavourable treatment outcomes. Factors associated with unfavourable treatment outcomes included: increasing age, living in certain parts of the republic, disability, pensioner status, unemployment, being HIV-positive, having pulmonary TB, and receiving category II treatment. Factors associated with death included: being adult and elderly, living in certain parts of the republic, having a disability, pensioner status, being HIV-positive, and receiving category II treatment. Factors associated with failure included: being adolescent, female, having pulmonary TB. Factors associated with loss to follow-up included: being male, disability, pensioner status, unemployment, receiving category II treatment. In summary, there are sub-groups of patients who need special attention in order to decrease unfavourable treatment outcomes.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Tuberculosis , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use , Child , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , Uzbekistan/epidemiology
14.
Euro Surveill ; 26(24)2021 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34142651

ABSTRACT

We assessed the impact of COVID-19 on diagnostic services for tuberculosis (TB) by national reference laboratories in the WHO European Region. Of 35 laboratories, 30 reported declines in TB sample numbers, amounting up to > 50% of the pre-COVID-19 volumes. Sixteen reported reagent or consumable shortages. Nineteen reallocated ressources to SARS-CoV-2 testing, resulting in an overall increase in workload, largely without a concomitant increase in personnel (n = 14). This poses a risk to meeting the 2025 milestones of the End TB Strategy.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Tuberculosis , COVID-19 Testing , Humans , Laboratories , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , World Health Organization
15.
Euro Surveill ; 26(24)2021 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34142649

ABSTRACT

BackgroundEssential health services, including for tuberculosis (TB), are being affected by public health and social measures (PHSM) introduced to control COVID-19. In many settings, TB resources, facilities and equipment are being redirected towards COVID-19 response.AimWe sought to assess the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on TB services in the World Health Organization (WHO) European Region.MethodsThe fifty-three European Region Member States were asked to report qualitative and quantitative data in quarter one and two (Q1 and Q2) 2020. TB notifications were triangulated with the severity score on domestic movement restrictions to assess how they may have influenced TB detection.ResultsTwenty-nine countries reported monthly TB notifications for the first half of 2019 and 2020. TB notifications decreased by 35.5% during Q2 2020 compared with Q2 2019, which is six-fold more than the average annual decrease of 5.1% documented during 2015-2019. The number of patients enrolled in rifampicin-resistant/multidrug-resistant TB treatment also decreased dramatically in Q2 2020, by 33.5%. The highest movement restriction severity score was observed between April and May 2020, which coincided with the highest observed decrease in TB notifications.ConclusionA decrease in TB detection and enrolment to treatment may cause increases in TB burden and threatens the Region's ability to reach the TB targets of the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals, still this might be mitigated with rapid restoration of TB services and the implementation of targeted interventions during periods with severe PHSM in place, such as those introduced in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Tuberculosis , Humans , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , World Health Organization
16.
Int J Infect Dis ; 113 Suppl 1: S91-S95, 2021 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33823277

ABSTRACT

Rifampicin-resistant/multidrug-resistant (RR/MDR) and extensively drug-resistant (XDR) strains of M. tuberculosis (TB) are serious public health problem in Kazakhstan. In 2012 and 2013, stringent regulatory authorities approved the first new TB drugs in fifty years, bedaquiline and delamanid, offering hope for more effective and less toxic MDR-TB treatment. The endTB Observational Study is a multi-country study that enrolled patients receiving a bedaquiline- or delamanid-containing regimen for RR/MDR-TB between 01 April 2015 and 30 September 2018. In Kazakhstan, 675 patients participated in the study; all had at least 6-months or longer of follow-up after the start of treatment. The present analysis focuses on endTB Observational Study patients living in Kazakhstan who had a positive baseline sputum culture (220 patients) and initiated a bedaquiline- or delamanid-containing regimen between February 1, 2016 and March 31, 2018. Of them, 195 (89%) of patients experienced culture conversion within six months.


Subject(s)
Nitroimidazoles , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant , Diarylquinolines , Humans , Nitroimidazoles/adverse effects , Oxazoles/therapeutic use , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy
18.
Monaldi Arch Chest Dis ; 91(1)2021 Jan 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33470080

ABSTRACT

There is limited evidence describing the safety and effectiveness of bedaquiline and delamanid containing regimens in children and adolescents with Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis (MDR-TB) and Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis (XDR-TB) globally. In this nationwide descriptive cohort study from Belarus, we examined adverse drug events, time to culture conversion, treatment outcomes including post-treatment recurrence among children and adolescents (<18 years of age) treated with bedaquiline and/or delamanid containing regimens from 2015 to 2019. Of the 40 participants included (55% females; age range 10-17 years), 20 (50%) had XDR-TB and 15 (38%) had resistance to either fluoroquinolone or second-line injectable. Half of the patients received delamanid and another half received bedaquiline with one patient receiving both drugs. AEs were reported in all the patients. A total of 224 AEs were reported, most of which (76%) were mild in nature. Only 10 (5%) AEs were graded severe and one AE was graded life-threatening. A total of 7 AEs (3%) were classified as 'serious' and only one patient required permanent discontinuation of the suspected drug (linezolid). Most of the AEs (94%) were resolved before the end of treatment. All patients culture-positive at baseline (n=34) became culture-negative within three months of treatment. Median time to culture conversion was 1.1 months (interquartile range: 0.9-1.6). Two patients were still receiving treatment at the time of analysis. The remaining 38 patients successfully completed treatment. Among those eligible and assessed at 6 (n=32) and 12 months (n=27) post-treatment, no recurrences were detected. In conclusion, treatment of children and adolescents with MDR-TB and XDR-TB using bedaquiline and/or delamanid containing regimens was effective and had favourable safety profile. Achieving such excellent outcomes under programmatic settings is encouraging for other national tuberculosis programmes, which are in the process of introducing or scaling-up the use of these new drugs in their countries.


Subject(s)
Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis , Adolescent , Antitubercular Agents/adverse effects , Child , Cohort Studies , Diarylquinolines , Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Female , Humans , Male , Nitroimidazoles , Oxazoles , Republic of Belarus
19.
Monaldi Arch Chest Dis ; 91(1)2021 Jan 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33470081

ABSTRACT

To address the sub-optimal treatment outcomes among patients with multidrug-resistant (MDR-TB) and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB), the National TB Programme in Belarus started using new drugs such as bedaquiline and delamanid in 2015-16. In this study, we assessed cardiovascular safety and effectiveness (culture conversion, treatment outcomes and post-treatment recurrence) of delamanid-containing regimens among adults (>18 years) with MDR-TB or XDR-TB from June 2016 to February 2018. This was a nationwide cohort study involving analysis of routinely collected programme data from the national and six regional TB hospitals. Cardiovascular adverse events (AEs) were classified as serious or not, based on international guidelines. We conducted Cox proportional hazards regression and calculated adjusted hazards ratio(aHR) and 95% confidence intervals(CI) to evaluate factors associated with AEs and unsuccessful treatment outcomes (death, failure and lost-to-follow-up). Of 125 patients enrolled (35, 28% females; mean age 43 years), 85(68%) had XDR-TB. All the patients received delamanid and 20 patients received both delamanid and bedaquiline. Cardiovascular AEs (177 episodes in total), were observed in the majority (73%) of patients but were mild and managed easily. The most common cardiovascular AEs were QTcF prolongation (64/177, 36%) and other electrocardiography (ECG) abnormalities (40/177, 23%). There were two instances of serious AEs leading to death, both of which were not related to delamanid. In multivariable analysis, male sex (aHR 0.72; 95% CI 0.51-0.99), and baseline ECG abnormalities (aHR 1.68; 95% CI 1.19-2.36) were associated with cardiovascular AEs. Median time to culture conversion was 1.1 months (interquartile range: 1.0-2.1). Culture conversion was observed in 115 (92%) patients at six months of treatment and 110 (88%) completed the treatment successfully. Loss to follow-up, failure and death were observed in 6%, 4% and 2% patients respectively. Among those assessed at 12 months post-treatment (n=33), recurrence was seen in one patient. The only factor associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes in multivariable analysis was baseline Hepatitis C co-infection (aHR 3.61; 95% CI 1.09-11.95). In conclusion, treatment using delamanid-containing regimens was effective and had a favourable safety profile. We hope our findings inform the development of national clinical guidelines and scale-up of new drugs in other countries.


Subject(s)
Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis , Adult , Antitubercular Agents/adverse effects , Cohort Studies , Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Female , Humans , Male , Nitroimidazoles , Oxazoles , Republic of Belarus , Treatment Outcome
20.
Monaldi Arch Chest Dis ; 91(1)2021 Jan 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33470087

ABSTRACT

Treatment outcomes for Multidrug/Rifampicin-Resistant Tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB) and Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis (XDR-TB) remain poor across the globe and in the Russian Federation. Treatment of XDR-TB is challenging for programmes and patients often resulting in low success rates and onward transmission of drug-resistant strains. Analysis of factors affecting culture conversion rate among XDR-TB patients may serve as a basis for optimization of treatment regimens. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using health records from 54 patients with pulmonary XDR-TB treated at a tertiary level facility in the Russian Federation. The study population included adult patients with culture-positive pulmonary XDR-TB who started treatment between 1 January 2018-30 June 2019. Culture conversion was defined as two consecutive negative cultures, collected at least 30 days apart. The date of sputum culture conversion was taken from the first of two consecutive negative sputum cultures fulfilling these criteria. We measured time to culture conversion using cumulative incidence functions accounting for competing risks and applied binary cause-specific Cox regressions to assess associated factors. Sputum culture conversion was recorded for 43 (79.6%) patients. Median time to culture conversion adjusted for competing risk of loss to follow up was 4 months [95% confidence interval (CI): 2-5]. The number of patients who had culture converted by treatment months 2, 4, and 6 were 12 (22%), 29 (54%) and 38 (70%) respectively. In unadjusted analysis, positive baseline sputum smear microscopy [hazard ratio (HR): 0.34, 95% CI: 0.18-0.66; p=0.001), hepatitis C (HR: 0.35, 95% CI: 0.14-0.89; p=0.023], and human immunodeficiency virus (HR: 0.30 95%, CI: 0.09-0.97; p=0.045), and receipt of fewer than 4 effective drugs in the treatment regimen (HR: 0.13, 95% CI: 0.03-0.60; p=0.009) were associated with delayed culture conversion. When compared to their combined use, patients receiving regimens with bedaquiline only (HR: 0.12, 95% CI: 0.03-0.49; p=0.003) or linezolid only (HR: 0.21, 95% CI: 0.06-0.69; p=0.010) were less likely to achieve timely culture conversion. Factors delaying sputum culture conversion should be considered in the management of patients with XDR-TB and considered by clinicians for regimen design and treatment strategies. Our study outlines the importance of simultaneous inclusion of bedaquiline and linezolid in treatment regimens for patients with XDR-TB to reduce time to sputum conversion and increase treatment success.


Subject(s)
Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis , Adult , Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use , Cohort Studies , Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis/drug therapy , Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Russia/epidemiology , Treatment Outcome
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