Integrating Citizen Scientist Data into the Surveillance System for Avian Influenza Virus, Taiwan.

The continuing circulation and reassortment with low-pathogenicity avian influenza Gs/Gd (goose/Guangdong/1996)-like avian influenza viruses (AIVs) has caused huge economic losses and raised public health concerns over the zoonotic potential. Virologic surveillance of wild birds has been suggested as part of a global AIV surveillance system. However, underreporting and biased selection of sampling sites has rendered gaining information about the transmission and evolution of highly pathogenic AIV problematic. We explored the use of the Citizen Scientist eBird database to elucidate the dynamic distribution of wild birds in Taiwan and their potential for AIV exchange with domestic poultry. Through the 2-stage analytical framework, we associated nonignorable risk with 10 species of wild birds with >100 significant positive results. We generated a risk map, which served as the guide for highly pathogenic AIV surveillance. Our methodologic blueprint has the potential to be incorporated into the global AIV surveillance system of wild birds.

Reliability-based measure of a retrial machine repair problem with working breakdowns under the F-policy.

We study reliability and sensitivity analysis of a retrial machine repair problem with working breakdowns operating under the F-policy. The F-policy studies the most common issue of controlling arrival to a queueing problem and it requires startup time before allowing failed machines to enter the orbit. The server is subject to working breakdowns only when there is at least one failed machine in the system. When the server is busy it works at a fast rate, but when it is subject to working breakdowns, it works at a slow rate. Failure and repair times of the server are exponentially distributed. The Laplace transform technique is utilized to develop two system performance measures such as system reliability and mean time to system failure (MTTF). Extensive numerical results are carried out to reveal how performance measures are affected by changing various values of each system parameter.

Metabolic risk factors are associated with non-hepatitis B non-hepatitis C hepatocellular carcinoma in Taiwan, an endemic area of chronic hepatitis B.

Metabolic risk factors, such as obesity, fatty liver, high lipidemia, and diabetes mellitus are associated with increased risk for nonviral hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, few nonviral HCC studies have stratified patients according to underlying etiologies. From 2005 to 2011, 3,843 patients with HCC were recruited into the Taiwan Liver Cancer Network. Of these patients, 411 (10.69%) who were negative for hepatitis B virus (HBV), surface antigen, HBV DNA, and anti-hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody were classified as non-HBV non-HCV (NBNC)-HCC. Detailed clinical analyses of these patients were compared with age- and sex-matched patients with HBV-HCC or HCV-HCC for the associated metabolic risk factors. For this comparison, 420 patients with HBV-HCC and 420 patients with HCV-HCC were selected from the 3,843 patients with HCC. Multivariate analyses showed fatty liver (by echography), high triglyceride levels (>160 mg/dL), and diabetes mellitus history to be significantly associated only with NBNC-HCC and not with the matched patients with HBV- or HCV-HCC. When the patients with HCC were further divided into four groups based on history of alcoholism and cirrhotic status, the group without alcoholism and without cirrhosis exhibited the strongest association with the metabolic risk factors. Based on trend analyses, patients with NBNC-HCC with or without alcoholism were significantly different from the matched patients with HBV- or HCV-HCC, except for patients with alcoholism and cirrhosis, in having more than two of the above three risk factors. Conclusion: Metabolic risk factors are significantly associated with nonviral HCC, especially for patients without alcoholism in Taiwan. Because the prevalence of viral HCC is decreasing due to the success of universal vaccination and antiviral therapy, strategies for cancer prevention, prediction, and surveillance for HCC will require modification. (Hepatology Communications 2018;2:747-759).

The Hepatitis Viral Status in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma: a Study of 3843 Patients From Taiwan Liver Cancer Network.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the leading cancer death in Taiwan. Chronic viral hepatitis infections have long been considered as the most important risk factors for HCC in Taiwan. The previously published reports were either carried out by individual investigators with small patient numbers or by large endemic studies with limited viral marker data. Through collaboration with 5 medical centers across Taiwan, Taiwan liver cancer network (TLCN) was established in 2005. All participating centers followed a standard protocol to recruit liver cancer patients along with their biosamples and clinical data. In addition, detailed viral marker analysis for hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) were also performed. This study included 3843 HCC patients with available blood samples in TLCN (recruited from November 2005 to April 2011). There were 2153 (56.02%) patients associated with HBV (HBV group); 969 (25.21%) with HCV (HCV group); 310 (8.07%) with both HBV and HCV (HBV+HCV group); and 411 (10.69%) were negative for both HBV and HCV (non-B non-C group). Two hundred two of the 2463 HBV patients (8.20%) were HBsAg(-), but HBV DNA (+). The age, gender, cirrhosis, viral titers, and viral genotypes were all significantly different between the above 4 groups of patients. The median age of the HBV group was the youngest, and the cirrhotic rate was lowest in the non-B non-C group (only 25%). This is the largest detailed viral hepatitis marker study for HCC patients in the English literatures. Our study provided novel data on the interaction of HBV and HCV in the HCC patients and also confirmed that the HCC database of TLCN is highly representative for Taiwan and an important resource for HCC research.