ABSTRACT
We estimated the seroprevalence of anti-SARS-COV-2 IgG in different island groups in Okinawa and described its changes over time. A cross-sectional sero-survey was repeated in three distinct periods between July 2020 and February 2021. A total of 2683 serum samples were collected from six referral medical centers, each covering a separate region in Okinawa. Patients who visited the emergency department for any reason and underwent blood collection were eligible for the study. Samples were analyzed using an FDA-authorized two-step enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) protocol. The case detection ratio was computed by dividing the seroprevalence by the attack rate obtained from publicly available surveillance data. In the main island, the seroprevalence was 0.0% (0/392, 95% CI: 0.0-0.9), 0.6% (8/1448, 0.2-1.1), and 1.4% (8/582, 0.6-2.7) at the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd sero-survey, respectively. In the remote islands, the seroprevalence was 0.0% (0/144, 95% CI: 0.0-2.5) and 1.6% (2/123, 0.2-5.8) at the 2nd and 3rd survey, respectively. The overall case detection ratios at the 3rd survey were 2.7 (95% CI: 1.3-5.3) in the main island and 2.8 (0.7-11.1) in the remote islands. The highest age-specific case detection ratio was observed in people aged 20-29 years (8.3, 95% CI: 3.3-21.4) in the main island and in those aged 50-59 years (14.1, 2.1-92.7) in the remote islands. The low seroprevalence at the latest survey suggested that a large-scale epidemic had not yet occurred in Okinawa by February 2021. The case detection ratios imply that the cumulative number of incident cases in Okinawa should be 2-3 times higher than that reported by routine surveillance. The ratio was particularly high in young people probably due to a frequent asymptomatic/mild COVID-19 disease in this age group. To accurately measure the scale of the COVID-19 epidemic, it is crucially important to conduct a sero-survey targeting the young.
ABSTRACT
In The Gambia, West Africa, the prevalence of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in adults exceeds eight percent and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been the most frequent type of malignancy. Two population-based intervention studies to control HBV infection, namely, GHIS (Gambia Hepatitis Intervention Study) and PROLIFICA (Prevention of Liver Fibrosis and Cancer in Africa), are discussed. The GHIS started in 1986 as a nation-wide trial of the HBV vaccine to evaluate the effectiveness of infant HBV vaccination in preventing HCC in adulthood. The vaccine was progressively introduced into the Expanded Program of Immunization (EPI) of The Gambia over four years in a phased manner, called the “stepped-wedge” design. This was because instantaneous universal vaccination in the country was impossible for logistic and financial reasons. However, this design also allowed the study to have an unvaccinated control group which consisted of the newborns of the areas where HBV vaccine has not yet been incorporated in the EPI. To assess the outcome, a national cancer registry was founded and all HCC patients in this birth cohort are linked with the vaccine trial database. The study is still ongoing to answer whether the HBV vaccine in infancy prevent HCC in adulthood in The Gambia. Although the universal HBV vaccination since 1990 has been successful in reducing the prevalence of chronic HBV infection in young Gambians, the number of HCC cases may not decline over the next decades as people infected prior to the immunization program are likely to continue to develop the diseases. To reduce the HCC incidence through community-based screening of HBV infection and provision of antiviral therapy, the PROLIFICA project started in 2011. Study hypothesis and design of these two studies, GHIS and PROLIFICA, are further discussed.
ABSTRACT
In The Gambia, West Africa, the prevalence of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in adults exceeds eight percent and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been the most frequent type of malignancy. Two population-based intervention studies to control HBV infection, namely, GHIS (Gambia Hepatitis Intervention Study) and PROLIFICA (Prevention of Liver Fibrosis and Cancer in Africa), are discussed.The GHIS started in 1986 as a nation-wide trial of the HBV vaccine to evaluate the effectiveness of infant HBV vaccination in preventing HCC in adulthood. The vaccine was progressively introduced into the Expanded Program of Immunization (EPI) of The Gambia over four years in a phased manner, called the “stepped-wedge” design. This was because instantaneous universal vaccination in the country was impossible for logistic and financial reasons. However, this design also allowed the study to have an unvaccinated control group which consisted of the newborns of the areas where HBV vaccine has not yet been incorporated in the EPI. To assess the outcome, a national cancer registry was founded and all HCC patients in this birth cohort are linked with the vaccine trial database. The study is still ongoing to answer whether the HBV vaccine in infancy prevent HCC in adulthood in The Gambia. Although the universal HBV vaccination since 1990 has been successful in reducing the prevalence of chronic HBV infection in young Gambians, the number of HCC cases may not decline over the next decades as people infected prior to the immunization program are likely to continue to develop the diseases. To reduce the HCC incidence through community-based screening of HBV infection and provision of antiviral therapy, the PROLIFICA project started in 2011. Study hypothesis and design of these two studies, GHIS and PROLIFICA, are further discussed.
