Analysis of Covid-19 data using discrete Marshall-Olkinin Length Biased Exponential: Bayesian and frequentist approach.

The paper presents a novel statistical approach for analyzing the daily coronavirus case and fatality statistics. The survival discretization method was used to generate a two-parameter discrete distribution. The resulting distribution is referred to as the "Discrete Marshall-Olkin Length Biased Exponential (DMOLBE) distribution". Because of the varied forms of its probability mass and failure rate functions, the DMOLBE distribution is adaptable. We calculated the mean and variance, skewness, kurtosis, dispersion index, hazard and survival functions, and second failure rate function for the suggested distribution. The DI index demonstrates that the proposed model can represent both over-dispersed and under-dispersed data sets. We estimated the parameters of the DMOLBE distribution. The behavior of ML estimates is checked via a comprehensive simulation study. The behavior of Bayesian estimates is checked by generating 10,000 iterations of Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques, plotting the trace, and checking the proposed distribution. From simulation studies, it was observed that the bias and mean square error decreased with an increase in sample size. To show the importance and flexibility of DMOLBE distribution using two data sets about deaths due to coronavirus in China and Pakistan are analyzed. The DMOLBE distribution provides a better fit than some important discrete models namely the discrete Burr-XII, discrete Bilal, discrete Burr-Hatke, discrete Rayleigh distribution, and Poisson distributions. We conclude that the new proposed distribution works well in analyzing these data sets. The data sets used in the paper was collected from 2020 year.

A new cubic transmuted power-function distribution: Properties, inference, and applications.

A new three-parameter cubic transmuted power distribution is proposed using the cubic rank transformation. The density and hazard functions of the new distribution provide great flexibility. Some mathematical properties of the new model such as quantile function, moments, dispersion index, mean residual life, and order statistics are derived. The model parameters are estimated using five different estimation methods. A comprehensive simulation study is carried out to understand the behavior of derived estimators and choose the best estimation method. The usefulness of the proposed distribution is illustrated using a real dataset. It is concluded that the proposed distribution is better than some well-known existing distributions.

A new one-parameter discrete probability distribution with its neutrosophic extension: mathematical properties and applications.

Count data modeling's significance and its applicability to real-world occurrences have been emphasized in a number of research studies. The purpose of this work is to introduce a new one-parameter discrete distribution for the modeling of count datasets. Some mathematical properties, such as reliability measures, characteristic function, moment-generating function, and associated measurements, such as mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis, and index of dispersion, have been derived and studied. The nature of the probability mass function and failure rate function has been studied graphically. The model parameter is estimated using renowned maximum likelihood estimation methods. A neutrosophic extension of the new model is also introduced for the modeling of interval datasets. In addition, the proposed distribution's applicability was compared to that of other discrete distributions. The study's findings show that the novel discrete distribution is a very appealing alternative to some other discrete competitive distributions.

Modeling of COVID-19 Cases in Pakistan Using Lifetime Probability Distributions.

The Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) is a respiratory disease that caused a large number of deaths all over the world since its outbreak. The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the outbreak a global pandemic. The understanding of the random process related to the behavior infection of COVID-19 is an important health and economic problem. In the proposed study, we analyze the frequency of daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 using different two-parameter lifetime probability distributions. We consider the data from the period of March 11, 2020, to July 25, 2020, of Pakistan. We consider nine lifetime probability distributions for the analysis purpose and the selection of best fit was carried out using log-likelihood, AIC, BIC, RMSE, and R2 goodness-of-fit measures. Results indicate that Weibull distribution provides generally the best-fit probability distribution.