Within-subject reliability of brain networks during advanced meditation: An intensively sampled 7 Tesla MRI case study.

Advanced meditation such as jhana meditation can produce various altered states of consciousness (jhanas) and cultivate rewarding psychological qualities including joy, peace, compassion, and attentional stability. Mapping the neurobiological substrates of jhana meditation can inform the development and application of advanced meditation to enhance well-being. Only two prior studies have attempted to investigate the neural correlates of jhana meditation, and the rarity of adept practitioners has largely restricted the size and extent of these studies. Therefore, examining the consistency and reliability of observed brain responses associated with jhana meditation can be valuable. In this study, we aimed to characterize functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) reliability within a single subject over repeated runs in canonical brain networks during jhana meditation performed by an adept practitioner over 5 days (27 fMRI runs) inside an ultra-high field 7 Tesla MRI scanner. We found that thalamus and several cortical networks, that is, the somatomotor, limbic, default-mode, control, and temporo-parietal, demonstrated good within-subject reliability across all jhanas. Additionally, we found that several other relevant brain networks (e.g., attention, salience) showed noticeable increases in reliability when fMRI measurements were adjusted for variability in self-reported phenomenology related to jhana meditation. Overall, we present a preliminary template of reliable brain areas likely underpinning core neurocognitive elements of jhana meditation, and highlight the utility of neurophenomenological experimental designs for better characterizing neuronal variability associated with advanced meditative states.

From pixels to connections: exploring in vitro neuron reconstruction software for network graph generation.

Digital reconstruction has been instrumental in deciphering how in vitro neuron architecture shapes information flow. Emerging approaches reconstruct neural systems as networks with the aim of understanding their organization through graph theory. Computational tools dedicated to this objective build models of nodes and edges based on key cellular features such as somata, axons, and dendrites. Fully automatic implementations of these tools are readily available, but they may also be purpose-built from specialized algorithms in the form of multi-step pipelines. Here we review software tools informing the construction of network models, spanning from noise reduction and segmentation to full network reconstruction. The scope and core specifications of each tool are explicitly defined to assist bench scientists in selecting the most suitable option for their microscopy dataset. Existing tools provide a foundation for complete network reconstruction, however more progress is needed in establishing morphological bases for directed/weighted connectivity and in software validation.

Functional brain network dynamics of brooding in depression: insights from real-time fMRI neurofeedback.

Background: Brooding is a critical symptom and prognostic factor of major depressive disorder (MDD), which involves passively dwelling on self-referential dysphoria and related abstractions. The neurobiology of brooding remains under characterized. We aimed to elucidate neural dynamics underlying brooding, and explore their responses to neurofeedback intervention in MDD. Methods: We investigated functional MRI (fMRI) dynamic functional network connectivity (dFNC) in 36 MDD subjects and 26 healthy controls (HCs) during rest and brooding. Rest was measured before and after fMRI neurofeedback (MDD-active/sham: n=18/18, HC-active/sham: n=13/13). Baseline brooding severity was recorded using Ruminative Response Scale - Brooding subscale (RRS-B). Results: Four recurrent dFNC states were identified. Measures of time spent were not significantly different between MDD and HC for any of these states during brooding or rest. RRS-B scores in MDD showed significant negative correlation with measures of time spent in dFNC state 3 during brooding (r=-0.5, p= 1.7E-3, FDR-significant). This state comprises strong connections spanning several brain systems involved in sensory, attentional and cognitive processing. Time spent in this anti-brooding dFNC state significantly increased following neurofeedback only in the MDD active group (z=-2.09, p=0.037). Limitations: The sample size was small and imbalanced between groups. Brooding condition was not examined post-neurofeedback. Conclusion: We identified a densely connected anti-brooding dFNC brain state in MDD. MDD subjects spent significantly longer time in this state after active neurofeedback intervention, highlighting neurofeedback's potential for modulating dysfunctional brain dynamics to treat MDD.

A generative model of the connectome with dynamic axon growth.

Connectome generative models, otherwise known as generative network models, provide insight into the wiring principles underpinning brain network organization. While these models can approximate numerous statistical properties of empirical networks, they typically fail to explicitly characterize an important contributor to brain organization - axonal growth. Emulating the chemoaffinity guided axonal growth, we provide a novel generative model in which axons dynamically steer the direction of propagation based on distance-dependent chemoattractive forces acting on their growth cones. This simple dynamic growth mechanism, despite being solely geometry-dependent, is shown to generate axonal fiber bundles with brain-like geometry and features of complex network architecture consistent with the human brain, including lognormally distributed connectivity weights, scale-free nodal degrees, small-worldness, and modularity. We demonstrate that our model parameters can be fitted to individual connectomes, enabling connectome dimensionality reduction and comparison of parameters between groups. Our work offers an opportunity to bridge studies of axon guidance and connectome development, providing new avenues for understanding neural development from a computational perspective.

Associations Between Structural Covariance Network and Antipsychotic Treatment Response in Schizophrenia.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Schizophrenia is associated with widespread cortical thinning and abnormality in the structural covariance network, which may reflect connectome alterations due to treatment effect or disease progression. Notably, patients with treatment-resistant schizophrenia (TRS) have stronger and more widespread cortical thinning, but it remains unclear whether structural covariance is associated with treatment response in schizophrenia. STUDY DESIGN: We organized a multicenter magnetic resonance imaging study to assess structural covariance in a large population of TRS and non-TRS, who had been resistant and responsive to non-clozapine antipsychotics, respectively. Whole-brain structural covariance for cortical thickness was assessed in 102 patients with TRS, 77 patients with non-TRS, and 79 healthy controls (HC). Network-based statistics were used to examine the difference in structural covariance networks among the 3 groups. Moreover, the relationship between altered individual differentiated structural covariance and clinico-demographics was also explored. STUDY RESULTS: Patients with non-TRS exhibited greater structural covariance compared with HC, mainly in the fronto-temporal and fronto-occipital regions, while there were no significant differences in structural covariance between TRS and non-TRS or HC. Higher individual differentiated structural covariance was associated with lower general scores of the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale in the non-TRS group, but not in the TRS group. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that reconfiguration of brain networks via coordinated cortical thinning is related to treatment response in schizophrenia. Further longitudinal studies are warranted to confirm if greater structural covariance could serve as a marker for treatment response in this disease.

Personalized and Circuit-Based Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation: Evidence, Controversies, and Opportunities.

The development of neuroimaging methodologies to map brain connectivity has transformed our understanding of psychiatric disorders, the distributed effects of brain stimulation, and how transcranial magnetic stimulation can be best employed to target and ameliorate psychiatric symptoms. In parallel, neuroimaging research has revealed that higher-order brain regions such as the prefrontal cortex, which represent the most common therapeutic brain stimulation targets for psychiatric disorders, show some of the highest levels of interindividual variation in brain connectivity. These findings provide the rationale for personalized target site selection based on person-specific brain network architecture. Recent advances have made it possible to determine reproducible personalized targets with millimeter precision in clinically tractable acquisition times. These advances enable the potential advantages of spatially personalized transcranial magnetic stimulation targeting to be evaluated and translated to basic and clinical applications. In this review, we outline the motivation for target site personalization, preliminary support (mostly in depression), convergent evidence from other brain stimulation modalities, and generalizability beyond depression and the prefrontal cortex. We end by detailing methodological recommendations, controversies, and notable alternatives. Overall, while this research area appears highly promising, the value of personalized targeting remains unclear, and dedicated large prospective randomized clinical trials using validated methodology are critical.

Linking Polygenic Risk of Schizophrenia to Variation in Magnetic Resonance Imaging Brain Measures: A Comprehensive Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Schizophrenia is highly heritable, with a polygenic effect of many genes conferring risk. Evidence on whether cumulative risk also predicts alterations in brain morphology and function is inconsistent. This systematic review examined evidence for schizophrenia polygenic risk score (sczPRS) associations with commonly used magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measures. We expected consistent evidence to emerge for significant sczPRS associations with variation in structure and function, specifically in frontal, temporal, and insula cortices that are commonly implicated in schizophrenia pathophysiology. STUDY DESIGN: In accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, we searched MEDLINE, Embase, and PsycINFO for peer-reviewed studies published between January 2013 and March 2022. Studies were screened against predetermined criteria and National Institutes of Health (NIH) quality assessment tools. STUDY RESULTS: In total, 57 studies of T1-weighted structural, diffusion, and functional MRI were included (age range = 9-80 years, Nrange = 64-76 644). We observed moderate, albeit preliminary, evidence for higher sczPRS predicting global reductions in cortical thickness and widespread variation in functional connectivity, and to a lesser extent, region-specific reductions in frontal and temporal volume and thickness. Conversely, sczPRS does not predict whole-brain surface area or gray/white matter volume. Limited evidence emerged for sczPRS associations with diffusion tensor measures of white matter microstructure in a large community sample and smaller cohorts of children and young adults. These findings were broadly consistent across community and clinical populations. CONCLUSIONS: Our review supports the hypothesis that schizophrenia is a disorder of disrupted within and between-region brain connectivity, and points to specific whole-brain and regional MRI metrics that may provide useful intermediate phenotypes.

Network analysis of neuropsychiatric, cognitive, and functional complications of stroke: implications for novel treatment targets.

AIM: Recovery from stroke is adversely affected by neuropsychiatric complications, cognitive impairment, and functional disability. Better knowledge of their mutual relationships is required to inform effective interventions. Network theory enables the conceptualization of symptoms and impairments as dynamic and mutually interacting systems. We aimed to identify interactions of poststroke complications using network analysis in diverse stroke samples. METHODS: Data from 2185 patients were sourced from member studies of STROKOG (Stroke and Cognition Consortium), an international collaboration of stroke studies. Networks were generated for each cohort, whereby nodes represented neuropsychiatric symptoms, cognitive deficits, and disabilities on activities of daily living. Edges characterized associations between them. Centrality measures were used to identify hub items. RESULTS: Across cohorts, a single network of interrelated poststroke complications emerged. Networks exhibited dissociable depression, apathy, fatigue, cognitive impairment, and functional disability modules. Worry was the most central symptom across cohorts, irrespective of the depression scale used. Items relating to activities of daily living were also highly central nodes. Follow-up analysis in two studies revealed that individuals who worried had more densely connected networks than those free of worry (CASPER [Cognition and Affect after Stroke: Prospective Evaluation of Risks] study: S = 9.72, P = 0.038; SSS [Sydney Stroke Study]: S = 13.56, P = 0.069). CONCLUSION: Neuropsychiatric symptoms are highly interconnected with cognitive deficits and functional disabilities resulting from stroke. Given their central position and high level of connectedness, worry and activities of daily living have the potential to drive multimorbidity and mutual reinforcement between domains of poststroke complications. Targeting these factors early after stroke may have benefits that extend to other complications, leading to better stroke outcomes.

Advancements in Diffusion MRI Tractography for Neurosurgery.

ABSTRACT: Diffusion magnetic resonance imaging tractography is a noninvasive technique that enables the visualization and quantification of white matter tracts within the brain. It is extensively used in preoperative planning for brain tumors, epilepsy, and functional neurosurgical procedures such as deep brain stimulation. Over the past 25 years, significant advancements have been made in imaging acquisition, fiber direction estimation, and tracking methods, resulting in considerable improvements in tractography accuracy. The technique enables the mapping of functionally critical pathways around surgical sites to avoid permanent functional disability. When the limitations are adequately acknowledged and considered, tractography can serve as a valuable tool to safeguard critical white matter tracts and provides insight regarding changes in normal white matter and structural connectivity of the whole brain beyond local lesions. In functional neurosurgical procedures such as deep brain stimulation, it plays a significant role in optimizing stimulation sites and parameters to maximize therapeutic efficacy and can be used as a direct target for therapy. These insights can aid in patient risk stratification and prognosis. This article aims to discuss state-of-the-art tractography methodologies and their applications in preoperative planning and highlight the challenges and new prospects for the use of tractography in daily clinical practice.

Genetic and Epigenetic Regulation in Lingo-1: Effects on Cognitive Function and White Matter Microstructure in a Case-Control Study for Schizophrenia.

Leucine-rich repeat and immunoglobulin domain-containing protein (Lingo-1) plays a vital role in a large number of neuronal processes underlying learning and memory, which are known to be disrupted in schizophrenia. However, Lingo-1 has never been examined in the context of schizophrenia. The genetic association of a single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP, rs3144) and methylation (CpG sites) in the Lingo-1 3'-UTR region was examined, with the testing of cognitive dysfunction and white matter (WM) integrity in a schizophrenia case-control cohort (n = 268/group). A large subset of subjects (97 control and 161 schizophrenia subjects) underwent structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) brain scans to assess WM integrity. Frequency of the rs3144 minor allele was overrepresented in the schizophrenia population (p = 0.03), with an odds ratio of 1.39 (95% CI 1.016-1.901). CpG sites surrounding rs3144 were hypermethylated in the control population (p = 0.032) compared to the schizophrenia group. rs3144 genotype was predictive of membership to a subclass of schizophrenia subjects with generalized cognitive deficits (p < 0.05), in addition to having associations with WM integrity (p = 0.018). This is the first study reporting a potential implication of genetic and epigenetic risk factors in Lingo-1 in schizophrenia. Both of these genetic and epigenetic alterations may also have associations with cognitive dysfunction and WM integrity in the context of the schizophrenia pathophysiology.

Pathways from threat exposure to psychotic symptoms in youth: The role of emotion recognition bias and brain structure.

BACKGROUND: Research supports an association between threatening experiences in childhood and psychosis. It is possible that early threat exposure disrupts the development of emotion recognition (specifically, producing a bias for facial expressions relating to threat) and the brain structures subserving it, contributing to psychosis development. METHODS: Using data from the Philadelphia Neurodevelopmental Cohort, we examined associations between threat exposure and both the misattribution of facial expressions to fear/anger in an emotion recognition task, and gray matter volumes in key emotion processing regions. Our sample comprised youth with psychosis spectrum symptoms (N = 304), control youth (N = 787), and to evaluate specificity, youth with internalizing symptoms (N = 92). The moderating effects of group and sex were examined. RESULTS: Both the psychosis spectrum and internalizing groups had higher levels of threat exposure than controls. In the total sample, threat exposure was associated with lower left medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC) volume but not misattributions to fear/anger. The effects of threat exposure did not significantly differ by group or sex. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study provide evidence for an effect of threat exposure on mPFC morphology, but do not support an association between threat exposure and a recognition bias for threat-related expressions, that is particularly pronounced in psychosis. Future research should investigate factors linking transdiagnostic alterations related to threat exposure with psychotic symptoms, and attempt to clarify the mechanisms underpinning emotion recognition misattributions in threat-exposed youth.

Revisiting deficits in threat and safety appraisal in obsessive-compulsive disorder.

Current behavioural treatment of obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) is informed by fear conditioning and involves iteratively re-evaluating previously threatening stimuli as safe. However, there is limited research investigating the neurobiological response to conditioning and reversal of threatening stimuli in individuals with OCD. A clinical sample of individuals with OCD (N = 45) and matched healthy controls (N = 45) underwent functional magnetic resonance imaging. While in the scanner, participants completed a well-validated fear reversal task and a resting-state scan. We found no evidence for group differences in task-evoked brain activation or functional connectivity in OCD. Multivariate analyses encompassing all participants in the clinical and control groups suggested that subjective appraisal of threatening and safe stimuli were associated with a larger difference in brain activity than the contribution of OCD symptoms. In particular, we observed a brain-behaviour continuum whereby heightened affective appraisal was related to increased bilateral insula activation during the task (r = 0.39, pFWE = .001). These findings suggest that changes in conditioned threat-related processes may not be a core neurobiological feature of OCD and encourage further research on the role of subjective experience in fear conditioning.

Connectomes for 40,000 UK Biobank participants: A multi-modal, multi-scale brain network resource.

We mapped functional and structural brain networks for more than 40,000 UK Biobank participants. Structural connectivity was estimated with tractography and diffusion MRI. Resting-state functional MRI was used to infer regional functional connectivity. We provide high-quality structural and functional connectomes for multiple parcellation granularities, several alternative measures of interregional connectivity, and a variety of common data pre-processing techniques, yielding more than one million connectomes in total and requiring more than 200,000 h of compute time. For a single subject, we provide 28 out-of-the-box versions of structural and functional brain networks, allowing users to select, e.g., the parcellation and connectivity measure that best suit their research goals. Furthermore, we provide code and intermediate data for the time-efficient reconstruction of more than 1000 different versions of a subject's connectome based on an array of methodological choices. All connectomes are available via the UK Biobank data-sharing platform and our connectome mapping pipelines are openly available. In this report, we describe our connectome resource in detail for users, outline key considerations in developing an efficient pipeline to map an unprecedented number of connectomes, and report on the quality control procedures that were completed to ensure connectome reliability and accuracy. We demonstrate that our structural and functional connectivity matrices meet a number of quality control checks and replicate previously established findings in network neuroscience. We envisage that our resource will enable new studies of the human connectome in health, disease, and aging at an unprecedented scale.

Increased interhemispheric functional connectivity during non-dominant hand movement in right-handed subjects.

Hand preference is one of the behavioral expressions of lateralization in the brain. Previous fMRI studies showed the activation in several regions including the motor cortex and the cerebellum during single-hand movement. However, functional connectivity related to hand preference has not been investigated. Here, we used the generalized psychophysiological interaction (gPPI) approach to investigate the alteration of functional connectivity during single-hand movement from the resting state in right-hand subjects. The functional connectivity in interhemispheric motor-related regions including the supplementary motor area, the precentral gyrus, and the cerebellum was significantly increased during non-dominant hand movement, while functional connectivity was not increased during dominant hand movement. The general linear model (GLM) showed activation in contralateral supplementary motor area, contralateral precentral gyrus, and ipsilateral cerebellum during right- or left-hand movement. These results indicate that a combination of GLM and gPPI analysis can detect the lateralization of hand preference more clearly.

Evaluation of tractogram filtering methods using human-like connectome phantoms.

Tractography algorithms are prone to reconstructing spurious connections. The set of streamlines generated with tractography can be post-processed to retain the streamlines that are most biologically plausible. Several microstructure-informed filtering algorithms are available for this purpose, however, the comparative performance of these methods has not been extensively evaluated. In this study, we aim to evaluate streamline filtering and post-processing algorithms using simulated connectome phantoms. We first establish a framework for generating connectome phantoms featuring brain-like white matter fiber architectures. We then use our phantoms to systematically evaluate the performance of a range of streamline filtering algorithms, including SIFT, COMMIT, and LiFE. We find that all filtering methods successfully improve connectome accuracy, although filter performance depends on the complexity of the underlying white matter fiber architecture. Filtering algorithms can markedly improve tractography accuracy for simple tubular fiber bundles (F-measure deterministic- unfiltered: 0.49 and best filter: 0.72; F-measure probabilistic- unfiltered: 0.37 and best filter: 0.81), but for more complex brain-like fiber architectures, the improvement is modest (F-measure deterministic- unfiltered: 0.53 and best filter: 0.54; F-measure probabilistic- unfiltered: 0.46 and best filter: 0.50). Overall, filtering algorithms have the potential to improve the accuracy of connectome mapping pipelines, particularly for weighted connectomes and pipelines using probabilistic tractography methods. Our results highlight the need for further advances tractography and streamline filtering to improve the accuracy of connectome mapping.

Functional dysconnectivity in youth depression: Systematic review, meta-analysis, and network-based integration.

Youth depression has been associated with heterogenous patterns of aberrant brain connectivity. To make sense of these divergent findings, we conducted a systematic review encompassing 19 resting-state fMRI seed-to-whole-brain studies (1400 participants, comprising 795 youths with major depression and 605 matched healthy controls). We incorporated separate meta-analyses of connectivity abnormalities across the levels of the most commonly seeded brain networks (default-mode and limbic networks) and, based on recent additions to the literature, an updated meta-analysis of amygdala dysconnectivity in youth depression. Our findings indicated broad and distributed findings at an anatomical level, which could not be captured by conventional meta-analyses in terms of spatial convergence. However, we were able to parse the complexity of region-to-region dysconnectivity by considering constituent regions as components of distributed canonical brain networks. This integration revealed dysconnectivity centred on central executive, default mode, salience, and limbic networks, converging with findings from the adult depression literature and suggesting similar neurobiological underpinnings of youth and adult depression.

Meditation attenuates default-mode activity: A pilot study using ultra-high field 7 Tesla MRI.

OBJECTIVES: Mapping the neurobiology of meditation has been bolstered by functional MRI (fMRI) research, with advancements in ultra-high field 7 Tesla fMRI further enhancing signal quality and neuroanatomical resolution. Here, we utilize 7 Tesla fMRI to examine the neural substrates of meditation and replicate existing widespread findings, after accounting for relevant physiological confounds. METHODS: In this feasibility study, we scanned 10 beginner meditators (N = 10) while they either attended to breathing (focused attention meditation) or engaged in restful thinking (non-focused rest). We also measured and adjusted the fMRI signal for key physiological differences between meditation and rest. Finally, we explored changes in state mindfulness, state anxiety and focused attention attributes for up to 2 weeks following the single fMRI meditation session. RESULTS: Group-level task fMRI analyses revealed significant reductions in activity during meditation relative to rest in default-mode network hubs, i.e., antero-medial prefrontal and posterior cingulate cortices, precuneus, as well as visual and thalamic regions. These findings survived stringent statistical corrections for fluctuations in physiological responses which demonstrated significant differences (p < 0.05/n, Bonferroni controlled) between meditation and rest. Compared to baseline, State Mindfulness Scale (SMS) scores were significantly elevated (F(3,9) = 8.16, p < 0.05/n, Bonferroni controlled) following the fMRI meditation session, and were closely maintained at 2-week follow up. CONCLUSIONS: This pilot study establishes the feasibility and utility of investigating focused attention meditation using ultra-high field (7 Tesla) fMRI, by supporting widespread evidence that focused attention meditation attenuates default-mode activity responsible for self-referential processing. Future functional neuroimaging studies of meditation should control for physiological confounds and include behavioural assessments.

Regional, circuit and network heterogeneity of brain abnormalities in psychiatric disorders.

The substantial individual heterogeneity that characterizes people with mental illness is often ignored by classical case-control research, which relies on group mean comparisons. Here we present a comprehensive, multiscale characterization of the heterogeneity of gray matter volume (GMV) differences in 1,294 cases diagnosed with one of six conditions (attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, autism spectrum disorder, bipolar disorder, depression, obsessive-compulsive disorder and schizophrenia) and 1,465 matched controls. Normative models indicated that person-specific deviations from population expectations for regional GMV were highly heterogeneous, affecting the same area in <7% of people with the same diagnosis. However, these deviations were embedded within common functional circuits and networks in up to 56% of cases. The salience-ventral attention system was implicated transdiagnostically, with other systems selectively involved in depression, bipolar disorder, schizophrenia and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder. Phenotypic differences between cases assigned the same diagnosis may thus arise from the heterogeneous localization of specific regional deviations, whereas phenotypic similarities may be attributable to the dysfunction of common functional circuits and networks.

Brain network communication: concepts, models and applications.

Understanding communication and information processing in nervous systems is a central goal of neuroscience. Over the past two decades, advances in connectomics and network neuroscience have opened new avenues for investigating polysynaptic communication in complex brain networks. Recent work has brought into question the mainstay assumption that connectome signalling occurs exclusively via shortest paths, resulting in a sprawling constellation of alternative network communication models. This Review surveys the latest developments in models of brain network communication. We begin by drawing a conceptual link between the mathematics of graph theory and biological aspects of neural signalling such as transmission delays and metabolic cost. We organize key network communication models and measures into a taxonomy, aimed at helping researchers navigate the growing number of concepts and methods in the literature. The taxonomy highlights the pros, cons and interpretations of different conceptualizations of connectome signalling. We showcase the utility of network communication models as a flexible, interpretable and tractable framework to study brain function by reviewing prominent applications in basic, cognitive and clinical neurosciences. Finally, we provide recommendations to guide the future development, application and validation of network communication models.

Mapping human brain charts cross-sectionally and longitudinally.

Brain scans acquired across large, age-diverse cohorts have facilitated recent progress in establishing normative brain aging charts. Here, we ask the critical question of whether cross-sectional estimates of age-related brain trajectories resemble those directly measured from longitudinal data. We show that age-related brain changes inferred from cross-sectionally mapped brain charts can substantially underestimate actual changes measured longitudinally. We further find that brain aging trajectories vary markedly between individuals and are difficult to predict with population-level age trends estimated cross-sectionally. Prediction errors relate modestly to neuroimaging confounds and lifestyle factors. Our findings provide explicit evidence for the importance of longitudinal measurements in ascertaining brain development and aging trajectories.