Reduction of the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma over Time Using Direct-Acting Antivirals: A Propensity Score Analysis of a Real-Life Cohort (PITER HCV).

The treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) with direct-acting antivirals (DAA) leads to high sustained virological response (SVR) rates, but hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk persists in people with advanced liver disease even after SVR. We weighted the HCC risk in people with cirrhosis achieving HCV eradication through DAA treatment and compared it with untreated participants in the multicenter prospective Italian Platform for the Study of Viral Hepatitis Therapies (PITER) cohort. Propensity matching with inverse probability weighting was used to compare DAA-treated and untreated HCV-infected participants with liver cirrhosis. Kaplan-Meier analysis and competing risk regression analysis were performed. Within the first 36 months, 30 de novo HCC cases occurred in the untreated group (n = 307), with a weighted incidence rate of 0.34% (95%CI: 0.23-0.52%), compared to 63 cases among SVR patients (n = 1111), with an incidence rate of 0.20% (95%CI: 0.16-0.26%). The 12-, 24-, and 36-month HCC weighted cumulative incidence rates were 6.7%, 8.4%, and 10.0% in untreated cases and 2.3%, 4.5%, and 7.0% in the SVR group. Considering death or liver transplantation as competing events, the untreated group showed a 64% higher risk of HCC incidence compared to SVR patients (SubHR 1.64, 95%CI: 1.02-2.62). Other variables independently associated with the HCC occurrence were male sex, increasing age, current alcohol use, HCV genotype 3, platelet count ≤ 120,000/µL, and albumin ≤ 3.5 g/dL. In real-life practice, the high efficacy of DAA in achieving SVR is translated into high effectiveness in reducing the HCC incidence risk.

Reticulated platelets are increased and hyper-activated in patients with cirrhosis, especially those with poor outcome.

BACKGROUND: Reticulated platelets (RePLT) are emergency circulating platelets released to contrast peripheral platelet destruction. AIM: We conducted a prospective study to [a] characterize RePLT in cirrhosis; [b] evaluate the association between RePLT and hepatic decompensation/death. METHODS: Cirrhosis patients without hepatocellular carcinoma were prospectively recruited and underwent assessment of RePLT and thrombopoietin (TPO). RePLT were evaluated by cytofluorimetry and immuno-fluorescence microscopy. Twenty healthy subjects were included as controls. Patients were followed for 6 months for hepatic decompensation and further decompensation/ACLF. RESULTS: Forty-five patients were included (Child-Pugh [CP] A/B/C 18/11/16). Compared to controls, RePLT in cirrhosis were significantly increased (0.82% vs. 0.05%; p < 0.001) and hyperactivated (4.35% vs. 0.17%; p = 0.004). No correlation was observed between RePLT and CP, platelet count, TPO, MELD score, and C-reactive protein. TPO was lower in cirrhosis than controls (28 pg/mL vs. 52 pg/mL; p = 0.005), decreasing significantly with CP stage. In CP B/C patients (n = 27), RePLT were significantly higher in those who progressed towards further decompensation/ACLF (2.11 [0.56-2.95] vs. 0.69 [0.02-1.22]; p < 0.01). A proportion of RePLT >2% accurately identified high-risk patients (AUROC 0.818; 95%CI: 0.639-0.997; sensitivity 94%, specificity 73%). CONCLUSION: RePLT in cirrhosis are increased and hyper-activated. In decompensated patients, higher RePLT appear to be associated with worse outcomes.

Post-treatment LSM rather than change during treatment predicts decompensation in patients with cACLD after HCV cure.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Baveno VII has defined a clinically significant (i.e., prognostically meaningful) decrease in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in cACLD as a decrease of ≥20% associated with a final LSM <20 kPa or any decrease to <10 kPa. However, these rules have not yet been validated against direct clinical endpoints. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed patients with cACLD (LSM ≥10 kPa) with paired liver stiffness measurement (LSM) before (BL) and after (FU) HCV cure by interferon-free therapies from 15 European centres. The cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation was compared according to these criteria, considering hepatocellular carcinoma and non-liver-related death as competing risks. RESULTS: A total of 2,335 patients followed for a median of 6 years were analysed. Median BL-LSM was 16.6 kPa with 37.1% having ≥20 kPa. After HCV cure, FU-LSM decreased to a median of 10.9 kPa (<10 kPa: 1,002 [42.9%], ≥20 kPa: 465 [19.9%]) translating into a median LSM change of -5.3 (-8.8 to -2.4) kPa corresponding to -33.9 (-48.0 to -15.9) %. Patients achieving a clinically significant decrease (65.4%) had a significantly lower risk of hepatic decompensation (subdistribution hazard ratio: 0.12, 95% CI 0.04-0.35, p <0.001). However, these risk differences were primarily driven by a negligible risk in patients with FU-LSM <10 kPa (5-year cumulative incidence: 0.3%) compared to a high risk in patients with FU-LSM ≥20 kPa (16.6%). Patients with FU-LSM 10-19.9 kPa (37.4%) also had a low risk of hepatic decompensation (5-year cumulative incidence: 1.7%), and importantly, the risk of hepatic decompensation did not differ between those with/without an LSM decrease of ≥20% (p = 0.550). CONCLUSIONS: FU-LSM is key for risk stratification after HCV cure and should guide clinical decision making. LSM dynamics do not hold significant prognostic information in patients with FU-LSM 10-19.9 kPa, and thus, their consideration is not of sufficient incremental value in the specific context of HCV cure. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is increasingly applied as a prognostic biomarker and commonly decreases in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease achieving HCV cure. Although Baveno VII proposed criteria for a clinically significant decrease, little is known about the prognostic utility of LSM dynamics (changes through antiviral therapy). Interestingly, in those with a post-treatment LSM of 10-19.9 kPa, LSM dynamics did not provide incremental information, arguing against the consideration of LSM dynamics as prognostic criteria. Thus, post-treatment LSM should guide the management of patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease achieving HCV cure.

Von Willebrand factor for outcome prediction within different clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The prognostic performance of von Willebrand factor (VWF) may vary across clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Therefore, we investigated the evolution of VWF and other biomarkers throughout the full ACLD spectrum and evaluated their stage-specific prognostic utility. METHODS: We retrospectively included Viennese ACLD patients with available information on hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), C-reactive protein (CRP)/VWF levels and outcomes. ACLD stages were defined according to D'Amico et al. We included an external validation cohort from Padua. RESULTS: We observed gradual increases in VWF throughout ACLD stages. In contrast, HVPG levelled off in decompensated ACLD (dACLD), whereas MELD showed only minor changes in the early stages and CRP did not increase until stage 3. VWF was associated with hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in compensated ACLD (cACLD) in a fully adjusted model, while it was not independently predictive of ACLF/liver-related death in dACLD. After backward selection, HVPG/CRP/VWF remained the main predictors of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in cACLD. Notably, the performance of the non-invasive CRP/VWF-based model was comparable to invasive HVPG-based models (C-index:0.765 ± 0.034 vs. 0.756 ± 0.040). The discriminative ability of the CRP/VWF-based model was confirmed in an external validation cohort using another VWF assay which yielded systematically lower values. CONCLUSION: VWF is the only biomarker that gradually increases across all ACLD stages. It is of particular prognostic value in cACLD, where a CRP/VWF-based model is equivalent to an invasive HVPG-based model. Systematic differences in VWF underline the importance of interlaboratory surveys. Moreover, our findings reinforce the notion that, already in cACLD, inflammation is a key disease-driving mechanism.

Profiling plasma alterations of extracellular vesicles in patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis and bacterial infection.

BACKGROUND: Extracellular vesicles (EVs) modulate inflammation, coagulation and vascular homeostasis in decompensated cirrhosis. AIM: To characterize the profile of plasmatic EVs in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and bacterial infections and evaluate the association between EVs and the development of hemostatic complications. METHODS: We measured the levels of EVs using high-sensitivity flow cytometry and phospholipid-dependent clotting time (PPL) in a prospective cohort of hospitalized patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis with versus without bacterial infections. A separate cohort of patients with bacterial infections without cirrhosis was also enrolled. We measured endothelium-, tissue factor (TF)-bearing, platelet- and leukocyte-derived EVs. In patients with infections, EVs were reassessed upon resolution of infection. Bleeding and thrombotic complications were recorded during 1-year follow-up. RESULTS: Eighty patients with decompensated cirrhosis were recruited (40 each with and without bacterial infections). Electron microscopy confirmed the presence of plasma EVs. Despite no difference in total EVs and PPL, patients with cirrhosis and infection had significantly higher TF+ EVs, P-Selectin+ EVs (activated platelet-derived), CD14+ EVs (monocyte/macrophages derived) and CD14+ TF+ EVs versus those with cirrhosis without infection. Upon infection resolution, levels of these EVs returned to those without infection. Patients with infections showed a significant association between reduced P-Selectin+ EVs and bleeding complications (HR 8.0 [95%CI 1.3-48.1]), whereas high levels of leukocyte-derived EVs (CD45+) and CD14+ EVs were significantly associated with thrombotic complications (HR 16.4 [95%CI 1.7-160] and 10.9 [95%CI 1.13-106], respectively). Results were confirmed in a validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Bacterial infections are associated with particular alterations of plasma EVs profile in decompensated cirrhosis. Bacterial infections trigger the release of EVs originating from various cell types, which may tip the precarious hemostatic balance of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis towards hyper- or hypocoagulability.

Evolution of Liver Transplantation Indications: Expanding Horizons.

Liver transplantation (LT) has significantly transformed the prognosis of patients with end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The traditional epidemiology of liver diseases has undergone a remarkable shift in indications for LT, marked by a decline in viral hepatitis and an increase in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), along with expanded indications for HCC. Recent advancements in surgical techniques, organ preservation and post-transplant patients' management have opened new possibilities for LT. Conditions that were historically considered absolute contraindications have emerged as potential new indications, demonstrating promising results in terms of patient survival. While these expanding indications provide newfound hope, the ethical dilemma of organ scarcity persists. Addressing this requires careful consideration and international collaboration to ensure equitable access to LT. Multidisciplinary approaches and ongoing research efforts are crucial to navigate the evolving landscape of LT. This review aims to offer a current overview of the primary emerging indications for LT, focusing on acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), acute alcoholic hepatitis (AH), intrahepatic and perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (i- and p-CCA), colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM), and neuroendocrine tumor (NET) liver metastases.

The evolving knowledge on primary hemostasis in patients with cirrhosis: A comprehensive review.

Patients with cirrhosis develop complex alterations in primary hemostasis that include both hypocoagulable and hypercoagulable features. This includes thrombocytopenia, multiple alterations of platelet function, and increased plasma levels of von Willebrand factor. Contrary to the historical view that platelet dysfunction in cirrhosis might be responsible for an increased bleeding tendency, the current theory posits a rebalanced hemostasis in patients with cirrhosis. Severe thrombocytopenia is not indicative of the bleeding risk in patients undergoing invasive procedures and does not dictate per se the need for pre-procedural prophylaxis. A more comprehensive and individualized risk assessment should combine hemostatic impairment, the severity of decompensation and systemic inflammation, and the presence of additional factors that may impair platelet function, such as acute kidney injury and bacterial infections. Although there are multiple, complex alterations of platelet function in cirrhosis, their net effect is not yet fully understood. More investigations evaluating the association between alterations of platelet function and bleeding/thrombosis may improve risk stratification in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Besides hemostasis, the assessment of von Willebrand factor Ag and ADP-induced, whole-blood platelet aggregation normalized by platelet count (VITRO score and PLT ratio) are promising biomarkers to predict the risk of hepatic decompensation and survival in both compensated and decompensated patients. Further investigations into the in vivo interplay between platelets, circulating blood elements, and endothelial cells may help advance our understanding of cirrhotic coagulopathy. Here, we review the complex changes in platelets and primary hemostasis in cirrhosis and their potential clinical implications.

The role of an integrated referral program for patients with liver disease: A network between hub and spoke centers.

INTRODUCTION: Access to Liver transplantation (LT) can be affected by several barriers, resulting in delayed referral and increased risk of mortality due to complications of the underlying liver disease. AIM: To assess the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with acute or chronic liver disease referred using an integrated referral program. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An integrated referral program was developed in 1 October 2017 based on email addresses and a 24/7 telephone availability. All consecutive adult patients with liver disease referred for the first time using this referral program were prospectively collected until 1 October 2021. Characteristics and outcomes of inpatients were compared with a historical cohort of patients referred without using the integrated referral program (1 October 2015-1 October 2017). Patients were further divided according to pre- and post-Covid-19 pandemic. RESULTS: Two hundred eighty-one referred patients were considered. End stage liver disease was the most common underlying condition (79.3%), 50.5% of patients were referred as inpatients and 74.7% were referred for LT evaluation. When inpatient referrals (n = 142) were compared with the historical cohort (n = 86), a significant increase in acute liver injury due to drugs/herbals and supplements was seen (p = 0.01) as well as an increase in End stage liver disease due to alcohol-related liver disease and NASH, although not statistically significant. A significant increase in referrals for evaluation for Trans-jugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement was seen over time (5.6% vs. 1%; p = 0.01) as well as for LT evaluation (84.5% vs. 81%; p = 0.01). Transplant-free survival was similar between the study and control groups (p = 0.3). The Covid-19 pandemic did not affect trends of referrals and patient survival. CONCLUSIONS: The development of an integrated referral program for patients with liver disease can represent the first step to standardize already existing referral networks between hub and spoke centers. Future studies should focus on the timing of referral according to different etiologies to optimize treatment options and outcomes.

Role of nonneoplastic PVT in the natural history of patients with cirrhosis and first diagnosis of HCC.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: HCC can increase the risk of nonneoplastic PVT in cirrhosis. However, the natural history of PVT and its prognostic role in HCC patients are unknown. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Consecutive HCC patients with cirrhosis undergoing laparoscopic ablation were retrospectively evaluated and followed up to 36 months. HCC and PVT characteristics and evolution were reviewed. PVT was categorized according to lumen occupancy (≤50%, >50% <100%, and = 100%) and extension to other veins. The evolution of thrombosis was considered at 1 year from diagnosis. Variables associated with the presence of PVT and evolution patterns were analyzed, as well as their impact on survival. In all, 750 patients were included, 88 of whom had PVT. On multivariate analysis, the occurrence of PVT at HCC diagnosis was associated with pretreatment total tumor volume ( p < 0.001) and clinically significant portal hypertension ( p = 0.005). During the follow-up, 46 de novo PVT occurred, 27/46 (58.7%) in the presence of a viable tumor. Among 115 PVT diagnosed in the presence of HCC, 83 had available radiological follow-up, and 22 were anticoagulated. The "complete/progressive" evolution pattern was associated with nonresponse to HCC treatment in non-anticoagulated patients. The presence of PVT was independently associated with lower overall survival, particularly when progressive or occlusive ( p < 0.001). A higher competing risk of death emerged for "complete and progressive" PVT, both for HCC-related ( p < 0.001) and non-HCC-related ( p = 0.002) death. CONCLUSIONS: HCC represents an independent risk factor for the occurrence and progression of PVT in cirrhosis. Since progressive and occlusive PVT seems to be an independent factor associated with mortality, screening and prompt treatment of this complication should be considered.

Whole blood thrombin generation shows a significant hypocoagulable state in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with cirrhosis have a normal to increased thrombin generation (TG) capacity in platelet-poor plasma (PPP). By reflecting the contribution of all circulating blood cells, whole blood (WB) TG may allow a more physiological assessment of coagulation. OBJECTIVES: We compared WB-TG vs PPP-TG in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Assessment of coagulation included routine tests, factor VIII, natural anticoagulants, PPP-TG, and WB-TG. TG assays were performed with and without thrombomodulin. Twenty-five healthy subjects were included as controls. RESULTS: We included 108 patients (Child-Pugh A/B/C, 44/24/40). Compared with controls, patients had significantly lower platelet count, longer international normalized ratio, higher FVIII, and lower levels of protein C/S and antithrombin. Regarding thrombomodulin-modified TG assays, in compensated cirrhosis, both PPP-TG and WB-TG indicated an increased TG capacity, as reflected by an endogenous thrombin potential (ETP) significantly higher than controls. In contrast, in decompensated cirrhosis, PPP-TG indicated a hypercoagulable state with increased ETP, higher peak height, and shorter time-to-peak than controls, whereas WB-TG revealed a progressive impairment of TG kinetics and total capacity, ultimately resulting in a profound hypocoagulable state in patients with Child-Pugh C cirrhosis (ie, significant prolongation of lag time and time-to-peak with reduction of both ETP and peak height). In decompensated patients, bacterial infections and severity of anemia were associated with a further reduction of both ETP and peak height. CONCLUSION: Compensated cirrhosis is associated with an increased TG capacity. In decompensated cirrhosis, contrary to PPP-TG, which indicates hypercoagulability, WB-TG shows a significant hypocoagulable state. The clinical value of these findings deserves further investigation.

Mortality related to HCV and other chronic liver diseases in Veneto (Italy), 2008-2021: Changes in trends and age-period-cohort effects.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The objective of this study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and direct-acting antiviral (DAA) agents on mortality related to chronic liver diseases (CLD). METHODS: Age-standardized mortality rates were computed based on CLD as the underlying cause of death (UCOD) and as any mention in death certificates (multiple causes of death-MCOD). Time trends in age-standardized mortality rates were investigated using generalized estimation equation models. Additionally, we conducted age, period, and birth cohort (APC) analyses on CLD-related mortality associated with alcohol and hepatitis C virus (HCV). RESULTS: Between 2008 and 2021, among residents in the Veneto region (Northeastern Italy) aged ≥35 years, there were 20 409 deaths based on the UCOD and 30 069 deaths based on MCOD from all CLD. We observed a 4% annual decline in age-standardized MCOD-based mortality throughout 2008-2021, with minor peaks corresponding to COVID-19 epidemic waves. Starting in 2016, the decline in HCV-related mortality accelerated further (p < .001). A peak in HCV-related mortality in the 1963-1967 birth cohort was observed, which levelled off by the end of the study period. Mortality related to alcoholic liver disease declined at a slower pace, becoming the most common aetiology mentioned in death certificates. CONCLUSIONS: The study demonstrates a significant decrease in HCV-related mortality at the population level in Italy with the introduction of DAAs. Continuous monitoring of MCOD data is warranted to determine if this favourable trend will continue. Further studies utilizing additional health records are needed to clarify the role of other CLD etiologies.

Predicting de-novo portal vein thrombosis after HCV eradication: A long-term competing risk analysis in the ongoing PITER cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Sustained virological response (SVR) by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) may reverse the hypercoagulable state of HCV cirrhosis and the portal vein thrombosis (PVT) risk. We evaluated the incidence and predictive factors of de novo, non-tumoral PVT in patients with cirrhosis after HCV eradication. METHODS: Patients with HCV-related cirrhosis, consecutively enrolled in the multi-center ongoing PITER cohort, who achieved the SVR using DAAs, were prospectively evaluated. Kaplan-Meier and competing risk regression analyses were performed. RESULTS: During a median time of 38.3 months (IQR: 25.1-48.7 months) after the end of treatment (EOT), among 1609 SVR patients, 32 (2.0%) developed de novo PVT. A platelet count ≤120,000/µL, albumin levels ≤3.5 mg/dL, bilirubin >1.1 mg/dL, a previous liver decompensation, ALBI, Baveno, FIB-4, and RESIST scores were significantly different (p < 0.001), among patients who developed PVT versus those who did not. Considering death and liver transplantation as competing risk events, esophageal varices (subHR: 10.40; CI 95% 4.33-24.99) and pre-treatment ALBI grade ≥2 (subHR: 4.32; CI 95% 1.36-13.74) were independent predictors of PVT. After HCV eradication, a significant variation in PLT count, albumin, and bilirubin (p < 0.001) versus pre-treatment values was observed in patients who did not develop PVT, whereas no significant differences were observed in those who developed PVT (p > 0.05). After the EOT, esophageal varices and ALBI grade ≥2, remained associated with de novo PVT (subHR: 9.32; CI 95% 3.16-27.53 and subHR: 5.50; CI 95% 1.67-18.13, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with HCV-related cirrhosis, a more advanced liver disease and significant portal hypertension are independently associated with the de novo PVT risk after SVR.

Toward a more precise prognostic stratification in acute decompensation of cirrhosis: The Padua model 2.0.

BACKGROUND: The clinical course of acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD) is heterogeneous. Presepsin (PSP) is a plasmatic biomarker that reflects Toll-like receptor activity and systemic inflammation. We conducted a prospective study to: (1) measure PSP in AD and (2) assess whether PSP in AD can predict the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). METHODS: Patients with AD were prospectively recruited at admission and underwent determination of PSP. In study part 1, we compared PSP in AD versus controls (stable decompensated and compensated cirrhosis). In study part 2, we prospectively followed patients with AD for 1 year and evaluated predictors of ACLF. RESULTS: One hundred and seventy three patients with AD were included (median MELD: 18; CLIF-C AD score: 54). Compared with controls, patients with AD had higher levels of PSP (674 ng/L vs. 310 ng/L vs. 157 ng/L; p < 0.001). In patients with AD, Child-Pugh C and acute kidney injury were associated with higher levels of PSP. During the follow-up, 52 patients developed ACLF (median time from recruitment: 66 days). PSP, CLIF-C AD score, and Child-Pugh stage were independently associated with ACLF. A predictive model combining these variables (Padua model 2.0) accurately identified patients at higher risk of ACLF (AUROC 0.864; 95% CI 0.780-0.947; sensitivity 82.9%, specificity 76.7%). In patients at lower risk of ACLF based on a CLIF-C AD <50, a PSP >674 ng/L could discriminate between two groups at significantly different risk of ACLF. Finally, in patients who did not develop ACLF, baseline PSP was significantly higher in those who progressed toward unstable versus stable decompensated cirrhosis. CONCLUSION: The Padua model 2.0 can be used to identify patients with AD at high risk of ACLF. If these results are validated by external cohorts, PSP could become a new biomarker to improve risk stratification in AD.

Long-Term Impact of Direct-Acting Antivirals on Liver Fibrosis and Survival in HCV-Infected Liver Transplant Recipients.

(1) Background: Little is known about the long-term impact of sustained virological response (SVR) on fibrosis progression and patient survival in liver transplantation (LT) recipients treated with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). We investigated liver fibrosis evolution and patient survival in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients receiving DAAs after LT. (2) Methods: All consecutive HCV-infected patients treated with DAAs after LT between May 2014 and January 2019 were considered. The clinical and virological features were registered at the baseline and during the follow-up. The liver fibrosis was assessed by liver biopsy and/or transient elastography (TE) at the baseline and at least 1 year after the end of treatment (EoT). (3) Results: A total of 136 patients were included. The SVR12 was 78% after the first treatment and 96% after retreatment. After the SVR12, biochemical tests improved at the EoT and remained stable throughout the 3-year follow-up. Liver fibrosis improved after the SVR12 (p < 0.001); nearly half of the patients with advanced liver fibrosis experienced an improvement of an F ≤ 2. The factors associated with lower survival in SVR12 patients were the baseline platelet count (p = 0.04) and creatinine level (p = 0.04). (4) Conclusions: The long-term follow-up data demonstrated that SVR12 was associated with an improvement in hepatic function, liver fibrosis, and post-LT survival, regardless of the baseline liver fibrosis. The presence of portal hypertension before the DAAs has an impact on patient survival, even after SVR12.