Clinical-radiomics predictors to identify the suitability of transarterial chemoembolization treatment in intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Although transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the first-line therapy for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), it is not suitable for all patients. This study aimed to determine how to select patients who are not suitable for TACE as the first treatment choice. METHODS: A total of 243 intermediate-stage HCC patients treated with TACE at three centers were retrospectively enrolled, of which 171 were used for model training and 72 for testing. Radiomics features were screened using the Spearman correlation analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm. Subsequently, a radiomics model was established using extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) with 5-fold cross-validation. The Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method was used to visualize the radiomics model. A clinical model was constructed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. The combined model comprising the radiomics signature and clinical factors was then established. This model's performance was evaluated by discrimination, calibration, and clinical application. Generalization ability was evaluated by the testing cohort. Finally, the model was used to analyze overall and progression-free survival of different groups. RESULTS: A third of the patients (81/243) were unsuitable for TACE treatment. The combined model had a high degree of accuracy as it identified TACE-unsuitable cases, at a sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.759, 0.885, 0.906 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.859-0.953] in the training cohort and 0.826, 0.776, and 0.894 (95% CI: 0.815-0.972) in the testing cohort, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The high degree of accuracy of our clinical-radiomics model makes it clinically useful in identifying intermediate-stage HCC patients who are unsuitable for TACE treatment.

Quantitative dual-energy computed tomography texture analysis predicts the response of primary small hepatocellular carcinoma to radiofrequency ablation.

BACKGROUND: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is one of the effective therapeutic modalities in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there is no proper method to evaluate the HCC response to RFA. This study aimed to establish and validate a clinical prediction model based on dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) quantitative-imaging parameters, clinical variables, and CT texture parameters. METHODS: We enrolled 63 patients with small HCC. Two to four weeks after RFA, we performed DECT scanning to obtain DECT-quantitative parameters and to record the patients' clinical baseline variables. DECT images were manually segmented, and 56 CT texture features were extracted. We used LASSO algorithm for feature selection and data dimensionality reduction; logistic regression analysis was used to build a clinical model with clinical variables and DECT-quantitative parameters; we then added texture features to build a clinical-texture model based on clinical model. RESULTS: A total of six optimal CT texture analysis (CTTA) features were selected, which were statistically different between patients with or without tumor progression (P < 0.05). When clinical variables and DECT-quantitative parameters were included, the clinical models showed that albumin-bilirubin grade (ALBI) [odds ratio (OR) = 2.77, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.35-6.65, P = 0.010], λAP (40-100 keV) (OR = 3.21, 95% CI: 3.16-5.65, P = 0.045) and ICAP (OR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.01-1.62, P = 0.028) were associated with tumor progression, while the clinical-texture models showed that ALBI (OR = 2.40, 95% CI: 1.19-5.68, P = 0.024), λAP (40-100 keV) (OR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.10-2.07, P = 0.019), and CTTA-score (OR = 2.98, 95% CI: 1.68-6.66, P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for tumor progression. The clinical model, clinical-texture model, and CTTA-score all performed well in predicting tumor progression within 12 months after RFA (AUC = 0.917, 0.962, and 0.906, respectively), and the C-indexes of the clinical and clinical-texture models were 0.917 and 0.957, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: DECT-quantitative parameters, CTTA, and clinical variables were helpful in predicting HCC progression after RFA. The constructed clinical prediction model can provide early warning of potential tumor progression risk for patients after RFA.

Prediction model based on 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomic features and clinical factors of EGFR mutations in lung adenocarcinoma.

The aim of this study was to build a prediction model for epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations in lung adenocarcinoma. A retrospective analysis was performed on 88 patients with lung adenocarcinoma. All patients underwent an 18F-FDG PET/CT scan and genetic testing of EGFR before the treatment. In the training set, the radiomic features and clinical factors were screened out, and model-1 based on CT radiomic features, model-2 based on PET radiomic features, model-3 based on clinical factors, and model-4 based on radiomic features combined with clinical factors were established, respectively. The performance of the prediction model was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). The DeLong test was used to compare the performance of the models to screen out the optimal model, and then built the nomogram of the optimal model. The effect and clinical utility of the nomogram was verified in the validation cohort. In our analysis, model-4 was superior to the other prediction models in identifying EGFR mutations. The AUC was 0.864 (95% CI: 0.777-0.950), with a sensitivity of 0.714 and a specificity of 0.784. The nomogram of model-4 was established. In the validation cohort, the concordance index (C-index) value of the calibration curve of the nomogram model was 0.778 (95%CI: 0.585-0.970), and the nomogram had a good clinical utility. We demonstrated that the model based on 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomic features combined with clinical factors could predict EGFR mutations in lung adenocarcinoma, which was expected to be an important supplement to molecular diagnosis.