Long term survival in patients with human papillomavirus-positive oropharyngeal cancer and equivocal response on 12-week PET-CT is not compromised by the omission of neck dissection.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The aim of this study was to evaluate the long-term safety of the omission of immediate neck dissections (IND) in patients with human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) achieving a less than complete nodal response on 12-week FDG PET-CT. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Patients with HPV-positive, node-positive HNSCC that were treated with radical (chemo) radiotherapy (RT) between January 2013 and September 2019 were identified. PET-CT responses were classified as complete (CR), incomplete (ICR) or equivocal (EQR) nodal responses. Clinical outcomes were obtained. RESULTS: 347 patients were identified. Median follow-up was 43.9 (IQR, 30.8-61.2) months. 62.8% (218/347) achieved a CR, 23.4% (81/347) EQR and 13.8% (48/347) ICR nodal response. 70 of 81 (86.4%) patients with an EQR and 25 of 48 (52.1%) with an ICR had no residual disease during follow up (a pathologically negative ND if surgery undertaken or no subsequent neck or distant relapse clinically/radiologically). Median survival of the EQR and CR groups were not reached, and despite the omission of IND in 95% of the EQR group there was no statistically significant differences in overall survival (OS) between the groups, p = 1.0. Median survival of ICR was not reached. However, OS for ICR group was significantly worse than that of CR, and EQR, both p < 0.001. CONCLUSION: The omission of IND in those achieving an EQR nodal response does not compromise long-term survival. This supports the safety of extended surveillance in patients with HPV-positive disease and an EQR on 12-week FDG PET-CT.

12 week PET-CT has low positive predictive value for nodal residual disease in human papillomavirus-positive oropharyngeal cancers.

OBJECTIVES: Surveillance PET-CT scans at 12 weeks post-radiotherapy for head and neck cancer can be used to omit neck dissections with no detriment in overall survival. Human Papillomavirus (HPV) driven tumours behave differently on conventional imaging after radiotherapy but it is unknown if this effect is seen on PET-CT and if HPV status affects the accuracy of PET-CT. We aimed to determine the negative and positive predictive values (NPV and PPV) of 12 week surveillance PET-CT in HPV positive and negative tumours, and investigate predictors of relapse in equivocal responders. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study in a UK tertiary level oncology hospital, between 2013 and 2016 included adults with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma, or HPV positive head and neck squamous cell cancers of unknown primary, treated with radiotherapy. RESULTS: The PPVs of 12 week PET-CT in HPV positive and negative disease are 30% and 81.8% respectively (p < 0.01). The NPVs of 12 week PET-CT in HPV positive and negative disease are 92.9% and 55.6% respectively (p < 0.01). 67% of HPV positive patients with equivocal responses on 12 week PET-CT achieved complete response by 24 weeks. Equivocal responses in HPV positive disease had statistically similar survival to patients with complete responses. Comparing disease and imaging characteristics, there were no predictors of residual tumour. CONCLUSIONS: HPV positive tumours have a poor PPV of 30% on 12 week surveillance PET-CTs and take longer to achieve complete response. A period of further surveillance can be considered instead of an immediate neck dissection in this group of patients.