A new basic probability assignment generation and combination method for conflict data fusion in the evidence theory.

Dempster-Shafer evidence theory is an effective method to deal with information fusion. However, how to deal with the fusion paradoxes while using the Dempster's combination rule is still an open issue. To address this issue, a new basic probability assignment (BPA) generation method based on the cosine similarity and the belief entropy was proposed in this paper. Firstly, Mahalanobis distance was used to measure the similarity between the test sample and BPA of each focal element in the frame of discernment. Then, cosine similarity and belief entropy were used respectively to measure the reliability and uncertainty of each BPA to make adjustments and generate a standard BPA. Finally, Dempster's combination rule was used for the fusion of new BPAs. Numerical examples were used to prove the effectiveness of the proposed method in solving the classical fusion paradoxes. Besides, the accuracy rates of the classification experiments on datasets were also calculated to verify the rationality and efficiency of the proposed method.

Failure Mode and Effects Analysis on the Air System of an Aero Turbofan Engine Using the Gaussian Model and Evidence Theory.

Failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) is a proactive risk management approach. Risk management under uncertainty with the FMEA method has attracted a lot of attention. The Dempster-Shafer (D-S) evidence theory is a popular approximate reasoning theory for addressing uncertain information and it can be adopted in FMEA for uncertain information processing because of its flexibility and superiority in coping with uncertain and subjective assessments. The assessments coming from FMEA experts may include highly conflicting evidence for information fusion in the framework of D-S evidence theory. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an improved FMEA method based on the Gaussian model and D-S evidence theory to handle the subjective assessments of FMEA experts and apply it to deal with FMEA in the air system of an aero turbofan engine. First, we define three kinds of generalized scaling by Gaussian distribution characteristics to deal with potential highly conflicting evidence in the assessments. Then, we fuse expert assessments with the Dempster combination rule. Finally, we obtain the risk priority number to rank the risk level of the FMEA items. The experimental results show that the method is effective and reasonable in dealing with risk analysis in the air system of an aero turbofan engine.