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2.
PLoS One ; 13(4): e0191172, 2018.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29649236

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Carotid intima media thickness (CIMT) predicts cardiovascular (CVD) events, but the predictive value of CIMT change is debated. We assessed the relation between CIMT change and events in individuals at high cardiovascular risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: From 31 cohorts with two CIMT scans (total n = 89070) on average 3.6 years apart and clinical follow-up, subcohorts were drawn: (A) individuals with at least 3 cardiovascular risk factors without previous CVD events, (B) individuals with carotid plaques without previous CVD events, and (C) individuals with previous CVD events. Cox regression models were fit to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of the combined endpoint (myocardial infarction, stroke or vascular death) per standard deviation (SD) of CIMT change, adjusted for CVD risk factors. These HRs were pooled across studies. In groups A, B and C we observed 3483, 2845 and 1165 endpoint events, respectively. Average common CIMT was 0.79mm (SD 0.16mm), and annual common CIMT change was 0.01mm (SD 0.07mm), both in group A. The pooled HR per SD of annual common CIMT change (0.02 to 0.43mm) was 0.99 (95% confidence interval: 0.95-1.02) in group A, 0.98 (0.93-1.04) in group B, and 0.95 (0.89-1.04) in group C. The HR per SD of common CIMT (average of the first and the second CIMT scan, 0.09 to 0.75mm) was 1.15 (1.07-1.23) in group A, 1.13 (1.05-1.22) in group B, and 1.12 (1.05-1.20) in group C. CONCLUSIONS: We confirm that common CIMT is associated with future CVD events in individuals at high risk. CIMT change does not relate to future event risk in high-risk individuals.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Carotid Intima-Media Thickness , Intersectoral Collaboration , Aged , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis , Risk Factors
3.
Rheumatology (Oxford) ; 57(7): 1276-1281, 2018 Jul 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29660105

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The goal of the present study was to estimate the treatment costs in immune-mediated rheumatic disease patients initiating treatment with an s.c. biologic agent based on treatment persistence. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study based on the German statutory health insurance funds database. Patients ⩾18 years of age with a diagnosis of AS, PsA or RA treated with s.c. TNF-α inhibitors (TNFis) were included. Persistence was estimated as the duration of time from s.c. TNFi therapy initiation to discontinuation, which was defined as at least 60 days without therapy. We performed 1:1 matching based on a propensity score that was constructed as the conditional probability of being persistent as a function of age, gender, index year, physician specialty and Charlson comorbidity index. Finally, the cost differences between the matched pairs were estimated using the Wilcoxon test. RESULTS: After 1:1 matching, 678 persistent and 678 non-persistent patients were available for cost analyses. Using a 2-year time period, the costs for office-based visits per patient were €2319 in the persistent cohort compared with €3094 in the non-persistent cohort (P < 0.001). Co-medication costs were €2828 in the persistent cohort compared with €5498 in the non-persistent cohort, hospitalization costs were €3551 in the persistent cohort compared with €5890 in the non-persistent cohort and sick leave costs were €717 in the persistent cohort compared with €1241 in the non-persistent cohort (all P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The results of this study indicate that persistence with s.c. TNFi treatment can be associated with several cost offsets for immune-mediated rheumatic disease patients.

4.
Eur J Prev Cardiol ; 20(5): 837-43, 2013 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22617119

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To prevent strokes it is essential to correctly classify people according to their risk of stroke. The aim of the present study was to assess whether carotid ultrasound improves the stroke risk prediction in asymptomatic individuals. METHODS: The baseline visit of the Carotid Atherosclerosis Progression Study (CAPS) included assessment of conventional risk factors and carotid ultrasound. During the 10-year follow-up of 4995 subjects, strokes, transient ischaemic attacks (TIA) and deaths were recorded. We assessed the additional usefulness of carotid ultrasound compared to the Framingham Stroke Risk Score (FSRS) with reclassification statistics using four risk categories. RESULTS: Most risk models were not improved by carotid ultrasound. For individual stroke prediction, intima-media thickness (IMT) or plaque of the internal carotid arteries were more useful than common carotid or bifurcational IMT. The model predicting 'any stroke or death' was significantly improved when ultrasound parameters were included - 339 subjects (7.2%) were reclassified to another risk category (122 were shifted to a higher, 217 to a lower risk category); 182 (53.7%) were correctly reclassified. The net reclassification improvement (NRI) was 7.7% (p = 0.029) and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) was 0.73% (p = 0.023). CONCLUSIONS: When carotid ultrasound is not restricted to the common carotid artery but includes the internal carotid segments, the inclusion of ultrasound data into stroke risk models may improve the risk classification of individuals. Further validation in primary prevention cohorts is warranted.


Subject(s)
Carotid Artery Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Carotid Artery, Common/diagnostic imaging , Carotid Intima-Media Thickness , Ischemic Attack, Transient/etiology , Stroke/etiology , Adult , Carotid Artery Diseases/complications , Carotid Artery Diseases/mortality , Carotid Artery, Internal/diagnostic imaging , Discriminant Analysis , Disease Progression , Female , Humans , Ischemic Attack, Transient/mortality , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Stroke/mortality , Time Factors
5.
Lancet ; 379(9831): 2053-62, 2012 Jun 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22541275

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) is related to the risk of cardiovascular events in the general population. An association between changes in cIMT and cardiovascular risk is frequently assumed but has rarely been reported. Our aim was to test this association. METHODS: We identified general population studies that assessed cIMT at least twice and followed up participants for myocardial infarction, stroke, or death. The study teams collaborated in an individual participant data meta-analysis. Excluding individuals with previous myocardial infarction or stroke, we assessed the association between cIMT progression and the risk of cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, vascular death, or a combination of these) for each study with Cox regression. The log hazard ratios (HRs) per SD difference were pooled by random effects meta-analysis. FINDINGS: Of 21 eligible studies, 16 with 36,984 participants were included. During a mean follow-up of 7·0 years, 1519 myocardial infarctions, 1339 strokes, and 2028 combined endpoints (myocardial infarction, stroke, vascular death) occurred. Yearly cIMT progression was derived from two ultrasound visits 2-7 years (median 4 years) apart. For mean common carotid artery intima-media thickness progression, the overall HR of the combined endpoint was 0·97 (95% CI 0·94-1·00) when adjusted for age, sex, and mean common carotid artery intima-media thickness, and 0·98 (0·95-1·01) when also adjusted for vascular risk factors. Although we detected no associations with cIMT progression in sensitivity analyses, the mean cIMT of the two ultrasound scans was positively and robustly associated with cardiovascular risk (HR for the combined endpoint 1·16, 95% CI 1·10-1·22, adjusted for age, sex, mean common carotid artery intima-media thickness progression, and vascular risk factors). In three studies including 3439 participants who had four ultrasound scans, cIMT progression did not correlate between occassions (reproducibility correlations between r=-0·06 and r=-0·02). INTERPRETATION: The association between cIMT progression assessed from two ultrasound scans and cardiovascular risk in the general population remains unproven. No conclusion can be derived for the use of cIMT progression as a surrogate in clinical trials. FUNDING: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Carotid Intima-Media Thickness , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/pathology , Disease Progression , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Myocardial Infarction/diagnostic imaging , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Myocardial Infarction/pathology , Prognosis , Risk Assessment/methods , Stroke/diagnostic imaging , Stroke/epidemiology , Stroke/pathology
6.
PLoS Med ; 9(1): e1001162, 2012 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22291577

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In countries of high endemicity of the soil-transmitted helminth parasites Ascaris lumbricoides, Trichuris trichiura, and hookworm, preventive chemotherapy (i.e., repeated administration of anthelmintic drugs to at-risk populations) is the main strategy to control morbidity. However, rapid reinfection of humans occurs after successful deworming, and therefore effective preventive measures are required to achieve public health goals with optimal efficiency and sustainability. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the effect of sanitation (i.e., access and use of facilities for the safe disposal of human urine and feces) on infection with soil-transmitted helminths. PubMed, Embase, ISI Web of Science, and the World Health Organization Library Database were searched without language restrictions and year of publication (search performed until December 31, 2010). Bibliographies of identified articles were hand-searched. All types of studies reporting data on sanitation availability (i.e., having access at own household or living in close proximity to sanitation facility), or usage, and soil-transmitted helminth infections at the individual level were considered. Reported odds ratios (ORs) of the protective effect of sanitation on soil-transmitted helminth infections were extracted from the papers or calculated from reported numbers. The quality of published studies was assessed with a panel of criteria developed by the authors. Random effects meta-analyses were used to account for observed heterogeneity. Thirty-six publications, consisting of 39 datasets, met our inclusion criteria. Availability of sanitation facilities was associated with significant protection against infection with soil-transmitted helminths (OR  =  0.46 to 0.58). Regarding the use of sanitation, ORs of 0.54 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.28-1.02), 0.63 (95% CI 0.37-1.05), and 0.78 (95% CI 0.60-1.00) were determined for T. trichiura, hookworm, and A. lumbricoides, respectively. The overall ORs, combining sanitation availability and use, were 0.51 (95% CI 0.44-0.61) for the three soil-transmitted helminths combined, 0.54 (95% CI 0.43-0.69) for A. lumbricoides, 0.58 (95% CI 0.45-0.75) for T. trichiura, and 0.60 (95% CI 0.48-0.75) for hookworm. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a number of limitations (e.g., most studies used a cross-sectional design and were of low quality, with potential biases and considerable heterogeneity), our results reveal that sanitation is associated with a reduced risk of transmission of helminthiases to humans. Access to improved sanitation should be prioritized alongside preventive chemotherapy and health education to achieve a durable reduction of the burden of helminthiases.


Subject(s)
Nematoda , Nematode Infections/prevention & control , Nematode Infections/transmission , Sanitation , Soil/parasitology , Ancylostomatoidea/physiology , Animals , Ascariasis/epidemiology , Ascariasis/prevention & control , Ascariasis/transmission , Ascaris lumbricoides/physiology , Hookworm Infections/epidemiology , Hookworm Infections/prevention & control , Hookworm Infections/transmission , Humans , Nematode Infections/epidemiology , Trichuriasis/epidemiology , Trichuriasis/prevention & control , Trichuriasis/transmission , Trichuris/physiology
7.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 5(12): e1404, 2011 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22180793

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: After many years of general neglect, interest has grown and efforts came under way for the mapping, control, surveillance, and eventual elimination of neglected tropical diseases (NTDs). Disease risk estimates are a key feature to target control interventions, and serve as a benchmark for monitoring and evaluation. What is currently missing is a georeferenced global database for NTDs providing open-access to the available survey data that is constantly updated and can be utilized by researchers and disease control managers to support other relevant stakeholders. We describe the steps taken toward the development of such a database that can be employed for spatial disease risk modeling and control of NTDs. METHODOLOGY: With an emphasis on schistosomiasis in Africa, we systematically searched the literature (peer-reviewed journals and 'grey literature'), contacted Ministries of Health and research institutions in schistosomiasis-endemic countries for location-specific prevalence data and survey details (e.g., study population, year of survey and diagnostic techniques). The data were extracted, georeferenced, and stored in a MySQL database with a web interface allowing free database access and data management. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: At the beginning of 2011, our database contained more than 12,000 georeferenced schistosomiasis survey locations from 35 African countries available under http://www.gntd.org. Currently, the database is expanded to a global repository, including a host of other NTDs, e.g. soil-transmitted helminthiasis and leishmaniasis. CONCLUSIONS: An open-access, spatially explicit NTD database offers unique opportunities for disease risk modeling, targeting control interventions, disease monitoring, and surveillance. Moreover, it allows for detailed geostatistical analyses of disease distribution in space and time. With an initial focus on schistosomiasis in Africa, we demonstrate the proof-of-concept that the establishment and running of a global NTD database is feasible and should be expanded without delay.


Subject(s)
Database Management Systems , Databases, Factual , Neglected Diseases/epidemiology , Schistosomiasis/epidemiology , Tropical Climate , Adolescent , Adult , Africa/epidemiology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Child , Child, Preschool , Global Health , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Internet , Middle Aged , Prevalence
8.
Parasit Vectors ; 3: 61, 2010 Jul 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20650011

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Expert opinion-derived disability weights are widely employed for estimating the global burden of diseases and injuries. For chronic diseases such as soil-transmitted helminthiasis and schistosomiasis, it has been suggested that a patient-based quality of life (QoL) approach should be considered for a more accurate appraisal of disability weights. METHODS AND RESULTS: We carried out a cross-sectional survey and assessed the prevalence and intensity of soil-transmitted helminth infections as well as self-rated QoL indicators among 252 students attending grades 5-8 in two schools (Bulangshan and Pu'er) in Yunnan province, People's Republic of China. Each student provided a single stool sample, which was subjected to duplicate Kato-Katz thick smear readings and a single FLOTAC examination for parasitological diagnosis. Prevalence rates for hookworm, Trichuris trichiura and Ascaris lumbricoides were high in Bulangshan (75.9%, 70.0% and 68.2%), while the respective prevalence rates in Pu'er were 66.9%, 56.5% and 9.2%. Students were interviewed with two standardised questionnaires, the EuroQoL-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) and ShortForm-12 (SF-12) Health Survey. Impairment in any of the five dimensions of the EQ-5D was reported by 87% of the students. However, no clear differences could be observed between individuals with and those without helminth infections, and there were discrepancies between the two schools. A multivariate logistic regression model revealed no differences between students with varying infection status in the domains of the SF-12 (odds ratio close to 1.0). Somewhat more pronounced, yet not statistically significant differences were observed when end-of-school-term marks were compared with students' helminth infection status: infected individuals had lower marks in Chinese, English and mathematics, but not in sports, compared to their helminth-free counterparts. CONCLUSIONS: Our results point to unresolved issues and challenges regarding the cultural appropriateness of the widely used standard QoL questionnaires. Hence, new research is needed to further develop these instruments and to validate them in connection with chronic parasitic diseases.

9.
Parasitol Int ; 59(3): 331-7, 2010 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20434585

ABSTRACT

Few outbreaks of the desert sub-type of zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis (VL) have been described worldwide. In 2008, the incidence rate of VL in Jiashi County, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region in the western part of the People's Republic of China, increased more than twenty-folds compared to the average annual incidence rate. The majority of the cases (96.6%) occurred among <2 year-old infants. For the first time in the desert area of Xinjiang, the parasites were isolated from bone marrow aspirates, using the NNN medium culture approach. The genetic analysis of the ITS-1 nucleotide sequence indicated that three isolates from eastern Jiashi County were genetically closely related and belonged to the Leishmaniainfantum group. However, they differed from an isolate from Kashi city which was classified as a member of the Leishmaniadonovani group.


Subject(s)
Desert Climate , Disease Outbreaks , Leishmania donovani/isolation & purification , Leishmania infantum/isolation & purification , Leishmaniasis, Visceral/epidemiology , Zoonoses/epidemiology , Animals , Child, Preschool , China/epidemiology , DNA, Ribosomal Spacer/analysis , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Leishmania donovani/classification , Leishmania donovani/genetics , Leishmania infantum/classification , Leishmania infantum/genetics , Leishmaniasis, Visceral/parasitology , Male , Molecular Sequence Data , Sequence Analysis, DNA , Zoonoses/parasitology
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