ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Screening of high-risk patients is advocated to achieve early detection and treatment of clinical atrial fibrillation (AF). The Dutch-GERAF study will address two major issues. Firstly, the effectiveness and feasibility of an opportunistic screening strategy for clinical AF will be assessed in frail older patients and, secondly, observational data will be gathered regarding the efficacy and safety of oral anticoagulation (OAC). METHODS: This is a multicentre study on opportunistic screening of geriatric patients for clinical AF using a smartphone photoplethysmography (PPG) application. Inclusion criteria are age ≥â¯65 years and the ability to perform at least three PPG recordings within 6 months. Exclusion criteria are the presence of a cardiac implantable device, advanced dementia or a severe tremor. The PPG application records patients' pulse at their fingertip and determines the likelihood of clinical AF. If clinical AF is suspected after a positive PPG recording, a confirmatory electrocardiogram is performed. Patients undergo a comprehensive geriatric assessment and a frailty index is calculated. Risk scores for major bleeding (MB) are applied. Standard laboratory testing and additional laboratory analyses are performed to determine the ABC-bleeding risk score. Follow-up data will be collected at 6 months, 12 months and 3 years on the incidence of AF, MB, hospitalisation, stroke, progression of cognitive disorders and mortality. DISCUSSION: The Dutch-GERAF study will focus on frail older patients, who are underrepresented in randomised clinical trials. It will provide insight into the effectiveness of screening for clinical AF and the efficacy and safety of OAC in this high-risk population. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT05337202.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Particularly in frail patients, anticoagulation may be underused because of the fear of bleeding. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the use of antithrombotic medication is an independent risk factor for mortality in frail elderly with repeated falls. METHODS: All patients aged 65 years or older at the Fall and Syncope Clinic were eligible. Frailty was calculated with a Frailty Index (FI) based on the accumulation of deficits model. Risks were calculated with a cox regression analysis, adjusted for age, sex, and Frailty Index. RESULTS: 663 patients were included in this analysis. The median age was 80 years, 438 were women (66%), 73% had polypharmacy, and 380 patients (57%) had cognitive impairment. The mean FI was 0.23 (sd 0.09), 182 patients were moderately frail (27.5%), and 259 (39.1%) were severely frail. A total of 140 (21%) used oral anticoagulation and 223 (34%) used antiplatelet agents. A total of 196 patients (29.6%) died during follow-up. In the adjusted cox regression model, the use of neither antiplatelets nor anticoagulation was associated with mortality. A strong association was found with frailty (HR 74.0, 95% CI 13.1-417.3) and a weak association with age (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.08). A lower risk of mortality was seen in women (HR 0.5, 95% CI 0.3-0.6). CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of frail older patients, there was no independent association between the use of antithrombotic medication and mortality. A strong association with mortality was found with frailty, a weak association was found with age, and a lower mortality risk was found in women. Our data indicate that the fear of bleeding or increased mortality in frail patients with an indication for oral anticoagulation may be unjustified.
ABSTRACT
AIMS: Screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) is recommended by the European Society of Cardiology guidelines to prevent strokes. Cost-effectiveness analyses of different screening programmes for AF are difficult to compare because of varying settings and models used. We compared the impact and cost-effectiveness of various AF screening programmes in the Netherlands. METHODS AND RESULTS: The base case economic analysis was conducted from the societal perspective. Health effects and costs were analysed using a Markov model. The main model inputs were derived from the ARISTOTLE, RE-LY, and ROCKET AF trials combined with Dutch observational data. Univariate, probabilistic sensitivity, and various scenario analyses were performed. The maximum number of newly detected AF patients in the Netherlands ranged from 4554 to 39 270, depending on the screening strategy used. Adequate treatment with anticoagulation would result in a maximum of >3000 strokes prevented using single-time point AF screening. Compared with no screening, screening 100 000 people provided a gain in QALYs ranging from 984 to 8727 and a mean cost difference ranging from -6650 000 to 898 000, depending on the screening strategy used. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) demonstrated a 100% likelihood that screening all patients ≥75 years visiting the geriatric outpatient clinic was cost-saving. Four out of six strategies were cost-saving in ≥74% of the PSA simulations. Out of these, opportunistic screening of all patients ≥65 years visiting the GPs office had the highest impact on strokes prevented. CONCLUSION: Most single-time point AF screening strategies are cost-saving and have an important impact on stroke prevention.
