Spatiotemporal spread of tick-borne encephalitis in the EU/EEA, 2012 to 2020.

BackgroundTick-borne encephalitis (TBE) is a vaccine-preventable disease involving the central nervous system. TBE became a notifiable disease on the EU/EEA level in 2012.AimWe aimed to provide an updated epidemiological assessment of TBE in the EU/EEA, focusing on spatiotemporal changes.MethodsWe performed a descriptive analysis of case characteristics, time and location using data of human TBE cases reported by EU/EEA countries to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control with disease onset in 2012-2020. We analysed data at EU/EEA, national, and subnational levels and calculated notification rates using Eurostat population data. Regression models were used for temporal analysis.ResultsFrom 2012 to 2020, 19 countries reported 29,974 TBE cases, of which 24,629 (98.6%) were autochthonous. Czechia, Germany and Lithuania reported 52.9% of all cases. The highest notification rates were recorded in Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia (16.2, 9.5 and 7.5 cases/100,000 population, respectively). Fifty regions from 10 countries, had a notification rate ≥ 5/100,000. There was an increasing trend in number of cases during the study period with an estimated 0.053 additional TBE cases every week. In 2020, 11.5% more TBE cases were reported than predicted based on data from 2016 to 2019. A geographical spread of cases was observed, particularly in regions situated north-west of known endemic regions.ConclusionA close monitoring of ongoing changes to the TBE epidemiological situation in Europe can support the timely adaption of vaccination recommendations. Further analyses to identify populations and geographical areas where vaccination programmes can be of benefit are needed.

Detection and characterization of tick-borne encephalitis virus in Baltic countries and eastern Poland.

Ticks were collected from the vegetation in the Baltic countries Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and eastern Poland and analyzed for the presence of tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV) by amplification of the partial E and NS3 genes. In Estonia we found statistically significant differences in the TBEV prevalence between I. persulcatus and I. ricinus ticks (4.23% and 0.42%, respectively). In Latvia, the difference in TBEV prevalence between the two species was not statistically significant (1.02% for I. persulcatus and 1.51% for I. ricinus, respectively). In Lithuania and Poland TBEV was detected in 0.24% and 0.11% of I. ricinus ticks, respectively. Genetic characterization of the partial E and NS3 sequences demonstrated that the TBEV strains belonged to the European subtype in all countries, as well as to the Siberian subtype in Estonia. We also found that in areas where ranges of two tick species overlap, the TBEV subtypes may be detected not only in their natural vector, but also in sympatric tick species.

Variable spikes in tick-borne encephalitis incidence in 2006 independent of variable tick abundance but related to weather.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of tick-borne encephalitis showed a dramatic spike in several countries in Europe in 2006, a year that was unusually cold in winter but unusually warm and dry in summer and autumn. In this study we examine the possible causes of the sudden increase in disease: more abundant infected ticks and/or increased exposure due to human behaviour, both in response to the weather. METHODS: For eight countries across Europe, field data on tick abundance for 2005-2007, collected monthly from a total of 41 sites, were analysed in relation to total annual and seasonal TBE incidence and temperature and rainfall conditions. RESULTS: The weather in 2006-2007 was exceptional compared with the previous two decades, but neither the very cold start to 2006, nor the very hot period from summer 2006 to late spring 2007 had any consistent impact on tick abundance. Nor was the TBE spike in 2006 related to changes in tick abundance. Countries varied in the degree of TBE spike despite similar weather patterns, and also in the degree to which seasonal variation in TBE incidence matched seasonal tick activity. CONCLUSION: The data suggest that the TBE spike was not due to weather-induced variation in tick population dynamics. An alternative explanation, supported by qualitative reports and some data, involves human behavioural responses to weather favourable for outdoor recreational activities, including wild mushroom and berry harvest, differentially influenced by national cultural practices and economic constraints.

Tick-borne encephalitis virus infections in Lithuanian domestic animals and ticks.

In order to obtain information about the distribution of tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV) in Lithuania, sera of domestic animals were screened for TBEV antibodies by haemagglutination inhibition test. Samples were collected in 2001 from 423 cows, 561 goats and 118 sheep during a prophylactic examination or vaccination by a local veterinary specialist. In addition, a total of 3234 Ixodes ricinus ticks in 436 pools were collected and tested by RT-PCR for the presence of TBEV RNA (detailed analysis with genetic characterization is published separately [Han et al, J Med Virol 2005 (in press)]). Domestic animal sera from 8/18 districts were positive with an overall seropositivity of 1.7% with considerable regional differences. Sheep from the Radviliskis region had the highest seropositivity rate (16%). In comparison, the proportion of tick pools positive for TBEV-RNA was 1.38%, ranging from 1.03% in Panavezys, 3.33% in Siauliai to 16% in Radviliskis.

Molecular epidemiology of tick-borne encephalitis virus in Ixodes ricinus ticks in Lithuania.

In Lithuania, 171-645 serologically confirmed cases of tick-borne encephalitis occurred annually [Mickiene et al. (2001): Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis 20:886-888] in 1993-1999, and the tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV) seroprevalence in the general population was found previously to be 3.0% [Juceviciene et al. (2002): J Clin Virol 25:23-27]. To assess the risk for TBEV virus infection in Lithuania and to characterize the agent a panel of 3,234 ticks combined into 436 pools [Juceviciene et al., 2005] were tested for presence of TBEV RNA by a nested RT-PCR targeting at the NS5 gene. Six pools were confirmed positive and the prevalence of the infected ticks was 0.2% (if one tick per pool [Juceviciene et al., 2005] was considered positive) and the proportion of positive tick pools was 1.4%. The prevalence of the infected ticks in the Panevezys, Siauliai, and Radviliskis regions (in central Lithuania) was 0.1%, 0.4%, and 1.7% corresponding with a higher TBE disease burden in these regions. The 252-nucleotide NS5-region amplicons, and a longer sequence (737 nucleotides) obtained from one sample from the PrM-E gene region, were sequenced. Phylogenetic analysis of the latter showed that all western type TBEV PrM-E sequences, including the Lithuanian strains, were monophyletic, showed no clustering and had very little variation. The NS5 sequences, although identical within one locality, did not show any mutations common to strains from the two Lithuanian regions, nor could any geographical clustering be found among western type TBEV strains from other areas.