Space-time dispersion of dengue occurrence in epidemic and non-epidemic years in a municipality in the metropolitan region of Belo Horizonte, MG, 2011 to 2017.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the transmission dynamics of dengue, a public health problem in Brazil and the Metropolitan Region of Belo Horizonte (MRBH). METHODS: The spatiotemporal evolution of the occurrence of dengue in the municipality of Contagem, state of Minas Gerais, a region with high arbovirus transmission, was analyzed. Furthermore, epidemic and non-epidemic periods were analyzed, based on probable cases of dengue. This is an ecological study that used the Notifiable Diseases Information System (SINAN) national database. The analyses were carried out considering the period from epidemiological week (EW) 40 of 2011 to 39 of 2017. Spatial analysis tools (crude and smoothed incidence rate, directional distribution ellipse, global Moran index and local Moran index, and spatial scanning time with definition of epidemiological risk) were used. RESULTS: The 2012 to 2013 and 2015 to 2016 epidemic cycles presented high incidence rates. The disease was concentrated in more urbanized areas, with a small increase in cases throughout the municipality. Seven statistically significant local clusters and areas with a high rate of cases and accentuated transmission in epidemic cycles were observed throughout the municipality. Spatial autocorrelation of the incidence rate was observed in all periods. CONCLUSION: The results of the present study highlight a significant and heterogeneous increase in dengue notifications in Contagem over the years, revealing distinct spatial patterns during epidemic and non-epidemic periods. Geoprocessing analysis identified high-risk areas, a piece of knowledge that can optimize the allocation of resources in the prevention and treatment of the disease for that municipality.

Space-time dispersion of dengue occurrence in epidemic and non-epidemic years in a municipality in the metropolitan region of Belo Horizonte, MG, 2011 to 2017 / Dispersão espaçotemporal da ocorrência de dengue em anos epidêmicos e não epidêmicos em município da região metropolitana de Belo Horizonte, MG, 2011 a 2017

ABSTRACT Objective: To analyze the transmission dynamics of dengue, a public health problem in Brazil and the Metropolitan Region of Belo Horizonte (MRBH). Methods: The spatiotemporal evolution of the occurrence of dengue in the municipality of Contagem, state of Minas Gerais, a region with high arbovirus transmission, was analyzed. Furthermore, epidemic and non-epidemic periods were analyzed, based on probable cases of dengue. This is an ecological study that used the Notifiable Diseases Information System (SINAN) national database. The analyses were carried out considering the period from epidemiological week (EW) 40 of 2011 to 39 of 2017. Spatial analysis tools (crude and smoothed incidence rate, directional distribution ellipse, global Moran index and local Moran index, and spatial scanning time with definition of epidemiological risk) were used. Results: The 2012 to 2013 and 2015 to 2016 epidemic cycles presented high incidence rates. The disease was concentrated in more urbanized areas, with a small increase in cases throughout the municipality. Seven statistically significant local clusters and areas with a high rate of cases and accentuated transmission in epidemic cycles were observed throughout the municipality. Spatial autocorrelation of the incidence rate was observed in all periods. Conclusion: The results of the present study highlight a significant and heterogeneous increase in dengue notifications in Contagem over the years, revealing distinct spatial patterns during epidemic and non-epidemic periods. Geoprocessing analysis identified high-risk areas, a piece of knowledge that can optimize the allocation of resources in the prevention and treatment of the disease for that municipality.

RESUMO Objetivo: Analisar a dinâmica de transmissão da dengue, problema de saúde pública no Brasil e Região Metropolitana de Belo Horizonte (RMBH). Métodos: Foi analisada a evolução espaçotemporal da ocorrência de dengue no município de Contagem, estado de Minas Gerais, região de alta transmissão da arbovirose. Ainda, foram analisados períodos epidêmicos e não epidêmicos, com base em casos prováveis de dengue. Trata-se de um estudo ecológico que utilizou o banco de dados nacional do Sistema de Informação de Agravos de Notificação (SINAN). As análises foram realizadas considerando-se o período compreendido da semana epidemiológica 40 de 2011 a 39 de 2017. Ferramentas de análise espacial (taxa de incidência bruta e suavizada, elipse de distribuição direcional, índice de Moran global e índice de Moran local, e varredura espaçotemporal com definição do risco epidemiológico) foram utilizadas. Resultados: Os ciclos epidêmicos 2012 a 2013 e 2015 a 2016 apresentaram altas taxas de incidência. A doença concentrou-se em áreas mais urbanizadas, com pequena expansão de casos por todo o município. Foram observados sete aglomerados locais estatisticamente significativos e áreas com alta taxa de casos e transmissão acentuada em ciclos epidêmicos em todo o município. A autocorrelação espacial da taxa de incidência foi observada em todos os períodos. Conclusão: Os resultados do presente estudo destacam um aumento significativo e heterogêneo nas notificações de dengue em Contagem ao longo dos anos, revelando padrões espaciais distintos durante períodos epidêmicos e não epidêmicos. A análise de geoprocessamento identificou áreas de alto risco, conhecimento este que pode otimizar a alocação de recursos na prevenção e tratamento da doença para o referido município.

Factors associated with the occurrence of dengue epidemics in Brazil: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: To identify and describe broadly the factors related to the occurrence of dengue epidemics in Brazil. METHODS: Systematic review of studies published in Medline, Lilacs, PubMed, Cochrane, BVS, Web of Science, Scopus, and thesis and dissertations databases using descriptors cataloged in DeCs and MeSH on dengue and factors associated with the occurrence of epidemics, published from 2008 to 2018. RESULTS: Thirty-five studies carried out in the country were selected. The epidemics recorded in Brazil were associated and/or correlated with multiple factors such as environment, socioeconomic conditions, climate, and aspects related to the vector, among others. CONCLUSIONS: Dengue epidemics are complex and multifactorial. The continuity of the vector control actions was found to be relevant to the reduction of Aedes aegypti and for disease control. To contain the spread of the disease, effective measures are needed in all sectors, including health, education, economy, population, business, and government. Actions for the early detection of cases of the disease can prevent new outbreaks of epidemics.

Factors associated with the occurrence of dengue epidemics in Brazil: a systematic review

[ABSTRACT]. Objective. To identify and describe broadly the factors related to the occurrence of dengue epidemics in Brazil.Methods. Systematic review of studies published in Medline, Lilacs, PubMed, Cochrane, BVS, Web of Sci-ence, Scopus, and thesis and dissertations databases using descriptors cataloged in DeCs and MeSH on dengue and factors associated with the occurrence of epidemics, published from 2008 to 2018.Results. Thirty-five studies carried out in the country were selected. The epidemics recorded in Brazil were associated and/or correlated with multiple factors such as environment, socioeconomic conditions, climate, and aspects related to the vector, among others.Conclusions. Dengue epidemics are complex and multifactorial. The continuity of the vector control actions was found to be relevant to the reduction of Aedes aegypti and for disease control. To contain the spread of the disease, effective measures are needed in all sectors, including health, education, economy, population, business, and government. Actions for the early detection of cases of the disease can prevent new outbreaks of epidemics.

[RESUMEN]. Objetivo. Determinar y describir de manera amplia los factores relacionados con la aparición de epidemias de dengue en Brasil.Métodos. Se llevó a cabo una revisión sistemática de los estudios publicados en MEDLINE, LILACS, PubMed, Cochrane, BVS, Web of Science, Scopus y en bases de datos de tesis y trabajos de final de grado con los descriptores catalogados en DeCS y MeSH sobre dengue y factores asociados con la aparición de epidemias publicados entre 2008 y 2018.Resultados. Se seleccionaron 35 estudios llevados a cabo en Brasil. Las epidemias registradas en el país se asociaron o se relacionaron con diversos factores, como el medioambiente, las condiciones socioeconómi-cas, el clima y aspectos relacionados con el vector, entre otros.Conclusiones. Las epidemias de dengue son complejas y multifactoriales. Se constató que la continuidad de las medidas de control de vectores es pertinente para la reducción de Aedes aegypti, así como para el control de la enfermedad. Para contener la propagación de la enfermedad son necesarias medidas eficaces en todos los sectores, como la salud, la educación, la economía, la población, las empresas y el gobierno. Las medidas de detección temprana de casos de la enfermedad pueden prevenir nuevos brotes de epidemias.

[RESUMO]. Objetivo. Identificar e descrever, de forma geral, os fatores relacionados à ocorrência de epidemias de den-gue no Brasil.Métodos. Revisão sistemática de estudos publicados entre 2008 e 2018 nas bases de dados MEDLINE, LILACS, PubMed, Cochrane, BVS, Web of Science e Scopus e em bancos de teses e dissertações, com o uso de descritores de dengue e de fatores associados à ocorrência de epidemias catalogados no portal DeCS/MeSH.Resultados. Trinta e cinco estudos realizados no Brasil foram selecionados. As epidemias registradas no país foram associadas e/ou correlacionadas a vários fatores como meio ambiente, condições socioeconômicas e climáticas, e aspectos relacionados ao vetor, entre outros.Conclusões. As epidemias de dengue são complexas e multifatoriais. Observou-se que ações contínuas de controle vetorial são essenciais para a redução da população de Aedes aegypti e o controle da doença. Para conter a propagação da dengue são necessárias medidas multissetoriais eficazes, abrangendo saúde, educação, economia, população, negócios e governo. As ações visando à detecção precoce de casos da doença contribuem para prevenir novos surtos epidêmicos.

Factors associated with the occurrence of dengue epidemics in Brazil: a systematic review / Factores asociados a la aparición de epidemias de dengue en Brasil: revisión sistemática / Fatores associados à ocorrência de epidemias de dengue no Brasil: uma revisão sistemática

ABSTRACT Objective. To identify and describe broadly the factors related to the occurrence of dengue epidemics in Brazil. Methods. Systematic review of studies published in Medline, Lilacs, PubMed, Cochrane, BVS, Web of Science, Scopus, and thesis and dissertations databases using descriptors cataloged in DeCs and MeSH on dengue and factors associated with the occurrence of epidemics, published from 2008 to 2018. Results. Thirty-five studies carried out in the country were selected. The epidemics recorded in Brazil were associated and/or correlated with multiple factors such as environment, socioeconomic conditions, climate, and aspects related to the vector, among others. Conclusions. Dengue epidemics are complex and multifactorial. The continuity of the vector control actions was found to be relevant to the reduction of Aedes aegypti and for disease control. To contain the spread of the disease, effective measures are needed in all sectors, including health, education, economy, population, business, and government. Actions for the early detection of cases of the disease can prevent new outbreaks of epidemics.

RESUMEN Objetivo. Determinar y describir de manera amplia los factores relacionados con la aparición de epidemias de dengue en Brasil. Métodos. Se llevó a cabo una revisión sistemática de los estudios publicados en MEDLINE, LILACS, PubMed, Cochrane, BVS, Web of Science, Scopus y en bases de datos de tesis y trabajos de final de grado con los descriptores catalogados en DeCS y MeSH sobre dengue y factores asociados con la aparición de epidemias publicados entre 2008 y 2018. Resultados. Se seleccionaron 35 estudios llevados a cabo en Brasil. Las epidemias registradas en el país se asociaron o se relacionaron con diversos factores, como el medioambiente, las condiciones socioeconómicas, el clima y aspectos relacionados con el vector, entre otros. Conclusiones. Las epidemias de dengue son complejas y multifactoriales. Se constató que la continuidad de las medidas de control de vectores es pertinente para la reducción de Aedes aegypti, así como para el control de la enfermedad. Para contener la propagación de la enfermedad son necesarias medidas eficaces en todos los sectores, como la salud, la educación, la economía, la población, las empresas y el gobierno. Las medidas de detección temprana de casos de la enfermedad pueden prevenir nuevos brotes de epidemias.

RESUMO Objetivo. Identificar e descrever, de forma geral, os fatores relacionados à ocorrência de epidemias de dengue no Brasil. Métodos. Revisão sistemática de estudos publicados entre 2008 e 2018 nas bases de dados MEDLINE, LILACS, PubMed, Cochrane, BVS, Web of Science e Scopus e em bancos de teses e dissertações, com o uso de descritores de dengue e de fatores associados à ocorrência de epidemias catalogados no portal DeCS/MeSH. Resultados. Trinta e cinco estudos realizados no Brasil foram selecionados. As epidemias registradas no país foram associadas e/ou correlacionadas a vários fatores como meio ambiente, condições socioeconômicas e climáticas, e aspectos relacionados ao vetor, entre outros. Conclusões. As epidemias de dengue são complexas e multifatoriais. Observou-se que ações contínuas de controle vetorial são essenciais para a redução da população de Aedes aegypti e o controle da doença. Para conter a propagação da dengue são necessárias medidas multissetoriais eficazes, abrangendo saúde, educação, economia, população, negócios e governo. As ações visando à detecção precoce de casos da doença contribuem para prevenir novos surtos epidêmicos.