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1.
S Afr J Surg ; 62(1): 43-47, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38568125

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Oesophageal atresia (OA) is one of the most common congenital gastrointestinal (GI) abnormalities. Due to advances in multidisciplinary care, early prognosis has improved with emphasis shifting to the long-term impact of this disease. Literature suggests a higher incidence of Barrett's and eosinophilic oesophagitis in these children, with an increased risk of oesophageal carcinoma. Guidelines for adults born with OA include routine endoscopy and lifelong screening of the upper gastrointestinal tract (GIT). Despite this, uncertainty remains regarding the necessity and frequency of endoscopic surveillance for children born with OA. We describe our endoscopic findings in children born with OA. METHODS: A prospective analytic cohort study was undertaken, which included all children born with OA, that were followed-up in our unit between 2020 and 2022. History regarding feeding and GI symptoms were documented after which an endoscopy was performed. RESULTS: During the study period, 37 endoscopies were performed in patients born with OA at a median age of 25 months. The most common clinical appearance on endoscopy was anastomotic strictures followed by oesophagitis. Twelve patients had biopsies taken, with abnormal histology in all but one patient. The most common histological finding was oesophagitis with lymphocytes and chronic gastritis. Two patients had Helicobacter Pylori infection, and one had findings suggestive of eosinophilic oesophagitis. CONCLUSION: All patients with a clinical indication for an endoscopy had abnormal clinical or histological findings, thus concurring with the literature in highlighting the need for regular endoscopy. We recommend regular clinical follow-up and endoscopic surveillance if clinically indicated for children born with OA.


Subject(s)
Eosinophilic Esophagitis , Esophageal Atresia , Helicobacter Infections , Helicobacter pylori , Adult , Child , Humans , Child, Preschool , Esophageal Atresia/epidemiology , Esophageal Atresia/surgery , South Africa/epidemiology , Cohort Studies , Prospective Studies
2.
Dis Esophagus ; 2024 Mar 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38476012

ABSTRACT

As neonatal mortality rates have decreased in esophageal atresia (EA), there is a growing focus on quality of life (QoL) in these children. No study from Africa has reported on this topic. This pilot study aimed to describe disease-specific QoL in EA children and its applicability as part of long-term follow-up in an academic facility in South Africa. Disease-specific QoL in children born with EA was assessed utilizing the EA-QoL questionnaire for children aged 2-17 years during a patient-encounter. The parent-report for children aged 2-7 years compromised 17 items categorized into three domains: eating, physical health and treatment, and social isolation/stress. The 24-item EA-QL questionnaire for children aged 8-18 (child- and parent-report) explored four domains: eating, body perception, social relationships, and health and well-being. A total of 13 questionnaires for children aged 2-7 years were completed by five parents. A negative perceived impact on their child's eating was reported by 46-92% of parents, and less impact in the other two domains. A total of 27 questionnaires were completed by eight children aged 8-17 years and 10 parents. Similar percentages children and parents reported a negative impact in the eating, social relationships, and body perception domains. More than half reported a negative impact on the child's health and well-being. This study supports the concept that assessment of disease-specific QoL should play a vital role in the comprehensive follow-up approach for children born with EA. We identified that parents of younger children were more likely to report eating disorders, whereas parents of older children were more likely to report health difficulties with different perceptions when it came to the child's scar.

3.
S Afr J Surg ; 60(1): 10-15, 2022 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35451263

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The study aimed to compare the outcomes of paediatric laparoscopic appendectomy (LA) with open appendectomy (OA) for complicated appendicitis (CA). All trainees could perform OA without supervision. METHODS: This is a single-centre, retrospective, non-randomised review of children 4-12 years of age, who had either an OA or LA for CA. The data was collected from August 2012 to June 2016. Nineteen surgical trainees were initially supervised by a consultant until deemed able to perform LA safely. The on-call surgeon decided on operative approach. Intra- and postoperative complications were analysed. Primary endpoint was comparison of infection rates between groups, simultaneous differences between the two procedures performed by surgical trainees and consultants were evaluated. RESULTS: One hundred and fifty-five patients had appendicectomy for CA during the study period. Fourteen patients with incomplete information were excluded. Ninety had OAs and 51 LAs. Both groups were well matched demographically. Postoperative infective complications occurred in 13/51 (25.5%) of the LAs, and in 23/90 (25.6%) of the OA (p = 0.159). Fourteen trainees performed 27 LAs without consultant supervision by the conclusion of the study. The mean duration of LA surgery for surgical trainees was 110.35 minutes (IQR 22.5) and for consultants 93.87 minutes (IQR 35, p = 0.497). CONCLUSION: There is no difference in intra- and postoperative complications between LA and OA for CA. Duration of surgery between surgical trainees and consultants were comparable. This indicates that surgical trainees acquire LA skill over a short period of time and that LA as a laparoscopic teaching procedure merits consideration.


Subject(s)
Appendicitis , Laparoscopy , Appendectomy/adverse effects , Appendectomy/methods , Appendicitis/complications , Appendicitis/surgery , Child , Humans , Laparoscopy/adverse effects , Length of Stay , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome
4.
Pharmacoecon Open ; 6(2): 293-302, 2022 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34782984

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Treatment-resistant depression (TRD), a subgroup of major depressive disorder (MDD) that does not adequately respond to treatment, has a substantial impact on the quality of life of patients and is associated with higher medical and mental health care costs. This study aimed to report real-world treatment patterns, outcomes, resource utilization, and costs in the management of TRD by psychiatrists in Belgium. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, non-interventional cohort study of patients ≥ 18 years, with diagnosed MDD who are treatment-resistant, defined as not responding to two different antidepressant treatments in the current moderate to severe major depressive episode (MDE). Data obtained from medical records of patients included patient health state (MDE, response, remission, and recovery) and resource use (number of consultations and emergency room visits, non-drug and drug interventions, and hospitalizations). RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-five patients were enrolled in nine sites, with an average observation period of 34 months. During the MDE, 89.7% of patients were treated with selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, 63.2% with serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors, and 60.8% with anti-psychotics. Twenty-four percent of patients did not respond to any treatment; 76% responded, of whom 61% experienced a relapse; 28% of patients reached recovery, of whom 31.4% experienced recurrence. The average yearly direct cost of a TRD patient is €9012, mainly driven by hospitalization in the MDE. The observed absenteeism relates to a high indirect cost, representing 70% of the total MDE cost. CONCLUSION: TRD is associated with a high unmet need and economic burden for patients and society, with highest costs in the MDE health state driven by absenteeism.

5.
J Breath Res ; 15(2)2021 01 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33271513

ABSTRACT

In the present study we investigated whether multiple sclerosis (MS) can be detected via exhaled breath analysis using an electronic nose (eNose). The AeonoseTM(an eNose, The eNose Company, Zutphen, the Netherlands) is a diagnostic test device to detect patterns of volatile organic compounds in exhaled breath. We evaluated whether the AeonoseTMcan make a distinction between the breath patterns of patients with MS and healthy control subjects. In this mono-center, prospective, non-invasive study, 124 subjects with a confirmed diagnosis of MS and 129 control subjects each breathed into the AeonoseTMfor 5 min. Exhaled breath data was used to train an artificial neural network (ANN) predictive model. To investigate the influence of medication intake we created a second predictive model with a subgroup of MS patients without medication prescribed for MS. The ANN model based on the entire dataset was able to distinguish MS patients from healthy controls with a sensitivity of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.66-0.82) and specificity of 0.60 (0.51-0.69). The model created with the subgroup of MS patients not using medication and the healthy control subjects had a sensitivity of 0.93 (0.82-0.98) and a specificity of 0.74 (0.65-0.81). The study showed that the AeonoseTMis able to make a distinction between MS patients and healthy control subjects, and could potentially provide a quick screening test to assist in diagnosing MS. Further research is needed to determine whether the AeonoseTMis able to differentiate new MS patients from subjects who will not get the diagnosis.


Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis , Volatile Organic Compounds , Breath Tests , Electronic Nose , Humans , Pilot Projects , Prospective Studies
6.
Neth Heart J ; 27(10): 487-497, 2019 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30953281

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Healthy atrial fibrillation (AF) patients will eventually outgrow their low thromboembolic risk. The purpose of this study is to compare the development of cardiovascular disease in healthy AF patients as compared to healthy sinus rhythm patients and to assess appropriate anticoagulation treatment. METHODS: Forty-one idiopathic paroxysmal AF patients (56 ± 10 years, 66% male) were compared with 45 healthy sinus rhythm patients. Patients were free of hypertension, antihypertensive and antiarrhythmic drugs, diabetes, congestive heart failure, coronary artery or peripheral vascular disease, previous stroke, thyroid, pulmonary and renal disease, and structural abnormalities on echocardiography. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics and echocardiographic parameters were the same in both groups. During 10.7 ± 1.6 years, cardiovascular disease and all-cause death developed significantly more often in AF patients as compared to controls (63% vs 31%, log rank p < 0.001). Even after the initial 5 years of follow-up, survival curves show divergent patterns (log rank p = 0.006). Mean duration to reach a CHA2DS2-VASc score > 1 among AF patients was 5.1 ± 3.0 years. Five of 24 (21%) patients with CHA2DS2-VASc > 1 did not receive oral anticoagulation therapy at follow-up. Mean duration of over- or undertreatment with oral anticoagulation in patients with CHA2DS2-VASc > 1 was 5 ± 3.0 years. CONCLUSION: The majority of recently diagnosed healthy AF patients develop cardiovascular diseases with a consequent change in thromboembolic risk profile within a short time frame. A comprehensive follow-up of this patient category is necessary to avoid over- and undertreatment with anticoagulants.

7.
EFSA J ; 17(Suppl 2): e170916, 2019 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32626474

ABSTRACT

This Technical Report describes the activities developed in the scope of the EU-FORA Fellowship, within the work programme of risk assessment (RA) of exotic disease incursion and spread, developed at Wageningen Bioveterinary Research (WBVR). The programme focused on the work carried out in the Generic risk assessment for introduction of animal diseases (G-RAID) project, which brings together a number of different generic RA tools from multiple European partners. The aim of the fellowship was to gain understanding of veterinary import risk assessment by using different RA tools and to learn how different algorithms can be used to calculate disease incursion risks. G-RAID's tools cover a wide range of RA methodologies; from purely qualitative, to semi-quantitative and fully stochastic quantitative methods, which allowed the fellow to understand a variety of algorithms used to produce the final risk estimate. The fellowship programme provided the fellow with the chance to learn in detail about how generic RAs are performed across Europe, understanding how to deal with the uncertainty and variability involved in RAs and the potential problems of data availability and reliability. The fellow made an inventory of publicly available databases on disease occurrence and international trade that could be used for import RA and assessed their quality and usefulness for the different generic RA tools. The programme also provided the fellow the opportunity to perform several import risk assessments using the RA tools of G-RAID. She completed a RA on African swine fever using the MINTRISK model developed by WBVR. Furthermore, she assessed the risk of foot and mouth disease introduction using the Rapid Risk Assessment Tool (RRAT) model developed by WBVR and the COMPARE model developed by the Animal and Plant Health Agency (APHA). To this end, the fellow completed a short-term visit to APHA, enabling her to have additional training in quantitative RA and to expand her professional network in this area.

8.
Neth Heart J ; 26(9): 433-444, 2018 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30030750

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to illustrate the additive value of computed tomography angiography (CTA) for visualisation of the coronary venous anatomy prior to cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT) implantation. METHODS: Eighteen patients planned for CRT implantation were prospectively included. A specific CTA protocol designed for visualisation of the coronary veins was carried out on a third-generation dual-source CT platform. Coronary veins were semi-automatically segmented to construct a 3D model. CTA-derived coronary venous anatomy was compared with intra-procedural fluoroscopic angiography (FA) in right and left anterior oblique views. RESULTS: Coronary venous CTA was successfully performed in all 18 patients. CRT implantation and FA were performed in 15 patients. A total of 62 veins were visualised; the number of veins per patient was 3.8 (range: 2-5). Eighty-five per cent (53/62) of the veins were visualised on both CTA and FA, while 10% (6/62) were visualised on CTA only, and 5% (3/62) on FA only. Twenty-two veins were present on the lateral or inferolateral wall; of these, 95% (21/22) were visualised by CTA. A left-sided implantation was performed in 13 patients, while a right-sided implantation was performed in the remaining 2 patients because of a persistent left-sided superior vena cava with no left innominate vein on CTA. CONCLUSION: Imaging of the coronary veins by CTA using a designated protocol is technically feasible and facilitates the CRT implantation approach, potentially improving the outcome.

9.
BMC Vet Res ; 11: 127, 2015 Jun 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26040321

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: African horse sickness (AHS) is a major, Culicoides-borne viral disease in equines whose introduction into Europe could have dramatic consequences. The disease is considered to be endemic in sub-Saharan Africa. Recent introductions of other Culicoides-borne viruses (bluetongue and Schmallenberg) into northern Europe have highlighted the risk that AHS may arrive in Europe as well. The aim of our study was to provide a spatiotemporal quantitative risk model of AHS introduction into France. The study focused on two pathways of introduction: the arrival of an infectious host (PW-host) and the arrival of an infectious Culicoides midge via the livestock trade (PW-vector). The risk of introduction was calculated by determining the probability of an infectious animal or vector entering the country and the probability of the virus then becoming established: i.e., the virus's arrival in France resulting in at least one local equine host being infected by one local vector. This risk was assessed using data from three consecutive years (2010 to 2012) for 22 regions in France. RESULTS: The results of the model indicate that the annual risk of AHS being introduced to France is very low but that major spatiotemporal differences exist. For both introduction pathways, risk is higher from July to October and peaks in July. In general, regions with warmer climates are more at risk, as are colder regions with larger equine populations; however, regional variation in animal importation patterns (number and species) also play a major role in determining risk. Despite the low probability that AHSV is present in the EU, intra-EU trade of equines contributes most to the risk of AHSV introduction to France because it involves a large number of horse movements. CONCLUSION: It is important to address spatiotemporal differences when assessing the risk of ASH introduction and thus also when implementing efficient surveillance efforts. The methods and results of this study may help develop surveillance techniques and other risk reduction measures that will prevent the introduction of AHS or minimize AHS' potential impact once introduced, both in France and the rest of Europe.


Subject(s)
African Horse Sickness/transmission , Ceratopogonidae/physiology , Commerce , Models, Biological , African Horse Sickness/economics , African Horse Sickness/epidemiology , Animals , Cattle , Equidae , Risk Factors
10.
Clin Neurophysiol ; 125(9): 1819-25, 2014 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24560131

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Patients with Parkinson's disease often experience difficulties in adapting movements and learning alternative movements to compensate for symptoms. Since observation of movement has been demonstrated to lead to the formation of a lasting specific motor memory that resembled that elicited by physical training we hypothesize that mu-rhythm desynchronization in response to movement observation is impaired in Parkinson's disease. METHOD: In a pilot study with nine patients with Parkinson's disease at a Hoehn and Yahr stage of I or II and eleven age-matched controls, we tested this hypothesis by comparing the event related desynchronization (ERD) patterns from the EEG recorded during the observation of hand action and baseline videos. RESULTS: Healthy subjects showed normal bilateral ERD of the mu-rhythm. In patients with Parkinson's disease this distinct ERD pattern was lacking. CONCLUSION: The results of this study suggest that event-related mu-rhythm desynchronization is impaired in Parkinson's disease, even at early stages of the disease. SIGNIFICANCE: Studying event-related mu-rhythm desynchronization dysfunction in Parkinson's disease patients may enhance our understanding of symptoms as impaired motor learning.


Subject(s)
Electroencephalography Phase Synchronization , Movement , Parkinson Disease/physiopathology , Aged , Electroencephalography , Evoked Potentials , Female , Hand , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Mirror Neurons , Pilot Projects
11.
Transbound Emerg Dis ; 60(4): 360-9, 2013 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22762483

ABSTRACT

In recent years, several animal disease epidemics have occurred within the European Union (EU). At the 4th Annual Meeting of the EPIZONE network (7-10 June 2010, St. Malo, France), an interactive session was run to elicit the opinions of delegates on a pre-defined list of epidemic threats to the EU. Responses from over 190 delegates, to questions relating to impact and likelihood, were used to rank six virus groups with respect to their perceived threat now (2010) and in 2020. The combined opinions of all delegates suggested that, from the pre-selected list of virus groups, foot-and-mouth disease and influenza are currently of most concern. Delegates thought that influenza would be less of a threat and zoonotic arboviruses would be more of a threat in 2020. Although the virus group rankings should not be taken as definitive, the results could be used in conjunction with experimental and field data, by scientists, policy-makers and stakeholders when assessing and managing risks associated with these virus groups.


Subject(s)
Animal Diseases/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks/veterinary , European Union , Expert Testimony , Viruses/classification , Animal Diseases/transmission , Animal Diseases/virology , Animals , Arboviruses , Europe/epidemiology , Foot-and-Mouth Disease/epidemiology , Foot-and-Mouth Disease/transmission , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/epidemiology , Orthomyxoviridae Infections/transmission , Zoonoses/virology
12.
Europace ; 15(1): 18-23, 2013 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22782972

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Idiopathic atrial fibrillation (AF) may be an expression of as yet undetected underlying heart disease. We found it useful for clinical practice to study the long-term development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients diagnosed with idiopathic AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Forty-one consecutive idiopathic AF patients (56 ± 10 years, 66% male) were compared with 45 healthy control patients in permanent sinus rhythm. Patients were free of hypertension, antihypertensive and antiarrhythmic drugs, diabetes, congestive heart failure, coronary artery or peripheral vascular disease, previous stroke, thyroid, pulmonary and renal disease, and structural abnormalities on echocardiography. Baseline characteristics and echocardiographic parameters were equal in AF cases and controls. During a mean follow-up of 66 ± 11 months, CVD occurred significantly more often in idiopathic AF patients compared with controls (49 vs. 20%, P= 0.006). Patients with idiopathic AF were significantly younger at the time of their first CV event compared with controls (59 ± 9 vs. 64 ± 5 years, P= 0.027), and had more severe disease. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that age, a history of AF, and echocardiographic left ventricular wall width were significant predictors of CVD development. CONCLUSION: Patients originally diagnosed with idiopathic AF develop CVD more often, at younger age, and with a more severe disease profile compared with healthy sinus rhythm control patients. The detection and treatment of CVD in an early stage could improve the prognosis of these patients. At present it seems prudent to regularly check idiopathic AF patients for the insidious development of CVD.


Subject(s)
Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Comorbidity , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Netherlands/epidemiology , Risk Factors
13.
Rev. cuba. hig. epidemiol ; 50(3): 340-353, sep.-dic. 2012.
Article in Spanish | LILACS | ID: lil-665666

ABSTRACT

Introducción: En la utilización de los servicios de salud convergen no solo la necesidad de atención de la población en términos de enfermedad, sino sus creencias, aspectos culturales; pero, sobre todo, el complejo contexto en que se da la prestación de servicios de salud. objetivo: exponer la metodología empleada para el estudio de la utilización de los servicios médicos y alternativos en el área de salud Marcio Manduley, del municipio de Centro Habana, para la solución de sus problemas de salud. Métodos: se elaboraron tres instrumentos a partir de la revisión documental y la experiencia de nuestros investigadores, las cuales estaban dirigidas a aquellos miembros de las familias que enfermaron en los últimos 30 días o que padecían una enfermedad crónica y que hicieron o no uso de algún servicio de salud o alternativo. Resultados: Se entrevistaron 408 núcleos familiares (1 244 personas) con un promedio de 31,4 familias (95,7 personas por encuestadoras). El 89,0 porciento de las familias fueron entrevistadas de lunes a viernes (el lunes y el martes fueron los días de mayor captación). Conclusiones: La aplicación de estos instrumentos ofrece una aproximación de cómo se utilizan los servicios de salud y alternativos por la población. Su replicación, perfeccionamiento y adecuación en otros contextos es de gran ayuda a los decisores de salud para fortalecer el trabajo en el nivel primario de atención, y así brindar un servicio de calidad a la población


Introduction: the use of health services converge not only the need for care of the population in terms of illness, but their beliefs, cultural aspects, but above all, the complex context in which the provision of health services is. Objective: to present the methodology used for studing the use of medical and alternative services in Marcio Manduley health area, municipality of Centro Habana, to solve their health problems. Methods: Three instruments were developed from the literature review and the experience of our investigators, aiming those family members who became ill in the last 30 days or suffered from a chronic illness that did or did not use any alternative or health service. Results: We interviewed 408 families (1244 people) with an average of 31.4 families (95.7 people per polling). 89.0 percent of families were interviewed on weekdays (Mondays and Tuesdays were the days of higher uptake). Conclusions: The application of these tools provides an approximation on how alternative or health services are used by the population. Replication, refinement, and adaptation to other contexts are helpful to health policy makers to strengthen the work in the primary health care level, and thus provide a quality service to the population


Subject(s)
Primary Health Care/standards , Community Health Services/standards , Complementary Therapies/methods , Cuba , Interviews as Topic/methods
14.
Epilepsy Behav ; 25(2): 189-91, 2012 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23032130

ABSTRACT

Idiopathic childhood occipital epilepsy of Gastaut (ICOE-G) is a rare form of epilepsy, characterized by visual hallucinations, periods of blindness, motor seizures, and migraine-like symptoms. A characteristic EEG feature is fixation-off sensitivity: epileptiform discharges are suppressed by visual input. Here, we present an 11-year-old girl suffering from ICOE-G, who was studied to identify potential additional suppressors of the epileptiform discharges.


Subject(s)
Brain/physiopathology , Epilepsies, Partial/diagnosis , Acoustic Stimulation , Attention/physiology , Auditory Perception/physiology , Child , Epilepsies, Partial/physiopathology , Epilepsies, Partial/psychology , Female , Humans , Neuropsychological Tests
16.
Prev Vet Med ; 106(2): 108-22, 2012 Sep 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22341773

ABSTRACT

African horse sickness (AHS) is a vector-borne viral disease of equines that is transmitted by Culicoides spp. and can have severe consequences for the horse industry in affected territories. A study was performed to assess the risk of introducing AHS virus (AHSV) into the Netherlands (P_AHS) by international equine movements. The goal of this study was to provide more insight into (a) the regions and equine species that contribute most to this risk, (b) the seasonal variation in this risk, and (c) the effectiveness of measures to prevent introduction of AHSV. Countries worldwide were grouped into three risk regions: (1) high risk, i.e., those countries in which the virus is presumed to circulate, (2) low risk, i.e., those countries that have experienced outbreaks of AHS in the past and/or where the main vector of AHS, Culicoides imicola, is present, and (3) very low risk, i.e., all other countries. A risk model was constructed estimating P_AHS taking into account the probability of release of AHSV in the Netherlands and the probability that local vectors will subsequently transmit the virus to local hosts. Model calculations indicated that P_AHS is very low with a median value of 5.1×10(-4)/year. The risk is highest in July and August, while equine movements in the period October till March pose a negligible risk. High and low risk regions contribute most to P_AHS with 31% and 53%, respectively. Importations of donkeys and zebras constitute the highest risk of AHSV release from high risk regions, while international movements of competition horses constitute the highest risk of AHSV release from low and very low risk regions. Preventive measures currently applied reduce P_AHS by 46% if compared to a situation in which no preventive measures are applied. A prolonged and more effective quarantine period in high risk regions and more stringent import regulations for low risk regions could further reduce P_AHS. Large uncertainty was involved in estimating model input parameters. Sensitivity analysis indicated that uncertainty about the probability of non-notified presence of AHS in low and very low risk regions, the protective effect of quarantine and the vector-host ratio had most impact on the estimated risk. Furthermore, temperature values at the time of release of AHSV largely influenced the probability of onward spread of the virus by local vectors to local hosts.


Subject(s)
African Horse Sickness Virus/physiology , African Horse Sickness/prevention & control , African Horse Sickness/transmission , Disease Outbreaks/veterinary , African Horse Sickness/epidemiology , African Horse Sickness/virology , Animals , Ceratopogonidae/physiology , Ceratopogonidae/virology , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Equidae/virology , Feeding Behavior , Horses , Incidence , Insect Vectors/physiology , Insect Vectors/virology , Models, Biological , Netherlands/epidemiology , Prevalence , Risk , Seasons , Sensitivity and Specificity , Species Specificity , Transportation
17.
J Appl Microbiol ; 112(2): 246-57, 2012 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22118269

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To predict the risk of incursion of Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV) in livestock in Europe introduced through immature Hyalomma marginatum ticks on migratory birds under current conditions and in the decade 2075-2084 under a climate-change scenario. METHODS AND RESULTS: A spatial risk map of Europe comprising 14 282 grid cells (25 × 25 km) was constructed using three data sources: (i) ranges and abundances of four species of bird which migrate from sub-Saharan Africa to Europe each spring, namely Willow warbler (Phylloscopus trochilus), Northern wheatear (Oenanthe oenanthe), Tree pipit (Anthus trivialis) and Common quail (Coturnix coturnix); (ii) UK Met Office HadRM3 spring temperatures for prediction of moulting success of immature H. marginatum ticks and (iii) livestock densities. On average, the number of grid cells in Europe predicted to have at least one CCHFV incursion in livestock in spring was 1·04 per year for the decade 2005-2014 and 1·03 per year for the decade 2075-2084. In general with the assumed climate-change scenario, the risk increased in northern Europe but decreased in central and southern Europe, although there is considerable local variation in the trends. CONCLUSIONS: The absolute risk of incursion of CCHFV in livestock through ticks introduced by four abundant species of migratory bird (totalling 120 million individual birds) is very low. Climate change has opposing effects, increasing the success of the moult of the nymphal ticks into adults but decreasing the projected abundance of birds by 34% in this model. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: For Europe, climate change is not predicted to increase the overall risk of incursion of CCHFV in livestock through infected ticks introduced by these four migratory bird species.


Subject(s)
Animal Migration/physiology , Climate Change , Hemorrhagic Fever Virus, Crimean-Congo/physiology , Hemorrhagic Fever, Crimean/veterinary , Tick Infestations/veterinary , Tick-Borne Diseases/veterinary , Ticks/virology , Animals , Birds , Europe , Hemorrhagic Fever, Crimean/prevention & control , Hemorrhagic Fever, Crimean/transmission , Livestock , Models, Theoretical , Nymph/virology , Population Density , Risk Assessment , Seasons , Tick Infestations/virology , Tick-Borne Diseases/prevention & control , Tick-Borne Diseases/transmission
18.
S Afr J Surg ; 49(1): 39-43, 2011 Mar 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21933483

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Laparoscopic-assisted ano-rectoplasty (LAARP) has gained popularity since its introduction in 2000. Further evidence is needed to compare its outcome with the gold standard of posterior sagittal ano-rectoplasty (PSARP). METHOD: A retrospective review of patients presenting with ano-rectal malformation (ARM) in the period 2000 - 2009. Demographics, associated abnormalities, and operative and post-operative complications were assessed. The functional outcome in children older than 3 years was assessed, applying the Krickenbeck scoring system and, where possible, by interviewing parents. Patients with cloacal abnormalities were excluded. Patients with a LAARP were compared with those managed by PSARP. RESULTS: Seventy-three patients with ARM were identified during the study period. Male to female ratio was 1.6:1. All 32 low ARMs (perineal and vestibular fistulae) were excluded. Thirty-nine had levator or supra-levator lesions. Twenty males presented with recto-bulbar, 3 with recto-prostatic, and 1 with a recto-vesical fistula; 2 had no fistula; and in 2 the data were insufficient to determine the level. Among the females, 6 had recto-vaginal fistulae, 4 had cloacas and 1 had an ARM without fistula. There were 3 syndromic ARMs (2 Trisomy 21 and 1 Baller-Gerald syndrome). One neonate with a long-gap oesophageal atresia had a successful primary LAARP. Seventy-five per cent of all patients had VACTERL associations. Two early deaths after colostomy formation were related to a cardiac anomaly and an oesophageal atresia. In both groups, mean age at anoplasty was 8 months. Twenty of the intermediate/high lesions were treated with LAARP, and 19 by PSARP. There were slightly more complications in the LAARP group; intra-operative injury to the vas deferens and urethra occurred once each. Post-operatively, 2 port-site hernias and 1 case of pelvic sepsis occurred. A poorly sited colostomy caused difficulty in 2 patients. Two patients were converted to laparatomy: severe adhesions in one and a poorly sited stoma in another. Five patients required redo-anoplasty for mucosal prolapse, anal stenosis, incorrect placement of the anus, retraction of the rectum and an ischaemic rectal stricture. Complications in the PSARP group included 2 wound dehiscences, 1 anal stenosis, 3 mucosal prolapses, 1 recurrent fistula and 2 incorrect anal placements requiring redo surgery. The Krickenbeck questionnaire was used in 70% of PSARPs (mean age 5.9 years) and LAARPs (mean age 5.5 years) for a functional assessment. Both groups showed voluntary bowel movements in 14%. Soiling and overflow incontinence was a significant problem. Grade III constipation was less common in the LAARP (14%) than PSARP (21%) group. Four patients in the LAARP group were reliant on regular rectal washouts compared, with 6 in the PSARP group. CONCLUSION: Both LAARP and PSARP can successfully treat ARM but have specific associated problems.


Subject(s)
Anus, Imperforate/surgery , Digestive System Surgical Procedures/methods , Laparoscopy/methods , Anorectal Malformations , Cloaca/abnormalities , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Rectovaginal Fistula/surgery , Urethral Diseases/surgery , Urinary Fistula/surgery
19.
Seizure ; 20(7): 541-5, 2011 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21514181

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Vagus nerve stimulation (VNS) has shown to be an effective treatment for drug resistant epilepsy in numerous patients, however, not in all. It is still not possible to predict which patients will profit from VNS. In this pilot study, we explore predictive interictal EEG features for seizure reduction after VNS. METHODS: 19 Patients with medically refractory epilepsy and an implanted VNS system were included. Interictal EEG registrations, recorded before implantation, were retrospectively analysed. A quantative symmetry measure, the pair wise derived brain symmetry index (pdBSI), was tested to predict VNS outcome. Reduction in seizure frequency was used to define the responders. RESULTS: 10 Patients did respond to VNS, of whom 7 patients had a seizure reduction of at least 50% in a follow-up period of 2 years. On average, we find higher pdBSI values for delta, theta, alpha and beta bands for non-responders than for responders. The average pdBSI of the theta and alpha bands could significantly discriminate between responders and non-responders. CONCLUSION: In this study, quantifying EEG symmetry using the pdBSI shows promising results in predicting the reduction of seizure frequency after VNS treatment.


Subject(s)
Cerebral Cortex/physiopathology , Electroencephalography , Epilepsy/therapy , Vagus Nerve Stimulation , Adolescent , Adult , Epilepsy/physiopathology , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome
20.
Int J Cardiol ; 145(1): 156-8, 2010 Nov 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19712983

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study tested the hypothesis that statins may reduce left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) in patients with hypertension and LVH. METHOD: A prospective randomised open-label study with blinded endpoints assessment was performed in 142 patients. Inclusion criteria were hypertension, left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50% and echocardiographic determined LVH, defined as a left ventricular mass index (LVMI) of ≥ 100 g/m(2) in women and ≥ 116 g/m(2) in males. Patients were randomised between rosuvastatin 20mg once daily vs control. For each patient an echocardiogram and blood samples were obtained. These tests were repeated after 6 months. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics: mean age was 62 ± 11year and 62 (44%) were male. In both groups, there was a non-significant reduction in LVMI: 118 ± 22 to 111 ± 19 g/m(2) in the control group and 118 ± 21 to 114 ± 22 in the rosuvastatin group (p=0.376 for the comparison between rosuvastatin and control after 6 months). After six months, LDL-cholesterol was reduced from 3.5 ± 1.0 to 2.1 ± 1.2 mmol/L (40% reduction) in the rosuvastatin group and remained unchanged in the control group (3.5 ± 0.9 vs 3.6 ± 0.9 mmol/L. Hs-CRP decreased more with rosuvastatin compared to control (-38% vs -15%, p=0.006) There was no significant reduction in NT-pro-BNP levels after 6 months. CONCLUSION: Rosuvastatin does not reduce LVH despite a large LDL reduction in patients with hypertension and LVH.


Subject(s)
Endpoint Determination , Fluorobenzenes/therapeutic use , Hypertension/drug therapy , Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular/drug therapy , Pyrimidines/therapeutic use , Sulfonamides/therapeutic use , Aged , Cholesterol, LDL/blood , Endpoint Determination/methods , Female , Humans , Hypertension/blood , Hypertension/complications , Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular/blood , Hypertrophy, Left Ventricular/complications , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Rosuvastatin Calcium
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