Quantitative assessment of baseline imbalances in evolocumab and alirocumab trials: a meta-epidemiological study.

BACKGROUND: Baseline imbalances have been identified in randomized trials of evolocumab and alirocumab. Our aim was to quantitatively assess (1) the presence of systematic baseline differences, and (2) the relationship of baseline differences with effects on low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-c) and clinical outcomes in the trials. METHODS: We performed a meta-epidemiological study. PubMed, Embase, regulatory reports, ClinicalTrials.gov and company websites were searched for trials. Seven baseline characteristics (mean age, LDL-c, BMI, percentage males, diabetics, smokers, and hypertensives) and five outcomes (LDL-c, major adverse cardiac events, serious adverse events, any adverse events, all-cause mortality) were extracted. We calculated (1) range and distribution of baseline imbalances (sign-test), (2) pooled baseline differences and heterogeneity (meta-analysis), (3) differences in SDs around continuous variables (sign-test and pooling), and (4) the relationship of baseline differences with outcomes (meta-regression). The comparisons of PCSK9-inhibitor groups with either placebo or ezetimibe were analysed separately and combined. RESULTS: We identified 43 trials with 63,193 participants. Baseline characteristics were frequently missing. Many trials showed small baseline imbalances, but some large imbalances. Only baseline BMI showed a statistically significant lower pooled mean for the drug versus placebo groups (MD -0.16; 95% CI -0.24 to -0.09). Heterogeneity in baseline imbalances was present in six placebo- and five ezetimibe-comparisons. Heterogeneity was statistically significant for BMI, males, diabetics and hypertensives in the combined comparisons. There was a statistically significant preponderance for larger SDs in the PCSK9-inhibitor versus control groups (sign-test age 0.014; LDL-c 0.014; BMI 0.049). Meta-regression showed clinically relevant relationships of baseline imbalances in age, BMI and diabetics with the risk of any adverse events and the risk of mortality. Two relationships were statistically significant: A higher mean BMI in the drug versus control group with a decreased risk of mortality (beta - 0.56; 95% CI -1.10 to -0.02), and a higher proportion of diabetics with an increased risk of any adverse events (beta 0.02; 95% 0.01 to 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Heterogeneous baseline imbalances and systematically different SDs were present in evolocumab and alirocumab trials, so study groups cannot be assumed to be comparable. These findings raise concerns about the design and conduct of the randomization procedures.

Serious adverse events and deaths in PCSK9 inhibitor trials reported on ClinicalTrials.gov: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Previous reviews of PCSK9 inhibitor trials are limited by a focus on composite cardiovascular outcomes. ClinicalTrials.gov provides trial results for individual clinical outcomes. Aim of this systematic review was to assess the effect of PCSK9 inhibitors on the risk of myocardial infarction, stroke/TIA, heart failure, diabetes mellitus, neurocognitive events, all-cause serious adverse events (SAE), and all-cause deaths as registered on ClinicalTrials.gov. METHODS: PubMed, regulatory reports, ClinicalTrials.gov, and company websites were used to search studies. Randomized trials comparing PCSK9 inhibitor with placebo in participants with hypercholesterolemia were eligible. Study characteristics, risk of bias, and numbers of participants with the outcomes of interest were collected. RESULTS: We identified 33 lipid-lowering and 4 clinical outcomes trials with results on ClinicalTrials.gov (n = 16,958 and n = 73,836, respectively). Risk of bias was generally high. PCSK9 inhibitors did not affect the risk of any of the investigated outcomes in either type of trial. However, in clinical outcomes studies, alirocumab decreased the risk of all-cause SAE (OR 0.92; 95% CI 0.86-0.98), and evolocumab probably increased the risk of mortality (OR 1.12; 95% CI 1.00-1.25). CONCLUSIONS: Our meta-analysis of clinical events registered on ClinicalTrials.gov did not show that PCSK9 inhibitors improve cardiovascular health. Evolocumab increased the risk of all-cause mortality.