Prediction model for hypertension in first decade after pre-eclampsia in initially normotensive women.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a prediction model for the development of hypertension in the decade following pre-eclampsia in women who were normotensive shortly after pregnancy. METHODS: This was a longitudinal cohort study of formerly pre-eclamptic women attending a university hospital in The Netherlands between 1996 and 2019. We developed a prediction model for incident hypertension using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The model was validated internally using bootstrapping techniques. RESULTS: Of 259 women, 185 (71%) were normotensive at the first cardiovascular assessment, at a median of 10 (interquartile range (IQR), 6-24) months after a pre-eclamptic pregnancy, of whom 49 (26%) had developed hypertension by the second visit, at a median of 11 (IQR, 6-14) years postpartum. The prediction model, based on birth-weight centile, mean arterial pressure, total cholesterol, left ventricular mass index and left ventricular ejection fraction, had good-to-excellent discriminative ability, with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.82 (95% CI, 0.75-0.89) and an optimism-corrected AUC of 0.80. The sensitivity and specificity of our model to predict hypertension were 98% and 34%, respectively, and positive and negative predictive values were 35% and 98%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Based on five variables, we developed a good-to-excellent predictive tool to identify incident hypertension following pre-eclampsia in women who were normotensive shortly after pregnancy. After external validation, this model could have considerable clinical utility in tackling the cardiovascular legacy of pre-eclampsia. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

Incidence of thrombotic complications and overall survival in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in the second and first wave.

INTRODUCTION: In the first wave, thrombotic complications were common in COVID-19 patients. It is unknown whether state-of-the-art treatment has resulted in less thrombotic complications in the second wave. METHODS: We assessed the incidence of thrombotic complications and overall mortality in COVID-19 patients admitted to eight Dutch hospitals between September 1st and November 30th 2020. Follow-up ended at discharge, transfer to another hospital, when they died, or on November 30th 2020, whichever came first. Cumulative incidences were estimated, adjusted for competing risk of death. These were compared to those observed in 579 patients admitted in the first wave, between February 24th and April 26th 2020, by means of Cox regression techniques adjusted for age, sex and weight. RESULTS: In total 947 patients with COVID-19 were included in this analysis, of whom 358 patients were admitted to the ICU; 144 patients died (15%). The adjusted cumulative incidence of all thrombotic complications after 10, 20 and 30 days was 12% (95% confidence interval (CI) 9.8-15%), 16% (13-19%) and 21% (17-25%), respectively. Patient characteristics between the first and second wave were comparable. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for overall mortality in the second wave versus the first wave was 0.53 (95%CI 0.41-0.70). The adjusted HR for any thrombotic complication in the second versus the first wave was 0.89 (95%CI 0.65-1.2). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality was reduced by 47% in the second wave, but the thrombotic complication rate remained high, and comparable to the first wave. Careful attention to provision of adequate thromboprophylaxis is invariably warranted.

Alcohol and red wine consumption, but not fruit, vegetables, fish or dairy products, are associated with less endothelial dysfunction and less low-grade inflammation: the Hoorn Study.

PURPOSE: Endothelial dysfunction and low-grade inflammation are key phenomena in the pathobiology of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Their dietary modification might explain the observed reduction in CVD that has been associated with a healthy diet rich in fruit, vegetables and fish, low in dairy products and with moderate alcohol and red wine consumption. We investigated the associations between the above food groups and endothelial dysfunction and low-grade inflammation in a population-based cohort of Dutch elderly individuals. METHODS: Diet was measured by food frequency questionnaire (n = 801; women = 399; age 68.5 ± 7.2 years). Endothelial dysfunction was determined (1) by combining von Willebrand factor, and soluble intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (sICAM-1), vascular cell adhesion molecule 1, endothelial selectin and thrombomodulin, using Z-scores, into a biomarker score and (2) by flow-mediated vasodilation (FMD), and low-grade inflammation by combining C-reactive protein, serum amyloid A, interleukin 6, interleukin 8, tumour necrosis factor α and sICAM-1 into a biomarker score, with smaller FMD and higher scores representing more dysfunction and inflammation, respectively. We used linear regression analyses to adjust associations for sex, age, energy, glucose metabolism, body mass index, smoking, prior CVD, educational level, physical activity and each of the other food groups. RESULTS: Moderate [ß (95% CI) -0.13 (-0.33; 0.07)] and high [-0.22 (-0.45; -0.003)] alcohol consumption, and red wine [-0.16 (-0.30; -0.01)] consumption, but none of the other food groups, were associated with a lower endothelial dysfunction biomarker score and a greater FMD. The associations for FMD were, however, not statistically significant. Only red wine consumption was associated with a lower low-grade inflammation biomarker score [-0.18 (-0.33; -0.04)]. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol and red wine consumption may favourably influence processes involved in atherothrombosis.

Adherence to a Mediterranean dietary pattern in early life is associated with lower arterial stiffness in adulthood: the Amsterdam Growth and Health Longitudinal Study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether adherence to a Mediterranean dietary pattern during adolescence and early adulthood affects arterial stiffness in adulthood, and the extent to which any such association may be attributed to a beneficial impact of this diet on cardiovascular disease risk factors such as blood pressure, central fatness and dyslipidaemia. SETTING: The Amsterdam Growth and Health Longitudinal Study. DESIGN AND SUBJECTS: We compared longitudinal levels of adherence to a Mediterranean dietary pattern (aMED score with range 0-9) during adolescence and adulthood (two to eight repeated measures obtained between the ages of 13 and 36) between individuals with different levels of arterial stiffness in adulthood. The study population included 373 (196 women) apparently healthy adults in whom properties of the carotid, brachial and femoral arteries were assessed using ultrasonography at 36 years of age. RESULTS: After adjustments for potential confounders, individuals with stiffer carotid arteries (defined on the basis of the most adverse tertile of, for instance, the distensibility coefficient) had lower aMED scores (-0.32, 95% CI -0.60; -0.06) and were less likely to have adhered to this dietary pattern (aMED score ≥5, odds ratio 0.69, 95% CI 0.50; -0.94) during the preceding 24 years compared with those with less stiff arteries. Differences in aMED scores were already present in adolescence and were only in part explained by the favourable associations between the Mediterranean dietary pattern and other cardiovascular disease risk factors (up to 26%), particularly mean blood pressure (up to 19%). CONCLUSIONS: Promoting the Mediterranean diet in adolescence and early adulthood may constitute an important means of preventing arterial stiffness in adulthood.

Unhealthy dietary patterns associated with inflammation and endothelial dysfunction in type 1 diabetes: the EURODIAB study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A healthy diet has been inversely associated with endothelial dysfunction (ED) and low-grade inflammation (LGI). We investigated the association between nutrient consumption and biomarkers of ED and LGI in type 1 diabetes. METHODS AND RESULTS: We investigated 491 individuals. Nutrient consumption and lifestyle risk factors were measured in 1989 and 1997. Biomarkers of ED (von Willebrand factor, soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 and soluble endothelial selectin) and LGI (C-reactive protein, interleukin 6 and tumour necrosis factor α) were measured in 1997 and averaged into Z-scores. The nutrient residual method was used to adjust individual nutrient intake for energy intake. Data were analysed with generalised estimation equations. We report increments/decrements in nutrient consumption, averaged over time, per +1 standard deviation (SD) of 1997 ED or LGI Z-scores, after adjustment for sex, age, duration of diabetes, investigation centre, body mass index, energy intake, smoking behaviour, alcohol consumption, and each of the other nutrients. One SD elevation in ED Z-score was associated with a diet lower in fibre [ß(95%CI);-0.09(-0.18;-0.004)], polyunsaturated fat [-0.18(-0.31;-0.05)] and vegetable protein [-0.10(-0.20;-0.001)]. For the LGI Z-score results showed associations with fibre [-0.09(-0.17;-0.01)], polyunsaturated fat [-0.14(-0.24;-0.03)] and cholesterol [0.10(0.01; 0.18)]. CONCLUSION: In type 1 diabetes, consumption of less fibre, polyunsaturated fat and vegetable protein, and more cholesterol over the study period was associated with more ED and LGI. Following dietary guidelines in type 1 diabetes may reduce cardiovascular disease risk by favourably affecting ED and LGI.

Polymorbidity in diabetes in older people: consequences for care and vocational training.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prevalence of complicating and concurrent morbidities in older diabetic patients and to evaluate to what extent their occurrence affects the burden of disease and use of medical healthcare. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of retrospectively obtained data on comorbidities and use of medical healthcare. Healthcare registration systems were used to retrieve data on 300 patients with diabetes aged >or=60 years who, according to the severity of their disease and intensity of care required, were treated in a regional general practitioner (GP), diabetes nurse specialist (DNS) or medical specialist (MS) practice. RESULTS: Complicating and concurrent morbidities were often found irrespective of the type of practice involved. After adjustments for differences in sex, age and glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c), the extent of complicating comorbidities showed sequential increases in patients managed by GP, DNS and MS (mean number of 3.6, 4.7 and 6.7, respectively; p(trend)<0.001). However, the mean number of concurrent comorbidities was similar across all three settings (2.1, 1.8 and 2.0, respectively). Both complicating and concurrent comorbidities were similarly associated with the extent of drug use (beta = 0.49 (95% CI 0.40 to 0.58) and beta = 0.57 (95% CI 0.52 to 0.72), respectively) and the number of consultations with specialists other than the main care giver (beta = 1.19 (95% CI 1.15 to 1.24) and beta = 1.21 (95% CI 1.14 to 1.28), respectively). However, the mean number of different specialists involved in a patient's care per additional concurrent comorbidity was twice as high as per any additional complicating comorbidity (beta = 0.60 (95% CI 0.48 to 0.71) vs beta = 0.31 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.39)). CONCLUSIONS: The use of healthcare facilities by older patients with diabetes is substantial, irrespective of the complexity of the disease and the kind of practice involved. The common manifestation of complicating and concurrent comorbidities and their varying complexity in individual patients requires a patient-oriented rather than a disease-oriented approach and vocational training programmes for care givers that are tailored to the complexity of multiple chronic diseases.