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1.
Indian J Crit Care Med ; 28(7): 629-631, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38994265

ABSTRACT

How to cite this article: Sinha S. Interleukin-6 in Sepsis-Promising but Yet to Be Proven. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(7):629-631.

2.
J Clin Med ; 13(13)2024 Jun 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38999389

ABSTRACT

Background/Objectives: Sepsis is a life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection. Sepsis is a significant cause of hospital admission and the leading reason for admission to the ICU and is associated with high mortality. Vitamin D has shown promising immunomodulatory effects by upregulating the antimicrobial peptide, cathelicidin. However, previous studies analysing the use of calcitriol in sepsis have shown variable results and did not utilise APACHE II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II) scores as endpoints. This study evaluates the efficacy of intramuscular calcitriol in patients admitted to the ICU with sepsis, focusing on its impact on APACHE II scores. The primary aim was to determine if intramuscular calcitriol improved APACHE II scores from day 1 to day 7 or discharge from the ICU, whichever was earlier. Secondary outcomes included 28-day mortality, ventilator days, vasopressor days, ICU stay length, adverse events, and hospital-acquired infections in ICU patients. Methods: This was a triple-blinded phase III randomised control trial. A total of 152 patients with suspected sepsis were block-randomised to receive either intramuscular calcitriol (300,000 IU) (n = 76) or a placebo (n = 76). The trial was registered with the Clinical Trials Registry-India (CTRI No: CTRI 2019/01/17066) following ethics committee approval and was not funded. Results: There was no significant difference in APACHE II scores between the calcitriol and placebo groups from day 1 to day 7 (p = 0.382). There were no significant changes in 28-day mortality (14.4% vs. 17%, p = 0.65), number of days on a ventilator (5 vs. 5, p = 0.84), number of days on vasopressors (3 vs. 3, p = 0.98), length of ICU stay (10 days vs. 11 days, p = 0.78), adverse events (27.6% vs. 19.7%, p = 0.25), and hospital-acquired infections (17.1% vs. 15.8%, p = 0.82). Conclusions: There was no effect of intramuscular calcitriol in patients admitted to the ICU with sepsis.

3.
Cytokine ; 180: 156664, 2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38795605

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The identification of novel prognostic biomarkers in elderly septic patients are essential for the improvement of mortality in sepsis in the context of precision medicine. The purpose of this study was to explore the expression pattern and prognostic value of serum interleukin-7 (IL-7) in predicting 28-day mortality in elderly patients with sepsis. METHODS: Patients were retrospectively enrolled according to the sepsis-3.0 diagnostic criteria and divided into the survival group and non-survival group based on the clinical outcome at the 28-day interval. The baseline characteristic data, samples for the laboratory tests, and the SOFA, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II), as well as Glasgow coma scale (GCS) scores, were recorded within 24 h after admission to the emergency department. Serum levels of IL-7 and TNF-α of the patients were quantified by the Luminex assay. Spearman correlation analysis, logistic regressive analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis were performed, respectively. RESULTS: Totally, 220 elderly patients with sepsis were enrolled, 151 of whom died in a 28-day period. Albumin (ALB), high-density lipoprotein (HDL), systolic pressure (SBP), and platelet (PLT) were found to be significantly higher in the survival group (p < 0.05). IL-7 was shown to be correlated with TNF-α in the non-survival group (p = 0.030) but not in the survival group (p = 0.194). No correlation was shown between IL-7 and other factors (p > 0.05). IL-7 and TNF-α were found to be independent risk factors associated with the 28-day mortality (OR = 1.215, 1.420). Combination of IL-7, SOFA and ALB can make an AUROC of 0.874 with the specificity of 90.77 %. Combination of IL-7 and TNF-α can make an AUROC of 0.901 with the sensitivity of 90.41 % while the combination of IL-7, TNF-α, and ALB can make an AUROC of 0.898 with the sensitivity of 94.52 %. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the importance of monitoring the serum level of IL-7 and TNF-α in elderly septic patients as well as evaluating the combinations with other routine risk factors which can be potentially used for the identification of elderly septic patients with higher risk of mortality.


Subject(s)
Interleukin-7 , Sepsis , Humans , Interleukin-7/blood , Female , Male , Aged , Sepsis/blood , Sepsis/mortality , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies , Aged, 80 and over , Biomarkers/blood , ROC Curve , Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/blood
4.
Saudi J Med Med Sci ; 12(2): 153-161, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38764561

ABSTRACT

Background: Understanding the characteristics and outcomes of cancer patients with unplanned ICU admission is imperative for therapeutic decisions and prognostication purposes. Objective: To describe the clinical characteristics of patients with hematological and non-hematological malignancies (NHM) who require unplanned ICU admission and to determine the predictors of mortality and long-term survival. Methods: This retrospective study included all patients with cancer who had an unplanned ICU admission between 2011 and 2016 at a tertiary hospital in Saudi Arabia. The following variables were collected: age, gender, ICU length of stay (LOS), APACHE II score, type of malignancy, febrile neutropenia, source and time of admission, and need for mechanical ventilation (MV), renal replacement therapy (RRT), and treatment with vasopressors (VP). Predictors of mortality and survival rates at 28 days and 3, 6, and 12 months were calculated. Results: The study included 410 cancer patients with 466 unplanned ICU admissions. Of these, 52% had NHM. The average LOS in the ICU was 9.6 days and the mean APACHE score was 21.9. MV was needed in 73% of the patients, RRT in 15%, and VP in 24%, while febrile neutropenia was present in 24%. There were statistically significant differences between survivors and non-survivors in the APACHE II score (17.7 ± 8.0 vs. 25.6 ± 9.2), MV use (52% vs. 92%), need for RRT (6% vs. 23%), VP use (42% vs. 85%), and presence of febrile neutropenia (18% vs. 30%). The predictors of mortality were need for MV (OR = 4.97), VP (OR = 3.43), RRT (OR = 3.31), and APACHE II score (OR = 1.10). Survival rates at 28 days, 3, 6, and 12 months were 52%, 28%, 22%, and 15%, respectively. Conclusion: The survival rate of cancer patients with an unplanned admission to the ICU remains low. Predictors of mortality include need for MV, RRT, and VP and presence of febrile neutropenia. About 85% of cancer patients died within 1 year after ICU admission.

5.
Cureus ; 16(4): e58412, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38756275

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A validated tool may facilitate assessing the severity of peritonitis among surgical patients. This study evaluates the predictive role of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) in the surgical outcomes of patients managed for peritonitis in Abuja. METHOD: This is a prospective study of consecutive adult patients managed for peritonitis by the general surgery unit of National Hospital Abuja (NHA) over a 19-month period (September 2020 through March 2022). Patient characteristics and treatment outcomes were recorded in a structured proforma and analyzed using SPSS Statistics version 25 (IBM Corp., Released 2017; IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, Version 25.0; Armonk, NY: IBM Corp.). The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and threshold of APACHE II were derived from the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and its coordinates. RESULTS: There were 54 patients with peritonitis during the study period, with a male-to-female ratio of 2.6:1. This study's mortality and morbidity rates were 13.0% and 63.0%, respectively. The APACHE II score at admission was positively correlated with the likelihood of postoperative mortality, morbidity, number of postoperative complications, ICU admission, and length of hospital admission. The average APACHE II score of patients in this study was 7.1±5.2. APACHE II best-predicted mortality by the ROC curve at a threshold point of 9 (sensitivity of 85.7%, specificity of 70.2%, the accuracy of 86.8%, P-value 0.002). At a threshold score of 6, APACHE II was significantly associated with the occurrence of postoperative morbidity (sensitivity of 74.3%, specificity of 73.7%, accuracy of 75.2%, P-value = 0.043). CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms that the APACHE II score at admission can predict the outcome of surgery within the first 30 days post-surgery among adult patients who had peritonitis at NHA.

6.
Infect Drug Resist ; 17: 1199-1213, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38560707

ABSTRACT

Objective: To explore the early predictors and their predicting value of 28-day mortality in sepsis patients and to investigate the possible causes of death. Methods: 127 sepsis patients were included, including 79 cases in the survival group and 48 cases in the death group. The results of all patients on admission were recorded. After screening the risk factors of 28-day mortality, the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to determine their predictive value for the 28-day mortality rate on admission, and the Kaplan-Meier curve was drawn to compare the 28-day mortality rate between groups. Finally, patients with cytokine and lymphocyte subsets results were included for investigating the possible causes of death through correlation analysis. Results: APACHE II (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II), SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) were the risk factors for 28-day mortality in sepsis patients (OR: 1.130 vs.1.160 vs.1.530, P < 0.05). The area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity of APACHE II, SOFA and RDW in predicting the mortality rate at 28 days after admission in sepsis patients were 0.763 vs 0.806 vs 0.723, 79.2% vs 68.8% vs 75.0%, 65.8% vs 89.9% vs 68.4%. The combined predicted AUC was 0.873, the sensitivity was 89.6%, and the specificity was 82.3%. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the 28-day mortality rates of sepsis patients with APACHE II≥18.5, SOFA≥11.5 and RDW≥13.8 were 58.5%, 80.5% and 59.0%, respectively. In the death group, APACHE II was positively correlated with SOFA, IL-2, and IL-10, and RDW was positively correlated with PLT, TNF-α, CD3+ lymphocyte count, and CD8+ lymphocyte count. Conclusion: Sepsis patients with high APACHE II, SOFA and RDW levels at admission have an increased 28-day mortality rate. The elevation of these indicators in dead patients are related to immune dysfunction.

7.
Ann Med Surg (Lond) ; 86(4): 1895-1900, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38576938

ABSTRACT

Background: The field of neurology encompasses the study and treatment of disorders that affect the nervous system, and patients with neurological conditions often require specialized care, particularly in the ICU. Predictive scoring systems are measures of disease severity used to predict patient outcomes. The aim of this study was to compare the discriminative power of commonly used scoring systems, namely the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) in the ICU of a tertiary care hospital. Methods: This retrospective study included patients with neurological disorders in the ICUs of Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital from 1 January 2022 to 31 December 2022. Results: A total of 153 patients were included. The mean age of the patients was 54.76 ± 17.32 years with higher male predominance (60.78%). Ischaemic stroke was the most common neurological disorder. There were 58 patients (37.9%) who required mechanical ventilation and all-cause mortality was 20.9%. The mean SOFA score was significantly higher (P=0.002) in survivors, whereas the mean APACHE II did not show a significant difference (P=0.238). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed the area of curve (AUC) of SOFA score was 0.765 and of APACHE II was 0.722. Conclusions: SOFA score had comparatively higher discriminative power than APACHE II. Assessment of the performance of scoring systems in a specific ICU setting improves the sensitivity and applicability of the model to these settings.

8.
J Intensive Care Med ; : 8850666241241480, 2024 Apr 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38563646

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite widespread use of combination antiretroviral therapy, people with HIV (PWH) continue to have an increased risk of admission to and mortality in the intensive care unit (ICU). Mortality risk after hospital discharge is not well described. Using retrospective data on adult PWH (≥18 years) admitted to ICU from 2000-2019 in an HIV-referral centre, we describe trends in 1-year mortality after ICU admission. METHODS: One-year mortality was calculated from index ICU admission to date of death; with follow-up right-censored at day 365 for people remaining alive at 1 year, or day 7 after ICU discharge if lost-to-follow-up after hospital discharge. Cox regression was used to describe the association with calendar year before and after adjustment for patient characteristics (age, sex, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II [APACHE II] score, CD4+ T-cell count, and recent HIV diagnosis) at ICU admission. Analyses were additionally restricted to those discharged alive from ICU using a left-truncated design, with further adjustment for respiratory failure at ICU admission in these analyses. RESULTS: Two hundred and twenty-one PWH were admitted to ICU (72% male, median [interquartile range] age 45 [38-53] years) of whom 108 died within 1-year (cumulative 1-year survival: 50%). Overall, the hazard of 1-year mortality was decreased by 10% per year (crude hazard ratio (HR): 0.90 (95% confidence interval: 0.87-0.93)); the association was reduced to 7% per year (adjusted HR: 0.93 (0.89-0.98)) after adjustment. Conclusions were similar among the subset of 136 patients discharged alive (unadjusted: 0.91 (0.84-0.98); adjusted 0.92 (0.84, 1.02)). CONCLUSIONS: Between 2000 and 2019, 1-year mortality after ICU admission declined at this ICU. Our findings highlight the need for multi-centre studies and the importance of continued engagement in care after hospital discharge among PWH.

9.
Revista Digital de Postgrado ; 13(1): 385, abr. 2024. tab
Article in Spanish | LILACS, LIVECS | ID: biblio-1554959

ABSTRACT

Objetivo: Relacionar las complicaciones y el riesgo de muerte en pacientes neurocríticos admitidos en la unidad de cuidados intensivos (UCI) del Hospital Universitario de Caracas durante un período de 5 meses. Métodos: investigación observacional, prospectiva, descriptiva. La muestra estuvo conformada por 65 pacientes neurocríticos, ≥ 18 años, con patologías médicas o quirúrgicas, ingresados en la UCI. El análisis estadístico incluyó la determinación de frecuencias, promedios, porcentajes y medias para descripción de variables y el T de Student. Resultados: La edad promedio fue 50,98 ± 16,66 años; la población masculinarepresentó el 50,76%. Entre las complicaciones, la mayor incidencia correspondió a las no infecciosas (70,77 %) y los trastornos ácido-básicos de tipo metabólico, la anemia y las alteraciones electrolíticas fueron las más frecuentes; el 29,23% de los pacientes presentaron complicaciones infecciosas, y la neumonía asociada a ventilación mecánica fue la más frecuente (73,91 %). La comorbilidad con mayor incidencia fue hipertensión arterial sistémica (53,84%). El 90.70% requirió ventilación mecánica y el tiempo en VM fue 4.29 ± 6.43 días. La estancia en UCI fue 5.96 ± 7.72 días. El 29,23% presentó un puntaje en la escala APACHE II entre 5-9; el SAPS II presentó mayor incidencia entre los 6-21 y 22-37 puntos con (66,70%); el SOFA al ingreso se reportó < 15 puntos en 98,46% y > 15 en 1,53%. La mortalidad del grupo fue 23,08 % (n=15). Conclusiones: Las complicaciones no infecciosas predominaron sobre las infecciosas las primeras íntimamente relacionadas con la mortalida(AU)


Objective: To relate complications and the risk of death in neurocritical patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of the University Hospital of Caracas during a period of 5 months. Methods: observational, prospective, descriptive research. The sample was made up of 65 neurocritical patients, ≥ 18 years old, with medical or surgical pathologies, admitted to the ICU.The statistical analysis included the determination of frequencies, averages, percentages and meansfor description of variables and Student's T.Results: The average age was 50.98 ± 16.66 years; the male population represented 50.76%. Among the complications, the highest incidence corresponded to non-infectious complications (70.77%) and metabolic acid-base disorders, anemia and electrolyte alterations were the most frequent; 29.23% of patients presented infectious complications, and pneumonia associated with mechanical ventilation was the most frequent (73.91%). The comorbidity with the highest incidence was systemic arterial hypertension (53.84%), 90.70% required mechanical ventilation and the time on MV was 4.29 ± 6.43 days. The ICU stay was 5.96 ± 7.72 days. 29.23% had a score on the APACHE II scale between 5-9; SAPS II presented the highest incidence between 6-21 and 22-37 points with (66.70%); The SOFA upon admission was reported to be < 15 points in 98.46% and > 15 in 1.53%. The mortality of the group was 23.08% (n=15). Conclusions: Non-infectious complications predominated over infectious complications, the former being closely related to mortalit(AU)


Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Mortality , Critical Care , Anemia
10.
Cureus ; 16(1): e52990, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38410336

ABSTRACT

Objective Neurosurgical patients account for the majority of cases across all surgical specialties that are admitted to the surgical intensive care unit (ICU) at our institution. The goal of this study was to analyze factors leading to ICU admission, type of neurosurgical intervention, length of ICU/hospital stays, and outcomes in terms of complications and ICU and in-hospital mortality. Methods This retrospective study conducted at the surgical ICU, Aga Khan University Hospital, investigated clinical data of neurosurgical patients admitted between January 2020 and June 2022. Quantitative data were collected regarding patients' characteristics, such as age, gender, comorbidities, type of surgical intervention, mode of surgery, source of admission to ICU, and type of osmotherapy. The primary and secondary outcomes were in terms of ICU and hospital mortality and complications. Results Among 321 patients admitted to the SICU, 197 were included according to inclusion/exclusion criteria. A total of 168 patients (85.3%) required surgical intervention, of whom 101 (60%) underwent elective surgery and 67 (40%) required emergency surgery. Thirteen patients died during the ICU or hospital stay, representing a mortality rate of 6.6%. The average length of stay in the ICU had a median IQR of 4 (4,6) days while the average hospital stay median IQR was 11 (12,18) days. Tracheostomy was performed in 77 patients (39%), and the median IQR day for tracheostomy was 4 (3,5) days. APACHE-II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) score, length of ICU, and length of hospital stay were significantly higher in the deceased patients with a p-value of 0.042, 0.019, and 0.043, respectively. Conclusion In conclusion, this study on neurosurgical patients from the surgical intensive care unit of a low-middle-income country provided valuable insights about factors and their influence on outcomes. The study implies that a high APACHE-II score is linked to poorer outcomes for neurosurgical patients in this particular setting. Undertaking a large multicenter prospective study is vital for tailoring interventions and improving patient care in regions with limited resources where healthcare challenges may be distinct.

11.
Ann Med Surg (Lond) ; 86(2): 811-818, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38333304

ABSTRACT

Background: As SARS-CoV-2 becomes a major global health, the authors aimed to predict the severity of the disease, the length of hospitalization, and the death rate of COVID-19 patients based on The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) criteria, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels to prioritize, and use them for special care facilities. Methods: In a retrospective study, 369 patients with COVID-19 hospitalized in the ICU from March 2021 to April 2022, were evaluated. In addition to the APACHE II score, several of laboratory factors, such as CRP and NLR, were measured. Results: The values of CRP, NLR, and APACHE II scores were significantly higher in hospitalized and intubated patients, as well as those who died 1 month and 3 months after hospital discharge than those in surviving patients. The baseline NLR levels were the strongest factor that adversely affected death in the hospital, death 1 month and 3 months after discharge, and it was able to predict death, significantly. Conclusion: CRP, NLR, and APACHE II were all linked to prognostic factors in COVID-19 patients. NLR was a better predictor of disease severity, the need for intubation, and death than the other two scoring tools.

12.
Ann Med Surg (Lond) ; 86(1): 42-49, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38222708

ABSTRACT

Background: COVID-19, the most destructive pandemic of this century, caused the highest mortality rate among ICU patients. The evaluation of these patients is insufficient in lower-middle-income countries with limited resources during pandemics. As a result, our primary goal was to examine the characteristics of patients at baseline as well as their survival outcomes, and propose mortality predictors for identifying and managing the most vulnerable patients more effectively and quickly. Methods: A prospective analysis of COVID-19 ICU-admitted patients was conducted in our healthcare centre in Iran, from 1 April until 20 May 2020. Ninety-three patients were included in the study, and all were unvaccinated. A multi-variate logistic regression was conducted to evaluate mortality-associated factors. Results: There were 53 non-survivors among our ICU-admitted patients. The mean duration from symptoms' onset to hospitalization was 6.92 ± 4.27 days, and from hospitalization to ICU admission was 2.52 ± 3.61 days. The average hospital stay for patients was 13.23 ± 10.43 days, with 8.84 ± 7.53 days in the ICU. Non-survivors were significantly older, had significantly lower haemoglobin levels and higher creatine phosphokinase levels compared to survivors. They had marginally lower SpO2 levels at admission, higher vasopressor administrations, and were intubated more significantly during their ICU stay. The use of immunosuppressive drugs was also significantly higher in non-survivors. Logistic regression revealed that a one-point increase in APACHE II score at ICU admission increased mortality by 6%, and the presence of underlying diseases increased mortality by 4.27 times. Conclusion: The authors presented clinical mortality prediction factors for critically ill patients infected with COVID-19. Additional studies are necessary to identify more generalized mortality indicators for these patients in lower-middle-income countries.

13.
BMC Anesthesiol ; 24(1): 32, 2024 Jan 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38243164

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The prognostic performance of soluble CD40L (sCD40L) for illness severity in infectious diseases is rarely reported. We investigated the ability of sCD40L combined with Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score to evaluate mortality in septic patients in the emergency department(ED). METHODS: We enrolled 222 septic patients in the ED of Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital from October 2020 to April 2021. Their serum sCD40L, PCT, lactate (Lac), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score were used to predict the prognosis of septic patients in terms of 28-day mortality. Serum sCD40L was detected by Human XL Cytokine Luminex. Logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the prognostic value of the variables. RESULTS: One hundred ninety-five patients met the inclusion criteria, divided into survival group (55 cases) and non-survival group (140 cases). sCD40L, PCT, Lac, SOFA and APACHE II score were found to independently predict 28-day mortality (P < 0.05). The AUC values of sCD40L, PCT, Lac, SOFA and APACHE II score were 0.662,0.727,0.704, 0.719 and 0.716, respectively. There was no difference in the diagnostic value of sCD40L compared with the PCT, Lac, SOFA score or APACHE II score (Z1 = 1.19, P = 0.234; Z2 = 0.77, P = 0.441; Z3 = 1.05, P = 0.294; Z4 = 0.97, P = 0.332). However, the combined evaluation of sCD40L + APACHE II (AUC:0.772, Z = 2.10, P = 0.036) was much better than sCD40L alone in predicting 28-day mortality. CONCLUSION: The predictive value of sCD40L + APACHE II is better than sCD40L alone for 28-day mortality. sCD40L combined with APACHE II score is valuable for predicting 28-day mortality in elderly patients with sepsis.


Subject(s)
CD40 Ligand , Sepsis , Humans , Aged , APACHE , Sepsis/diagnosis , Organ Dysfunction Scores , Prognosis , ROC Curve , Lactic Acid , Emergency Service, Hospital , Retrospective Studies
14.
Mycoses ; 67(1): e13667, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37914666

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Clinical severity scores, such as acute physiology, age, chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), Pitt Bacteremia Score (PBS), and European Confederation of Medical Mycology Quality (EQUAL) score, may not reliably predict candidemia prognosis owing to their prespecified scorings that can limit their adaptability and applicability. OBJECTIVES: Unlike those fixed and prespecified scorings, we aim to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) approach that is able to learn predictive models adaptively from available patient data to increase adaptability and applicability. METHODS: Different ML algorithms follow different design philosophies and consequently, they carry different learning biases. We have designed an ensemble meta-learner based on stacked generalisation to integrate multiple learners as a team to work at its best in a synergy to improve predictive performances. RESULTS: In the multicenter retrospective study, we analysed 512 patients with candidemia from January 2014 to July 2019 and compared a stacked generalisation model (SGM) with APACHE II, SOFA, PBS and EQUAL score to predict the 14-day mortality. The cross-validation results showed that the SGM significantly outperformed APACHE II, SOFA, PBS, and EQUAL score across several metrics, including F1-score (0.68, p < .005), Matthews correlation coefficient (0.54, p < .05 vs. SOFA, p < .005 vs. the others) and the area under the curve (AUC; 0.87, p < .005). In addition, in an independent external test, the model effectively predicted patients' mortality in the external validation cohort, with an AUC of 0.77. CONCLUSIONS: ML models show potential for improving mortality prediction amongst patients with candidemia compared to clinical severity scores.


Subject(s)
Bacteremia , Candidemia , Humans , Organ Dysfunction Scores , APACHE , Retrospective Studies , Candidemia/diagnosis , Feasibility Studies , Prognosis , Machine Learning , ROC Curve , Intensive Care Units
15.
Inflamm Res ; 73(1): 1-4, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38147124

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: iNKT-cells are innate regulatory lymphocytes capable of directing immune and inflammatory responses to sepsis. Repeat stimulation of iNKT-cells leads to the induction of anergy with the emergence of a hyporesponsive CD3low iNKT-cell subpopulation. METHODS: iNKT-cells were isolated from critical ill surgical patients with sepsis and phenotyped for CD3 expression. This was correlated with degree of severity of illness, as denoted by APACHE-II score. RESULTS: Comparing healthy volunteers to critically ill septic patients, it was noted that increasing severity of sepsis was associated with increasing frequency of circulating CD3low-iNKT-cell populations. CONCLUSION: The emergence of CD3low -iNKT-cells may serve as a clinically translatable marker of degree of sepsis-induced immune dysfunction.


Subject(s)
Critical Illness , Sepsis , Humans , Lymphocytes
16.
J Crit Care Med (Targu Mures) ; 9(4): 239-251, 2023 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37969884

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Proper management of sepsis poses a challenge even today, with early diagnosis and targeted treatment being the most important steps. Easy, cost-effective bedside tools are needed in order to pinpoint towards the outcome of sepsis or septic shock. Aim of study: This study aims to find a correlation between Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II) severity scores, the Neutrophil-Lymphocytes Ratio (NLR) and carboxyhaemoglobin (COHb) levels in septic or septic shock patients with the scope of establishing a bed side cost-effective prognostic tool. Materials and methods: A pilot, prospective, observational, and ongoing study was conducted on 61 patients admitted with sepsis or septic shock according to the SEPSIS 3 Consensus definition. We followed clinical and paraclinical parameters on day 1 (D1) and day 5 (D5) after meeting the inclusion criteria. Results: On D1 we found a statistically significant positive correlation between each severity score (p <0.0001), r = 0.7287 for SOFA vs. APACHE II with CI: 0.5841-0.8285, r = 0.6862 for SOFA vs. SAPS II with CI: 0.5251-0.7998 and r = 0.8534 for APACHE II vs. SAPS II with CI: 0.7663 to 0.9097. On D5 we observed similar results: a significant positive correlation between each severity score (p <0.0001), with r = 0.7877 for SOFA vs. APACHE II with CI: 0.6283 to 0.8836, r = 0.8210 for SOFA vs. SAPS II with CI: 0.6822 to 0.9027 and r = 0.8880 for APACHE II vs. SAPS II., CI: 0.7952 to 0.9401. Nil correlation was found between the severity scores, NLR and COHb on D1 and D5. Conclusion: Cost-effective bedside tools to pinpoint towards the outcome of sepsis are yet to be found, however the positive correlation between the severity scores point out to a combination of such tools for prognosis prediction of septic or septic shock patients.

17.
Indian J Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg ; 75(4): 3679-3685, 2023 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37974701

ABSTRACT

Comparative evaluation of early and late tracheostomy outcomes in mechanically ventilated patients. The present retrospective study was conducted in Government medical college Jammu from April 2021 to November 2022 on 111 tracheotomised patient in intensive care unit. All tracheostomies with in 10 days of intubation were grouped as early tracheostomy (ET) group and all those done after 10 days were grouped as LATE TRACHEOSTOMY (LT) group. APACHE II score at the time of intensive care unit admission of all included tracheotomised patients was noted. Data regarding mortality, duration of mechanical ventilation and length of stay in intensive care unit (ICU) was studied. Mean age of presentation was 41.5 ± 15.7 yrs, with male preponderance. Out of 111 patients, 57 patients underwent early tracheostomy and 54 underwent late TRACHEOSTOMY. In APACHE II, < 25 category-short term mortality was 4 in ET and 5 in LT; long term mortality in ET was 4 and 10 in LT; average days of mechanical ventilation were 11.2 in ET and 3 in LT; average stay in ICU was 18 days in ET and 61 days in LT. in APACHE II > 25-short term mortality was 4 in ET and 5 in LT; long term mortality in ET was 3 and 9 in LT. Average days of mechanical ventilation were 10.8 in ET and 57 in LT; average stay in ICU was 24 days in ET and 79 days in LT. Early tracheostomy is superior to late Tracheostomy in terms of mortality, number of days of mechanical ventilation and the duration of intensive care unit stay.

18.
Pak J Med Sci ; 39(6): 1584-1588, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37936757

ABSTRACT

Objective: To investigate the correlations between APACHE-II score and pressure parameters of mechanical ventilation in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and their value in prognostic evaluation. Methods: This was a retrospective study. The clinical data of 79 patients with ARDS treated in Shengzhou Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from April 2020 to April 2022 were analyzed retrospectively. According to whether their APACHE-II scores were higher than 15, they were divided into low score group (n= 20) and high score group (n= 59). The plateau pressure (Pplat), driving pressure(ΔP) and mean airway pressure (Pmean) were compared. The correlation between APACHE-II score and pressure parameters of mechanical ventilation was analyzed. Based on the follow-up of 28-d survival, their Pplat, ΔP, Pmean and APACHE-II scores were compared. The value of APACHE-II score and pressure parameters in the prognostic evaluation of ARDS patients was analyzed. Results: Pplat, ΔP and Pmean in the low score group were significantly lower than those in the high score group(P<0.05). Pplat, ΔP, Pmean and APACHE-II score in the survival group were significantly lower than those in the control group(P<0.05). APACHE-II score showed significantly positive correlations with Pplat, ΔP and Pmean. The AUC of Pmean, Pplat, ΔP and APACHE-II score in predicting the prognosis and diagnosis of ARDS patients was 0.761, 0.833, 0.754 and 0.832, respectively. Conclusion: APACHE-II score of ARDS patients shows significantly positive correlations with pressure parameters of mechanical ventilation, and has diagnostic value for the prognosis of ARDS patients.

19.
Viruses ; 15(11)2023 Nov 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38005908

ABSTRACT

The use of the Ratio of Oxygen Saturation (ROX) index to predict the success of high-flow nasal oxygenation (HFNO) is well established. The ROX can also predict the need for intubation, mortality, and is easier to calculate compared with APACHE II. In this prospective study, the primary aim is to compare the ROX (easily administered in resource limited setting) to APACHE II for clinically relevant outcomes such as mortality and the need for intubation. Our secondary aim was to identify thresholds for the ROX index in predicting outcomes such as the length of ICU stay and failure of non-invasive respiratory support therapies and to assess the effectiveness of using the ROX (day 1 at admission, day 2, and day 3) versus Acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II scores (at admission) in patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia and Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) to predict early, late, and non-responders. After screening 208 intensive care unit patients, a total of 118 COVID-19 patients were enrolled, who were categorized into early (n = 38), late (n = 34), and non-responders (n = 46). Multinomial logistic regression, receiver operating characteristic (ROC), Multivariate Cox regression, and Kaplan-Meier analysis were conducted. Multinomial logistic regressions between late and early responders and between non- and early responders were associated with reduced risk of treatment failures. ROC analysis for early vs. late responders showed that APACHE II on admission had the largest area under the curve (0.847), followed by the ROX index on admission (0.843). For responders vs. non-responders, we found that the ROX index on admission had a slightly better AUC than APACHE II on admission (0.759 vs. 0.751). A higher ROX index on admission [HR (95% CI): 0.29 (0.13-0.52)] and on day 2 [HR (95% CI): 0.55 (0.34-0.89)] were associated with a reduced risk of treatment failure. The ROX index can be used as an independent predictor of early response and mortality outcomes to HFNO and NIV in COVID-19 pneumonia, especially in low-resource settings, and is non-inferior to APACHE II.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Noninvasive Ventilation , Pneumonia , Humans , APACHE , Prospective Studies , COVID-19/therapy , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies
20.
Cureus ; 15(9): e44515, 2023 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37789994

ABSTRACT

Pleural infection, or pleural empyema, is a severe medical condition associated with high morbidity and mortality rates. Timely and accurate prognostication is crucial for optimizing patient outcomes and resource allocation. Rapid scoring systems have emerged as promising tools in pleural infection prognostication, integrating various clinical and laboratory parameters to assess disease severity and quantitatively predict short-term and long-term outcomes. This review article critically evaluates existing rapid scoring systems, including CURB-65 (confusion, uremia, respiratory rate, blood pressure, age ≥ 65 years), A-DROP (age (male >70 years, female >75 years), dehydration, respiratory failure, orientation disturbance, and low blood pressure), and APACHE II (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II), assessing their predictive accuracy and limitations. Our analysis highlights the potential clinical implications of rapid scoring, including risk stratification, treatment tailoring, and follow-up planning. We discuss practical considerations and challenges in implementing rapid scoring such as data accessibility and potential sources of bias. Furthermore, we emphasize the importance of validation, transparency, and multidisciplinary collaboration to refine and enhance the clinical applicability of these scoring systems. The prospects for rapid scoring in pleural infection management are promising, with ongoing research and data science advances offering improvement opportunities. Ultimately, the successful integration of rapid scoring into clinical practice can potentially improve patient care and outcomes in pleural infection management.

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