Demographic effects of aggregation in the presence of a component Allee effect.

The component Allee effect (AE) is the positive correlation between an organism's fitness component and population density. Depending on the population spatial structure, which determines the interactions between organisms, a component AE might lead to positive density dependence in the population per-capita growth rate and establish a demographic AE. However, existing spatial models impose a fixed population spatial structure, which limits the understanding of how a component AE and spatial dynamics jointly determine the existence of demographic AEs. We introduce a spatially explicit theoretical framework where spatial structure and population dynamics are emergent properties of the individual-level demographic and movement rates. This framework predicts various spatial patterns depending on its specific parametrization, including evenly spaced aggregates of organisms, which determine the demographic-level by-products of the component AE. We find that aggregation increases population abundance and allows population survival in harsher environments and at lower global population densities when compared with uniformly distributed organisms. Moreover, aggregation can prevent the component AE from manifesting at the population level or restrict it to the level of each independent aggregate. These results provide a mechanistic understanding of how component AEs might operate for different spatial structures and manifest at larger scales.

The role of Allee effects for Gaussian and Lévy dispersals in an environmental niche.

In the study of biological populations, the Allee effect detects a critical density below which the population is severely endangered and at risk of extinction. This effect supersedes the classical logistic model, in which low densities are favorable due to lack of competition, and includes situations related to deficit of genetic pools, inbreeding depression, mate limitations, unavailability of collaborative strategies due to lack of conspecifics, etc. The goal of this paper is to provide a detailed mathematical analysis of the Allee effect. After recalling the ordinary differential equation related to the Allee effect, we will consider the situation of a diffusive population. The dispersal of this population is quite general and can include the classical Brownian motion, as well as a Lévy flight pattern, and also a "mixed" situation in which some individuals perform classical random walks and others adopt Lévy flights (which is also a case observed in nature). We study the existence and nonexistence of stationary solutions, which are an indication of the survival chance of a population at the equilibrium. We also analyze the associated evolution problem, in view of monotonicity in time of the total population, energy consideration, and long-time asymptotics. Furthermore, we also consider the case of an "inverse" Allee effect, in which low density populations may access additional benefits.

Dynamics and control of a plant-herbivore model incorporating Allee's effect.

This research focuses on the interaction between the grape borer and grapevine using a discrete-time plant-herbivore model with Allee's effect. We specifically investigate a model that incorporates a strong predator functional response to better understand the system's qualitative behavior at positive equilibrium points. In the present study, we explore the topological classifications at fixed points, stability analysis, Neimark-Sacker, Transcritical bifurcation and State feedback control in the two-dimensional discrete-time plant-herbivore model. It is proved that for all involved parameters ς1,ϱ1,γ1 and ϒ1, discrete-time plant-herbivore model has boundary and interior fixed points: c1=(0,0), c2=(ς1-1ϱ1,0) and c3=(ϒ1(1-γ1)2γ1-1,γ1(2ς1+ϱ1ϒ1-2)-ϱ1ϒ1+1-ς12γ1-1) respectively. Then by linear stability theory, local dynamics with different topological classifications are investigated at fixed points: c1=(0,0), c2=(ς1-1ϱ1,0) and c3=(ϒ1(1-γ1)2γ1-1,γ1(2ς1+ϱ1ϒ1-2)-ϱ1ϒ1+1-ς12γ1-1). Our investigation uncovers that the boundary equilibrium c2=(ς1-1ϱ1,0) experiences a transcritical bifurcation, whereas the unique positive steady-state c3=(ϒ1(1-γ1)2γ1-1,γ1(2ς1+ϱ1ϒ1-2)-ϱ1ϒ1+1-ς12γ1-1) of the discrete-time plant-herbivore model undergoes a Neimark-Sacker bifurcation. To address the periodic fluctuations in grapevine population density and other unpredictable behaviors observed in the model, we propose implementing state feedback chaos control. To support our theoretical findings, we provide comprehensive numerical simulations, phase portraits, dynamics diagrams, and a graph of the maximum Lyapunov exponent. These visual representations enhance the clarity of our research outcomes and further validate the effectiveness of the chaos control approach.

Modelling mosquito population suppression based on competition system with strong and weak Allee effect.

Mosquito-borne diseases are threatening half of the world's population. To prevent the spread of malaria, dengue fever, or other mosquito-borne diseases, a new disease control strategy is to reduce or eradicate the wild mosquito population by releasing sterile mosquitoes. To study the effects of sterile insect technique on mosquito populations, we developed a mathematical model of constant release of sterile Aedes aegypti mosquitoes with strong and weak Allee effect and considered interspecific competition with Anopheles mosquitoes. We calculated multiple release thresholds and investigated the dynamical behavior of this model. In order to get closer to reality, an impulsive differential equation model was also introduced to study mosquito suppression dynamics under the strategy of releasing $ c $ sterile male mosquitoes at each interval time $ T $. Finally, the relationship between the releasing amount or the waiting period and the number of days required to suppress mosquitoes was illustrated by numerical simulations.

Dynamical analysis of a discrete two-patch model with the Allee effect and nonlinear dispersal.

The dynamic behavior of a discrete-time two-patch model with the Allee effect and nonlinear dispersal is studied in this paper. The model consists of two patches connected by the dispersal of individuals. Each patch has its own carrying capacity and intraspecific competition, and the growth rate of one patch exhibits the Allee effect. The existence and stability of the fixed points for the model are explored. Then, utilizing the central manifold theorem and bifurcation theory, fold and flip bifurcations are investigated. Finally, numerical simulations are conducted to explore how the Allee effect and nonlinear dispersal affect the dynamics of the system.

Sustainable management of predatory fish affected by an Allee effect through marine protected areas and taxation.

Ecological balance and stable economic development are crucial for the fishery. This study proposes a predator-prey system for marine communities, where the growth of predators follows the Allee effect and takes into account the rapid fluctuations in resource prices caused by supply and demand. The system predicts the existence of catastrophic equilibrium, which may lead to the extinction of prey, consequently leading to the extinction of predators, but fishing efforts remain high. Marine protected areas are established near fishing areas to avoid such situations. Fish migrate rapidly between these two areas and are only harvested in the nonprotected areas. A three-dimensional simplified model is derived by applying variable aggregation to describe the variation of global variables on a slow time scale. To seek conditions to avoid species extinction and maintain sustainable fishing activities, the existence of positive equilibrium points and their local stability are explored based on the simplified model. Moreover, the long-term impact of establishing marine protected areas and levying taxes based on unit catch on fishery dynamics is studied, and the optimal tax policy is obtained by applying Pontryagin's maximum principle. The theoretical analysis and numerical examples of this study demonstrate the comprehensive effectiveness of increasing the proportion of marine protected areas and controlling taxes on the sustainable development of fishery.

Allee effects introduced by density dependent phenology.

We consider a hybrid model of an annual species with the timing of a stage transition governed by density dependent phenology. We show that the model can produce a strong Allee effect as well as overcompensation. The density dependent probability distribution that describes how population emergence is spread over time plays an important role in determining population dynamics. Our extensive numerical simulations with a density dependent gamma distribution indicate very rich population dynamics, from stable/unstable equilibria, limit cycles, to chaos.

Ulam type stability for von Bertalanffy growth model with Allee effect.

In many studies dealing with mathematical models, the subject is examining the fitting between actual data and the solution of the mathematical model by applying statistical processing. However, if there is a solution that fluctuates greatly due to a small perturbation, it is expected that there will be a large difference between the actual phenomenon and the solution of the mathematical model, even in a short time span. In this study, we address this concern by considering Ulam stability, which is a concept that guarantees that a solution to an unperturbed equation exists near the solution to an equation with bounded perturbations. Although it is known that Ulam stability is guaranteed for the standard von Bertalanffy growth model, it remains unsolved for a model containing the Allee effect. This paper investigates the Ulam stability of a von Bertalanffy growth model with the Allee effect. In a sense, we obtain results that correspond to conditions of the Allee effect being very small or very large. In particular, a more preferable Ulam constant than the existing result for the standard von Bertalanffy growth model, is obtained as the Allee effect approaches zero. In other words, this paper even improves the proof of the result in the absence of the Allee effect. By guaranteeing the Ulam stability of the von Bertalanffy growth model with Allee effect, the stability of the model itself is guaranteed, and, even if a small perturbation is added, it becomes clear that even a small perturbation does not have a large effect on the solutions. Several examples and numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the obtained results.

Spread and persistence for integro-difference equations with shifting habitat and strong Allee effect.

We study an integro-difference equation model that describes the spatial dynamics of a species with a strong Allee effect in a shifting habitat. We examine the case of a shifting semi-infinite bad habitat connected to a semi-infinite good habitat. In this case we rigorously establish species persistence (non-persistence) if the habitat shift speed is less (greater) than the asymptotic spreading speed of the species in the good habitat. We also examine the case of a finite shifting patch of hospitable habitat, and find that the habitat shift speed must be less than the asymptotic spreading speed associated with the habitat and there is a critical patch size for species persistence. Spreading speeds and traveling waves are established to address species persistence. Our numerical simulations demonstrate the theoretical results and show the dependence of the critical patch size on the shift speed.

Dynamics of a modified Leslie-Gower predator-prey model with double Allee effects.

In this paper, we investigate the dynamic behavior of a modified Leslie-Gower predator-prey model with the Allee effect on both prey and predator. It is shown that the model has at most two positive equilibria, where one is always a hyperbolic saddle and the other is a weak focus with multiplicity of at least three by concrete example. In addition, we analyze the bifurcations of the system, including saddle-node bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation and Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation. The results show that the model has a cusp of codimension three and undergoes a Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation of codimension two. The system undergoes a degenerate Hopf bifurcation and has two limit cycles (the inner one is stable and the outer one is unstable). These enrich the dynamics of the modified Leslie-Gower predator-prey model with the double Allee effects.

Variation in Avian Predation Pressure as a Driver for the Diversification of Periodical Cicada Broods.

AbstractPeriodical cicadas live 13 or 17 years underground as nymphs, then emerge in synchrony as adults to reproduce. Developmentally synchronized populations called broods rarely coexist, with one dominant brood locally excluding those that emerge in off years. Twelve modern 17-year cicada broods are believed to have descended from only three ancestral broods following the last glaciation. The mechanisms by which these daughter broods overcame exclusion by the ancestral brood to synchronously emerge in a different year, however, are elusive. Here, we demonstrate that temporal variation in the population density of generalist predators can allow intermittent opportunities for new broods to invade, even though a single brood remains dominant most of the time. We show that this mechanism is consistent, in terms of the type and frequency of brood replacements, with the distribution of periodical cicada broods throughout North America today. Although we investigate one particularly charismatic case study, the mechanisms involved (competitive exclusion, Allee effects, trait variation, predation, and temporal variability) are ubiquitous and could contribute to patterns of species diversity in a range of systems.

Allee effect-driven complexity in a spatiotemporal predator-prey system with fear factor.

In this paper, we propose a spatiotemporal prey-predator model with fear and Allee effects. We first establish the global existence of solution in time and provide some sufficient conditions for the existence of non-negative spatially homogeneous equilibria. Then, we study the stability and bifurcation for the non-negative equilibria and explore the bifurcation diagram, which revealed that the Allee effect and fear factor can induce complex bifurcation scenario. We discuss that large Allee effect-driven Turing instability and pattern transition for the considered system with the Holling-Ⅰ type functional response, and how small Allee effect stabilizes the system in nature. Finally, numerical simulations illustrate the effectiveness of theoretical results. The main contribution of this work is to discover that the Allee effect can induce both codimension-one bifurcations (transcritical, saddle-node, Hopf, Turing) and codimension-two bifurcations (cusp, Bogdanov-Takens and Turing-Hopf) in a spatiotemporal predator-prey model with a fear factor. In addition, we observe that the circular rings pattern loses its stability, and transitions to the coldspot and stripe pattern in Hopf region or the Turing-Hopf region for a special choice of initial condition.

Spatiotemporal dynamics of a diffusive predator-prey model with delay and Allee effect in predator.

It has been shown that Allee effect can change predator-prey dynamics and impact species persistence. Allee effect in the prey population has been widely investigated. However, the study on the Allee effect in the predator population is rare. In this paper, we investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of a diffusive predator-prey model with digestion delay and Allee effect in the predator population. The conditions of stability and instability induced by diffusion for the positive equilibrium are obtained. The effect of delay on the dynamics of system has three different cases: (a) the delay doesn't change the stability of the positive equilibrium, (b) destabilizes and stabilizes the positive equilibrium and induces stability switches, or (c) destabilizes the positive equilibrium and induces Hopf bifurcation, which is revealed (numerically) to be corresponding to high, intermediate or low level of Allee effect, respectively. To figure out the joint effect of delay and diffusion, we carry out Turing-Hopf bifurcation analysis and derive its normal form, from which we can obtain the classification of dynamics near Turing-Hopf bifurcation point. Complex spatiotemporal dynamical behaviors are found, including the coexistence of two stable spatially homogeneous or inhomogeneous periodic solutions and two stable spatially inhomogeneous quasi-periodic solutions. It deepens our understanding of the effects of Allee effect in the predator population and presents new phenomena induced be delay with spatial diffusion.

More complex dynamics in a discrete prey-predator model with the Allee effect in prey.

In this paper, we revisit a discrete prey-predator model with the Allee effect in prey to find its more complex dynamical properties. After pointing out and correcting those known errors for the local stability of the unique positive fixed point $ E_*, $ unlike previous studies in which the author only considered the codim 1 Neimark-Sacker bifurcation at the fixed point $ E_*, $ we focus on deriving many new bifurcation results, namely, the codim 1 transcritical bifurcation at the trivial fixed point $ E_1, $ the codim 1 transcritical and period-doubling bifurcations at the boundary fixed point $ E_2, $ the codim 1 period-doubling bifurcation and the codim 2 1:2 resonance bifurcation at the positive fixed point $ E_* $. The obtained theoretical results are also further illustrated via numerical simulations. Some new dynamics are numerically found. Our new results clearly demonstrate that the occurrence of 1:2 resonance bifurcation confirms that this system is strongly unstable, indicating that the predator and the prey will increase rapidly and breakout suddenly.

Stability and bifurcation analysis of a two-patch model with the Allee effect and dispersal.

In the current manuscript, a two-patch model with the Allee effect and nonlinear dispersal is presented. We study both the ordinary differential equation (ODE) case and the partial differential equation (PDE) case here. In the ODE model, the stability of the equilibrium points and the existence of saddle-node bifurcation are discussed. The phase diagram and bifurcation curve of our model are also given as a results of numerical simulation. Besides, the corresponding linear dispersal case is also presented. We show that, when the Allee effect is large, high intensity of linear dispersal is not favorable to the persistence of the species. We further show when the Allee effect is large, nonlinear diffusion is more beneficial to the survival of the population than linear diffusion. Moreover, the results of the PDE model extend our findings from discrete patches to continuous patches.

A model for voles interference in cultivated orchards.

We consider a dynamical system involving seven populations to model the presence of voles in a cultivated orchard. The plant population is stratified by age (three groups) and by health status (being damaged or not). The last equation models the voles with a modified logistic equation with Allee effect, where the modification takes into account the disturbance provided by the human activity on the orchard. Both an analytical investigation and numerical simulations on a case study are presented. The latter support the observed differences in the literature, in terms of number of voles, between cultivated and uncultivated fields.

Forced Traveling Waves in a Reaction-Diffusion Equation with Strong Allee Effect and Shifting Habitat.

We study a reaction-diffusion equation that describes the growth of a population with a strong Allee effect in a bounded habitat which shifts at a speed [Formula: see text]. We demonstrate that the existence of forced positive traveling waves depends on habitat size L, and [Formula: see text], the speed of traveling wave for the corresponding reaction-diffusion equation with the same growth function all over the entire unbounded spatial domain. It is shown that for [Formula: see text] there exists a positive number [Formula: see text] such that for [Formula: see text] there are two positive traveling waves and for [Formula: see text] there is no positive traveling wave. It is also shown if [Formula: see text] for any [Formula: see text] there is no positive traveling wave. The dynamics of the equation are further explored through numerical simulations.

Lotka-Volterra model with Allee effect: equilibria, coexistence and size scaling of maximum and minimum abundance.

The Lotka-Volterra competition model (LVCM) is a fundamental tool for ecology, widely used to represent complex communities. The Allee effect (AE) is a phenomenon in which there is a positive correlation between population density and fitness, at low population densities. However, the interplay between the LVCM and AE has been seldom analyzed in multispecies models. Here, we analyze the mathematical properties of the LVCM [Formula: see text] AE, investigating the coexistence of species interacting through neutral diffuse competition, their equilibria and stable points. Minimum viable population density arises as the threshold below which species go extinct, characteristic of strong Allee effects. Then, by imposing relationships of main parameters to body size, i.e. allometric scaling, we derive a general solution to the size-scaling maximum and minimum expected density under plausible scenarios. The scaling of maximum population density is consistent with the literature, but we also provide novel predictions on the scaling of the lower limit to population density, a critical value for conservation science. The resulting framework is general and yields results that increase our current understanding of how complex demographic processes can be linked to ubiquitous ecological patterns.

On a population model with density dependence and Allee effect.

We study the dynamics of a discrete model with two different stages of the population, the pre-adult stage governed by a Beverton-Holt-type map and the adult stage by a [Formula: see text]-Ricker map. The composition of both maps gives the dynamics. The existence of the Allee effect is easily observed. We check that the model can evolve from a sure extinction to complicated dynamics. The presence of an almost sure extinction is proved to exist when the dynamical complexity is the highest possible.

Factors affecting establishment and population growth of the invasive weed Ambrosia artemisiifolia.

Ambrosia artemisiifolia is a highly invasive weed. Identifying the characteristics and the factors influencing its establishment and population growth may help to identify high invasion risk areas and facilitate monitoring and prevention efforts. Six typical habitats: river banks, forests, road margins, farmlands, grasslands, and wastelands, were selected from the main distribution areas of A. artemisiifolia in the Yili Valley, China. Six propagule quantities of A. artemisiifolia at 1, 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 seeds m-2 were seeded by aggregation, and dispersion in an area without A. artemisiifolia. Using establishment probability models and Allee effect models, we determined the minimum number of seeds and plants required for the establishment and population growth of A. artemisiifolia, respectively. We also assessed the moisture threshold requirements for establishment and survival, and the influence of native species. The influence of propagule pressure on the establishment of A. artemisiifolia was significant. The minimum number of seeds required varied across habitats, with the lowest being 60 seeds m-2 for road margins and the highest being 398 seeds for forests. The minimum number of plants required for population growth in each habitat was 5 and the largest number was 43 in pasture. The aggregation distribution of A. artemisiifolia resulted in a higher establishment and survival rate. The minimum soil volumetric water content required for establishment was significantly higher than that required for survival. The presence of native dominant species significantly reduced the establishment and survival rate of A. artemisiifolia. A. artemisiifolia has significant habitat selectivity and is more likely to establish successfully in a habitat with aggregated seeding with sufficient water and few native species. Establishment requires many seeds but is less affected by the Allee effect after successful establishment, and only a few plants are needed to ensure reproductive success and population growth in the following year. Monitoring should be increased in high invasion risk habitats.